메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 96, Issue , 2016, Pages 215-230

Development of an agent-based model for regional market penetration projections of electric vehicles in the United States

Author keywords

Agent based modeling; Electric vehicle; Exploratory modeling and analysis; Inherent uncertainty; Market penetration

Indexed keywords

ALTERNATIVE FUELS; AUTONOMOUS AGENTS; COMMERCE; COMPETITION; COMPUTATIONAL METHODS; ELECTRIC VEHICLES; ENERGY SECURITY; INTERNAL COMBUSTION ENGINES; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; VEHICLES;

EID: 84957076548     PISSN: 03605442     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2015.12.018     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (107)

References (71)
  • 3
    • 84921065084 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards life cycle sustainability assessment of alternative passenger vehicles
    • Onat N.C., Kucukvar M., Tatari O. Towards life cycle sustainability assessment of alternative passenger vehicles. Sustainability 2014, 6:9305-9342. 10.3390/su6129305.
    • (2014) Sustainability , vol.6 , pp. 9305-9342
    • Onat, N.C.1    Kucukvar, M.2    Tatari, O.3
  • 5
    • 84905720059 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A comparison between renewable transport fuels that can supplement or replace biofuels in a 100% renewable energy system
    • Connolly D., Mathiesen B.V., Ridjan I. A comparison between renewable transport fuels that can supplement or replace biofuels in a 100% renewable energy system. Energy 2014, 73:110-125.
    • (2014) Energy , vol.73 , pp. 110-125
    • Connolly, D.1    Mathiesen, B.V.2    Ridjan, I.3
  • 6
    • 84958676367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Press release - Clean power for transport - Frequently asked questions
    • n.d. (accessed 23.10.15).
    • European Commission - PRESS RELEASES - Press release - Clean power for transport - Frequently asked questions n.d. (accessed 23.10.15). http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-13-24_en.htm.
  • 7
    • 84958642577 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Electric Vehicles in China - Harvard - Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
    • (accessed 23.10.15).
    • Belfer Center. Electric Vehicles in China - Harvard - Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs 2015. (accessed 23.10.15). http://belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu/publication/24345/electric_vehicles_in_china.html.
    • (2015)
  • 8
    • 84924108192 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • U.S. backs off goal of one million electric cars by 2015|Reuters
    • (accessed 19.05.15).
    • Rascoe A, Deepa Seetharaman. U.S. backs off goal of one million electric cars by 2015|Reuters 2013. (accessed 19.05.15). http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/01/31/us-autos-greencars-chu-idUSBRE90U1B020130131.
    • (2013)
    • Rascoe, A.1    Deepa, S.2
  • 10
    • 84958633632 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • California leads the nation in the adoption of electric vehicles - Today in Energy - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
    • (accessed 20.05.15).
    • EIA. California leads the nation in the adoption of electric vehicles - Today in Energy - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) 2014. (accessed 20.05.15). http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=19131.
    • (2014)
  • 13
    • 84873815587 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Review of hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and electric vehicle market modeling Studies
    • Al-Alawi B.M., Bradley T.H. Review of hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and electric vehicle market modeling Studies. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 2013, 21:190-203.
    • (2013) Renew Sustain Energy Rev , vol.21 , pp. 190-203
    • Al-Alawi, B.M.1    Bradley, T.H.2
  • 14
    • 84927940962 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Conventional, hybrid, plug-in hybrid or electric vehicles? State-based comparative carbon and energy footprint analysis in the United States
    • Onat N.C., Kucukvar M., Tatari O. Conventional, hybrid, plug-in hybrid or electric vehicles? State-based comparative carbon and energy footprint analysis in the United States. Appl Energy 2015, 150:36-49.
    • (2015) Appl Energy , vol.150 , pp. 36-49
    • Onat, N.C.1    Kucukvar, M.2    Tatari, O.3
  • 16
    • 84939178871 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A hybrid life cycle assessment of public transportation buses with alternative fuel options
    • Ercan T., Tatari O. A hybrid life cycle assessment of public transportation buses with alternative fuel options. Int J Life Cycle Assess 2015, 20:1213-1231.
    • (2015) Int J Life Cycle Assess , vol.20 , pp. 1213-1231
    • Ercan, T.1    Tatari, O.2
  • 17
    • 84926419262 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An integrated method to calculate an automobile's emissions throughout its life cycle
    • Viñoles-Cebolla R., Bastante-Ceca M.J., Capuz-Rizo S.F. An integrated method to calculate an automobile's emissions throughout its life cycle. Energy 2015, 83:125-136.
    • (2015) Energy , vol.83 , pp. 125-136
    • Viñoles-Cebolla, R.1    Bastante-Ceca, M.J.2    Capuz-Rizo, S.F.3
  • 18
    • 84885958700 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A methodology for economic and environmental analysis of electric vehicles with different operational conditions
    • Zhang Q., Mclellan B.C., Tezuka T., Ishihara K.N. A methodology for economic and environmental analysis of electric vehicles with different operational conditions. Energy 2013, 61:118-127.
    • (2013) Energy , vol.61 , pp. 118-127
    • Zhang, Q.1    Mclellan, B.C.2    Tezuka, T.3    Ishihara, K.N.4
  • 19
    • 84934323645 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A multi agent-based framework for simulating household PHEV distribution and electric distribution network impact
    • Cui X., Liu C., Kim H.K., Kao S.-C., Tuttle M.A., Bhaduri B.L. A multi agent-based framework for simulating household PHEV distribution and electric distribution network impact. TRB Com Transp Energy (ADC70) 2010 Aug 1.
    • (2010) TRB Com Transp Energy (ADC70)
    • Cui, X.1    Liu, C.2    Kim, H.K.3    Kao, S.-C.4    Tuttle, M.A.5    Bhaduri, B.L.6
  • 20
    • 79955883419 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An agent-based model to study market penetration of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles
    • Eppstein M.J., Grover D.K., Marshall J.S., Rizzo D.M. An agent-based model to study market penetration of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles. Energy Policy 2011, 39:3789-3802.
    • (2011) Energy Policy , vol.39 , pp. 3789-3802
    • Eppstein, M.J.1    Grover, D.K.2    Marshall, J.S.3    Rizzo, D.M.4
  • 21
    • 77954343827 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • PHEV marketplace penetration an agent based simulation
    • Sullivan J.L., Salmeen I.T., Simon C.P. PHEV marketplace penetration an agent based simulation. Power 2009, 1-44.
    • (2009) Power , pp. 1-44
    • Sullivan, J.L.1    Salmeen, I.T.2    Simon, C.P.3
  • 23
    • 84867103590 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An agent-based modeling approach to predict the evolution of market share of electric vehicles: a case study from Iceland
    • Shafiei E., Thorkelsson H., Ásgeirsson E.I., Davidsdottir B., Raberto M., Stefansson H. An agent-based modeling approach to predict the evolution of market share of electric vehicles: a case study from Iceland. Technol Forecast Soc Change 2012, 79:1638-1653. 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.05.011.
    • (2012) Technol Forecast Soc Change , vol.79 , pp. 1638-1653
    • Shafiei, E.1    Thorkelsson, H.2    Ásgeirsson, E.I.3    Davidsdottir, B.4    Raberto, M.5    Stefansson, H.6
  • 24
    • 84942015585 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Electric vehicle cost, emissions, and water footprint in the United States: development of a regional optimization model
    • Noori M., Gardner S., Tatari O. Electric vehicle cost, emissions, and water footprint in the United States: development of a regional optimization model. Energy 2015, 89:610-625.
    • (2015) Energy , vol.89 , pp. 610-625
    • Noori, M.1    Gardner, S.2    Tatari, O.3
  • 25
    • 84928494473 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic input-output based sustainability analysis of onshore and offshore wind energy systems
    • Noori M., Kucukvar M., Tatari O. Economic input-output based sustainability analysis of onshore and offshore wind energy systems. Int J Green Energy 2015, 12(9):939-948.
    • (2015) Int J Green Energy , vol.12 , Issue.9 , pp. 939-948
    • Noori, M.1    Kucukvar, M.2    Tatari, O.3
  • 27
    • 84938550636 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A macro-level decision analysis of wind power as a solution for sustainable energy in the USA
    • Noori M., Kucukvar M., Tatari O. A macro-level decision analysis of wind power as a solution for sustainable energy in the USA. Int J Sustain Energy 2013, 1-16.
    • (2013) Int J Sustain Energy , pp. 1-16
    • Noori, M.1    Kucukvar, M.2    Tatari, O.3
  • 31
    • 84907954728 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A stochastic optimization approach for the selection of reflective cracking mitigation techniques
    • Noori M., Tatari O., Nam B., Golestani B., Greene J. A stochastic optimization approach for the selection of reflective cracking mitigation techniques. Transp Res Part A Policy Pract 2014, 69:367-378. 10.1016/j.tra.2014.09.006.
    • (2014) Transp Res Part A Policy Pract , vol.69 , pp. 367-378
    • Noori, M.1    Tatari, O.2    Nam, B.3    Golestani, B.4    Greene, J.5
  • 33
    • 84958670042 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Alternative Fuel Life-Cycle Environmental and Economic Transportation: 2013
    • AFLEET. Alternative Fuel Life-Cycle Environmental and Economic Transportation: 2013 2013.
    • (2013)
  • 34
    • 84953418927 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reasoning with complex models using compound computational experiments and derived experimental contexts
    • Bankes S. Reasoning with complex models using compound computational experiments and derived experimental contexts. CASOS Conf 2002.
    • (2002) CASOS Conf
    • Bankes, S.1
  • 36
    • 0001435252 scopus 로고
    • Exploratory modeling for policy analysis
    • Bankes S. Exploratory modeling for policy analysis. Oper Res 1993, 41:435-449.
    • (1993) Oper Res , vol.41 , pp. 435-449
    • Bankes, S.1
  • 37
    • 84878373656 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An exploratory analysis of the Dutch electricity system in transition
    • Kwakkel J.H., Yücel G. An exploratory analysis of the Dutch electricity system in transition. J Knowl Econ 2014, 5:670-685.
    • (2014) J Knowl Econ , vol.5 , pp. 670-685
    • Kwakkel, J.H.1    Yücel, G.2
  • 38
    • 84958680489 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A bright future for system dynamics: from art to computational science and beyond
    • Pruyt E., Kwakkel J. A bright future for system dynamics: from art to computational science and beyond. Syst Dyn Conf St Gall Switz 2012.
    • (2012) Syst Dyn Conf St Gall Switz
    • Pruyt, E.1    Kwakkel, J.2
  • 40
    • 65949102097 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transition challenges for alternative fuel vehicle and transportation systems
    • Struben J., Sterman J. Transition challenges for alternative fuel vehicle and transportation systems. Environ Plan B Plan Des 2008, 35:1070-1097.
    • (2008) Environ Plan B Plan Des , vol.35 , pp. 1070-1097
    • Struben, J.1    Sterman, J.2
  • 41
    • 33748286794 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulating the adoption of fuel cell vehicles
    • Schwoon M. Simulating the adoption of fuel cell vehicles. J Evol Econ 2006, 16:435-472.
    • (2006) J Evol Econ , vol.16 , pp. 435-472
    • Schwoon, M.1
  • 42
    • 17444403931 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • National Household Travel Survey (NHTS)
    • (accessed 20.05.15).
    • FHWA. National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) 2015. (accessed 20.05.15). http://nhts.ornl.gov/.
    • (2015)
  • 44
    • 84958661220 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multimethod Simulation Software and Solutions
    • (accessed 21.05.15).
    • AnyLogic. Multimethod Simulation Software and Solutions 2015. (accessed 21.05.15). http://www.anylogic.com/.
    • (2015)
  • 46
    • 84958675310 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population Estimates 2015. (accessed 20.05.15).
    • USCB. Population Estimates 2015. (accessed 20.05.15). http://www.census.gov/popest/.
  • 47
    • 84958599245 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population Explorer 2015. (accessed 20.05.15).
    • FEWS. Population Explorer 2015. (accessed 20.05.15). https://populationexplorer.com/.
  • 50
    • 84959231354 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Federal Tax Credit for Electric Vehicles Purchased in or after 2010
    • (accessed 19.05.15).
    • DOE. Federal Tax Credit for Electric Vehicles Purchased in or after 2010 2015. (accessed 19.05.15). https://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/taxevb.shtml.
    • (2015)
  • 51
    • 84957049386 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CD Investment Rates Results
    • (accessed 07.11.14).
    • Bankrate. CD Investment Rates Results 2014. (accessed 07.11.14). http://www.bankrate.com/funnel/cd-investments/cd-investment-results.aspx?&prods=15&local=false.
    • (2014)
  • 52
    • 84958664452 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2014 to 2024|Congressional Budget Office
    • (accessed 15.11.14).
    • CBO. The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2014 to 2024|Congressional Budget Office 2014. (accessed 15.11.14). http://www.cbo.gov/publication/45010.
    • (2014)
  • 53
    • 84942046697 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Market Trends: Transportation sector energy demand
    • (accessed 14.11.14).
    • EIA. Market Trends: Transportation sector energy demand 2014. (accessed 14.11.14). http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/MT_transportation.cfm.
    • (2014)
  • 55
    • 84957083897 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update - Energy Information Administration
    • (accessed 05.11.14).
    • EIA. Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update - Energy Information Administration 2014. (accessed 05.11.14). http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/.
    • (2014)
  • 56
    • 84969344459 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Partnership for "application of life-cycle assessment to nanoscale technology: Lithium-ion batteries for electric vehicles"|Design for the Environment|US EPA
    • EPA. Partnership for "application of life-cycle assessment to nanoscale technology: Lithium-ion batteries for electric vehicles"|Design for the Environment|US EPA. 2013.
    • (2013)
  • 57
    • 84958612744 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 2014 Year End U.S. Passenger Car Sales Rankings - Top 157 Best-Selling Cars In America - Every Car Ranked
    • (accessed 16.06.15).
    • Cain T. 2014 Year End U.S. Passenger Car Sales Rankings - Top 157 Best-Selling Cars In America - Every Car Ranked 2015. (accessed 16.06.15). http://www.goodcarbadcar.net/2015/01/usa-all-cars-sales-figures-2014-december-year-end.html.
    • (2015)
    • Cain, T.1
  • 58
    • 84957065962 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • TrueCar MSRP Price Report
    • (accessed 16.06.15).
    • TrueCar. TrueCar MSRP Price Report 2015. (accessed 16.06.15). https://www.truecar.com/#/.
    • (2015)
  • 59
    • 84958640813 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Several states are adding or increasing incentives for electric vehicle charging stations - Today in Energy - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
    • (accessed 28.05.15).
    • EIA. Several states are adding or increasing incentives for electric vehicle charging stations - Today in Energy - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) 2014. (accessed 28.05.15). http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=19151.
    • (2014)
  • 60
    • 34250023821 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Building and assurance of agent-based models: an example and challenge to the field
    • Midgley D., Marks R., Kunchamwar D. Building and assurance of agent-based models: an example and challenge to the field. J Bus Res 2007, 60:884-893.
    • (2007) J Bus Res , vol.60 , pp. 884-893
    • Midgley, D.1    Marks, R.2    Kunchamwar, D.3
  • 62
    • 84958645812 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Electric Vehicle Transportation Center
    • (accessed 16.06.15).
    • EVTC. Electric Vehicle Transportation Center 2015. (accessed 16.06.15). http://evtc.fsec.ucf.edu/.
    • (2015)
  • 64
    • 84958591962 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The VISION Model|Argonne National Laboratory
    • (accessed 30.05.15).
    • ANL. The VISION Model|Argonne National Laboratory 2013. (accessed 30.05.15). http://www.anl.gov/energy-systems/project/vision-model.
    • (2013)
  • 65
    • 84947544093 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transitions to Alternative Vehicles and Fuels|The National Academies Press
    • (accessed 30.05.15).
    • NRC. Transitions to Alternative Vehicles and Fuels|The National Academies Press 2013. (accessed 30.05.15). http://www.nap.edu/catalog/18264/transitions-to-alternative-vehicles-and-fuels.
    • (2013)
  • 66
    • 84929163576 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nanoclay application to asphalt concrete: characterization of polymer and linear nanocomposite-modified asphalt binder and mixture
    • Golestani B., Nam B.H., Nejad F.M., Fallah S. Nanoclay application to asphalt concrete: characterization of polymer and linear nanocomposite-modified asphalt binder and mixture. Constr Build Mater 2015, 91:32-38.
    • (2015) Constr Build Mater , vol.91 , pp. 32-38
    • Golestani, B.1    Nam, B.H.2    Nejad, F.M.3    Fallah, S.4
  • 67
    • 84930934648 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Performance-based structural health monitoring through an innovative hybrid data interpretation framework
    • Malekzadeh M., Atia G., Catbas F.N. Performance-based structural health monitoring through an innovative hybrid data interpretation framework. J Civ Struct Heal Monit 2015, 5:287-305.
    • (2015) J Civ Struct Heal Monit , vol.5 , pp. 287-305
    • Malekzadeh, M.1    Atia, G.2    Catbas, F.N.3
  • 69
    • 84905493387 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Annual energy outlook 2014 with projections to 2040
    • Washingt DC Energy Inf Adm United States Dep Energy 2014:148.).pdf (accessed 11.03.14).
    • EIA. Annual energy outlook 2014 with projections to 2040. Washingt DC Energy Inf Adm United States Dep Energy 2014:148.).pdf (accessed 11.03.14). http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/pdf/0383(2014.
  • 70
    • 0033710383 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Behaviour in commons dilemmas: homo economicus and Homo psychologicus in an ecological-economic model
    • Jager W., Janssen M., De Vries H.J., De Greef J., Vlek C.A. Behaviour in commons dilemmas: homo economicus and Homo psychologicus in an ecological-economic model. Ecol Econ 2000, 35:357-379. 10.1016/S0921-8009(00)00220-2.
    • (2000) Ecol Econ , vol.35 , pp. 357-379
    • Jager, W.1    Janssen, M.2    De Vries, H.J.3    De Greef, J.4    Vlek, C.A.5
  • 71
    • 84899903622 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards greening the U.S. residential building stock: a system dynamics approach
    • Onat N.C., Egilmez G., Tatari O. Towards greening the U.S. residential building stock: a system dynamics approach. Build Environ 2014, 78:68-80. 10.1016/j.buildenv.2014.03.030.
    • (2014) Build Environ , vol.78 , pp. 68-80
    • Onat, N.C.1    Egilmez, G.2    Tatari, O.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.