Rare disaster information can increase risk-taking

Nature Climate Change

Volumn 6, Issue 2, 2016, Pages 158-161

  Newell, Ben R ^a   Rakow, Tim ^b,c   Yechiam, Eldad ^d   Sambur, Michael ^d  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES   (Australia)

^b UNIVERSITY OF ESSEX   (United Kingdom)

^c KING'S COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

^d TECHNION ISRAEL INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (Israel)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE EFFECT; DISASTER; DISASTER RELIEF; EXPERIMENTAL STUDY; POLLUTION EXPOSURE; RISK ASSESSMENT;

EID: 84955604434     PISSN: 1758678X     EISSN: 17586798     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2822     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. Munich RE Topics GEO: Natural Catastrophes 2014 Analyses, Assessments, Positions 2015 Issue (Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft, 2015); http://www.munichre.com/site/corporate/get/documents-E1018449711/mr/assetpool.shared/Documents/5-Touch/-Publications/302-08606-en.pdf
2. Kunreuther H., et al. Risk management and climate change. Nature Clim. Change 3, 447-450 (2013
3. Erev I., & Roth A. Maximization, learning and economic behaviour. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 111, 10818-10825 (2014
4. Weber E. U. Experience-based and description-based perceptions of long-term risk: Why global warming does not scare us (yet). Clim. Change 77, 103-120 (2006
5. Trenberth K. E. Framing the way to relate climate extremes to climate change. Clim. Change 115, 283-290 (2012
6. Miller J. S. Geographical information systems: Unique analytic capabilities for the tra-c safety community. Trans. Res. Rec. 1734, 21-28 (2000
7. Plug C., Xia J., & Caulfield C. Spatial and temporal visualisation techniques for crash analysis. Accid. Anal. Prev. 43, 1937-1946 (2011
8. Zheng Y. A preliminary evaluation of the impact of local accident information on the public perception of road safety. Reliab. Eng. Sys. Saf. 92, 1170-1182 (2007
9. Donovan G. H., Champ P. A., & Butry D. T.Wildfire risk and housing prices: A case study from Colorado Springs. Land Econ. 83, 217-233 (2007
10. Samarasinghe O., & Sharp B. Flood prone risk and amenity values: A spatial hedonic analysis. Aust. J. Agric. Resour. Econ. 54, 457-475 (2010
11. Beron K., Murdoch J., Thayer M., & Vijverberg W. An analysis of the housing market before and after the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake. Land Econ. 73, 101-113 (1997
12. Palm R. I. Public response to earthquake hazard information. Ann. Assoc. Am. Geogr. 71, 389-399 (1981
13. Oki S., & Nakayachi K. Paradoxical Effects of the record-high tsunamis caused by the 2011 Tohoku earthquake on public judgments of danger. Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 2, 37-45 (2012
14. Budescu D. V., Por H. H., Broomell S. B., & Smithson M. The interpretation of IPCC probabilistic statements around the world. Nature Clim. Change 4, 508-512 (2014
15. Lewandowsky S., Gignac G. E., & Vaughan S. The pivotal role of perceived scientific consensus in acceptance of science. Nature Clim. Change 3, 399-404 (2013
16. Broomell S. B., Budescu D. V., & Por H. H. Personal experience with climate change predicts intentions to act. Glob. Environ. Change 32, 67-73 (2015
17. Myers T. A., Maibach E.W., Roser-Renouf C., Akerlof K., & Leiserowitz A. A. The relationship between personal experience and belief in the reality of global warming. Nature Clim. Change 3, 343-347 (2012
18. Reser J. P., Bradley G. L., & Ellul M. C. Encountering climate change: Seeing' is more than believing'.Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. Clim. Change 5, 521-537 (2014
19. Hertwig R., & Erev I. The description-experience gap in risky choice. Trends Cogn. Sci. 13, 517-523 (2009
20. Yechiam E., Rakow T., & Newell B. R. Super-underweighting of rare events with repeated descriptive summaries. J. Behav. Decis. Mak. 28, 67-75 (2015
21. Kahneman D., & Tversky A. Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica 47, 263-291 (1979
22. Yechiam E., & Busemeyer J. R. The Effect of foregone payo-s on underweighting small probability events. J. Behav. Decis. Mak. 19, 1-16 (2006
23. Lejarraga T., & Gonzalez C. Effects of feedback and complexity on repeated decisions from description. Organ. Behav. Hum. Decis. 117, 286-295 (2011
24. Yuviler-Gavish N., & Gopher D. Effect of descriptive information and experience and automation reliance. Hum. Factors 53, 230-244 (2011
25. Weber E. U., & Stern P. C. Public understanding of climate change in the United States. Am. Psychol. 66, 315-328 (2011
26. Hansen J., Sato S., & Ruedy R. Perception of climate change. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 109, 14726-14727 (2012
27. Hogarth R. M., & Soyer E. Communicating forecasts: The simplicity of simulated experience. J. Bus. Res. 68, 1800-1809 (2015
28. Ho-rage U., Lindsey S., Herwig R., & Gigerenzer G. Communicating statistical information. Science 290, 2261-2262 (2000
29. Henrich L., McClure J., & Crozier M. Effects of risk framing on earthquake risk perception: Life-time frequencies enhance recognition of the risk. Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 13, 145-160 (2015