메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 16, Issue 6, 2016, Pages 1685-1700

Participatory scenario planning for developing innovation in community adaptation responses: three contrasting examples from Latin America

Author keywords

Community based adaptation; Latin America; Scenarios; Social learning; Socio ecological systems; Triple loop learning

Indexed keywords


EID: 84952646829     PISSN: 14363798     EISSN: 1436378X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-015-0898-7     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (39)

References (61)
  • 1
    • 84874769184 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A review of scenario planning
    • Amer M, Daim TU, Jetter A (2013) A review of scenario planning. Futures 46:23–40. doi:10.1016/j.futures.2012.10.003
    • (2013) Futures , vol.46 , pp. 23-40
    • Amer, M.1    Daim, T.U.2    Jetter, A.3
  • 3
    • 38949176301 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive co-management and the paradox of learning
    • Armitage D, Marschke M, Plummer R (2008) Adaptive co-management and the paradox of learning. Glob Environ Change 18:86–98. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2007.07.002
    • (2008) Glob Environ Change , vol.18 , pp. 86-98
    • Armitage, D.1    Marschke, M.2    Plummer, R.3
  • 4
    • 33749317246 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Salal harvester local ecological knowledge, harvest practices and understory management on the Olympic peninsula, Washington
    • Ballard HL, Huntsinger L (2006) Salal harvester local ecological knowledge, harvest practices and understory management on the Olympic peninsula, Washington. Hum Ecol 34:529–547. doi:10.1007/s10745-006-9048-7
    • (2006) Hum Ecol , vol.34 , pp. 529-547
    • Ballard, H.L.1    Huntsinger, L.2
  • 6
    • 34848844090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Community-based conservation in a globalized world
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD2sXhtFagtb7J
    • Berkes F (2007) Community-based conservation in a globalized world. Proc Natl Acad Sci 104:15188–15193. doi:10.1073/pnas.0702098104
    • (2007) Proc Natl Acad Sci , vol.104 , pp. 15188-15193
    • Berkes, F.1
  • 7
    • 84860994426 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of institutions in the transformation of coping capacity to sustainable adaptive capacity
    • Berman R, Quinn C, Paavola J (2012) The role of institutions in the transformation of coping capacity to sustainable adaptive capacity. Environ Dev 2:86–100. doi:10.1016/j.envdev.2012.03.017
    • (2012) Environ Dev , vol.2 , pp. 86-100
    • Berman, R.1    Quinn, C.2    Paavola, J.3
  • 8
    • 78650882232 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anticipatory democracy and aspirational futures
    • Bezold C (2010) Anticipatory democracy and aspirational futures. J Futures Stud 15:167–170
    • (2010) J Futures Stud , vol.15 , pp. 167-170
    • Bezold, C.1
  • 9
    • 79958061882 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Participatory scenario development for integrated sustainability assessment
    • Bohunovsky L, Jäger J, Omann I (2011) Participatory scenario development for integrated sustainability assessment. Reg Environ Change 11:271–284. doi:10.1007/s10113-010-0143-3
    • (2011) Reg Environ Change , vol.11 , pp. 271-284
    • Bohunovsky, L.1    Jäger, J.2    Omann, I.3
  • 10
    • 33746520092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenario types and techniques: towards a user’s guide
    • Börjeson L, Höjer M, Dreborg KH, Ekvall T, Finnveden G (2006) Scenario types and techniques: towards a user’s guide. Futures 38:723–739. doi:10.1016/j.futures.2005.12.002
    • (2006) Futures , vol.38 , pp. 723-739
    • Börjeson, L.1    Höjer, M.2    Dreborg, K.H.3    Ekvall, T.4    Finnveden, G.5
  • 11
    • 84878011674 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A design framework for creating social learning situations
    • Bos JJ, Brown RR, Farrelly MA (2013) A design framework for creating social learning situations. Glob Environ Change 23:398–412. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.12.003
    • (2013) Glob Environ Change , vol.23 , pp. 398-412
    • Bos, J.J.1    Brown, R.R.2    Farrelly, M.A.3
  • 12
    • 0036655675 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Grounding globalization: the prospects and perils of linking economic processes of globalization to environmental outcomes
    • Bridges G (2002) Grounding globalization: the prospects and perils of linking economic processes of globalization to environmental outcomes. Econ Geogr 78:361–386. doi:10.1111/j.1944-8287.2002.tb00191.x
    • (2002) Econ Geogr , vol.78 , pp. 361-386
    • Bridges, G.1
  • 13
    • 84904654549 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenario analysis for regional decision making on sustainable multifunctional landscapes
    • Brown I, Castellazzi M (2014) Scenario analysis for regional decision making on sustainable multifunctional landscapes. Reg Environ Change 14:1357–1371. doi:10.1007/s10113-013-0579-3
    • (2014) Reg Environ Change , vol.14 , pp. 1357-1371
    • Brown, I.1    Castellazzi, M.2
  • 14
    • 84929583241 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Identifying robust response options to manage environmental change using an Ecosystem Approach: a stress-testing case study for the UK
    • Brown I, Berry P, Everard M, Firbank L, Harrison P, Lundy L, Quine C, Rowan J, Wade R, Watts K (2015) Identifying robust response options to manage environmental change using an Ecosystem Approach: a stress-testing case study for the UK. Environ Sci Policy 52:61–73. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2015.05.005
    • (2015) Environ Sci Policy , vol.52 , pp. 61-73
    • Brown, I.1    Berry, P.2    Everard, M.3    Firbank, L.4    Harrison, P.5    Lundy, L.6    Quine, C.7    Rowan, J.8    Wade, R.9    Watts, K.10
  • 15
    • 84903453393 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Triggering transformative change: a development path approach to climate change response in communities
    • Burch S, Shaw A, Dale A, Robinson J (2014) Triggering transformative change: a development path approach to climate change response in communities. Clim Policy 14:467–487. doi:10.1080/14693062.2014.876342
    • (2014) Clim Policy , vol.14 , pp. 467-487
    • Burch, S.1    Shaw, A.2    Dale, A.3    Robinson, J.4
  • 17
    • 60849087945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Normalizing adaptation
    • Dovers S (2009) Normalizing adaptation. Glob Environ Change 19:4–6. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.06.006
    • (2009) Glob Environ Change , vol.19 , pp. 4-6
    • Dovers, S.1
  • 18
    • 72949105583 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Institutions and change: the challenge of building adaptive capacity in Latin America
    • Eakin H, Lemos MC (2010) Institutions and change: the challenge of building adaptive capacity in Latin America. Glob Environ Change 20:1–3. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.08.002
    • (2010) Glob Environ Change , vol.20 , pp. 1-3
    • Eakin, H.1    Lemos, M.C.2
  • 20
    • 33745251069 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The dynamics of vulnerability: locating coping strategies in Kenya and Tanzania
    • Eriksen SH, Brown K, Kelly PM (2005) The dynamics of vulnerability: locating coping strategies in Kenya and Tanzania. Geogr J 171:287–305. doi:10.1111/j.1475-4959.2005.00174.x
    • (2005) Geogr J , vol.171 , pp. 287-305
    • Eriksen, S.H.1    Brown, K.2    Kelly, P.M.3
  • 21
    • 84979163994 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Marneau Acevedo AR: Stakeholders’ visions and perspectives on the future from the Santiago Comaltepec case study in Mexico
    • Escalante Semerena RI, Basurto Hernández S, Hernández López J, Marneau Acevedo AR (2014) Stakeholders’ visions and perspectives on the future from the Santiago Comaltepec case study in Mexico. http://www.comet-la.eu/images/comet_la/deliverebles/Deli_3.3.pdf
    • (2014) Hernández López J
    • Escalante Semerena, R.I.1    Basurto Hernández, S.2
  • 22
    • 84979163998 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ramos P: Stakeholders’ vision on perspectives for the future in the Colombia case study
    • Farah MA, Maya DL, Ortiz C, Ocampo N, Avendaño B, Pinzon L, Ramos P (2014) Stakeholders’ vision on perspectives for the future in the Colombia case study. http://www.comet-la.eu/images/comet_la/deliverebles/Deli_2.3.pdf
    • (2014) Pinzon L
    • Farah, M.A.1    Maya, D.L.2    Ortiz, C.3    Ocampo, N.4    Avendaño, B.5
  • 23
    • 0346017337 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Synthesis: building resilience and adaptive capacity in social-ecological systems
    • Berkes F, Colding J, Folke C, (eds), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • Folke C, Colding J, Berkes F (2003) Synthesis: building resilience and adaptive capacity in social-ecological systems. In: Berkes F, Colding J, Folke C (eds) Navigating social-ecological systems: building resilience for complexity and change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • (2003) Navigating social-ecological systems: building resilience for complexity and change
    • Folke, C.1    Colding, J.2    Berkes, F.3
  • 25
    • 84869021294 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Traditional coping mechanism for climate change of pastoralists in South Omo, Ethiopia
    • Gebresenbet F, Kefale A (2012) Traditional coping mechanism for climate change of pastoralists in South Omo, Ethiopia. Indian J Tradit Knowl 11:573–579
    • (2012) Indian J Tradit Knowl , vol.11 , pp. 573-579
    • Gebresenbet, F.1    Kefale, A.2
  • 26
    • 0242427755 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The lopsided continent: inequality in Latin America
    • Hoffman K, Centeno MA (2003) The lopsided continent: inequality in Latin America. Ann Rev Sociol 29:363–390. doi:10.1146/annurev.soc.29.010202.100141
    • (2003) Ann Rev Sociol , vol.29 , pp. 363-390
    • Hoffman, K.1    Centeno, M.A.2
  • 28
    • 84860803106 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transformational adaptation when incremental adaptations to climate change are insufficient
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC38XnsVGnsL4%3D
    • Kates RW, Travis WR, Wilbanks TJ (2012) Transformational adaptation when incremental adaptations to climate change are insufficient. Proc Natl Acad Sci 109:7156–7161. doi:10.1073/pnas.1115521109
    • (2012) Proc Natl Acad Sci , vol.109 , pp. 7156-7161
    • Kates, R.W.1    Travis, W.R.2    Wilbanks, T.J.3
  • 29
    • 0000911076 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Managing natural resources: a social learning perspective
    • Maarleveld M, Dabgbégnon C (1999) Managing natural resources: a social learning perspective. Agric Hum Values 16:267–280. doi:10.1023/A:1007559903438
    • (1999) Agric Hum Values , vol.16 , pp. 267-280
    • Maarleveld, M.1    Dabgbégnon, C.2
  • 30
    • 84866323997 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Transformational capacity and the influence of place and identity
    • Marshall NA, Park SE, Adger WN, Brown K, Howden SM (2012) Transformational capacity and the influence of place and identity. Environ Res Lett 7:034022. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034022
    • (2012) Environ Res Lett , vol.7 , pp. 034022
    • Marshall, N.A.1    Park, S.E.2    Adger, W.N.3    Brown, K.4    Howden, S.M.5
  • 31
    • 84887527989 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Indigenous knowledge, coping strategies and resilience to floods in Muzarabani, Zimbabwe
    • Mavhura E, Manyena SB, Collins AE, Manatsa D (2013) Indigenous knowledge, coping strategies and resilience to floods in Muzarabani, Zimbabwe. Int J Disaster Risk Reduct 5:38–48. doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2013.07.001
    • (2013) Int J Disaster Risk Reduct , vol.5 , pp. 38-48
    • Mavhura, E.1    Manyena, S.B.2    Collins, A.E.3    Manatsa, D.4
  • 32
    • 84871934294 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Farmers’ perception and knowledge on climate change and their coping strategies to the related hazards: case study from Adiha, central Tigray, Ethiopia
    • Mengistu DK (2011) Farmers’ perception and knowledge on climate change and their coping strategies to the related hazards: case study from Adiha, central Tigray, Ethiopia. Agric Sci 2:138. doi:10.4236/as.2011.22020
    • (2011) Agric Sci , vol.2 , pp. 138
    • Mengistu, D.K.1
  • 33
    • 84901937212 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Developing integrated explorative and normative scenarios: the case of future land use in a climate-neutral Sweden
    • Milestad R, Svenfelt A, Dreborg KH (2014) Developing integrated explorative and normative scenarios: the case of future land use in a climate-neutral Sweden. Futures 60:59–71. doi:10.1016/j.futures.2014.04.015
    • (2014) Futures , vol.60 , pp. 59-71
    • Milestad, R.1    Svenfelt, A.2    Dreborg, K.H.3
  • 34
    • 84888861451 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of social memory in natural resource management: insights from participatory video
    • Mistry J, Berardi A, Haynes L, Davis D, Xavier R, Andries J (2013) The role of social memory in natural resource management: insights from participatory video. Trans Inst Br Geogr 39:115–127. doi:10.1111/tran.12010
    • (2013) Trans Inst Br Geogr , vol.39 , pp. 115-127
    • Mistry, J.1    Berardi, A.2    Haynes, L.3    Davis, D.4    Xavier, R.5    Andries, J.6
  • 37
    • 78650637168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A framework to diagnose barriers to climate change adaptation
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BC3MXntVOg
    • Moser SC, Ekstrom JA (2010) A framework to diagnose barriers to climate change adaptation. Proc Natl Acad Sci 107:22026–22031. doi:10.1073/pnas.1007887107
    • (2010) Proc Natl Acad Sci , vol.107 , pp. 22026-22031
    • Moser, S.C.1    Ekstrom, J.A.2
  • 39
    • 33751034825 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Local knowledge and memory in biodiversity conservation
    • Nazarea VD (2006) Local knowledge and memory in biodiversity conservation. Annu Rev Anthropol 35:317–335. doi:10.1146/annurev.anthro.35.081705.123252
    • (2006) Annu Rev Anthropol , vol.35 , pp. 317-335
    • Nazarea, V.D.1
  • 40
    • 37049028527 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptation to environmental change: contributions of a resilience framework
    • Nelson DR, Adger WN, Brown K (2007) Adaptation to environmental change: contributions of a resilience framework. Annu Rev Environ Resour 32:395–419
    • (2007) Annu Rev Environ Resour , vol.32 , pp. 395-419
    • Nelson, D.R.1    Adger, W.N.2    Brown, K.3
  • 41
    • 14044279782 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Representing climate change futures: a critique on the use of images for visual communication
    • Nicholson-Cole SA (2005) Representing climate change futures: a critique on the use of images for visual communication. Comput Environ Urban 29:255–273. doi:10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2004.05.002
    • (2005) Comput Environ Urban , vol.29 , pp. 255-273
    • Nicholson-Cole, S.A.1
  • 42
    • 0032352130 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Social memory studies: from collective memory to the historical sociology of mnemonic practices
    • Olick JK, Robbins J (1998) Social memory studies: from collective memory to the historical sociology of mnemonic practices. Annu Rev Sociol 24:105–140. doi:10.1146/annurev.soc.24.1.105
    • (1998) Annu Rev Sociol , vol.24 , pp. 105-140
    • Olick, J.K.1    Robbins, J.2
  • 43
    • 0347907932 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptive co-management for building resilience in social–ecological systems
    • Olsson P, Folke C, Berkes F (2004) Adaptive co-management for building resilience in social–ecological systems. Environ Manage 34:75–90. doi:10.1007/s00267-003-0101-7
    • (2004) Environ Manage , vol.34 , pp. 75-90
    • Olsson, P.1    Folke, C.2    Berkes, F.3
  • 44
    • 67749104823 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A general framework for analyzing sustainability of social-ecological systems
    • COI: 1:CAS:528:DC%2BD1MXovVCht7k%3D
    • Ostrom E (2009) A general framework for analyzing sustainability of social-ecological systems. Science 325:419–422. doi:10.1126/science.1172133
    • (2009) Science , vol.325 , pp. 419-422
    • Ostrom, E.1
  • 45
    • 67650725156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A conceptual framework for analysing adaptive capacity and multi-level learning processes in resource governance regimes
    • Pahl-Wostl C (2009) A conceptual framework for analysing adaptive capacity and multi-level learning processes in resource governance regimes. Glob Environ Change 18:354–365. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.06.001
    • (2009) Glob Environ Change , vol.18 , pp. 354-365
    • Pahl-Wostl, C.1
  • 48
    • 79955482203 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Envisioning sustainability: recent progress in the use of participatory backcasting approaches for sustainability research
    • Robinson J, Burch S, Talwar S, O’Shea M, Walsh M (2011) Envisioning sustainability: recent progress in the use of participatory backcasting approaches for sustainability research. Technol Forecast Soc 78:756–768. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2010.12.006
    • (2011) Technol Forecast Soc , vol.78 , pp. 756-768
    • Robinson, J.1    Burch, S.2    Talwar, S.3    O’Shea, M.4    Walsh, M.5
  • 49
    • 82255192244 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptation as innovation, innovation as adaptation: an institutional approach to climate change
    • Rodima-Taylor D, Olwig MF, Chhetri N (2012) Adaptation as innovation, innovation as adaptation: an institutional approach to climate change. Appl Geogr 33:107–111. doi:10.1016/j.apgeog.2011.10.011
    • (2012) Appl Geogr , vol.33 , pp. 107-111
    • Rodima-Taylor, D.1    Olwig, M.F.2    Chhetri, N.3
  • 52
    • 41249102399 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The evolutionary basis of rigidity: locks in cells, minds and society
    • Scheffer M, Westley FR (2007) The evolutionary basis of rigidity: locks in cells, minds and society. Ecol Soc 12(2):36
    • (2007) Ecol Soc , vol.12 , Issue.2 , pp. 36
    • Scheffer, M.1    Westley, F.R.2
  • 53
    • 84898462462 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The paradox of social resilience: how cognitive strategies and coping mechanisms attenuate and accentuate resilience
    • Shaw D, Scully J, Hart T (2014) The paradox of social resilience: how cognitive strategies and coping mechanisms attenuate and accentuate resilience. Glob Environ Change 25:194–203. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.01.006
    • (2014) Glob Environ Change , vol.25 , pp. 194-203
    • Shaw, D.1    Scully, J.2    Hart, T.3
  • 54
    • 44949115159 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Culture as trigger for sustainability transition in the water domain: the case of the Spanish water policy and the Ebro river basin
    • Tabara JD, Ilhan A (2008) Culture as trigger for sustainability transition in the water domain: the case of the Spanish water policy and the Ebro river basin. Reg Environ Change 8:59–71. doi:10.1007/s10113-007-0043-3
    • (2008) Reg Environ Change , vol.8 , pp. 59-71
    • Tabara, J.D.1    Ilhan, A.2
  • 55
    • 39149099136 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Community level adaptation to climate change: the potential role of participatory community risk assessment
    • van Aalst MK, Cannon T, Burton I (2008) Community level adaptation to climate change: the potential role of participatory community risk assessment. Glob Environ Change 18:165–179. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2007.06.002
    • (2008) Glob Environ Change , vol.18 , pp. 165-179
    • van Aalst, M.K.1    Cannon, T.2    Burton, I.3
  • 57
    • 12144251662 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The future shocks: on discontinuity and scenario development
    • van Notten PWF, Sleegers AM, van Asselt MB (2005) The future shocks: on discontinuity and scenario development. Technol Forecast Soc 72:175–194. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2003.12.003
    • (2005) Technol Forecast Soc , vol.72 , pp. 175-194
    • van Notten, P.W.F.1    Sleegers, A.M.2    van Asselt, M.B.3
  • 58
    • 77953614025 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stepping into futures: exploring the potential of interactive media for participatory scenarios on social-ecological systems
    • Vervoort JM, Kok K, van Lammeren R, Veldkamp T (2010) Stepping into futures: exploring the potential of interactive media for participatory scenarios on social-ecological systems. Futures 42:604–616. doi:10.1016/j.futures.2010.04.031
    • (2010) Futures , vol.42 , pp. 604-616
    • Vervoort, J.M.1    Kok, K.2    van Lammeren, R.3    Veldkamp, T.4
  • 59
    • 84979155484 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Waylen KA, Martin-Ortega J, Blackstock KL, Brown I, Avendaño Uribe B, Basurto Hernández S, Bertoni MB, Bustos ML, Cruz Bayer AX, Escalante Semerena RI, Farah Quijano M, Ferrelli F, Fidalgo G, Hernández López I, Huamantinco Cisneros MA, London S, Maya Vélez D, Ocampo-Díaz N, Ortiz Guerrero C, Pascale JC, Perillo GME, Piccolo MC, Pinzón Martínez L, Rojas M, Scordo F, Vitale V, Zilio M (in press)
    • Waylen KA, Martin-Ortega J, Blackstock KL, Brown I, Avendaño Uribe B, Basurto Hernández S, Bertoni MB, Bustos ML, Cruz Bayer AX, Escalante Semerena RI, Farah Quijano M, Ferrelli F, Fidalgo G, Hernández López I, Huamantinco Cisneros MA, London S, Maya Vélez D, Ocampo-Díaz N, Ortiz Guerrero C, Pascale JC, Perillo GME, Piccolo MC, Pinzón Martínez L, Rojas M, Scordo F, Vitale V, Zilio M (in press) Can scenario-planning support community-based natural resource management: experiences from three countries in Latin America. Ecol Soc
    • Can scenario-planning support community-based natural resource management: experiences from three countries in Latin America. Ecol Soc
  • 60
    • 84923032329 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Knowledge and adaptive capacity
    • Williams C, Fenton A, Huq S (2015) Knowledge and adaptive capacity. Nat Clim Change 5:82–83. doi:10.1038/nclimate2476
    • (2015) Nat Clim Change , vol.5 , pp. 82-83
    • Williams, C.1    Fenton, A.2    Huq, S.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.