Interpreting the transmissibility of the avian influenza A(H7N9) infection from 2013 to 2015 in Zhejiang Province, China

Epidemiology and Infection

Volumn 144, Issue 8, 2016, Pages 1584-1591

  Chong, K C ^a   Wang, X ^b   Liu, S ^b   Cai, J ^b   Su, X ^a   Zee, B C ^a   Tam, G ^a   Wang, M H ^a   Chen, E ^b  

^a CHINESE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG   (Hong Kong)

^b ZHEJIANG PROVINCIAL CENTER FOR DISEASE CONTROL AND PREVENTION   (China)

Author keywords

Influenza A; mathematical modelling; Susceptible Infected Removed (SIR) model

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; AVIAN INFLUENZA A (H7N9); AVIAN INFLUENZA VIRUS; BASIC REPRODUCTION NUMBER; CHINA; CONTROLLED STUDY; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; EPIDEMIC; HUMAN; INFLUENZA; MATHEMATICAL MODEL; PANDEMIC; RISK ASSESSMENT; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; VIRUS TRANSMISSION; INFLUENZA A VIRUS (H7N9); INFLUENZA, HUMAN; ISOLATION AND PURIFICATION; THEORETICAL MODEL; TRANSMISSION; VIROLOGY;

BASIC REPRODUCTION NUMBER; CHINA; DISEASE TRANSMISSION, INFECTIOUS; EPIDEMICS; HUMANS; INFLUENZA A VIRUS, H7N9 SUBTYPE; INFLUENZA, HUMAN; MODELS, THEORETICAL;

EID: 84949544076     PISSN: 09502688     EISSN: 14694409     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268815002812     Document Type: Article

References (23)

1. Watanabe T, et al. Pandemic potential of avian influenza A(H7N9) viruses. Trends in Microbiology 2014; 22: 623-631
2. World Health Organization. Global Alert and Response (GAR). Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus-update, 11 August 2013. (http://www.who.int/csr/don/2013-08-11/en/). Accessed 2 January 2015
3. Chen E, et al. Human infection with avian influenza A (H7N9) virus re-emerges in China in winter 2013. Eurosurveillance 2013; 18: 20 616
4. World Health Organization. Global Alert and Response (GAR). Human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus-update, 3 March 2014. (http://www.who.int/csr/don/2014-03-03/en/). Accessed 2 January 2015
5. World Health Organization. WHO risk assessment of human infection with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus, 2 October 2014 (http://www.who.int/influenza/human-animal-interface/influenza-h7n9/riskassessment-h7n9-2Oct14.pdf). Accessed 2 January 2015
6. Chowell G, et al. Transmission potential of influenza A/H7N9, February-May 2013, China. BMC Medicine 2013; 11: 214
7. Nishiura H, Mizumoto K, Ejima K. How to interpret the transmissibility of novel influenza A(H7N9): an analysis of initial epidemiological data of human cases from China. Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling 2013; 10: 30
8. Kucharski A, et al. Distinguishing between reservoir exposure and human-To-human transmission for emerging pathogens using case onset data. PLoS Current Outbreaks. Published online 7 March 2014. doi: 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.e1473d9bfc99d 080ca242139a06c455f
9. Xiao Y, et al. Transmission potential of the novel avian influenza A(H7N9) infection in mainland China. Journal of Theoretical Biology 2014; 352: 1-5
10. National Health and Family Planning Commission of the People's Republic of China. Chinese guideline of diagnosis and treatment for human infections with the avian influenza A(H7N9) virus (2nd edn, 2013) (http://www.nhfpc.gov.cn/yzygj/s3585u/201304/7e2ad4cdf98b4e2285eab1c15ded8370.shtml). Accessed 29 December 2014
11. National Health and Family Planning Commission of the People's Republic of China. Chinese guideline of diagnosis and treatment for human infections with the avian influenza A(H7N9) virus (2014 edition) (http://www. nhfpc.gov.cn/yzygj/s3593g/201401/3f69fe196ecb4cfc8a2d 6d96182f8b22.shtml). Accessed 29 December 2014
12. Wang XY, et al. Epidemiology of human infections with avian influenza A(H7N9) virus in the two waves before and after October 2013 in Zhejiang province, China. Epidemiology and Infection 2015; 143: 1839-1845
13. Kermack WO, McKendrick AG. Contributions to the mathematical theory of epidemics, part I. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series A 1927; 115: 700-721
14. Diekmann O, Heesterbeek JAP. Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases: Model Building, Analysis and Interpretation. New York: Wiley, 2000
15. Vong S. Editorial commentary: some perspectives regarding risk factors for A(H7N9) influenza virus infection in humans. Clinical Infectious Diseases 2014; 59: 795-797
16. Zhang J, et al. Determination of original infection source of H7N9 avian influenza by dynamical model. Scientific Reports 2014; 4: 4846
17. Chong KC, Zee BC. Modeling the impact of air, sea, and land travel restrictions supplemented by other interventions on the emergence of a new influenza pandemic virus. BMC Infectious Diseases 2012; 12: 309
18. Chong KC, et al. Identifying meteorological drivers for the seasonal variations of influenza infections in a subtropical city, Hong Kong. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 2015; 12: 1560-1576
19. Hu J, et al. Limited human-To-human transmission of avian influenza A(H7N9) virus, Shanghai, China, March to April 2013. Eurosurveillance 2014; 19: 20 838
20. Hsieh YH, et al. Quantification of bird-To-bird and bird-To-human infections during 2013 novel H7N9 avian influenza outbreak in China. PLoS ONE 2014; 9: e111834
21. Yu H, et al. Impact of live poultry market closure in reducing bird-To-human transmission of avian influenza A (H7N9) virus: an ecological study. Lancet 2014; 383: 541-548
22. Gilbert M, et al. Predicting the risk of avian influenza A H7N9 infection in live-poultry markets across Asia. Nature Communications 2014; 5: 4116
23. Wu P, et al. Poultry market closures and human infection with influenza A(H7N9) virus, China, 2013-14. Emerging Infectious Diseases 2014; 20: 1891