On the seasonality of flooding across the continental United States

Advances in Water Resources

Volumn 87, Issue , 2016, Pages 80-91

  Villarini, Gabriele ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF IOWA   (United States)

Author keywords

Circular statistics; Flooding; Nonstationarity; Regulation; Seasonality; Urbanization

Indexed keywords

OIL WELL FLOODING; STORMS; URBAN GROWTH;

CIRCULAR STATISTICS; NON-STATIONARITIES; REGULATION; SEASONALITY; URBANIZATION;

FLOODS;

EID: 84949256233     PISSN: 03091708     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.advwatres.2015.11.009     Document Type: Article

References (74)

1. Adams D.K., Comrie A.C. The North American monsoon. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 1997, 78:2197-2213.
2. Agostinelli C, and U, Lund R. package 'circular': Circular Statistics (version 0.4-7). URL: , 2013. https://r-forge.r-project.org/projects/circular/.
3. Archer D.R. Seasonality of flooding and the assessment of seasonal flood risk. ICE Proc 1981, 71(4):1023-1035.
4. Barnett T.P., Adam J.C., Lettenmaier D.P. Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions. Nature 2005, 438:303-309.
5. Bayliss A.C., Jones R.C. Peaks-over-threshold flood database: summary statistics and seasonality, Report 121 1993, Institute of Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire.
6. Beurton S., Thieken A.H. Seasonality of floods in Germany. Hydrol Sci J 2009, 54(1):62-76.
7. Black A.R., Werritty A. Seasonality of flooding: a case study of North Britain. J Hydrol 1997, 195:1-25.
8. Bradley A.A., Smith J.A. The hydrometeorological environment of extreme rainstorms in the Southern Plains of the United States. J Appl Meteorol 1994, 33:1418-1431.
9. Burn D.H. Catchment similarity for regional flood frequency analysis using seasonality measures. J Hydrol 1997, 202:212-230.
10. Castellarin A., Burn D.H., Brath A. Assessing the effectiveness of hydrological similarity measures for flood frequency analysis. J Hydrol 2001, 241:270-285.
11. Chen L., Guo S., Yan B., Liu P., Fang B. A new seasonal design method based on bivariate joint distribution of flood magnitude and date of occurrence. Hydrol Sci J 2010, 55(8):1264-1280.
12. Chen L., Singh V.P., Guo S., Fang B., Liu P. A new method for identification of flood seasons using directional statistics. Hydrol Sci J 2013, 58(1):28-40.
13. Chowdhury M.R., Ward M.N. Seasonal flooding in Bangladesh-variability and predictability. Hydrol Processes 2007, 21:335-347.
14. Clow D.W. Changes in the timing of snowmelt and streamflow in Colorado: a response to recent warming. Journal of Climate 2010, 23:2293-2306.
15. Cunderlik J.M., Burn D.H. The use of flood regime information in regional flood frequency analysis. Hydrol Sci J 2001, 47(1):77-92.
16. Cunderlik J., Ouarda T.B.M.J. Trends in the timing and magnitude of floods in Canada. J Hydrol 2009, 375:471-480.
17. Cunderlik J., Ouarda T.B.M.J., Bobée B. Determination of flood seasonality from hydrological records. Hydrol Sci J 2004, 49(3):511-526.
18. De Michele C., Rosso R. A multi-level approach to flood frequency regionalization. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 2002, 6(2):185-194.
19. Dhakal N., Jain S., Gray A., Dandy M., Stancioff E. Nonstationarity in seasonality of extreme precipitation: a nonparametric circular statistical approach and its application. Water Resour Res 2015, 51:4499-4515.
20. Falcone JA, Carlisle DM, Wolock DM, and Meador MR. GAGES: A stream gage database for evaluating natural and altered flow conditions in the conterminous United States, Ecology, 91(2), 621, 2010.
21. Falcone JA, GAGES-II. Geospatial Attributes of Gages for Evaluating Streamflow [digital spatial dataset]. Available at , 2011. http://water.usgs.gov/GIS/metadata/usgswrd/XML/gagesII_Sept2011.xml.
22. Fang B., Guo S., Wang S., Liu P., Xiao Y. Non-identical models for seasonal flood frequency analysis. Hydrol Sci J 2007, 52(5):974-991.
23. Fisher N.I. Statistical analysis of circular data 1993, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
24. Fritsch J.M., Kane R.J., Chelius C.R. The contribution of mesoscale convective weather systems to the warm-season precipitation in the United States. J Clim Appl Meteorol 1986, 25:1333-1345.
25. Gamble D.W. The relationship between drainage basin area and annual peak-flood seasonality in the southeastern United States. Southeast. Geogr, 1997, 37(1):61-75.
26. 2 levels?. Hydrol Sci J 2012, 57(1):1-9.
27. Hirschboeck K.K. Flood hydroclimatology. Flood geomorphology 1991, 27-49. John Wiley & Sons Inc., New York, USA. V.R. Baker, R.C. Kochel, P.C. Patton (Eds.).
28. Hodgkins G.A., Dudley R.W., Huntington T.G. Changes in the timing of high river flows in New England over the 20th century. J Hydrol 2003, 278:244-252.
29. Javelle P., Ouarda T.B.M.J., Bobée B. Spring flood analysis using the flood-duration-frequency approach: application to the provinces of Quebec and Ontario. Hydrol Processes 2003, 17:3717-3736.
30. Johnson R.A., Wehrly T.E. Measures and models for angular correlation and angular-linear correlation. J R Stat Soc B 1977, 39:222-229.
31. Köplin N., Schädler B., Viviroli D., Weingartner R. Seasonality and magnitude of floods in Switzerland under future climate change. Hydrol Processes 2014, 28:2567-2578.
32. Koutroulis A.G., Tsanis I.K., Daliakopoulos I.N. Seasonality of floods and their hydrometeorologic characteristics in the island of Crete. J Hydrol 2010, 394:90-100.
33. Lavers D.A., Villarini G. Atmospheric rivers and flooding over the central United States. J Clim 2013, 26(20):7829-7836.
34. Lecce S.A. Seasonality of flooding in North Carolina. Southeast Geographer 2000, 40(2):168-175.
35. Lee A. Circular data. WIREs Comput Stat 2010, 2(4):477-486.
36. Lins H.F., Slack J.R. Streamflow trends in the United States. Geophys Res Lett 1999, 26:227-230.
37. Macdonald N. Trends in flood seasonality of the River Ouse (Northern England) from archive and instrumental sources since AD 1600. Clim Change 2012, 110:901-923.
38. Magilligan F.J., Graber B.E. Hydroclimatological and geomorphic controls on the timing and spatial variability of floods in New England, USA. J Hydrol 1996, 178:159-180.
39. Mallakpour I., Villarini G. The changing nature of flooding across the central United States. Nat Clim Change 2015, 5:250-254.
40. Mardia K.V. Statistics of directional data 1972, Academic Press, London.
41. Mardia K.V. Linear-circular correlation coefficients and rhythmometry. Biometrika 1976, 63:403-405.
42. McCabe G.J., Clark M.P. Trends and variability in snowmelt runoff in the western United States. J Hydrometeorol 2005, 6:476-482.
43. McCuen R.H., Beighley R.E. Seasonal flow frequency analysis. J Hydrol 2003, 279(1-4):43-56.
44. McEwen L.J. Flood seasonality and generating conditions in the Tay catchment, Scotland from 1200 to present. Area 2006, 38.1:47-64.
45. Moore B.J., Mahoney K.M., Sukovich E., Cifelli R., Hamill T.M. Climatology and Environmental Characteristics of extreme precipitation events in the southeastern United States. Mon Weather Rev 2015, 134:718-741.
46. Nakamura J., Lalla U., Kushnir Y., Robertson A.W., Seager R. Dynamical structure of extreme floods in the U.S. Midwest and the United Kingdom. J Hydrometeorol 2013, 14:485-504.
47. Neiman P.J., Schick L.J., Ralph F.M., Hughes M., Wick G.A. Flooding in western Washington: the connection to atmospheric rivers. J Hydrometeorol 2011, 12:1337-1358.
48. Ouarda T.B.M.J., Cunderlik J.M., St-Hilaire A., Barbet M., Bruneau P., Bobée B. Data-based comparison of seasonality-based regional flood frequency methods. J Hydrol 2006, 330:329-339.
49. Pewsey A. Testing circular symmetry. Can J Stat 2002, 30:591-600.
50. Pewsey A., Neuhäser M., Ruxton G.D. Circular statistics in R 2013, Oxford.
51. Parajka J., Kohnová S., Bálint G., Barbuc M., Borga M., Claps P., et al. Seasonal characteristics of flood regimes across the Alpine-Carpathian range. J Hydrol 2010, 394(1-2):78-89.
52. Peterson T.C., Heim R.R., Hirsch R., Kaiser D.P., Brooks H., Diffenbaugh N.S., et al. Monitoring and understanding changes in heat waves, cold waves, floods and droughts in the United States: State of knowledge. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 2013, 94(6):821-834.
53. R Core Team R: a language and environment for statistical computing 2015, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria, URL: https://www.R-project.org/.
54. Ralph F.M., Neiman P.J., Wick G.A., Gutman S.I., Dettinger M.D., Cayan D.R., White A.B. Flooding on California's Russian River: role of atmospheric rivers. Geophys Res Lett 2006, 33:L13801. 10.1029/2006GL026689.
55. Robson A., Reed D. Flood estimation handbook: volume 3. Statistical procedures for flood frequency Estimation 1999, Institute of Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire.
56. Rossi F., Fiorentino M., Versace P. Two-component extreme value distribution for flood-frequency analysis. Water Resour Res 1984, 20:847-856.
57. Rust H.W., Mauran D., Osborn T.J. Modelling seasonality in extreme precipitation - a UK case study. Eur Phys J 2009, 174:99-111.
58. Schumacher R.S., Johnson R.H. Characteristics of U.S. extreme rain events during 1999-2003. Weather Forecast 2006, 21:69-85.
59. Sivapalan M., Blöschl G., Merz R., Gutknecht D. Linking flood frequency to long-term water balance: Incorporating effects of seasonality. Water Resour Res 2005, 41:W06012. 10.1029/2004WR003439.
60. Slater L.J., Singer M.B., Kirchner J.W. Hydrologic versus geomorphic drivers of trends in flood hazard. Geophys Res Lett 2015, 42(2):370-376.
61. Smith J.A., Baeck M.L., Morrison J.E., Sturdevant-Rees P. Catastrophic rainfall and flooding in Texas. J Hydrometeorol 2000, 1:5-25.
62. Smith J.A., Villarini G., Baeck M.L. Mixture distributions and the climatology of extreme rainfall and flooding in the Eastern US. J Hydrometeorol 2011, 12(2):294-309.
63. Steinschneider S., Lall U. Daily precipitation and tropical moisture exports across the eastern United States: an application of archetypal analysis to identify spatiotemporal structure. J Clim 2015, 28:8585-8602.
64. Stevenson S.N., Schumacher R.S. A 10-year survey of extreme rainfall events in the central and eastern United States using gridded multisensory precipitation analyses. Mon Weather Rev 2014, 142:3147-3162.
65. Stewart I.T., Cayan D.R., Dettinger M.D. Changes in snowmelt runoff timing in western North America under a "business as usual" climate change scenario. Clim Change 2004, 62:217-232.
66. Stewart I.T., Cayan D.R., Dettinger M.D. Changes toward earlier streamflow timing across western North America. J Clim 2005, 18:1136-1155.
67. Villarini G., Smith J.A. Flood peak distributions for the Eastern United States. Water Resour Res 2010, 46:W06504. 10.1029/2009WR008395.
68. Villarini G., Serinaldi F., Smith J.A., Krajewski W.F. On the stationarity of annual flood peaks in the continental United States during the 20th century. Water Resour Res 2009, 45:W08417. 10.1029/2008WR007645.
69. Villarini G., Goska R., Smith J.A., Vecchi G.A. North Atlantic tropical cyclones and U.S. flooding. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 2014, 95(9):1381-1388.
70. Vogel R.M., Yaindl C., Walter M., Nonstationarity Flood magnification and recurrence reduction factors in the United States. J Am Water Resour Assoc 2011, 47(3):464-474.
71. Wallraff H.G. Goal-oriented and compass-oriented movements of displaced homing pigeons after confinement in differentially shielded aviaries. Behav Ecol Sociobiol 1979, 5:201-225.
72. Watson G.S. Goodness-of-fit tests on a circle II. Biometrika 1962, 49:57-63.
73. Wheeler S., Watson G.S. A distribution-free two sample test on the circle. Biometrika 1964, 51:256-257.
74. Wood K.M., Ritchie E.A. An updated climatology of tropical cyclone impacts on the southwestern United States. Mon Weather Rev 2013, 141:4322-4336.