Global trade will accelerate plant invasions in emerging economies under climate change

Global Change Biology

Volumn 21, Issue 11, 2015, Pages 4128-4140

  Seebens, Hanno ^a,b   Essl, Franz ^b,c,d   Dawson, Wayne ^e   Fuentes, Nicol ^f   Moser, Dietmar ^b,c   Pergl, Jan ^g   Pyšek, Petr ^g,h   van Kleunen, Mark ^e   Weber, Ewald ⁱ   Winter, Marten ^j   Blasius, Bernd ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF OLDENBURG   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF VIENNA   (Austria)

^c ENVIRONMENT AGENCY AUSTRIA   (Austria)

^d STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY   (South Africa)

^e UNIVERSITY OF KONSTANZ   (Germany)

^f UNIVERSITY OF CONCEPCIÓN   (Chile)

^g INSTITUTE OF BOTANY   (Czech Republic)

^h CHARLES UNIVERSITY   (Czech Republic)

ⁱ UNIVERSITY OF POTSDAM   (Germany)

^j GERMAN CENTRE FOR INTEGRATIVE BIODIVERSITY RESEARCH IDIV HALLE JENA LEIPZIG   (Germany)

more..

Author keywords

Alien vascular plants; Bioinvasion; Climate warming; Global spread; Imperialist dogma; Model; Network of plant invasion

Indexed keywords

BIODIVERSITY; BIOLOGICAL INVASION; CLIMATE CHANGE; ECOLOGICAL IMPACT; INTERNATIONAL TRADE; INTRODUCED SPECIES; INVASIVE SPECIES;

EUROPE;

TRACHEOPHYTA;

BIODIVERSITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMMERCIAL PHENOMENA; DEVELOPING COUNTRY; INTRODUCED SPECIES; PLANT DISPERSAL; THEORETICAL MODEL;

BIODIVERSITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMMERCE; DEVELOPING COUNTRIES; INTRODUCED SPECIES; MODELS, THEORETICAL; PLANT DISPERSAL;

EID: 84944066791     PISSN: 13541013     EISSN: 13652486     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13021     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. Abel GJ, Sander N (2014) Quantifying global international migration flows. Science, 343, 1520-1522.
2. Barbieri K, Keshk OMG, Pollins BM (2009) Trading data: evaluating our assumptions and coding rules. Conflict Management and Peace Science, 26, 471-491.
3. Bellard C, Thuiller W, Leroy B, Genovesi P, Bakkenes M, Courchamp F (2013) Will climate change promote future invasions? Global Change Biology, 19, 3740-3748.
4. Bivand R, Lewin-Koh N (2013) Maptools: Tools for reading and handling spatial objects. R package version 0.8-23. Available at: http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=maptools (accessed 12 December 2013).
5. Blackburn TM, Pyšek P, Bacher S et al. (2011) A proposed unified framework for biological invasions. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 26, 333-339.
6. Brooks TM, Mittermeier RA, da Fonseca GAB et al. (2006) Global biodiversity conservation priorities. Science, 313, 58-61.
7. Burnham KP, Anderson DR (2004) Model selection and inference - A practical information-theoretic approach. Sociological Methods & Research, 33, 261-304.
8. Cain SA (1944) Foundations of Plant Geography. Harper & Brothers Publishers, New York.
9. Caley P, Groves RH, Barker R (2008) Estimating the invasion success of introduced plants. Diversity and Distributions, 14, 196-203.
10. Dalmazzone S (2000) Economic Factors Affecting Vulnerability to Biological Invasions. In: The Economics of Biological Invasions (ed. Perrings C), pp. 17-30. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK.
11. Di Castri F (1989) History of biological invasions with special emphasis on the Old World. In: Biological Invasions: A Global Perspective (eds Drake JA, Mooney HA, di Castri F, Groves RH, Kruger FJ, Rejmánek M, Williamson M), pp. 1-30. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester.
12. Drake JA, Mooney HA, di Castri F, Groves RH, Kruger FJ, Rejmánek M, Williamson M (1989) Biological Invasions: A Global Perspective. Wiley, New York, NY.
13. Early R, Sax DF (2014) Climatic niche shifts between species' native and naturalized ranges raise concern for ecological forecasts during invasions and climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23, 1356-1365.
14. Elith J, Leathwick Jr. (2009) Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics, 40, 677-697.
15. Essl F, Rabitsch W (2002) Neobiota in Austria. Report of the Environment Agency Austria (in german). Environment Agency, Vienna, Austria.
16. Essl F, Dullinger S, Rabitsch W et al. (2011) Socioeconomic legacy yields an invasion debt. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 108, 203-207.
17. Essl F, Winter M, Pyšek P (2012) Trade threat could be even more dire. Nature, 487, 39.
18. Fridley JD (2013) Plant invasions across the Northern Hemisphere: a deep-time perspective. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1293, 8-17.
19. Fridley JD, Stachowicz JJ, Naeem S et al. (2007) The invasion paradox: reconciling pattern and process in species invasions. Ecology, 88, 3-17.
20. Gleditsch KS (2002) Expanded trade and Gdp data. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 46, 712-724.
21. Guo Q (2014) Central-marginal population dynamics in species invasions. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 2, 1-17.
22. Hijmans RJ, Cameron SE, Parra JL, Jones PG, Jarvis A (2005) Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology, 25, 1965-1978.
23. Hulme PE (2006) Beyond control: wider implications for the management of biological invasions. Journal of Applied Ecology, 43, 835-847.
24. Hulme PE (2009) Trade, transport and trouble: managing invasive species pathways in an era of globalization. Journal of Applied Ecology, 46, 10-18.
25. Hulme PE (2011) Addressing the threat to biodiversity from botanic gardens. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 26, 168-174.
26. Hulme PE, Bacher S, Kenis M et al. (2008) Grasping at the routes of biological invasions: a framework for integrating pathways into policy. Journal of Applied Ecology, 45, 403-414.
27. Hulme PE, Pyšek P, Nentwig W, Vilà M (2009) Will threat of biological invasions unite the European Union? Science, 324, 40-41.
28. IPCC (2007) Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (eds Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
29. Kalusová V, Chytrý M, Peet RK, Wentworth TR (2014) Alien species pool influences the level of habitat invasion in intercontinental exchange of alien plants. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23, 1366-1375.
30. Keeling D (2013) Atlantic historical migrations, 1500-1965. In: The Encyclopedia of Global Human Migration (ed. Ness I), pp. 1-6. Blackwell Publishing Ltd, Oxford, UK.
31. Kennedy TA, Naeem S, Howe KM, Knops JMH, Tilman D, Reich P (2002) Biodiversity as a barrier to ecological invasion. Nature, 417, 636-638.
32. Kirkpatrick S, Gelatt CD, Vecchi MP (1983) Optimization by simulated annealing. Science, 220, 671-680.
33. Kowarik I (1995) Time lags in biological invasions with regard to the success and failure of alien species. In: Plant invasions: General Aspects and Special Problems (eds Pyšek P, Prach K, Rejmánek M, Wade M), pp. 15-38. SPB Academic Publishing, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
34. Lambdon PW, Pyšek P, Basnou C et al. (2008) Alien flora of Europe: species diversity, temporal trends, geographical patterns and research needs. Peslia, 80, 101-149.
35. Levine JM, D'Antonio CM (2003) Forecasting biological invasions with increasing international trade. Conservation Biology, 17, 322-326.
36. McGeoch MA, Butchart SHM, Spear D et al. (2010) Global indicators of biological invasion: species numbers, biodiversity impact and policy responses. Diversity and Distributions, 16, 95-108.
37. Meyerson LA, Mooney HA (2007) Invasive alien species in an era of globalization. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 5, 199-208.
38. Pyšek P, Richardson DM, Rejmánek M, Webster GL, Williamson M, Kirschner J (2004) Alien plants in checklists and floras: towards better communication between taxonomists and ecologists. Taxon, 53, 131-143.
39. Pyšek P, Jarošík V, Hulme PE et al. (2010) Disentangling the role of environmental and human pressures on biological invasions across Europe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 107, 12157-12162.
40. Pyšek P, Jarošík V, Hulme PE, Pergl J, Hejda M, Schaffner U, Vilà M (2012a) A global assessment of invasive plant impacts on resident species, communities and ecosystems: the interaction of impact measures, invading species' traits and environment. Global Change Biology, 18, 1725-1737.
41. Pyšek P, Chytrý M, Pergl J, Sádlo J, Wild J (2012b) Plant invasions in the Czech Republic: current state, introduction dynamics, invasive species and invaded habitats. Preslia, 84, 575-629.
42. Richardson DM, Pysek P, Rejmanek M, Barbour MG, Panetta FD, West CJ (2000) Naturalization and invasion of alien plants: concepts and definitions. Diversity and Distributions, 6, 93-107.
43. Roeckner E, Bäuml G, Bonaventura L et al. (2003) The Atmospheric General Circulation Model ECHAM5 - Part I Model Description. Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany.
44. Sax DF, Brown JH (2000) The paradox of invasion. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 9, 363-371.
45. Seebens H, Gastner M, Blasius B (2013) The risk of marine bioinvasion caused by global shipping. Ecology Letters, 16, 782-790.
46. Settele J, Scholes R, Betts R et al. (2014) Terrestrial and inland water systems. In: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (eds Field CB, Barros VR, Dokken DJ, Mach KJ, Mastrandrea MD, Bilir TE, Chatterjee M, Ebi KL, Estrada YO, Genova RC, Girma B, Kissel ES, Levy AN, MacCracken S, Mastrandrea PR, White LL), pp. 271-359. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA.
47. Simberloff D, Martin J-L, Genovesi P et al. (2013) Impacts of biological invasions: what's what and the way forward. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 28, 58-66.
48. Soininen J, Hillebrand H (2007) Disentangling distance decay of similarity from richness gradients: response to Baselga (2007). Ecography, 30, 842-844.
49. Thieltges DW, Ferguson MAD, Jones CS et al. (2009) Distance decay of similarity among parasite communities of three marine invertebrate hosts. Oecologia, 160, 163-173.
50. Thomas CD, Cameron A, Green RE et al. (2004) Extinction risk from climate change. Nature, 427, 145-148.
51. Tuomisto H, Ruokolainen K, Yli-Halla M (2003) Dispersal, environment, and floristic variation of western Amazonian forests. Science, 299, 241-244.
52. Vilà M, Pujadas J (2001) Land-use and socio-economic correlates of plant invasions in European and North African countries. Biological Conservation, 100, 397-401.
53. Vilà M, Espinar JL, Hejda M et al. (2011) Ecological impacts of invasive alien plants: a meta-analysis of their effects on species, communities and ecosystems. Ecology Letters, 14, 702-708.
54. Walther G-R, Roques A, Hulme PE et al. (2009) Alien species in a warmer world: risks and opportunities. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 24, 686-693.
55. Westphal MI, Browne M, MacKinnon K, Noble I (2008) The link between international trade and the global distribution of invasive alien species. Biological Invasions, 10, 391-398.
56. Winter M, Kühn I, La Sorte FA, Schweiger O, Nentwig W, Klotz S (2010) The role of non-native plants and vertebrates in defining patterns of compositional dissimilarity within and across continents. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 19, 332-342.
57. World Trade Organization (2007) World Trade Report 2007: Six Decades of Multilateral Trade Cooperation: What Have We Learnt? World Trade Organization, Geneva.