Fluctuations in the extent of mangroves driven by multi-decadal changes in North Atlantic waves

Journal of Biogeography

Volumn 42, Issue 11, 2015, Pages 2209-2219

  Walcker, Romain ^a,b   Anthony, Edward Jamal ^c   Cassou, Christophe ^d   Aller, Robert Curwood ^e   Gardel, Antoine ^f   Proisy, Christophe ^g   Martinez, Jean Michel ^a   Fromard, François ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITÉ DE TOULOUSE   (France)

^b CNRS   (France)

^c AIX MARSEILLE UNIVERSITY   (France)

^d CERFACS   (France)

^e STONY BROOK UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^f UNIVERSITÉ DU LITTORAL CÔTE D OPALE   (France)

^g UMR AMAP   (France)

Author keywords

Amazon; Coastal changes; Complex empirical orthogonal functions; French Guiana; Mangroves; North Atlantic Oscillation; Ocean waves; Trade winds

Indexed keywords

DECADAL VARIATION; ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE; HYPOTHESIS TESTING; MANGROVE; NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; OCEAN WAVE; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; REMOTE SENSING; SURFACE AREA; TRADE WIND; VEGETATION MAPPING; WAVE DIRECTION; WAVE HEIGHT;

AMAZON RIVER; ATLANTIC OCEAN; ATLANTIC OCEAN (NORTH); FRENCH GUIANA;

RHIZOPHORACEAE;

EID: 84943663905     PISSN: 03050270     EISSN: 13652699     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/jbi.12580     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Aller, R.C., Madrid, V., Chistoserdov, A., Aller, J.Y. & Heilbrun, C. (2010) Unsteady diagenetic processes and sulfur biogeochemistry in tropical deltaic muds: implications for oceanic isotope cycles and the sedimentary record. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, 74, 4671-4692.
2. Allison, M.A., Lee, M.T., Ogston, A.S. & Aller, R.C. (2000) Origin of Amazon mudbanks along the northeastern coast of South America. Marine Geology, 163, 241-256.
3. Alongi, D.M. (2008) Mangrove forests: resilience, protection from tsunamis, and responses to global climate change. Estuarine Coastal & Shelf Science, 76, 1-13.
4. Anthony, E.J., Gardel, A., Gratiot, N., Proisy, C., Allison, M.A., Dolique, F. & Fromard, F. (2010) The Amazon-influenced muddy coast of South America: a review of mud-bank-shoreline interactions. Earth-Science Reviews, 103, 99-121.
5. Anthony, E.J., Gardel, A. & Gratiot, N. (2014) Fluvial sediment supply, mud banks, cheniers and the morphodynamics of the coast of South America between the Amazon and Orinoco River mouths. Sedimentary coastal zones from high to low latitudes: similarities and differences (ed. by I.P. Martini and H.R. Wanless ), pp. 533-560. Geological Society, London.
6. Augustinus, P.G.E.F. (1978) The changing shoreline of Surinam. PhD Thesis, University Utrecht, The Netherlands.
7. Augustinus, P.G.E.F. (2004) The influence of the trade winds on the coastal development of the Guianas at various scale levels: a synthesis. Marine Geology, 208, 145-151.
8. Björnsson, H. & Venegas, S.A. (1997) A manual of EOF and SVD analyses of climate data. Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and Centre for Climate and Global Change Research, McGill University, Montreal.
9. Bretherton, C.S., Smith, C. & Wallace, J.M. (1992) An intercomparison of methods for finding coupled patterns in climate data. Journal of Climate, 5, 541-560.
10. Cassou, C., Minvielle, M., Terray, L. & Périgaud, C. (2011) A statistical-dynamical scheme for reconstructing ocean forcing in the Atlantic. Part I: weather regimes as predictors for ocean surface variables. Climate Dynamics, 36, 19-39.
11. Cavanaugh, K.C., Kellner, J.R., Forde, A.J., Gruner, D.S., Parker, J.D., Rodriguez, W. & Feller, I.C. (2014) Poleward expansion of mangroves is a threshold response to decreased frequency of extreme cold events. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 111, 723-727.
12. Church, J.A., White, N.J., Coleman, R., Lambeck, K. & Mitrovica, J.X. (2004) Estimates of the regional distribution of sea level rise over the 1950-2000 period. Journal of Climate, 17, 2609-2625.
13. Day, J.W., Christian, R.R., Boesch, D.M., Yáñez-Arancibia, A., Morris, J., Twilley, R.R., Naylor, L., Schaffner, L. & Stevenson, C. (2008) Consequences of climate change on the ecogeomorphology of coastal wetlands. Estuaries and Coasts, 31, 477-491.
14. Dee, D.P., Uppala, S.M., Simmons, A.J. et al. (2011) The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137, 553-597.
15. Donato, D.C., Kauffman, J.B., Murdiyarso, D., Kurnianto, S., Stidham, M. & Kanninen, M. (2011) Mangroves among the most carbon-rich forests in the tropics. Nature Geoscience, 4, 293-297.
16. Duke, N.C., Ball, M.C. & Ellison, J.C. (1998) Factors influencing biodiversity and distributional gradients in mangroves. Global Ecology & Biogeography Letters, 7, 27-47.
17. Duke, N.C., Meynecke, J.O., Dittmann, S., Ellison, A.M., Anger, K., Berger, U., Cannicci, S., Diele, K., Ewel, K.C., Field, C.D., Koedam, N., Lee, S.Y., Marchand, C., Norghaus, I. & Dahdou-Guebas, F. (2007) A world without mangroves? Science, 317, 41-42.
18. Eisma, D. (1998) Intertidal deposits: river mouths, tidal flats and coastal lagoons, 1st edn. CRC Press, Boca Raton.
19. Eisma, D., Augustinus, P.G.E.F. & Alexander, C. (1991) Recent and subrecent changes in the dispersal of Amazon mud. Netherlands Journal of Sea Research, 28, 181-192.
20. Fan, D. (2012) Open-coast tidal flats. Principles of tidal sedimentology (ed. by R.A. Davis and R.W. Dalrymple ), pp. 187-229. Springer Verlag Science, Netherlands.
21. Fan, Y., Lin, S., Griffies, S.M. & Hemer, M.A. (2014) Simulated global swell and wind-sea climate and their responses to anthropogenic climate change at the end of the twenty-first century. Journal of Climate, 27, 3516-3536.
22. FAO (2007) The world's mangroves. Forestry Paper 153, pp. 1980-2005. FAO, Rome, Italy.
23. Flemming, B.W., Delafontaine, M.T. & Liebezeit, G. (eds) (2000) Muddy coast dynamics and resource management, Vol. 2. Elsevier, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
24. Friess, D.A., Krauss, K.W., Horstman, E.M., Balke, T., Bouma, T.J., Galli, D. & Webb, E.L. (2012) Are all intertidal wetlands naturally created equal? Bottlenecks, thresholds and knowledge gaps to mangrove and saltmarsh ecosystems. Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society, 87, 346-366.
25. Gardel, A. & Gratiot, N. (2005) A satellite image-based method for estimating rates of mud bank migration, French Guiana, South America. Journal of Coastal Research, 21, 720-728.
26. George, S.E. & Saunders, M.A. (2001) North Atlantic Oscillation impact on tropical North Atlantic winter atmospheric variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 28, 1015-1018.
27. Gilman, E.L., Ellison, J., Duke, N.C. & Field, C. (2008) Threats to mangroves from climate change and adaptation options: a review. Aquatic Botany, 89, 237-250.
28. Giri, C.P. & Long, J. (2014) Mangrove reemergence in the northernmost range limit of eastern Florida. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 111, E1447-E1448.
29. Giri, C., Ochieng, E., Tieszen, L.L., Zhu, Z., Singh, A., Loveland, T., Masek, J. & Duke, N. (2011) Status and distribution of mangrove forests of the world using earth observation satellite data. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 20, 154-159.
30. Gratiot, N., Gardel, A. & Anthony, E.J. (2007) Trade-wind waves and mud dynamics on the French Guiana coast, South America: input from ERA-40 wave data and field investigations. Marine Geology, 236, 15-26.
31. Gratiot, N., Anthony, E.J., Gardel, A., Gaucherel, C., Proisy, C. & Wells, J.T. (2008) Significant contribution of the 18.6 year tidal cycle to regional coastal changes. Nature Geoscience, 1, 169-172.
32. Hammer, Ø., Harper, D.A.T. & Ryan, P.D. (2001) PAST: paleontological statistics software package for education and data analysis. Paleontologia Electronica, 4, art. 4, 9 pp.
33. Healy, T., Wang, Y. & Healy, J.A. (eds) (2002) Muddy coasts of the world: processes, deposits and function, Vol. 4. Elsevier, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
34. Hemer, M.A., Fan, Y., Mori, N., Semedo, A. & Wang, X.L. (2013) Projected changes in wave climate from a multi-model ensemble. Nature Climate Change, 3, 471-476.
35. Horel, J.D. (1984) Complex principal component analysis: theory and examples. Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology, 23, 1660-1673.
36. Kirwan, M.L. & Megonigal, J.P. (2013) Tidal wetland stability in the face of human impacts and sea-level rise. Nature, 504, 53-60.
37. López-Medellín, X., Ezcurra, E., González-Abraham, C., Hak, J., Santiago, L.S. & Sickman, J.O. (2011) Oceanographic anomalies and sea-level rise drive mangroves inland in the Pacific coast of Mexico. Journal of Vegetation Science, 22, 143-151.
38. Miller, J.K. & Dean, R.G. (2007a) Shoreline variability via empirical orthogonal function analysis: Part I temporal and spatial characteristics. Coastal Engineering, 54, 111-131.
39. Miller, J.K. & Dean, R.G. (2007b) Shoreline variability via empirical orthogonal function analysis: Part II relationship to nearshore conditions. Coastal Engineering, 54, 133-150.
40. Navarra, A. & Simoncini, V. (2010) Generalizations: rotated, complex, extended and combined EOF. A guide to empirical orthogonal functions for climate data analysis (ed. by A. Navarra and V. Simoncini ), pp. 69-96. Springer Verlag Science, The Netherlands.
41. Nicholls, R.J. & Cazenave, A. (2010) Sea-level rise and its impact on coastal zones. Science, 328, 1517-1520.
42. Record, S., Charney, N.D., Zakaria, R.M. & Ellison, A.M. (2013) Projecting global mangrove species and community distributions under climate change. Ecosphere, 4, Article 34.
43. Saintilan, N., Wilson, N.C., Rogers, K., Rajkaran, A. & Krauss, K.W. (2014) Mangrove expansion and salt marsh decline at mangrove poleward limits. Global Change Biology, 20, 147-157.
44. Sterl, A. & Caires, S. (2005) Climatology, variability and extrema of ocean waves: the web-based KNMI/ERA-40 wave atlas. International Journal of Climatology, 25, 963-977.
45. Uppala, S.M., KÅllberg, P.W., Simmons, A.J. et al. (2005) The ERA-40 re-analysis. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131, 2961-3012.
46. Viles, H.A. & Goudie, A.S. (2002) Interannual, decadal, multidecadal scale climatic variability and geomorphology. Earth-Science Reviews, 61, 105-131.
47. Wang, X.L. & Swail, V.R. (2001) Changes of extreme wave heights in northern hemisphere oceans and related atmospheric circulation regimes. Journal of Climate, 14, 2204-2221.
48. Wells, J.T. & Coleman, J.M. (1981) Physical processes and fine-grained sediment dynamics, coast of Surinam, South America. Journal of Sedimentary Research, 51, 1053-1068.
49. Wong, P.P., Losada, I.J., Gattuso, J.-P., Hinkel, J., Khattabi, A., McInnes, K.L., Saito, Y. & Sallenger, A. (2014) Coastal systems and low-lying areas. Climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Part A: global and sectoral aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (ed. by C.B. Field, V.R. Barros, D.J. Dokken, K.J. Mach, M.D. Mastrandrea, T.E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel, A.N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P.R. Mastrandrea and L.L. White ), pp. 361-409. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY.
50. Young, I.R., Zieger, S. & Babanin, A.V. (2011) Global trends in wind speed and wave height. Science, 332, 451-455.