Seasonal mortality and sequential density dependence in a migratory bird

Journal of Avian Biology

Volumn 46, Issue 4, 2015, Pages 332-341

  Rakhimberdiev, Eldar ^a,b,c   van den Hout, Piet J ^a   Brugge, Maarten ^a   Spaans, Bernard ^a   Piersma, Theunis ^a,d  

^a ROYAL NETHERLANDS INSTITUTE FOR SEA RESEARCH   (Netherlands)

^b MOSCOW STATE UNIVERSITY   (Russian Federation)

^c Cornell Univ ^*  (United States)

^d UNIVERSITY OF GRONINGEN   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

DATA ASSIMILATION; DENSITY DEPENDENCE; FOOD AVAILABILITY; HABITAT FRAGMENTATION; MIGRATORY SPECIES; MORTALITY; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SEASONALITY; SURVIVAL; WADER;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; NETHERLANDS; NORTH SEA; WADDEN SEA;

AVES; CALIDRIS CANUTUS;

EID: 84940886564     PISSN: 09088857     EISSN: 1600048X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/jav.00701     Document Type: Article

References (68)

1. Alerstam, T. 1990. Bird migration. - Cambridge Univ. Press.
2. Alerstam, T. and Högstedt, G. 1982. Bird migration and reproduction in relation to habitats for survival and breeding. - Ornis Scand. 13: 25.
3. Anderson, D. R. and Burnham, K. P. 1976. Population ecology of the mallard: VI. The effect of exploitation on survival. - United States Fish and Wildlife Service Resource Publication 128.
4. Baker, A. J., Piersma, T. and Greenslade, A. D. 1999. Molecular vs. phenotypic sexing in red knots. - Condor 101: 887-893.
5. Baker, A. J., Gonzalez, P. M., Piersma, T., Niles, L. J., Atkinson, P. W., Clark, N. A., Minton, C. D. T., Peck, M. K., de Lima Serrano do Nascimento, I. and Aarts, G. 2004. Rapid population decline in red knots: fitness consequences of decreased refuelling rates and late arrival in Delaware Bay. - Proc. R. Soc. B 271: 875-882.
6. Bijleveld, A. I., Massourakis, G., van der Marel, A., Dekinga, A., Spaans, B., van Gils, J. A. and Piersma, T. 2014. Personality drives physiological adjustments and is not related to survival. - Proc. R. Soc. B 281: 20133135.
7. Boere, G. C. 1976. The significance of the Dutch Waddenzee in the annual life cycle of arctic, subarctic and boreal waders. Part 1. The function as a moulting area. - Ardea 64: 210-291.
8. Boyce, M. S. 1979. Seasonality and patterns of natural selection for life histories. - Am. Nat. 114: 569.
9. Boyce, M. S., Sinclair, A. and White, G. C. 1999. Seasonal compensation of predation and harvesting. - Oikos 87: 419-426.
10. Boyd, H. and Piersma, T. 2001. Changing balance between survival and recruitment explains population trends in red knots Calidris canutus islandica wintering in Britain, 1969-1995. - Ardea 89: 301-317.
11. Brochard, C., Spaans, B., Prop, J. and Piersma, T. 2002. Use of individual colour-ringing to estimate annual survival in male and female red knot Calidris canutus islandica: a progress report for 1998-2001. - Wader Study Group Bull. 99: 54-56.
12. Buehler, D. M. and Piersma, T. 2008. Travelling on a budget: predictions and ecological evidence for bottlenecks in the annual cycle of long-distance migrants. - Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 363: 247-266.
13. Burnham, K. P. and Anderson, D. R. 1984. Tests of compensatory vs. additive hypotheses of mortality in mallards. - Ecology 65: 105-112.
14. Burnham, K. P. and Anderson, D. R. 2002. Model selection and multi-model inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. - Springer.
15. Burnham, K. P. and White, G. C. 2002. Evaluation of some random effects methodology applicable to bird ringing data. - J. Appl. Stat. 29: 245-264.
16. Carlson, S. M., Olsen, E. M. and Vøllestad, L. A. 2008. Seasonal mortality and the effect of body size: a review and an empirical test using individual data on brown trout. - Funct. Ecol. 22: 663-673.
17. Cleveland, W. S. 1979. Robust locally weighted regression and smoothing scatterplots. - J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 74: 829-836.
18. Compton, T. J., Holthuijsen, S., Koolhaas, A., Dekinga, A., ten Horn, J., Smith, J., Galama, Y., Brugge, M., van der Wal, D., van der Meer, J., van der Veer, H. W. and Piersma, T. 2013. Distinctly variable mudscapes: distribution gradients of intertidal macrofauna across the Dutch Wadden Sea. - J. Sea Res. 82: 103-116.
19. Cressman, R. and Křivan, V. 2006. Migration dynamics for the ideal free distribution. - Am. Nat. 168: 384-397.
20. Davidson, N. 2002. Red knot (knot) Calidris canutus. - In: Wernham, C. et al. (eds), The migration atlas: movements of the birds of Britain and Ireland. Poyser, pp. 293-296.
21. Davidson, N. and Wilson, J. 1992. The migration system of European-wintering knots Calidris canutus islandica. - Wader Study Group Bull. 64: 39-51.
22. de Goeij, P. and Luttikhuizen, P. 1998. Deep-burying reduces growth in intertidal bivalves: field and mesocosm experiments with Macoma balthica. - J. Exp. Mar. Biol. Ecol. 228: 327-337.
23. Dietz, M. W., Spaans, B., Dekinga, A., Klaassen, M., Korthals, H., van Leeuwen, C. and Piersma, T. 2010. Do red knots (Calidris canutus islandica) routinely skip Iceland during southward migration? - Condor 112: 48-55.
24. Dietz, M. W., Rogers, K. G. and Piersma, T. 2013. When the seasons don't fit: speedy molt as a routine carry-over cost of reproduction. - PLoS One 8: e53890.
25. Dolman, P. M. and Sutherland, W. J. 1995. The response of bird populations to habitat loss. - Ibis 137(S1): 38-46.
26. Eriksson, B. K., van der Heide, T., van de Koppel, J., Piersma, T., van der Veer, H. W. and Olff, H. 2010. Major changes in the ecology of the Wadden Sea: human impacts, ecosystem engineering and sediment dynamics. - Ecosystems 13: 752-764.
27. Faaborg, J., Holmes, R. T., Anders, A. D., Bildstein, K. L., Dugger, K. M., Gauthreaux, S. A., Heglund, P., Hobson, K. A., Jahn, A. E., Johnson, D. H., Latta, S. C., Levey, D. J., Marra, P. P., Merkord, C. L., Nol, E., Rothstein, S. I., Sherry, T. W., Sillett, T. S., Thompson, F. R. and Warnock, N. 2010. Conserving migratory land birds in the New World: do we know enough? - Ecol. Appl. 20: 398-418.
28. Fournier, D. A., Skaug, H. J., Ancheta, J., Ianelli, J., Magnusson, A., Maunder, M. N., Nielsen, A. and Sibert, J. 2012. AD Model Builder: using automatic differentiation for statistical inference of highly parameterized complex nonlinear models. - Optim. Methods Softw. 27: 233-249.
29. Fretwell, S. D. 1972. Populations in a seasonal environment. - Princeton Univ. Press.
30. Gauthier, G., Pradel, R., Menu, S. and Lebreton, J.-D. 2001. Seasonal survival of greater snow geese and effect of hunting under dependence in sighting probability. - Ecology 82: 3105.
31. Hargrove, J. and Borland, C. 1994. Pooled population parameter estimates from mark-recapture data. - Biometrics 50: 1129-1141.
32. Herrando-Pérez, S., Delean, S., Brook, B. W. and Bradshaw, C. J. A. 2012. Density dependence: an ecological Tower of Babel. - Oecologia 170: 585-603.
33. Kéry, M. and Schaub, M. 2012. Bayesian population analysis using WinBUGS a hierarchical perspective. - Academic Press.
34. Kittle, A. M., Fryxell, J. M., Desy, G. E. and Hamr, J. 2008. The scale-dependent impact of wolf predation risk on resource selection by three sympatric ungulates. - Oecologia 157: 163-175.
35. Kokko, H. and Lindström, J. 1998. Seasonal density dependence, timing of mortality, and sustainable harvesting. - Ecol. Model. 110: 293-304.
36. Kraan, C., Piersma, T., Dekinga, A., Koolhaas, A. and van der Meer, J. 2007. Dredging for edible cockles (Cerastoderma edule) on intertidal flats: short-term consequences of fisher patch-choice decisions for target and non-target benthic fauna. - ICES J. Mar. Sci. 64: 1735-1742.
37. Kraan, C., van Gils, J. A., Spaans, B., Dekinga, A., Bijleveld, A. I., van Roomen, M., Kleefstra, R. and Piersma, T. 2009. Landscape-scale experiment demonstrates that Wadden Sea intertidal flats are used to capacity by molluscivore migrant shorebirds. - J. Anim. Ecol. 78: 1259-1268.
38. Kraan, C., Dekinga, A. and Piersma, T. 2010. Now an empty mudflat: past and present benthic abundances in the western Dutch Wadden Sea. - Helgol. Mar. Res. 65: 51-58.
39. Křivan, V., Cressman, R. and Schneider, C. 2008. The ideal free distribution: a review and synthesis of the game-theoretic perspective. - Theor. Popul. Biol. 73: 403-425.
40. Laake, J. L. 2013. RMark: an R interface for analysis of capture-recapture data with MARK. - AFSC Processed Rep. 2013-01, Alaska Fish. Sci. Cent. NOAA, Natl. Mar. Fish. Serv.
41. Laake, J. L., Johnson, D. S. and Conn, P. B. 2013. marked: an R package for maximum likelihood and Markov Chain Monte Carlo analysis of capture-recapture data. - Methods Ecol. Evol. 4: 885-890.
42. Lebreton, J.-D., Burnham, K. P., Clobert, J. and Anderson, D. R. 1992. Modeling survival and testing biological hypotheses using marked animals: a unified approach with case studies. - Ecol. Monogr. 62: 67-118.
43. Leyrer, J., Lok, T., Brugge, M., Spaans, B., Sandercock, B. K. and Piersma, T. 2013. Mortality within the annual cycle: seasonal survival patterns in Afro-Siberian red knots Calidris canutus canutus. - J. Ornithol. 154: 933-943.
44. Lok, T., Overdijk, O., Tinbergen, J. and Piersma, T. 2013. Seasonal variation in density dependence in age-specific survival of a long-distance migrant. - Ecology 94: 2358-2369.
45. Norris, D. R. 2005. Carry-over effects and habitat quality in migratory populations. - Oikos 109: 178-186.
46. Norris, D. R., Marra, P. P., Kyser, T. K., Sherry, T. W. and Ratcliffe, L. M. 2004. Tropical winter habitat limits reproductive success on the temperate breeding grounds in a migratory bird. - Proc. R. Soc. B 271: 59-64.
47. O'Brien, S., Robert, B. and Tiandry, H. 2005. Consequences of violating the recapture duration assumption of mark- recapture models: a test using simulated and empirical data from an endangered tortoise population. - J. Appl. Ecol. 42: 1096-1104.
48. Oppel, S., Hilton, G., Ratcliffe, N., Fenton, C., Daley, J., Gray, G., Vickery, J. and Gibbons, D. 2014. Assessing population viability while accounting for demographic and environmental uncertainty. - Ecology 95: 1809-1818.
49. Piersma, T. 2002. Energetic bottlenecks and other design constraints in avian annual cycles. - Integr. Comp. Biol. 42: 51-67.
50. Piersma, T. 2011. Flyway evolution is too fast to be explained by the modern synthesis: proposals for an "extended" evolutionary research agenda. - J. Ornithol. 152: 151-159.
51. Piersma, T. 2012. What is habitat quality? Dissecting a research portfolio on shorebirds. - In: Fuller, R. J. (ed.), Birds and habitat: relationships in changing landscapes. Ecological reviews. Cambridge Univ. Press, pp. 383-407.
52. Piersma, T. and van Gils, J. A. 2011. The flexible phenotype: a body-centred integration of ecology, physiology, and behaviour. - Oxford Univ. Press.
53. Piersma, T., Hoekstra, R., Dekinga, A., Koolhaas, A., Wolf, P., Battley, P. and Wiersma, P. 1993. Scale and intensity of intertidal habitat use by knots Calidris canutus in the western Wadden Sea in relation to food, friends and foes. - Neth. J. Sea Res. 31: 331-357.
54. Piersma, T., Verkuil, Y. and Tulp, I. 1994. Resources for long- distance migration of knots Calidris canutus islandica and C. c. canutus: how broad is the temporal exploitation window of benthic prey in the western and eastern Wadden Sea? - Oikos 71: 393.
55. Piersma, T., Koolhaas, A., Dekinga, A., Beukema, J. J., Dekker, R. and Essink, K. 2002. Long-term indirect effects of mechanical cockle-dredging on intertidal bivalve stocks in the Wadden Sea. - J. Appl. Ecol. 38: 976-990.
56. Piersma, T., Rogers, D. I., González, P. M., Zwarts, L., Niles, L. J., de Lima Serrano do Nascimento, I., Minton, C. D. T. and Baker, A. J. 2005. Fuel storage rates before northward flights in red knots worldwide. - In: Greenberg, R. and Marra, P. P. (eds), Birds of Two Worlds: the ecology and evolution of migration. Johns Hopkins Univ. Press, pp. 262-273.
57. Quaintenne, G., van Gils, J. A., Bocher, P., Dekinga, A. and Piersma, T. 2011. Scaling up ideals to freedom: are densities of red knots across western Europe consistent with ideal free distribution? - Proc. R. Soc. B 278: 2728-2736.
58. Rakhimberdiev, E., Verkuil, Y. I., Saveliev, A. A., Väisänen, R. A., Karagicheva, J., Soloviev, M. Y., Tomkovich, P. S. and Piersma, T. 2011. A global population redistribution in a migrant shorebird detected with continent-wide qualitative breeding survey data: eastward redistribution of Arctic breeding ruffs. - Divers. Distrib. 17: 144-151.
59. Runge, M. C. and Marra, P. P. 2005. Modeling seasonal interactions in the population dynamics of migratory birds. - In: Greenberg, R. and Marra, P. P. (eds), Birds of two worlds: the ecology and evolution of migration. Johns Hopkins Univ. Press, pp. 375-389.
60. Schaub, M., Reichlin, T. S., Abadi, F., Kéry, M., Jenni, L. and Arlettaz, R. 2012. The demographic drivers of local population dynamics in two rare migratory birds. - Oecologia 168: 97-108.
61. Tempel, D. J., Peery, M. Z. and Gutiérrez, R. J. 2014. Using integrated population models to improve conservation monitoring: California spotted owls as a case study. - Ecol. Model. 289: 86-95.
62. van den Hout, P. J., van Gils, J. A., Robin, F., van der Geest, M., Dekinga, A. and Piersma, T. 2014. Interference from adults forces young red knots to forage for longer and in dangerous places. - Anim. Behav. 88: 137-146.
63. van Gils, J. A., Piersma, T., Dekinga, A. and Dietz, M. W. 2003. Cost-benefit analysis of mollusc-eating in a shorebird II. Optimizing gizzard size in the face of seasonal demands. - J. Exp. Biol. 206: 3369-3380.
64. van Gils, J. A., Piersma, T., Dekinga, A., Spaans, B. and Kraan, C. 2006. Shellfish dredging pushes a flexible avian top predator out of a marine protected area. - PLoS Biol. 4: 2399-2404.
65. Verkuil, Y. I., Karlionova, N., Rakhimberdiev, E. N., Jukema, J., Wijmenga, J. J., Hooijmeijer, J. C. E. W., Pinchuk, P., Wymenga, E., Baker, A. J. and Piersma, T. 2012. Losing a staging area: eastward redistribution of Afro-Eurasian ruffs is associated with deteriorating fuelling conditions along the western flyway. - Biol. Conserv. 149: 51-59.
66. White, G. C. and Burnham, K. P. 1999. Program MARK: survival estimation from populations of marked animals. - Bird Study 46: S120-S139.
67. Wilson, J., Dick, W. J. A., Jackson, D., Jackson, L., Lenton, G., Soot, K. M., Stanyard, D., Strugnell, R., Swinfen, B. J., Swinfen, R. C. and Wilson, R. 2009. The migration of red knots through Porsangerfjord in spring 2009: a progress report on the Norwegian Knot Project. - Wader Study Group Bull. 116: 160-166.
68. Zwarts, L. and Wanink, J. H. 1993. How the food supply harvestable by waders in the Wadden Sea depends on the variation in energy density, body weight, biomass, burying depth and behaviour of tidal-flat invertebrates. - Neth. J. Sea Res. 31: 441-476.