Ecological approaches in veterinary epidemiology: mapping the risk of bat-borne rabies using vegetation indices and night-time light satellite imagery

Veterinary Research

Volumn 46, Issue 1, 2015, Pages

  Escobar, Luis E ^a,b   Peterson, A Townsend ^c   Papeş, Monica ^d   Favi, Myriam ^e   Yung, Veronica ^e   Restif, Olivier ^f   Qiao, Huijie ^g   Medina Vogel, Gonzalo ^a  

^a UNIVERSIDAD ANDRÉS BELLO   (Chile)

^b SUNY UPSTATE MEDICAL UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF KANSAS   (United States)

^d OKLAHOMA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^e INSTITUTO DE SALUD PÚBLICA DE CHILE   (Chile)

^f UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE   (United Kingdom)

^g INSTITUTE OF ZOOLOGY   (China)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANIMAL; BAT; CHILE; ENVIRONMENT; EPIDEMIOLOGY; GEOGRAPHY; PROCEDURES; PUBLIC HEALTH; RABIES; RISK ASSESSMENT; SATELLITE IMAGERY; THEORETICAL MODEL; TIME FACTOR; VETERINARY; VIROLOGY;

ANIMALS; CHILE; CHIROPTERA; ENVIRONMENT; EPIDEMIOLOGIC METHODS; GEOGRAPHY; MODELS, THEORETICAL; PUBLIC HEALTH; RABIES; RISK ASSESSMENT; SATELLITE IMAGERY; TIME FACTORS;

EID: 84940650312     PISSN: 09284249     EISSN: 12979716     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1186/s13567-015-0235-7     Document Type: Article

References (70)

1. Rupprecht CE, Hanlon CA, Hemachudha T (2002) Rabies re-examined. Lancet Infect Dis 2:327-343
2. Morters MK, McKinley TJ, Horton DL, Cleaveland S, Schoeman JP, Restif O, Whay HR, Goddard A, Fooks AR, Damriyasa IM, Wood JLN (2014) Achieving population-level immunity to rabies in free-roaming dogs in Africa and Asia. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 8:e3160
3. Vigilato MAN, Cosivi O, Knöbl T, Clavijo A, Silva HMT (2013) Rabies update for Latin America and the Caribbean. Emerg Infect Dis 19:678-679
4. Escobar LE, Peterson AT, Favi M, Yung V, Medina-Vogel G (2015) Bat-borne rabies in Latin America. Rev Inst Med Trop Sao Paulo 57:63-72
5. Blanton JD, Manangan A, Manangan J, Hanlon CA, Slate D, Rupprecht CE (2006) Development of a GIS-based, real-time Internet mapping tool for rabies surveillance. Int J Health Geogr 5:1-8
6. Laval E, Lepe P (2008) Una visión histórica de la rabia en Chile. Rev Chil Infectol 25:2-7
7. Pavletic CB, Ramirez EV, De Mattos CC, De Mattos CA (1999) Rol de los murciélagos insectívoros en la transmisión de la rabia en Chile. Arch Med Vet 31:157-165
8. Escobar LE, Restif O, Yung V, Favi M, Pons DJ, Medina-Vogel G (2015) Spatial and temporal trends of bat-borne rabies in Chile. Epidemiol Infect 143:1486-1494
9. De Mattos CA, Favi M, Yung V, Pavletic C, De Mattos CC (2000) Bat rabies in urban centers in Chile. J Wildl Dis 36:231-240
10. Iriarte A (2007) Mamíferos de Chile. Lynx Edicions, Santiago
11. Ostfeld RS, Glass GE, Keesing F (2005) Spatial epidemiology: an emerging (or re-emerging) discipline. Trends Ecol Evol 20:328-336
12. Soberón J, Peterson AT (2005) Interpretation of models of fundamental ecological niches and species' distributional areas. Biodiv Inform 2:1-10
13. Peterson AT (2007) Ecological niche modelling and understanding the geography of disease transmission. Vet Ital 43:393-400
14. Peterson AT (2008) Biogeography of diseases: a framework for analysis. Naturwissenschaften 95:483-491
15. Estrada-Peña A, Ostfeld RS, Peterson AT, Poulin R, de la Fuente J (2014) Effects of environmental change on zoonotic disease risk: An ecological primer. Trends Parasitol 30:205-214
16. Barve N, Barve V, Jiménez-Valverde A, Lira-Noriega A, Maher SP, Peterson AT, Soberón J, Villalobos F (2011) The crucial role of the accessible area in ecological niche modeling and species distribution modeling. Ecol Model 222:1810-1819
17. Peterson AT, Soberón J, Pearson RG, Anderson RP, Martínez-Meyer E, Nakamura M, Bastos M (2011) Ecological Niches and Geographic Distributions. Princeton University Press, New Jersey
18. World Organisation for Animal Health (2011) Rabies. In: Fooks AR, Horton DL (eds) Man Diagnostic Test Vaccines Terr Anim, 7th edn. OIE, Paris, pp 1-20
19. Favi M, Rodríguez L, Espinosa C, Yung V (2008) Rabies in Chile: 1989-2005. Rev Chilena Infectol 25:S8-13 (in Spanish)
20. Yung V, Favi M, Fernández J (2002) Genetic and antigenic typing of rabies virus in Chile. Arch Virol 147:2197-205
21. Yung V, Favi M, Fernandez J (2012) Typing of the rabies virus in Chile, 2002-2008. Epidemiol Infect 140:2157-2162
22. Pettorelli N, Ryan S, Mueller T, Bunnefeld N, Jedrzejewska B, Lima M, Kausrud K (2011) The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI): unforeseen successes in animal ecology. Clim Res 46:15-27
23. Horning N, Robinson J, Sterling E, Turner W, Spector S (2010) Remote Sensing for Ecology and Conservation. Oxford University Press, New York
24. Pettorelli N, Vik JO, Mysterud A, Gaillard JM, Tucker CJ, Stenseth NC (2005) Using the satellite-derived NDVI to assess ecological responses to environmental change. Trends Ecol Evol 20:503-510
25. NASA, USGS (2014) Data Pool. https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/data-access/data-pool. Accessed 11 Nov 2013
26. Land Processes DAAC (2011) MODIS Reprojection Tool 4.1. https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/tools/modis-reprojection-tool. Accessed 11 Nov 2013
27. Jarvis A, Reuter HI, Nelson A, Guevara E (2008) Hole-filled SRTM for the globe Version 4, available from the CGIAR-CSI SRTM 90m Database., http://srtm.csi.cgiar.org. Accessed 11 Nov 2013
28. Phillips SJ, Anderson RP, Schapire RE (2006) Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecol Model 190:231-259
29. Owens HL, Campbell LP, Dornak LL, Saupe EE, Barve N, Soberón J, Ingenloff KK, Lira-Noriega A, Hensz CM, Myers CE, Peterson AT (2013) Constraints on interpretation of ecological niche models by limited environmental ranges on calibration areas. Ecol Model 263:10-18
30. Anderson RP, Gómez-Laverde M, Peterson AT (2002) Geographical distributions of spiny pocket mice in South America: Insights from predictive models. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 11:131-141
31. Peterson AT, Papeş M, Soberón J (2008) Rethinking receiver operating characteristic analysis applications in ecological niche modeling. Ecol Model 213:63-72
32. Barve N (2008) Tool for Partial-ROC. Version 1. Biodiversity Institute, Lawrence, KS, Available: http://kuscholarworks.ku.edu/dspace/handle/1808/10059
33. Peterson AT (2012) Niche modeling: model evaluation. Biodiv Inform 8:41
34. Qiao H, Soberón J, Escobar LE, Campbell L, Peterson AT (2015) NicheA. Version 3.0. Biodiversity Institute, Kansas
35. Phillips SJ, Dudik M, Elith J, Graham CH, Lehmann A, Leathwick J, Ferrier S (2009) Sample selection bias and presence-only distribution models: Implications for background and pseudo-absence data. Ecol Appl 19:181-197
36. Syfert MM, Smith MJ, Coomes DA (2013) The effects of sampling bias and model complexity on the predictive performance of Maxent species distribution models. PLoS One 8:e55158
37. Escobar LE, Peterson AT, Favi M, Yung V, Pons DJ, Medina-Vogel G (2013) Ecology and geography of transmission of two bat-borne rabies lineages in Chile. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 7:e2577
38. Sutton P, Roberts D, Elvidge C, Baugh K (2001) Census from heaven: An estimate of the global human population using night-time satellite imagery. Int J Remote Sens 22:3061-3076
39. Instituto Nacional de Estadistica (2012) Resultados preliminares censo de población y vivienda 2012. Santiago: INE
40. Simmon R (2013) Night Lights 2012 - Flat map., http://1.usa.gov/1FQvs5r. Accessed 11 Nov 2013
41. Winters AM, Bolling BG, Beaty BJ, Blair CD, Eisen RJ, Meyer AM, Pape WJ, Moore CG, Eisen L (2008) Combining mosquito vector and human disease data for improved assessment of spatial West Nile virus disease risk. Am J Trop Med Hyg 78:654-665
42. Escobar LE, Peterson AT (2013) Spatial epidemiology of bat-borne rabies in Colombia. Rev Panam Salud Publica 34:135-136
43. Peterson AT, Robbins A, Restifo R, Howell J, Nasci R (2008) Predictable ecology and geography of West Nile virus transmission in the central United States. J Vector Ecol 33:63-72
44. Grinnell J (1917) The niche-relationships of the California Thrasher. Auk 34:427-433
45. Jiménez-Valverde A, Lobo JM, Hortal J (2008) Not as good as they seem: The importance of concepts in species distribution modelling. Divers Distrib 14:885-890
46. Warren DL (2012) In defense of "niche modeling". Trends Ecol Evol 27:497-500
47. Soberón J, Nakamura M (2009) Niches and distributional areas: concepts, methods, and assumptions. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 106:19644-19650
48. Soberón J, Peterson AT (2011) Ecological niche shifts and environmental space anisotropy: a cautionary note. Rev Mex Biodivers 82:1348-1355
49. Lobo JM, Jiménez-Valverde A, Real R (2007) AUC: a misleading measure of the performance of predictive distribution models. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 17:145-151
50. Peterson AT (2007) Why not WhyWhere: the need for more complex models of simpler environmental spaces. Ecol Model 203:527-530
51. Simarro PP, Cecchi G, Franco JR, Paone M, Diarra A, Ruiz-Postigo JA, Fèvre EM, Mattioli RC, Jannin JG (2012) Estimating and mapping the population at risk of sleeping sickness. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 6:e1859
52. Lash RR, Carroll DS, Hughes CM, Nakazawa Y, Karem K, Damon IK, Peterson AT (2012) Effects of georeferencing effort on mapping monkeypox case distributions and transmission risk. Int J Health Geogr 11:23
53. Peterson AT (2006) Ecologic niche modeling and spatial patterns of disease transmission. Emerg Infect Dis 12:1822-1826
54. Martínez-Meyer E, Díaz-Porras D, Peterson AT, Yáñez-Arenas C (2012) Ecological niche structure and rangewide abundance patterns of species. Biol Lett 9:20120637
55. Lira-Noriega A, Manthey JD (2014) Relationship of genetic diversity and niche centrality: A survey and analysis. Evolution 68:1082-1093
56. Peterson AT (2014) Mapping Disease Transmission Risk: Enriching Models Using Biogeography and Ecology. Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore
57. Hurlbert SH (1984) Pseudoreplication and the design of ecological field experiments. Ecol Monogr 54:187-211
58. Brito-Hoyos DM, Sierra EB, Álvarez V (2013) Distribución geográfica del riesgo de rabia de origen silvestre y evaluación de los factores asociados con su incidencia. Rev Panam Salud Publica 33:8-14
59. Suzán G, Giermakowski JT, Marcé E, Suzán-Azpiri H, Armién B, Yates TL (2006) Modeling hantavirus reservoir species dominance in high seroprevalence areas on the Azuero Peninsula of Panama. Am J Trop Med Hyg 74:1103-1110
60. Nieto P, Malone JBJ, Bavia M (2006) Ecological niche modeling for visceral leishmaniasis in the state of Bahia, Brazil, using genetic algorithm for rule-set prediction and growing degree day-water budget. Geospat Health 1:115-126
61. Hernández J, Núñez I, Bacigalupo A, Cattan PE (2013) Modeling the spatial distribution of Chagas disease vectors using environmental variables and people's knowledge. Int J Health Geogr 12:29
62. Lee DN, Papeş M, Van Den Bussche R (2012) Present and potential future distribution of common vampire bats in the Americas and the associated risk to cattle. PLoS One 7:e42466
63. McCarthy T (1989) Human depredation by vampire bats (Desmodus rotundus) following a hog cholera campaign. Am J Trop Med Hyg 40:320-322
64. Voigt C, Kelm D (2006) Host preference of the common vampire bat (Desmodus rotundus; Chiroptera) assessed by stable isotopes. J Mammal 87:1-6
65. Peterson AT, Papeş M, Kluza DA (2003) Predicting the potential invasive distributions of four alien plant species in North America. Weed Sci 51:863-868
66. Doll CNH, Muller J-P, Morley JG (2006) Mapping regional economic activity from night-time light satellite imagery. Ecol Econ 57:75-92
67. Mazor T, Levin N, Possingham HP, Levy Y, Rocchini D, Richardson AJ, Kark S (2013) Can satellite-based night lights be used for conservation? The case of nesting sea turtles in the Mediterranean. Biol Conserv 159:63-72
68. Doll CNH, Pachauri S (2010) Estimating rural populations without access to electricity in developing countries through night-time light satellite imagery. Energy Policy 38:5661-5670
69. Bharti N, Tatem AJ, Ferrari MJ, Grais RF, Djibo A, Grenfell BT (2011) Explaining seasonal fluctuations of measles in Niger using nighttime lights imagery. Science 334:1424-1427
70. Weng Q (2008) Remote sensing of impervious surfaces. CRC Press, Boca Raton