메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 46, Issue 9-10, 2016, Pages 2717-2735

Detection of anthropogenic influence on the evolution of record-breaking temperatures over Europe

Author keywords

Climate change; Detection; Extreme events; Internal variability; Temperature record breaking statistics

Indexed keywords

AIR TEMPERATURE; ANTHROPOGENIC EFFECT; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; CLIMATE VARIATION; ENSEMBLE FORECASTING; EXTREME EVENT; TWENTY FIRST CENTURY; WINTER;

EID: 84936818010     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2725-8     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (10)

References (42)
  • 1
    • 77957724500 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reversible record breaking and variability: temperature distributions across the globe
    • Anderson A, Kostinski A (2010) Reversible record breaking and variability: temperature distributions across the globe. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 49(8):1681–1691. doi:10.1175/2010JAMC2407.1
    • (2010) J Appl Meteorol Climatol , vol.49 , Issue.8 , pp. 1681-1691
    • Anderson, A.1    Kostinski, A.2
  • 3
    • 0345329517 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How often can we expect a record event ?
    • Benestad RE (2003) How often can we expect a record event ? Clim Res 25:3–13
    • (2003) Clim Res , vol.25 , pp. 3-13
    • Benestad, R.E.1
  • 4
    • 9944221083 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Record-values, nonstationary tests and extreme value distributions
    • Benestad RE (2004) Record-values, nonstationary tests and extreme value distributions. Glob Planet Change 44(1–4):11–26. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.06.002
    • (2004) Glob Planet Change , vol.44 , Issue.1-4 , pp. 11-26
    • Benestad, R.E.1
  • 5
    • 43549123319 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties in summer evapotranspiration changes over Europe and implications for regional climate change
    • Boé J, Terray L (2008) Uncertainties in summer evapotranspiration changes over Europe and implications for regional climate change. Geophys Res Lett 35(5):L05702. doi:10.1029/2007GL032417
    • (2008) Geophys Res Lett , vol.35 , Issue.5 , pp. L05702
    • Boé, J.1    Terray, L.2
  • 6
    • 84885354541 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in temperature records and extremes: are they statistically significant?
    • Christiansen B (2013) Changes in temperature records and extremes: are they statistically significant? J Clim 26(20):7863–7875. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00814.1
    • (2013) J Clim , vol.26 , Issue.20 , pp. 7863-7875
    • Christiansen, B.1
  • 8
    • 84878365524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global increase in record-breaking monthly-mean temperatures
    • Coumou D, Robinson A, Rahmstorf S (2013) Global increase in record-breaking monthly-mean temperatures. Clim Change 118(3–4):771–782. doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0668-1
    • (2013) Clim Change , vol.118 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 771-782
    • Coumou, D.1    Robinson, A.2    Rahmstorf, S.3
  • 9
    • 35148866060 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Doubled length of western European summer heat waves since 1880
    • Della-Marta PM, Haylock MR, Luterbacher J, Wanner H (2007) Doubled length of western European summer heat waves since 1880. J Geophys Res 112(D15):D15103. doi:10.1029/2007JD008510
    • (2007) J Geophys Res , vol.112 , Issue.D15 , pp. D15103
    • Della-Marta, P.M.1    Haylock, M.R.2    Luterbacher, J.3    Wanner, H.4
  • 10
    • 84873717180 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Historical and future changes in maximum and minimum temperature records over Europe
    • Elguindi N, Rauscher SA, Giorgi F (2012) Historical and future changes in maximum and minimum temperature records over Europe. Clim Change 117(1–2):415–431. doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0528-z
    • (2012) Clim Change , vol.117 , Issue.1-2 , pp. 415-431
    • Elguindi, N.1    Rauscher, S.A.2    Giorgi, F.3
  • 11
    • 84867222090 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in European summer temperature variability revisited
    • Fischer EM, Rajczak J, Schär C (2012) Changes in European summer temperature variability revisited. Geophys Res Lett. doi:10.1029/2012GL052730
    • (2012) Geophys Res Lett
    • Fischer, E.M.1    Rajczak, J.2    Schär, C.3
  • 12
    • 78650352752 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Records and sequences of records from random variables with a linear trend
    • Franke J, Wergen G, Krug J (2010) Records and sequences of records from random variables with a linear trend. J Stat Mech. doi:10.1088/1742-5468/2010/10/P10013
    • (2010) J Stat Mech
    • Franke, J.1    Wergen, G.2    Krug, J.3
  • 13
    • 84886303975 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate drift in the CMIP5 models*
    • Gupta AS, Jourdain NC, Brown JN, Monselesan D (2013) Climate drift in the CMIP5 models*. J Clim 26(21):8597–8615. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00521.1
    • (2013) J Clim , vol.26 , Issue.21 , pp. 8597-8615
    • Gupta, A.S.1    Jourdain, N.C.2    Brown, J.N.3    Monselesan, D.4
  • 14
    • 84866306521 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Perception of climate change
    • Hansen J, Sato M, Ruedy R (2012) Perception of climate change. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 109(37):E2415–E2423. doi:10.1073/pnas.1205276109
    • (2012) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.109 , Issue.37 , pp. E2415-E2423
    • Hansen, J.1    Sato, M.2    Ruedy, R.3
  • 15
    • 58149250231 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A European daily high-resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation for 1950–2006
    • Haylock MR, Hofstra N, Klein Tank AMG, Klok EJ, Jones PD, New M (2008) A European daily high-resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation for 1950–2006. J Geophys Res 113(D20):D20119. doi:10.1029/2008JD010201
    • (2008) J Geophys Res , vol.113 , Issue.D20 , pp. D20119
    • Haylock, M.R.1    Hofstra, N.2    Klein Tank, A.M.G.3    Klok, E.J.4    Jones, P.D.5    New, M.6
  • 16
    • 84912107853 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change 2007: the physical science basis
    • Contribution of Working Group I to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY
    • IPCC (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) Contribution of Working Group I to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, 996 pp
    • (2007) Solomon S , pp. 996
    • Qin, D.1    Manning, M.2    Chen, Z.3    Marquis, M.4    Averyt, K.B.5    Tignor, M.6    Miller, H.L.7
  • 17
    • 84873506663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation
    • A special report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY
    • IPCC (2012) Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. In: Field CB, Barros V, Stocker TF, Qin D, Dokken DJ, Ebi KL, Mastrandrea MD, Mach KJ, Plattner GK, Allen SK, Tignor M, Midgley PM (eds) A special report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, 582 pp
    • (2012) Field CB , pp. 582
    • Barros, V.1    Stocker, T.F.2    Qin, D.3    Dokken, D.J.4    Ebi, K.L.5    Mastrandrea, M.D.6    Mach, K.J.7    Plattner, G.K.8    Allen, S.K.9    Tignor, M.10    Midgley, P.M.11
  • 18
    • 84899952179 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate change 2013: the physical science basis
    • Contribution of Working Group I to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY
    • IPCC (2013) Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley PM (eds) Contribution of Working Group I to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, 1535 pp
    • (2013) Stocker TF , pp. 1535
    • Qin, D.1    Plattner, G.-K.2    Tignor, M.3    Allen, S.K.4    Boschung, J.5    Nauels, A.6    Xia, Y.7    Bex, V.8    Midgley, P.M.9
  • 19
    • 2142722784 scopus 로고
    • Extreme events in a changing climate: variability is more important than averages
    • Katz RW, Brown BG (1992) Extreme events in a changing climate: variability is more important than averages. Clim Change 21:289–302
    • (1992) Clim Change , vol.21 , pp. 289-302
    • Katz, R.W.1    Brown, B.G.2
  • 20
    • 34547662844 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Records in a changing world
    • Krug J (2007) Records in a changing world. J Stat Mech Theory Exp 2007(07):P07001–P07001. doi:10.1088/1742-5468/2007/07/P07001
    • (2007) J Stat Mech Theory Exp , vol.2007 , Issue.7 , pp. P07001
    • Krug, J.1
  • 21
    • 72049089021 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relative increase of record high maximum temperatures compared to record low minimum temperatures in the US
    • Meehl GA, Tebaldi C, Walton G, Easterling D, McDaniel L (2009) Relative increase of record high maximum temperatures compared to record low minimum temperatures in the US. Geophys Res Lett 36(23):L23701. doi:10.1029/2009GL040736
    • (2009) Geophys Res Lett , vol.36 , Issue.23 , pp. L23701
    • Meehl, G.A.1    Tebaldi, C.2    Walton, G.3    Easterling, D.4    McDaniel, L.5
  • 23
    • 78651446220 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Statistical properties of record-breaking temperatures
    • Newman WI, Malamud BD, Turcotte DL (2010) Statistical properties of record-breaking temperatures. Phys Rev E 82(6):066111. doi:10.1103/PhysRevE.82.066111
    • (2010) Phys Rev E , vol.82 , Issue.6 , pp. 066111
    • Newman, W.I.1    Malamud, B.D.2    Turcotte, D.L.3
  • 24
    • 77949269598 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Mean and variance evolutions of the hot and cold temperatures in Europe
    • Parey S, Dacunha-Castelle D, Hoang TTH (2009) Mean and variance evolutions of the hot and cold temperatures in Europe. Clim Dyn 34(2–3):345–359. doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0557-0
    • (2009) Clim Dyn , vol.34 , Issue.2-3 , pp. 345-359
    • Parey, S.1    Dacunha-Castelle, D.2    Hoang, T.T.H.3
  • 26
    • 81055145470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Increase of extreme events in a warming world
    • Rahmstorf S, Coumou D (2011) Increase of extreme events in a warming world. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 108(44):17905–17909. doi:10.1073/pnas.1101766108
    • (2011) Proc Natl Acad Sci USA , vol.108 , Issue.44 , pp. 17905-17909
    • Rahmstorf, S.1    Coumou, D.2
  • 27
    • 33845732195 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Role of global warming on the statistics of record-breaking temperatures
    • Redner S, Petersen M (2006) Role of global warming on the statistics of record-breaking temperatures. Phys Rev E 74(6):061114. doi:10.1103/PhysRevE.74.061114
    • (2006) Phys Rev E , vol.74 , Issue.6 , pp. 061114
    • Redner, S.1    Petersen, M.2
  • 29
    • 67651043640 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How soon will climate records of the 20th century be broken according to climate model simulations?
    • Ruokolainen L, Räisänen J (2009) How soon will climate records of the 20th century be broken according to climate model simulations? Tellus A 61(4):476–490. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2009.00398.x
    • (2009) Tellus A , vol.61 , Issue.4 , pp. 476-490
    • Ruokolainen, L.1    Räisänen, J.2
  • 30
    • 1542280010 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves
    • Schär C, Vidale PL, Lüthi D, Frei C, Häberli C, Liniger MA, Appenzeller C (2004) The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves. Nature 427(January):3926–3928. doi:10.1038/nature02230.1
    • (2004) Nature , vol.427 , Issue.January , pp. 3926-3928
    • Schär, C.1    Vidale, P.L.2    Lüthi, D.3    Frei, C.4    Häberli, C.5    Liniger, M.A.6    Appenzeller, C.7
  • 31
    • 28144433995 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • European temperature distribution changes in observations and climate change scenarios
    • Scherrer SC, Apenzeller C, Liniger MA, Schär C (2005) European temperature distribution changes in observations and climate change scenarios. Geophys Res Lett 32(19):L19705. doi:10.1029/2005GL024108
    • (2005) Geophys Res Lett , vol.32 , Issue.19 , pp. L19705
    • Scherrer, S.C.1    Apenzeller, C.2    Liniger, M.A.3    Schär, C.4
  • 32
    • 33748660216 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Land–atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe
    • Seneviratne SI, Lüthi D, Litschi M, Schär C (2006) Land–atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe. Nature 443(7108):205–209. doi:10.1038/nature05095
    • (2006) Nature , vol.443 , Issue.7108 , pp. 205-209
    • Seneviratne, S.I.1    Lüthi, D.2    Litschi, M.3    Schär, C.4
  • 33
    • 2642518018 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic winter climate response to large tropical volcanic eruptions since 1600
    • Shindell DT, Schmidt GA (2004) Dynamic winter climate response to large tropical volcanic eruptions since 1600. J Geophys Res 109(D5):D05104. doi:10.1029/2003JD004151
    • (2004) J Geophys Res , vol.109 , Issue.D5 , pp. D05104
    • Shindell, D.T.1    Schmidt, G.A.2
  • 34
    • 84878518750 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Quantifying 21st-century France climate change and related uncertainties
    • Terray L, Boé J (2013) Quantifying 21st-century France climate change and related uncertainties. CR Geosci 345(3):136–149. doi:10.1016/j.crte.2013.02.003
    • (2013) CR Geosci , vol.345 , Issue.3 , pp. 136-149
    • Terray, L.1    Boé, J.2
  • 35
    • 79960683224 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Changes in the frequency of record temperatures in Australia, 1957–2009
    • Trewin B, Vermont H (2010) Changes in the frequency of record temperatures in Australia, 1957–2009. Aust Meteorol Oceanogr J 60:113–119
    • (2010) Aust Meteorol Oceanogr J , vol.60 , pp. 113-119
    • Trewin, B.1    Vermont, H.2
  • 36
    • 84973886264 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term multi-gas scenarios to stabilise radiative forcing: exploring costs and benefits within an integrated assessment framework
    • Van Vuuren DP, Eickhout B, Lucas PL, den Elzen MGJ (2006) Long-term multi-gas scenarios to stabilise radiative forcing: exploring costs and benefits within an integrated assessment framework. Energy J SI2006(01):201234. doi:10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-VolSI2006-NoSI3-10
    • (2006) Energy J , vol.SI2006 , Issue.1 , pp. 201234
    • Van Vuuren, D.P.1    Eickhout, B.2    Lucas, P.L.3    den Elzen, M.G.J.4
  • 37
    • 33847394962 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations at low levels: an assessment of reduction strategies and costs
    • Van Vuuren DP, Elzen MGJ, Lucas PL, Eickhout B, Strengers BJ, Ruijven B, Houdt R (2007) Stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations at low levels: an assessment of reduction strategies and costs. Clim Change 81(2):119159. doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9172-9
    • (2007) Clim Change , vol.81 , Issue.2 , pp. 119159
    • Van Vuuren, D.P.1    Elzen, M.G.J.2    Lucas, P.L.3    Eickhout, B.4    Strengers, B.J.5    Ruijven, B.6    Houdt, R.7
  • 39
    • 79955938365 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Record-breaking temperatures reveal a warming climate
    • Wergen G, Krug J (2010) Record-breaking temperatures reveal a warming climate. EPL (Europhys Lett) 92(3):30008. doi:10.1209/0295-5075/92/30008
    • (2010) EPL (Europhys Lett) , vol.92 , Issue.3 , pp. 30008
    • Wergen, G.1    Krug, J.2
  • 40
    • 84894331332 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Record occurrence and record values in daily and monthly
    • Wergen G, Hense A, Krug J (2014) Record occurrence and record values in daily and monthly. Clim Dyn 42(5–6):1275–1289
    • (2014) Clim Dyn , vol.42 , Issue.5-6 , pp. 1275-1289
    • Wergen, G.1    Hense, A.2    Krug, J.3
  • 41
    • 0034670993 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ENSO, volcanoes and record-breaking temperatures
    • Wigley TML (2000) ENSO, volcanoes and record-breaking temperatures. Geophys Res Lett 27(24):4101–4104. doi:10.1029/2000GL012159
    • (2000) Geophys Res Lett , vol.27 , Issue.24 , pp. 4101-4104
    • Wigley, T.M.L.1
  • 42
    • 84856185052 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Enlightening global dimming and brightening
    • Wild M (2011) Enlightening global dimming and brightening. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 93(1):27–37. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00074.1
    • (2011) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.93 , Issue.1 , pp. 27-37
    • Wild, M.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.