Changes in European summer temperature variability revisited

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 39, Issue 18, 2012, Pages

  Fischer, E M ^a   Rajczak, J ^a   Schar C ^a  

^a Land Climate Dynamics Group   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; GREENHOUSE GASES; SOIL MOISTURE;

CENTRAL EUROPE; DAILY TEMPERATURES; GREENHOUSE-GAS FORCING; INTERANNUAL; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; MEAN TEMPERATURE; MODEL PERFORMANCE; MULTI-MODEL; REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS; ROBUST SIGNALS; SENSIBLE HEAT FLUX; SUMMER TEMPERATURE; TIME-SCALES;

COMPUTER SIMULATION;

ANTHROPOGENIC EFFECT; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE MODELING; GREENHOUSE GAS; HEAT FLUX; MODEL VALIDATION; SOIL MOISTURE; SUMMER; TEMPERATURE GRADIENT; TIMESCALE; TWENTY FIRST CENTURY;

EUROPE;

EID: 84867222090     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2012GL052730     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Ballester, J., F. Giorgi, and X. Rodo (2010), Changes in European temperature extremes can be predicted from changes in PDF central statistics, Clim. Change, 98(1-2), 277-284, doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9758-0.
2. Boberg, F., and J. H. Christensen (2012), Overestimation of Mediterranean summer temperature projections due to model deficiencies, Nat. Clim. Change, 2, 433-436, doi:10.1038/nclimate1454.
3. Buser, C. M., H. R. Kunsch, D. Lüthi, M. Wild, and C. Schär (2009), Bayesian multi-model projection of climate: Bias assumptions and inter-annual variability, Clim. Dyn., 33(6), 849-868, doi:10.1007/s00382-009- 0588-6.
4. Christensen, J. H., and O. Christensen (2007), A summary of the PRUDENCE model projections of changes in European climate by the end of this century, Clim. Change, 81, 7-30, doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9210-7. (Pubitemid 46716673)
5. Christensen, J. H., F. Boberg, O. B. Christensen, and P. Lucas-Picher (2008), On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L20709, doi:10.1029/2008GL035694.
6. Della-Marta, P. M., J. Luterbacher, H. V. Weissenfluh, E. Xoplaki, M. Brunet, and H. Wanner (2007), Doubled length of western European summer heat waves since 1880, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D15103, doi:10.1029/2007JD008510. (Pubitemid 47534400)
7. Fischer, E. M., and C. Schär (2009), Future changes in daily summer temperature variability: Driving processes and role for temperature extremes, Clim. Dyn., 33(7-8), 917-935, doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0473-8.
8. Fischer, E. M., and C. Schär (2010), Consistent geographical patterns of changes in high-impact European heatwaves, Nat. Geosci., 3(6), 398-403, doi:10.1038/ngeo866.
9. Fischer, E. M., S. I. Seneviratne, D. Lüthi, and C. Schär (2007), Contribution of land-atmosphere coupling to recent European summer heat waves, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L06707, doi:10.1029/2006GL029068. (Pubitemid 46865329)
10. Fischer, A. M., A. P. Weigel, C. M. Buser, R. Knutti, H. R. Künsch, M. A. Liniger, C. Schär, and C. Appenzeller (2011a), Climate change projections for Switzerland based on a Bayesian multi model approach, Int. J. Climatol., doi:10.1002/joc.3396, in press.
11. Fischer, E. M., D. M. Lawrence, and B. M. Sanderson (2011b), Quantifying uncertainties in projections of extremes\-A perturbed land surface parameter experiment, Clim. Dyn., 37(7-8), 1381-1398, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0915-y.
12. Giorgi, F., X. Q. Bi, and J. S. Pal (2004), Mean, interannual variability and trends in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. II: Climate change scenarios (2071-2100), Clim. Dyn., 23(7-8), 839-858, doi:10.1007/s00382- 004-0467-0.
13. Gregory, J. M., and J. F. B. Mitchell (1995), Simulation of daily variability of surface-temperature and precipitation over Europe in the current and 2xCO2 climates using the UKMO climate model, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 121(526), 1451-1476. (Pubitemid 26440858)
14. Hohenegger, C., P. Brockhaus, C. S. Bretherton, and C. Schär (2009), The soil moisture-precipitation feedback in simulations with explicit and parameterized convection, J. Clim., 22(19), 5003-5020, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2604. 1.
15. Katz, R. W., and B. G. Brown (1992), Extreme events in a changing climate: Variability is more important than averages, Clim. Change, 21, 289-302, doi:10.1007/BF00139728.
16. Kharin, V. V., F. W. Zwiers, X. B. Zhang, and G. C. Hegerl (2007), Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations, J. Clim., 20(8), 1419-1444, doi:10.1175/JCLI4066.1. (Pubitemid 46681942)
17. Kjellström, E., L. Bärring, D. Jacob, R. Jones, G. Lenderink, and C. Schär (2007), Modelling daily temperature extremes: Recent climate and future changes over Europe, Clim. Change, 81, 249-265, doi:10.1007/s10584- 006-9220-5. (Pubitemid 46716683)
18. Kjellström, E., F. Boberg, M. Castro, J. H. Christensen, G. Nikulin, and E. Sánchez (2010), Daily and monthly temperature and precipitation statistics as performance indicators for regional climate models, Clim. Res., 44, 135-150, doi:10.3354/cr00932.
19. Koster, R. D., H. Wang, S. D. Schubert, M. J. Suarez, and S. Mahanama (2009), Drought-induced warming in the continental United States under different SST regimes, J. Clim., 22, 5385-5400, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3075.1.
20. Lenderink, G., A. van Ulden, B. van den Hurk, and E. van Meijgaard (2007), Summertime inter-annual temperature variability in an ensemble of regional model simulations: analysis of the surface energy budget, Clim. Change, 81, 233-247, doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9229-9. (Pubitemid 46716682)
21. Orlowsky, B., and S. I. Seneviratne (2011), Global changes in extreme events: Regional and seasonal dimension, Clim. Change, 110(3-4), 28, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0122-9.
22. Parey, S., D. Dacunha-Castelle, and T. T. H. Hoang (2010), Mean and variance evolutions of the hot and cold temperatures in Europe, Clim. Dyn., 34(2-3), 345-359, doi:10.1007/s00382-009-0557-0.
23. Schär, C., P. L. Vidale, D. Lüthi, C. Frei, C. Häberli, M. A. Liniger, and C. Appenzeller (2004), The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves, Nature, 427(6972), 332-336, doi:10.1038/nature02300. (Pubitemid 38133656)
24. Seneviratne, S. I., D. Lüthi, M. Litschi, and C. Schär (2006), Land-atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe, Nature, 443(7108), 205-209, doi:10.1038/nature05095. (Pubitemid 44387607)
25. Ulden, A. V., G. Lenderink, B. D. Hurk, and E. V. Meijgaard (2007), Circulation statistics and climate change in central Europe: PRUDENCE simulations and observations, Clim. Change, 81, Suppl. 1, 179-192, doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9212-5. (Pubitemid 46716679)
26. van den Besselaar, E., M. Haylock, G. Van der Schrier, and A. Klein Tank (2011), A European daily high-resolution observational gridded data set of sea level pressure, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D11110, doi:10.1029/2010JD015468.
27. van der Linden, P., and J. F. B. Mitchell (2009), ENSEMBLES: Climate change and its impacts: Summary of research and results from the ENSEMBLES project, report, 160 pp., Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK.
28. Vidale, P. L., D. Lüthi, C. Frei, S. I. Seneviratne, and C. Schär (2003), Predictability and uncertainty in a regional climate model, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D18), 4586, doi:10.1029/2002JD002810.
29. Vidale, P. L., D. Lüthi, R. Wegmann, and C. Schär (2007), European summer climate variability in a heterogeneous multi-model ensemble, Clim. Change, 81, 209-232, doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9218-z. (Pubitemid 46716681)
30. Yiou, P., D. Dacunha-Castelle, S. Parey, and T. T. Huong Hoang (2009), Statistical representation of temperature mean and variability in Europe, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L04710, doi:10.1029/2008GL036836.