메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 64, Issue 1, 2015, Pages 15-23

Sea level rise projections for Northern Europe under RCP8.5

Author keywords

British Isles; Coastal adaptation; Fennoscandia; Regional sea level; Relative sea level; Tail risk

Indexed keywords

AQUATIC COMMUNITY; GLACIOISOSTASY; ICE SHEET; MARINE ENVIRONMENT; RISK FACTOR; SEA LEVEL CHANGE; TWENTY FIRST CENTURY;

EID: 84932127581     PISSN: 0936577X     EISSN: 16161572     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/cr01309     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (98)

References (50)
  • 1
    • 84875700477 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets
    • Bamber JL, Aspinall WP (2013) An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets. Nat Clim Change 3: 424-427
    • (2013) Nat Clim Change , vol.3 , pp. 424-427
    • Bamber, J.L.1    Aspinall, W.P.2
  • 2
    • 78650570219 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The sea level fingerprint of recent ice mass fluxes
    • Bamber J, Riva R (2010) The sea level fingerprint of recent ice mass fluxes. The Cryosphere 4: 621-627
    • (2010) The Cryosphere , vol.4 , pp. 621-627
    • Bamber, J.1    Riva, R.2
  • 3
    • 79959620670 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An im -proved glacial isostatic adjustment model for the British Isles
    • Bradley S, Milne G, Shennan I, Edwards RJ (2011) An im -proved glacial isostatic adjustment model for the British Isles. J Quaternary Sci 26: 541-552
    • (2011) J Quaternary Sci , vol.26 , pp. 541-552
    • Bradley, S.1    Milne, G.2    Shennan, I.3    Edwards, R.J.4
  • 4
    • 84907901218 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impacts and economic costs of sea-level rise in Eu -rope and the costs and benefits of adaptation. Summary of results from the EC RTD ClimateCost Project
    • Watkiss P Stockholm Environment Institute, Stockholm
    • Brown S, Nicholls RJ, Vafeidis A, Hinkel J, Watkiss P (2011) The impacts and economic costs of sea-level rise in Eu -rope and the costs and benefits of adaptation. Summary of results from the EC RTD ClimateCost Project. In: Watkiss P (ed) The ClimateCost Project. Final report. Vol 1: Europe. Stockholm Environment Institute, Stockholm
    • (2011) The ClimateCost Project. Final Report Vol 1: Europe
    • Brown, S.1    Nicholls, R.J.2    Vafeidis, A.3    Hinkel, J.4    Watkiss, P.5
  • 5
    • 0002555338 scopus 로고
    • The difficulty of assessing uncertainty
    • Capen EC (1976) The difficulty of assessing uncertainty. J Pet Technol 28: 843-850
    • (1976) J Pet Technol , vol.28 , pp. 843-850
    • Capen, E.C.1
  • 6
    • 84897583391 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea level change
    • Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner GK, Tignor M and others (eds), Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • Church JA, Clark PU, Cazenave A, Gregory JM and others (2013a) Sea level change. In: Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner GK, Tignor M and others (eds) Climate change 2013: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    • (2013) Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis.
    • Church, J.A.1    Clark, P.U.2    Cazenave, A.3    Gregory, J.M.4
  • 11
    • 77950468243 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200 to 2100AD
    • Grinsted A, Moore J, Jevrejeva S (2010) Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200 to 2100AD. Clim Dyn 34: 461-472
    • (2010) Clim Dyn , vol.34 , pp. 461-472
    • Grinsted, A.1    Moore, J.2    Jevrejeva, S.3
  • 12
    • 79951500381 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combination of geodetic observations and models for glacial isostatic adjustment fields in Fennoscandia
    • Hill EM, Davis JL, Tamisiea ME, Lidberg M (2010) Combination of geodetic observations and models for glacial isostatic adjustment fields in Fennoscandia. J Geophys Res 115: B07403, doi: 10.1029/2009JB006967
    • (2010) J Geophys Res , vol.115
    • Hill, E.M.1    Davis, J.L.2    Tamisiea, M.E.3    Lidberg, M.4
  • 13
    • 84857078665 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the subsidence of peat soils in the Dutch coastal area
    • Hoogland T, Van Den Akker JJH, Brus DJ (2012) Modeling the subsidence of peat soils in the Dutch coastal area. Geoderma 171-172: 92-97
    • (2012) Geoderma , vol.171-172 , pp. 92-97
    • Hoogland, T.1    Van Den Akker, J.J.H.2    Brus, D.J.3
  • 15
    • 84902796350 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sources of 21st century regional sea-level rise along the coast of northwest Europe
    • Howard T, Pardaens AK, Bamber JL, Ridley J and others (2014) Sources of 21st century regional sea-level rise along the coast of northwest Europe. Ocean Sci 10: 473-483
    • (2014) Ocean Sci , vol.10 , pp. 473-483
    • Howard, T.1    Pardaens, A.K.2    Bamber, J.L.3    Ridley, J.4
  • 16
    • 79960310496 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of the potential melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet on the meridional overturning circulation and global climate in the future
    • Hu A, Meehl GA, Han W, Yin J (2011) Effect of the potential melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet on the meridional overturning circulation and global climate in the future. Deep-Sea Res II 58: 1914-1926
    • (2011) Deep-Sea Res II , vol.58 , pp. 1914-1926
    • Hu, A.1    Meehl, G.A.2    Han, W.3    Yin, J.4
  • 18
    • 77950496254 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100?
    • Jevrejeva S, Moore J, Grinsted A (2010) How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100? Geophys Res Lett 37: L07703, doi: 10.1029/2010GL042947
    • (2010) Geophys Res Lett , vol.37 , pp. L07703
    • Jevrejeva, S.1    Moore, J.2    Grinsted, A.3
  • 19
    • 80755148805 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sea level projections to AD2500 with a new generation of climate change scenarios
    • Jevrejeva S, Moore JC, Grinsted A (2012) Sea level projections to AD2500 with a new generation of climate change scenarios. Global Planet Change 80-81: 14-20
    • (2012) Global Planet Change , vol.80-81 , pp. 14-20
    • Jevrejeva, S.1    Moore, J.C.2    Grinsted, A.3
  • 20
    • 84907893179 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Upper limit for sea level projections by 2100
    • Jevrejeva, Grinsted A, Moore JC (2014a) Upper limit for sea level projections by 2100. Environ Res Lett 9: 104008
    • (2014) Environ Res Lett , vol.9 , pp. 104008
    • Jevrejeva, G.A.1
  • 23
    • 84900424756 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Marine ice sheet collapse potentially underway for the Thwaites Glacier Basin, West Antarctica
    • Joughin I, Smith BE, Medley B (2014) Marine ice sheet collapse potentially underway for the Thwaites Glacier Basin, West Antarctica. Science 344: 735-738
    • (2014) Science , vol.344 , pp. 735-738
    • Joughin, I.1    Smith, B.E.2    Medley, B.3
  • 24
    • 56549130710 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate scenarios of sea level rise for the northeast Atlantic Ocean: A study including the effects of ocean dynamics and gravity changes induced by ice melt
    • Katsman CA, Hazeleger W, Drijfhout SS, van Oldenborgh GJ, Burgers G (2008) Climate scenarios of sea level rise for the northeast Atlantic Ocean: a study including the effects of ocean dynamics and gravity changes induced by ice melt. Clim Change 91: 351-374
    • (2008) Clim Change , vol.91 , pp. 351-374
    • Katsman, C.A.1    Hazeleger, W.2    Drijfhout, S.S.3    Van Oldenborgh, G.J.4    Burgers, G.5
  • 25
    • 81555195669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exploring high-end scenarios for local sea level rise to develop flood protection strategies for a low-lying delta - The Netherlands as an example
    • Katsman CA, Sterl A, Beersma JJ, van den Brink HW and others (2011) Exploring high-end scenarios for local sea level rise to develop flood protection strategies for a low-lying delta - the Netherlands as an example. Clim Change 109: 617-645
    • (2011) Clim Change , vol.109 , pp. 617-645
    • Katsman, C.A.1    Sterl, A.2    Beersma, J.J.3    Van Den Brink, H.W.4
  • 26
    • 0036662603 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Late Quaternary sea-level change and isostatic and tectonic land movements along the Belgian-Dutch North Sea coast: Geological data and model results
    • Kiden P, Denys L, Johnston P (2002) Late Quaternary sea-level change and isostatic and tectonic land movements along the Belgian-Dutch North Sea coast: geological data and model results. J Quaternary Sci 17: 535-546
    • (2002) J Quaternary Sci , vol.17 , pp. 535-546
    • Kiden, P.1    Denys, L.2    Johnston, P.3
  • 27
    • 84906494210 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic 21st and 22nd century sea-level projections at a global network of tide-gauge sites
    • Kopp RE, Horton RM, Little CM, Mitrovica JX and others (2014) Probabilistic 21st and 22nd century sea-level projections at a global network of tide-gauge sites. Earth's Future 2: 383-406
    • (2014) Earth's Future , vol.2 , pp. 383-406
    • Kopp, R.E.1    Horton, R.M.2    Little, C.M.3    Mitrovica, J.X.4
  • 28
    • 33847368816 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regional dynamic and steric sea level change in response to the IPCC-A1B scenario
    • Landerer FW, Jungclaus JH, Marotzke J (2007) Regional dynamic and steric sea level change in response to the IPCC-A1B scenario. J Phys Oceanogr 37: 296-312
    • (2007) J Phys Oceanogr , vol.37 , pp. 296-312
    • Landerer, F.W.1    Jungclaus, J.H.2    Marotzke, J.3
  • 30
    • 0031869935 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Postglacial sea-level change on a rotating Earth
    • Milne GA, Mitrovica JX (1998a) Postglacial sea-level change on a rotating Earth. Geophys J Int 133: 1-19
    • (1998) Geophys J Int , vol.133 , pp. 1-19
    • Milne, G.A.1    Mitrovica, J.X.2
  • 31
    • 0032520591 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The influence of time-dependent ocean-continent geometry on predictions of post-glacial sea level change in Australia and New Zealand
    • Milne GA, Mitrovica JX (1998b) The influence of time-dependent ocean-continent geometry on predictions of post-glacial sea level change in Australia and New Zealand. Geophys Res Lett 25: 793-796
    • (1998) Geophys Res Lett , vol.25 , pp. 793-796
    • Milne, G.A.1    Mitrovica, J.X.2
  • 32
    • 0026273194 scopus 로고
    • On post-glacial geoid subsidence over the equatorial oceans
    • Mitrovica JX, Peltier WR (1991) On post-glacial geoid subsidence over the equatorial oceans. J Geophys Res 96: 20053-20071
    • (1991) J Geophys Res , vol.96 , pp. 20053-20071
    • Mitrovica, J.X.1    Peltier, W.R.2
  • 33
    • 0035931898 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Recent mass balance of polar ice sheets inferred from patterns of global sea-level change
    • Mitrovica JX, Tamisiea ME, Davis JL, Milne GA (2001) Recent mass balance of polar ice sheets inferred from patterns of global sea-level change. Nature 409: 1026-1029
    • (2001) Nature , vol.409 , pp. 1026-1029
    • Mitrovica, J.X.1    Tamisiea, M.E.2    Davis, J.L.3    Milne, G.A.4
  • 34
    • 84895155462 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sustained increase in ice discharge from the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica, from 1973 to 2013
    • Mouginot J, Rignot E, Scheuchl B (2014) Sustained increase in ice discharge from the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica, from 1973 to 2013. Geophys Res Lett 41: 1576-1584
    • (2014) Geophys Res Lett , vol.41 , pp. 1576-1584
    • Mouginot, J.1    Rignot, E.2    Scheuchl, B.3
  • 36
    • 79551594755 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regionally differentiated contribution of mountain glaciers and ice caps to future sea-level rise
    • Radić V, Hock R (2011) Regionally differentiated contribution of mountain glaciers and ice caps to future sea-level rise. Nat Geosci 4: 91-94
    • (2011) Nat Geosci , vol.4 , pp. 91-94
    • Radić, V.1    Hock, R.2
  • 37
    • 80053907929 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • RCP 8.5 - A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions
    • Riahi K, Rao S, Krey V, Cho C and others (2011) RCP 8.5 - a scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions. Clim Change 109: 33-57
    • (2011) Clim Change , vol.109 , pp. 33-57
    • Riahi, K.1    Rao, S.2    Krey, V.3    Cho, C.4
  • 38
    • 84876913892 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of self-attraction and loading effects induced by shelf mass loading on projected regional sea level rise
    • Richter K, Riva REM, Drange H (2013) Impact of self-attraction and loading effects induced by shelf mass loading on projected regional sea level rise. Geophys Res Lett 40: 1144-1148
    • (2013) Geophys Res Lett , vol.40 , pp. 1144-1148
    • Richter, K.1    Riva, R.E.M.2    Drange, H.3
  • 39
    • 84901087558 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Widespread, rapid grounding line retreat of Pine Island, Thwaites, Smith and Kohler glaciers, West Antarctica from 1992 to 2011
    • Rignot M, Morlighem S, Morlighem M, Seroussi H, Scheuchl B (2014) Widespread, rapid grounding line retreat of Pine Island, Thwaites, Smith and Kohler glaciers, West Antarctica from 1992 to 2011. Geophys Res Lett 41: 3502-3509
    • (2014) Geophys Res Lett , vol.41 , pp. 3502-3509
    • Rignot, M.1    Morlighem, S.2    Morlighem, M.3    Seroussi, H.4    Scheuchl, B.5
  • 40
    • 84859413877 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates
    • Rogelj J, Meinshausen M, Knutti R (2012) Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates. Nat Clim Change 2: 248-253
    • (2012) Nat Clim Change , vol.2 , pp. 248-253
    • Rogelj, J.1    Meinshausen, M.2    Knutti, R.3
  • 41
    • 84870202275 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A reconciled estimate of ice-sheet mass balance
    • Shepherd A, Ivins ER, Geruo A, Barletta VR and others (2012) A reconciled estimate of ice-sheet mass balance. Science 338: 1183-1189
    • (2012) Science , vol.338 , pp. 1183-1189
    • Shepherd, A.1    Ivins, E.R.2    Geruo, A.3    Barletta, V.R.4
  • 43
    • 84857439624 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards regional projections of twenty-first century sea-level change based on IPCC SRES scenarios
    • Slangen ABA, Katsman CA, van de Wal RSW, Vermeersen LLA, Riva REM (2011) Towards regional projections of twenty-first century sea-level change based on IPCC SRES scenarios. Clim Dyn 38: 1191-1209
    • (2011) Clim Dyn , vol.38 , pp. 1191-1209
    • Slangen, A.B.A.1    Katsman, C.A.2    Van De Wal, R.S.W.3    Vermeersen, L.L.A.4    Riva, R.E.M.5
  • 44
    • 84874482451 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The gravitationally consistent sea-level fingerprint of future terrestrial ice loss
    • Spada G, Bamber JL, Hurkmans RTWL (2013) The gravitationally consistent sea-level fingerprint of future terrestrial ice loss. Geophys Res Lett 40: 482-486
    • (2013) Geophys Res Lett , vol.40 , pp. 482-486
    • Spada, G.1    Bamber, J.L.2    Hurkmans, R.T.W.L.3
  • 45
    • 84932110439 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Anomalous secular sea-level acceleration in the Baltic Sea caused by isostatic adjustment
    • Spada G, Olivieri M, Galassi G (2014) Anomalous secular sea-level acceleration in the Baltic Sea caused by isostatic adjustment. Ann Geophys 57: S0432
    • (2014) Ann Geophys , vol.57
    • Spada, G.1    Olivieri, M.2    Galassi, G.3
  • 46
    • 80053196607 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to Greenland ice melting
    • Stammer D, Agarwal N, Herrmann P, Köhl A, Mechoso CR (2011) Response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to Greenland ice melting. Surv Geophys 32: 621-642
    • (2011) Surv Geophys , vol.32 , pp. 621-642
    • Stammer, D.1    Agarwal, N.2    Herrmann, P.3    Köhl, A.4    Mechoso, C.R.5
  • 47
    • 84939813566 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamic response of Antarctic ice shelves to bedrock uncertainty
    • Sun S, Cornford SL, Liu Y, Moore JC (2014) Dynamic response of Antarctic ice shelves to bedrock uncertainty. The Cryosphere Discuss 8: 479-508
    • (2014) The Cryosphere Discuss , vol.8 , pp. 479-508
    • Sun, S.1    Cornford, S.L.2    Liu, Y.3    Moore, J.C.4
  • 50
    • 77958109763 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Spatial variability of sea-level rise in 21st century projections
    • Yin J, Griffies SM, Stouffer RJ (2010) Spatial variability of sea-level rise in 21st century projections. J Clim 23: 4585-4607
    • (2010) J Clim , vol.23 , pp. 4585-4607
    • Yin, J.1    Griffies, S.M.2    Stouffer, R.J.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.