Fish population persistence in hydrologically variable landscapes

Ecological Applications

Volumn 25, Issue 4, 2015, Pages 901-913

  Bond, Nick R ^a   Balcombe, Stephen R ^a   Crook, David A ^b,d   Marshall, Jonathan C ^a,c   Menke, Norbert ^c   Lobegeiger, Jaye S ^c  

^a GRIFFITH UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^b ARTHUR RYLAH INSTITUTE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH   (Australia)

^c DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT AND RESOURCE MANAGEMENT   (Australia)

^d CHARLES DARWIN UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

Author keywords

Australia; Climate change; Drought; Dryland rivers; Golden perch; Intermittent streams; Macquaria ambigua; Metapopulation; Murray Darling Basin; Population viability analysis; Water planning; Waterholes

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; HUMAN ACTIVITY; METAPOPULATION; PERCIFORM; PERSISTENCE; POPULATION DECLINE; POPULATION GROWTH; POPULATION VIABILITY ANALYSIS; RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS; WATER USE;

AUSTRALIA; MURRAY-DARLING BASIN;

MACQUARIA AMBIGUA;

ANIMAL; AUSTRALIA; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; CLIMATE CHANGE; DROUGHT; ECOSYSTEM; PERCH; PHYSIOLOGY; POPULATION DYNAMICS; RIVER; TIME;

ANIMALS; AUSTRALIA; CLIMATE CHANGE; DROUGHTS; ECOSYSTEM; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; PERCHES; POPULATION DYNAMICS; RIVERS; TIME FACTORS;

EID: 84930033970     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19395582     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1890/14-1618.1     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Akçakaya, H. R. 2005. RAMAS Metapop: viability analysis for stage-structured metapopulations. Version 5.0. Applied Biomathematics, Setauket, New York, USA.
2. Akçakaya, H. R., J. Atwood, and D. Breininger. 2003. Metapopulation dynamics of the California least tern. Journal of Wildlife Management 67:829-842.
3. Akçakaya, H. R., M. A. Burgman, and L. R. Ginzburg. 1999. Applied population ecology: principles and computer exercises using RAMAS EcoLab 2.0. Sinauer Associates, Sunderland, Massachusetts, USA.
4. Arthington, A. H., and S. R. Balcombe. 2011. Extreme flow variability and the "boom and bust" ecology of fish in aridzone floodplain rivers: a case history with implications for environmental flows, conservation and management. Ecohydrology 4:708-720.
5. Arthington, A. H., S. R. Balcombe, G. A. Wilson, M. C. Thoms, and J. Marshall. 2005. Spatial and temporal variation in fish-assemblage structure in isolated waterholes during the 2001 dry season of an arid-zone floodplain river, Cooper Creek, Australia. Marine and Freshwater Research 56:1-11.
6. Balcombe, S. R., A. H. Arthington, N. D. Foster, M. C. Thoms, G. G. Wilson, and S. E. Bunn. 2006. Fish assemblages of an Australian dryland river: abundance, assemblage structure and recruitment patterns in the Warrego River, Murray-Darling Basin. Marine and Freshwater Research 57:619.
7. Balcombe, S. R., S. E. Bunn, A. H. Arthington, J. H. Fawcett, F. J. McKenzie-Smith, and A. Wright. 2007. Fish larvae, growth and biomass relationships in an Australian arid zone river: links between floodplains and waterholes. Freshwater Biology 52:2385-2398.
8. Boyd, S. 2006. Fish in farm dams. New South Wales Department of Primary Industries, Port Stephens, Australia.
9. Bunn, S. E., M. Thoms, S. Hamilton, and S. Capon. 2006. Flow variability in dryland rivers: boom, bust and the bits in between. River Research and Applications 22:179-186.
10. Burgman, M., and H. Possingham. 2000. Population viability analysis for conservation: the good, the bad and the undescribed. Pages 97-112 in A. G. Young and G. M. Clarke, editors. Genetics, demography and viability of fragmented populations. Cambridge University Press, London, UK.
11. Crook, D. A., P. Reich, N. R. Bond, D. McMaster, J. D. Koehn, and P. S. Lake. 2010. Using biological information to support proactive strategies for managing freshwater fish during drought. Marine and Freshwater Research 61:379-387.
12. CSIRO. 2008a. Water availability in the Murray-Darling Basin. A report to the Australian government from the CSIRO Murray-Darling Basin Sustainable Yields Project. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Canberra, Australia.
13. CSIRO. 2008b. Water availability in the Moonie. A report to the Australian government from the CSIRO Murray-Darling Basin Sustainable Yields Project. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Canberra, Australia.
14. Dai, A. 2011. Drought under global warming: a review. WIREs Climate Change 2:45-65.
15. Elkin, C. M., and H. Possingham. 2008. The role of landscape-dependent disturbance and dispersal in metapopulation persistence. American Naturalist 172:563-575.
16. Fagan, W. F. 2002. Connectivity, fragmentation, and extinction risk in dendritic metapopulations. Ecology 83:3243-3249.
17. Fagan, W. F., C. Aumann, C. M. Kennedy, and P. J. Unmack. 2005. Rarity, fragmentation, and the scale dependence of extinction risk in desert fishes. Ecology 86:34-41.
18. Falke, J. A., K. D. Fausch, R. Magelky, A. Aldred, D. S. Durnford, L. K. Riley, and R. Oad. 2010. The role of groundwater pumping and drought in shaping ecological futures for stream fishes in a dryland river basin of the western Great Plains, USA. Ecohydrology 4:682-697.
19. Fausch, K. D., C. Torgersen, and C. V. Baxter. 2002. Landscapes to riverscapes: bridging the gap between research and conservation of stream fishes. BioScience 52:483-498.
20. Gotelli, N., and C. Taylor. 1999. Testing metapopulation models with stream-fish assemblages. Evolutionary Ecology Research 1:835-845.
21. Hanski, I. 1998. Metapopulation dynamics. Nature 396:41-49.
22. Hermoso, V., D. P. Ward, and M. J. Kennard. 2012. Using water residency time to enhance spatio-temporal connectivity for conservation planning in seasonally dynamic freshwater ecosystems. Journal of Applied Ecology 49:1028-1035.
23. Huey, J. A., D. J. Schmidt, S. R. Balcombe, J. C. Marshall, and J. M. Hughes. 2011. High gene flow and metapopulation dynamics detected for three species in a dryland river system. Freshwater Biology 56:2378-2390.
24. Jackson, D. A., P. R. Peres-Neto, and J. D. Olden. 2001. What controls who is where in freshwater fish communities the roles of biotic, abiotic, and spatial factors. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 58:157-170.
25. Jager, H. I., and B. T. Smith. 2008. Sustainable reservoir operation: can we generate hydropower and preserve ecosystem values? River Research and Applications 24:340-352.
26. Johnston, C. 2000. Movement patterns of imperiled blue shiners (Pisces: Cyprinidae) among habitat patches. Ecology of Freshwater Fish 9:170-176.
27. Labbe, T. R., and K. D. Fausch. 2000. Dynamics of intermittent stream habitat regulate persistence of a threatened fish at multiple scales. Ecological Applications 10:1774-1791.
28. Magalhães, M. F., P. Beja, C. Canas, and M. J. Collares-Pereira. 2002. Functional heterogeneity of dry-season fish refugia across a Mediterranean catchment: the role of habitat and predation. Freshwater Biology 47:1919-1934.
29. Magoulick, D. D., and R. M. Kobza. 2003. The role of refugia for fishes during drought: a review and synthesis. Freshwater Biology 48:1186-1198.
30. May, R. 1974. Biological populations with nonoverlapping generations - stable points, stable cycles, and chaos. Science 186:645-647.
31. Meffe, G. K., and R. C. Vrijenhoek. 1988. Conservation genetics in the management of desert fishes. Conservation Biology 2:157-169.
32. Minckley, W. L., and J. E. Deacon. 1968. Southwestern fishes and the enigma of "endangered species." Science 159:1424-1432.
33. Mpelasoka, F., K. Hennessy, R. Jones, and B. Bates. 2008. Comparison of suitable drought indices for climate change impacts assessment over Australia towards resource management. International Journal of Climatology 28:1283-1292.
34. Oakes, R., K. B. Gido, J. A. Falke, J. D. Olden, and B. Brock. 2005. Modelling of stream fishes in the Great Plains, USA. Ecology of Freshwater Fish 14:361-374.
35. Perry, G. L. W., and N. R. Bond. 2009. Spatially explicit modeling of habitat dynamics and fish population persistence in an intermittent lowland stream. Ecological Applications 19:731-746.
36. Propst, D. L., K. B. Gido, and J. A. Stefferud. 2008. Natural flow regimes, nonnative fishes, and native fish persistence in arid-land river systems. Ecological Applications 18:1236-1252.
37. Puckridge, J. T., F. Sheldon, K. F. Walker, and A. J. Boulton. 1998. Flow variability and the ecology of large rivers. Marine and Freshwater Research 49:55-72.
38. Puckridge, J. T., K. F. Walker, and J. F. Costelloe. 2000. Hydrological persistence and the ecology of dryland rivers. Regulated Rivers Research and Management 16:385-402.
39. Pusey, B., M. J. Kennard, and A. Arthington. 2004. Freshwater fishes of north-eastern Australia. CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood, Victoria, Australia.
40. Regan, H. M., H. R. Akçakaya, S. Ferson, K. V. Root, S. Carroll, and L. R. Ginzburg. 2003. Treatments of uncertainty and variability in ecological risk assessment of single-species populations. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment 9:889-906.
41. Root, K. V. 1998. Evaluating the effects of habitat quality, connectivity, and catastrophes on a threatened species. Ecological Applications 8:854-865.
42. Sheldon, F., A. J. Boulton, and J. T. Puckridge. 2002. Conservation value of variable connectivity: aquatic invertebrate assemblages of channel and floodplain habitats of a central Australian arid-zone river, Cooper Creek. Biological Conservation 103:13-31.
43. Shenton, W., N. R. Bond, J. D. L. Yen, and R. Mac Nally. 2012. Putting the "ecology" into environmental flows: ecological dynamics and demographic modelling. Environmental Management 50:1-10.
44. Sternberg, D., S. R. Balcombe, J. C. Marshall, J. S. Lobegeiger, and A. H. Arthington. 2011. Subtle "boom and bust" response of Macquaria ambigua to flooding in an Australian dryland river. Environmental Biology of Fishes 93:95-104.
45. Tilman, D., R. M. May, C. L. Lehman, and M. A. Nowak. 1994. Habitat destruction and the extinction debt. Nature 371:65-66.
46. Unmack, P. J. 2001. Fish persistence and fluvial geomorphology in central Australia. Journal of Arid Environments 49:653-669.
47. Vrijenhoek, R. C. 1998. Conservation genetics of freshwater fish. Journal of Fish Biology 53:394-412.
48. Walker, K. F., F. Sheldon, and J. T. Puckridge. 2006. A perspective on dryland river ecosystems. Regulated Rivers Research and Management 11:85-104.
49. Wilcox, C., B. Cairns, and H. Possingham. 2006. The role of habitat disturbance and recovery in metapopulation persistence. Ecology 87:855-863.
50. Yen, J. D. L., N. R. Bond, W. Shenton, D. A. Spring, and R. Mac Nally. 2013. Identifying effective water-management strategies in variable climates using population dynamics models. Journal of Applied Ecology 50:691-701.