Dynamic material flow modeling: An effort to calibrate and validate aluminum stocks and flows in austria

Environmental Science and Technology

Volumn 49, Issue 9, 2015, Pages 5546-5554

  Buchner, Hanno ^a   Laner, David ^a   Rechberger, Helmut ^a   Fellner, Johann ^a  

^a VIENNA UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Austria)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CALIBRATION; QUALITY CONTROL; SCRAP METAL REPROCESSING; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; TIME DELAY;

APPLICATION SPECIFIC; DYNAMIC MATERIALS; END-OF-LIFE VEHICLES; GENERATION AND UTILIZATION; GLOBAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; RECYCLING POTENTIAL; TIME DELAY EFFECTS; TRANSPORT APPLICATIONS;

ALUMINUM;

ALUMINUM;

ALUMINUM; CALIBRATION; GLOBAL CHANGE; MATERIAL FLOW ANALYSIS; MODEL VALIDATION; SPATIOTEMPORAL ANALYSIS;

ARTICLE; AUSTRIA; BUDGET; BUILDING MATERIAL; CALIBRATION; RECYCLING; RESOURCE MANAGEMENT; SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS; VALIDATION PROCESS; REPRODUCIBILITY; THEORETICAL MODEL; UNCERTAINTY;

AUSTRIA;

ALUMINUM; AUSTRIA; CALIBRATION; MODELS, THEORETICAL; RECYCLING; REPRODUCIBILITY OF RESULTS; UNCERTAINTY;

EID: 84928902675     PISSN: 0013936X     EISSN: 15205851     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.5b00408     Document Type: Article

References (44)

1. Reck, B. K.; Graedel, T. E. Challenges in metal recycling Science 2012, 337 (6095) 690-695
2. EU Commission. Roadmap to a Resource Efficient Europe; European Commission: Brussels, 2011.
3. Chen, W.-Q.; Graedel, T. E. Anthropogenic cycles of the elements: A critical review Environ. Sci. Technol. 2012, 46 (16) 8574-8586
4. Cullen, J. M.; Allwood, J. M. Mapping the global flow of aluminum: From liquid aluminum to end-use goods Environ. Sci. Technol. 2013, 47 (7) 3057-3064
5. Buchner, H.; Laner, D.; Rechberger, H.; Fellner, J. In-depth analysis of aluminium flows in Austria as a basis to increase resouce efficiency Resour., Conserv. Recycl. 2014, 93, 112-123
6. Chen, W.-Q.; Graedel, T. E. Dynamic analysis of aluminum stocks and flows in the United States: 1900-2009 Ecol. Econ. 2012, 81 (0) 92-102
7. McMillan, C. A. Modeling temporal aluminium material flows and greenhouse gas emissions to evaluate metals recycling allocation in life cycle assessment, Ph.D. Thesis, University of Michigan, 2011.
8. Liu, G.; Bangs, C. E.; Müller, D. B. Unearthing potentials for decarbonizing the U.S. aluminum cycle Environ. Sci. Technol. 2011, 45 (22) 9515-9522
9. Dahlström, K.; Ekins, P.; He, J.; Davis, J. C. Roland Iron, Steel and Aluminium in the UK: Material Flows and their Economic Dimension; Centre for Environmental Strategy, University of Surrey: Guildford, UK, 2004.
10. Ciacci, L.; Chen, W.; Passarini, F.; Eckelman, M.; Vassura, I.; Morselli, L. Historical evolution of anthropogenic aluminum stocks and flows in Italy Resour., Conserv. Recycl. 2013, 72 (0) 1-8
11. Sevigné-Itoiz, E.; Gasol, C. M.; Rieradevall, J.; Gabarrell, X. Environmental consequences of recycling aluminum old scrap in a global market Resour., Conserv. Recycl. 2014, 89 (0) 94-103
12. Hatayama, H. E. A. Assessment of the recycling potential of aluminium in Japan, the United States, Europe and China Mater. Trans. 2009, 50 (3) 7
13. Chen, W.-Q.; Shi, L. Analysis of aluminum stocks and flows in mainland China from 1950 to 2009: Exploring the dynamics driving the rapid increase in China's aluminum production Resour., Conserv. Recycl. 2012, 65 (0) 18-28
14. Liu, G.; Müller, D. B. Centennial evolution of aluminum in-use stocks on our aluminized planet Environ. Sci. Technol. 2013, 47 (9) 4882-4888
15. Pauliuk, S.; Wang, T.; Müller, D. B. Steel all over the world: Estimating in-use stocks of iron for 200 countries Resour., Conserv. Recycl. 2013, 71 (0) 22-30
16. Müller, E.; Hilty, L. M.; Widmer, R.; Schluep, M.; Faulstich, M. Modeling metal stocks and flows: A review of dynamic material flow analysis methods Environ. Sci. Technol. 2014, 48 (4) 2102-2113
17. Glöser, S.; Soulier, M.; Espinoza, L. T.; Faulstich, M. Using dynamic stock and flow models for global and regional material and substance flow analysis in the field of industrial ecology: The example of a global copper flow model. In The 31st International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA, 2013.
18. Himmelblau, D. M.; Karjala, T. W. Rectification of data in a dynamic process using artificial neural networks Comput. Chem. Eng. 1996, 20 (6-7) 805-811
19. Terry, P. A.; Himmelblau, D. M. Data rectification and gross error detection in a steady state process via artificial neural networks Ind. Eng. Chem. Res. 1993, 32 (12) 3020-3028
20. Lou, X.-x.; He, J.; Yuan, M.-z.; Wang, H.; Zhu, H. Data rectification methods for the flow rate measurement in iron and steel plant's steam networks. In The 2nd international conference on intelligent control and information processing, Harbin, China, 2011.
21. Brunner, P. H.; Rechberger, H. Practical Handbook of Material Flow Analysis; CRC Press LCC: Florida USA, 2004.
22. Günther, W.; Tichy, G. Bauxitbergbau in Salzburg. In Mitteilungen der Gesellschaft für Salzburger Landeskunde; Salzburg, 1978; Vol. 118, pp 327 - 340.
23. Feeney, B. P.; Cardebring, P. Car longevity in Sweden: A revised estimate Transp. Res. Part A: Gen. 1988, 22 (6) 455-465
24. Söderberg, D. Model estimation of the longevity for cars registered in Sweden using survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards model, Master's thesis, Uppsala Universitet, 2014.
25. Boin, U. M. J.; Bertram, M. Melting standardized aluminium scrap: A mass balance model for Europe JOM 2005, 26-333
26. Kraftfahrzeuge-Bestand; Statistik Austria, 1990-2012; Vienna, 2013.
27. Mathieux, F.; Brissaud, D. End-of-life product-specific material flow analysis. Application to aluminum coming from end-of-life commercial vehicles in Europe Resour., Conserv. Recycl. 2010, 55 (2) 92-105
28. Light Vehicle Metals Market Analysis and Forecast; Ducker worldwide: Troy, MI, 2012.
29. ARA Altstoff Recycling Austria AG, personal conversation; Vienna, 2013.
30. WBMS. Metallstatistik-Metal Statistics; World Bureau of Metal Statistics: Hertfordshire, U.K.; 1964-2010.
31. Aiginger, K.; Bayer, K.; Stankovsky, J.; Volk, E. Die Entwicklung der österreichischen Aluminiumindustrie; WIFO-Austrian Institute of Economic Research: Wien, Austria, 1986.
32. Austrian Non-Ferrous Metals Federation, personal conversation; Vienna, (2013.
33. Energie, A. G., personal conversation, 2013.
34. APG Austrian Power Grid AG, personal conversation; Vienna, 2013.
35. E-Control Elektrizitätsstatistik. http://www.e-control.at/de/statistik/strom (accessed June 4, 2014).
36. Huijbregts, M. A. J.; Gilijamse, W.; Ragas, A. M. J.; Reijnders, L. Evaluating uncertainty in environmental life-cycle assessment. A case study comparing two insulation options for a dutch one-family dwelling Environ. Sci. Technol. 2003) 37 (11) 2600-2608
37. Dahlström, K.; Ekins, P.; He, J.; Davis, J.; Clift, R. Iron, Steel and Aluminium in the UK: Material Flows and their Economic Dimension; Centre for Environmental Strategy, University of Surrey: Guildford, UK, 2004.
38. Melo, M. T. Statistical analysis of metal scrap generation: The case of aluminium in Germany Resour., Conserv. Recycl. 1999, 26 (2) 91-113
39. Saltelli, A.; Ratto, M.; Andres, T.; Compoglogno, F.; Cariboni, J.; Gatelli, D.; Saisana, M.; Tarantola, S. Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer; John Wiley & Sons Ltd.: New York, 2008.
40. Schwieger, V. Variance-based sensitivity analysis for model evaluation in engineering surveys. In INGEO2004 and FIG Regional Central and Eastern European Conference on Engineering Surveying, Bratislava, Slovakia, 2004.
41. Plischke, E. An effective algorithm for computing global sensitivity indices (EASI) Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 2010, 95 (4) 354-360
42. McMillan, C. A.; Moore, M. R.; Keoleian, G. A.; Bulkley, J. W. Quantifying U.S. aluminum in-use stocks and their relationship with economic output Ecol. Econ. 2010, 69 (12) 2606-2613
43. GDA. An die Zukunft denken-mit Aluminium bauen; GDA- Gesamtverband der Aluminiumindustrie e.V.: Düsseldorf, 2012.
44. Daxbeck, H.; Merl, A.; Ritter, E.; Brunner, P. H. Analyse der Flüsse des lizenzieten Aluminiums in Österreich; Institut für Wassergüte und Abfallwirtschaft TU Wien: Wien, 2000.