A new catalogue of tropical cyclones of the northern Bay of Bengal and the distribution and effects of selected landfalling events in Bangladesh

International Journal of Climatology

Volumn 35, Issue 6, 2015, Pages 801-835

  Alam, Edris ^a,b   Dominey Howes, Dale ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES   (Australia)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CHITTAGONG   (Bangladesh)

^c UNIVERSITY OF SYDNEY   (Australia)

Author keywords

Bangladesh; Bay of Bengal; Catalogue; Effects; Hazard; Tropical cyclones

Indexed keywords

FLOODS; HAZARDS; HURRICANES; RISK ASSESSMENT; TROPICS; WIND;

BANGLADESH; BAY OF BENGAL; CATALOGUE; EFFECTS; TROPICAL CYCLONE;

STORMS;

DISASTER MANAGEMENT; PRECISION; RISK ASSESSMENT; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION; STORM DAMAGE; STORM TRACK; TROPICAL CYCLONE; WIND VELOCITY;

BANGLADESH; BAY OF BENGAL; INDIA; INDIAN OCEAN; MYANMAR;

EID: 84928529877     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: 10970088     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/joc.4035     Document Type: Review

References (117)

1. Ahmed AU, Alam M. 1999. Development of climate change scenarios with general circulation models. In Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change for Bangladesh, Huq S, Karim Z, Asaduzzaman M, Mahtab F (eds). Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 13-20.
2. Ahsan RM, Eusuf AZ. 1994. Determinants of spatial and gender differences in coastal cyclone shelter use in Island and Mainland Areas in Cox's Bazar. Oriental Geogr. 38(1&2): 44-58.
3. Alam E. 2002. Post Cyclone Adjustment Process: The Case of Sandwip, Bangladesh, MSc thesis, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Dhaka, Dhaka.
4. Alam E. 2003a. Coping with cyclone: an occupational group perspective. J. Asiatic Soc. Bangladesh (Humanities) 48(2): 59-74.
5. Alam E. 2003b. Post cyclone adjustment process: basic needs perspective. Oriental Geogr. 47(2): 47-60.
6. Alam E. 2007a. Understanding Vulnerability and Local Responses to Cyclone Disasters: Experiences from Bangladesh Coast, MSc dissertation, The University of Northumbria, Newcastle, UK.
7. Alam E. 2007b. Understanding Vulnerability and Local Responses to Cyclone Disasters: Experiences from Bangladesh Coast, MSc dissertation, The University of Northumbria, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
8. Alam E, Collins A. 2008. Understanding vulnerability and local responses to cyclone disasters: experiences from the Bangladesh Coast. In Proceedings of the International Disaster and Risk Conference, IDRC, Davos, 2008, 768-770.
9. Alam E, Collins AE. 2010. Cyclone disaster vulnerability and response experiences in coastal Bangladesh. Disasters 34(4): 931-954.
10. Alam E, Bhuiyan RH, Rahman M. 2004. Loss pattern of cyclone 1991: a study on Sandwip Island, Bangladesh. Chittagong Univ. J. Sci. 28(2): 67-78.
11. Alam E, Dominey-Howes D, Goff J, Chagué-Goff C. 2012. Tsunamis of the northeast Indian Ocean with a particular focus on the Bay of Bengal region - a synthesis and review. Earth Sci. Rev. 114(1-2): 175-193.
12. Ali A. 1999. Climate change impacts and adaptation assessment in Bangladesh. Clim. Res. 12: 109-116.
13. Ambraseys N. 1980. Studies in Historical Seismicity and Tectonics. Engineering Seismology Section, Department of Civil Engineering, Imperial College of Science and Technology: London, 26-35.
14. Anon. 1991. The catastrophic cyclones attack in the previous centuries. The Daily Ittefaq: Dhaka, 2 pp.
15. As-Salek JA. 1998. Coastal trapping and funnelling effects on storm surges in the Meghna estuary in relation to cyclones hitting Noakhali-Cox's Bazar coast of Bangladesh. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 28: 227-249.
16. Azam MH, Samad MA, Mahboobul-ul-Kabir M. 2004. Effect of cyclone track and landfall angle on the magnitude of storm surges along the coast of Bangladesh in the northern Bay of Bengal. Coast. Eng. J. 46(3): 269-290.
17. Baker VR. 1994. Geomorphological understanding of floods. Geomorphology 10: 139-156.
18. BBS. 2011. Bangladesh Population Census - 2011. Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS), Government of Bangladesh: Dhaka.
19. Bern C, Sniezek J, Mathbor GM, Siddiqi MS, Ronsmans C, Chowdhury AMR, Choudhury AE, Islam K, Bennish M, Noji E, Glass RL. 1993. Risk factors for mortality in the Bangladesh cyclone of 1991. Bull. World Health Org. 71(1): 73-78.
20. Beveridge H. 1876. The District of Bákarganj: Its History and Statistics. Trübner & Co: London.
21. Bilham R. 1994. The 1737 Calcutta earthquake and cyclone evaluated. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 84(5): 1650-1657.
22. Blandford HF. 1877. Catalogue of the recorded cyclones in the Bay of Bengal upto 1876. J. Asiat. Soc. Bengal 46(2): 328.
23. BMD. 2012. Chronology of Severe Cyclonic Storms for the Period of 1584 to 2009. Meteorological Complex, Government of the People's Republic of Bangladesh: Dhaka.
24. BUET and BIDS (Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology and Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies). 1993. Multipurpose Cyclone Shelter Program. Final Report, UNDP and Government of Bangladesh, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology & Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies, Dhaka.
25. Camargo SJ, Barnston AG, Klotzbach PJ, Landsea CW. 2007. Seasonal tropical cyclone forecasts. WMO Bull. 56(4): 297-309.
26. CARE. 1991. After the storm: Bangladeshi response to the cyclone. A Report of CARE-Bangladesh, Cooperation for American Relief Everywhere (CARE), Dhaka.
27. CARITAS. 1991. Cyclone-91: In Memorial. Caritas-Bangladesh: Dhaka.
28. Choudhury AM. 2001. Cyclones in Bangladesh. In Disaster in Bangladesh: Selected Readings, Nizamuddin K (ed). Department of Geography and Environment, University of Dhaka: Dhaka, 61-76.
29. Chowdhury KMMH. 2002. Cyclone preparedness and management in Bangladesh. In Improvement of Early Warning System and Responses in Bangladesh Towards Total Disaster Risk Management Approach, BPATC (ed). BPATC: Dhaka, 115-119.
30. Chowdhury AMR, Bhuyia AU, Choudhury AY, Sen R. 1993. The Bangladesh cyclone of 1991: why so many people died. Disasters 17(4): 291-304.
31. CRED. 2011. EM-DAT 2011: the OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database [Online]. University Catholique de Louvain, Brussels. Retrieved February 27, 2011. http://www.em-dat.net.
32. Dube SK, Chittibabu P, Sinha PC, Rao AD, Murty TS. 2004. Numerical modelling of storm surge in the head Bay of Bengal using location specific model. Nat. Hazards 31: 437-453.
33. Dube SK, Jain I, Rao AD, Murty TS. 2009. Storm surge modelling for the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea. Nat. Hazards 51: 3-27.
34. Dunn GE. 1962. The tropical cyclone problem in East Pakistan. Mon. Weather Rev. 90: 83-86.
35. Elsner JB, Kossin JP, Jagger TH. 2008. The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones. Nature 455: 92-95.
36. Emanuel K, Sundararajan R, William J. 2008. Tropical cyclones and global warming: results from downscaling IPCC AR4 simulations. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 89: 347-367.
37. Francis W. 1907. Madras District Gazetteer. Government Press: Visakhapattinam, Vol 1, 152 pp.
38. Felton CS, Subrahmanyam B, Murty VSN. 2013. ENSO-modulated cyclogenesis over the Bay of Bengal. J. Clim. 26: 9806-9818.
39. Flierl GR, Robinson AR. 1972. Deadly surges in the Bay of Bengal, dynamics and storm tide tables. Nature 239: 213-215.
40. Frank NL, Husain SA. 1971. The deadliest tropical cyclone in history? Am. Meteorol. Soc. 52(6): 438-444.
41. Girishkumar MS, Ravichandran M. 2012. The influences of ENSO on tropical cyclone activity in the Bay of Bengal during October-December. J. Geophys. Res. 117: C02033.
42. GTCCA. 2012. Global Tropical and Extra-tropical Cyclone Climatic Atlas (GTCCA), version 2.0 (CD-ROM). National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC.
43. Guidoboni E, Ebel JE. 2009. Earthquakes and Tsunamis in the Past: A Guide to Techniques in Historical Seismology. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK.
44. Gupta PKS, Khan SR. 1996. Geology of Hatia Island, Noakhali District, Bangladesh. Rec. Geol. Surv. Bangladesh 8(2): 39 pp.
45. Haque CE. 1995. Climatic hazards warning process in Bangladesh: experience of, and lessons from, the 1991 April cyclone. Environ. Manage. 19(5): 719-734.
46. Haque CE. 1997a. Atmospheric hazards preparedness in Bangladesh: a study of warning, adjustments and recovery from the April 1991 cyclone. Nat. Hazards 16(2-3): 181-202.
47. Haque CE. 1997b. Hazards in a Fickle Environment: Bangladesh. Advances in Natural and Technological Hazard Series. Kluwer Academic Publishers: Dordrecht, The Netherlands; Boston, MA; London, 380.
48. Haque CE, Blair D. 1992. Vulnerability to tropical cyclones-evidence from the April 1991 cyclone in Coastal Bangladesh. Disasters 16(3): 217-229.
49. Haque U, Hashizume M, Kolivras KN, Overgaard HJ, Das B, Yamamotoa T. 2012. Reduced death rates from cyclones in Bangladesh: what more needs to be done? Bull. World Health Org. 90: 150-156.
50. Hasan F. 1999. Natural calamities and the life struggles of Sandwipees (in Bengali). In Sandwip Studies, Mohammad H (ed). Sandwip Association: Chittagong, Bangladesh, 175-180.
51. Henderson F. 1979. Disastrous storms in the Bay of Bengal: A Listing of Cyclonic Storms by Month Through 1979. Office of U. S. Foreign Disaster Assistance Agency for International Development: Washington, DC, 20523.
52. Hoxie PE. 1988. The problems of Indian history. Soc. Sci. J. 25(4): 389-399.
53. Hoyos CD, Agudelo PA, Webster PJ, Curry JA. 2006. Deconvolution of the factors contributing to the increase in global hurricane intensity. Science 312: 94-97.
54. Hunter WW. 1876. A Statistical Account of Bengal, Chittagong Hill Tracts, and Districts of Chittagong, Noakhali, Tripperah, Hill Tripperah, Vol. VI. Trübner & Co.: London, 444.
55. Islam MA. 1974. Human adjustment to cyclone hazards: a case study of Char Jabbar. In Natural Hazards: Global, Regional and Local, White GF (ed). Oxford University Press: New York, NY, 288 pp.
56. Islam SI (ed). 2004. Banglapedia: National Encyclopedia of Bangladesh, Vol. 3. Asiatic Society of Bangladesh: Dhaka.
57. Islam T, Peterson RE. 2009. Climatology of landfalling tropical cyclones in Bangladesh 1877-2003. Nat. Hazards 48: 115-135.
58. Islamabadi A. 1987. Chattragram Smwarani (A memorial in Chittagong) (in Bengali). Azadi Printers Limited: Chittagong, Bangladesh; 159.
59. Jakobsen F, Azam MH, Ahmed MMZ, Mahboobul-ul-Kabir M. 2006. Cyclone storm surge levels along the Bangladeshi coastline in 1876 and 1960-2000. Coast. Eng. J. 48(3): 295-307.
60. Jayanthi N, Sarma AKS. 1986. A Catalogue of Storm Surges in India. Indian Meteorological Department: New Delhi, 25 pp.
61. Karim MF, Mimura N. 2008. Impacts of climate change and sea-level rise on cyclonic storm surge floods in Bangladesh. Glob. Environ. Change 18: 490-500.
62. Khalil GM. 1992. Cyclones and storm surges in Bangladesh: some mitigation measures. Nat. Hazards 6: 11-24.
63. Khan NI (ed). 1977. Bangladesh District Gazetteers: Noakhali. Government of Bangladesh: Dhaka.
64. Khan TMA, Quadir BA, Murty TS, Sarker MA. 2004. Seasonal and interannual sea surface temperature variability in the coastal cities of Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal. Nat. Hazards 31(2): 549-560.
65. Kikuchi K, Wang B. 2010. Formation of tropical cyclones in the northern Indian Ocean associated with two types of tropical intraseasonal oscillation modes. J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn. 88(3): 475-496.
66. Klotzbach PJ. 2006. Trends in global tropical cyclone activity over the past twenty years (1986-2005). Geophys. Res. Lett. 33(L10805): 1-4.
67. Kotal SD, Kundu PK, Bhowmik SKR. 2009a. Analysis of cyclogenesis parameter for developing and nondeveloping low-pressure systems over the Indian Sea. Nat. Hazards 50: 389-402.
68. Kotal SD, Kundub PK, Bhowmika SKR. 2009b. An analysis of sea surface temperature and maximum potential intensity of tropical cyclones over the Bay of Bengal between 1981 and 2000. Meteorol. Appl. 16: 169-177.
69. Kumar MRR, Sankar S. 2010. Impact of global warming on cyclonic storms over north Indian Ocean. Indian J. Geo-Mar. Sci. 39(4): 516-520.
70. Kunz A, Frechen M, Ramesh R, Urban B. 2010. Revealing the coastal event-history of the Andaman Islands (Bay of Bengal) during the Holocene using radiocarbon and OSL dating. Int. J. Earth Sci. 99(8): 1741-1761.
71. Lal PN, Mitchell T, Aldunce P, Auld H, Mechler R, Miyan A, Romano LE, Zakaria S. 2012. National Systems for Managing the Risks from Climate Extremes and Disasters. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK; New York, NY.
72. Landsea CW, Harper BA, Hoarau K, Knaff JA. 2006. Can we detect trends in extreme tropical cyclones? Science 333: 452-454.
73. Li Z, Yu WD, Li T, Murty VSN, Tangang F. 2013. Bimodal character of cyclone climatology in the Bay of Bengal modulated by monsoon seasonal cycle. J. Clim. 26(3): 1033-1046.
74. Liu K-B, Fearn ML. 2000. Reconstruction of prehistoric landfall frequencies of catastrophic hurricanes in northwestern Florida from lake sediment records. Quat. Res. 54: 238-245.
75. Louie K-S, Liu K-B. 2003. Earliest historical records of typhoons in China. J. Hist. Geogr. 29(3): 299-316.
76. Majumdar RC. 1877. Ancient India. Motilal Banarsidass Publishers: Delhi, 7-9.
77. Mandke SK, Bhide UV. 2003. A study of decreasing storm frequency over Bay of Bengal. J. Indian Geophys. Union 7(2): 53-58.
78. McKillup S, Dyar MD. 2010. Geostatistics Explained: An Introductory Guide for Earth Scientists. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK, 396.
79. McPhaden MJ. 2002. El Niño and La Niña: causes and global consequences. In Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Change, Munn T (ed). John Wiley: Chichester, UK, 353-370.
80. MoEF. 2005. National adaptation program of action. Final Report, Ministry of Environment and Forest, Government of Bangladesh, Dhaka.
81. Murakami H, Sugi M, Kitoh A. 2013. Future changes in tropical cyclone activity in the North Indian Ocean projected by high-resolution MRI-AGCMs. Clim. Dyn. 40: 1949-1968.
82. Murthy HVS. 2011. History of India Part 1. Jain Book Depot: New Delhi.
83. Murty TS. 1988. List of major natural disasters, 1960-1987. Nat. Hazards 1: 303-304.
84. Murty TS, El-Sabh MI. 1992. Mitigating the effects of storm surges generated by tropical cyclones: a proposal. Nat. Hazards 6: 251-273.
85. Murty TS, Neralla VR. 1992. On the recurvature of tropical cyclones and the storm surge problem in Bangladesh. Nat. Hazards 6: 275-279.
86. Murty TS, Flather RA, Henry RF. 1986. The storm surge problem in the Bay of Bengal. Prog. Oceanogr. 16: 195-233.
87. Nalivkin DV. 1986. Hurricanes, Storms and Tornadoes. Amerind Publishers: New Delhi.
88. Needham HF, Keim BD. 2012. A storm surge database for the US Gulf coast. Int. J. Climatol. 32: 2108-2123.
89. NOAA. 2012. Global Tropical and Extratropical Cyclone Climatic Atlas 2.0 [Online]. Retrieved May 2, 2012. http://ols.nndc.noaa.gov/plolstore/plsql/olstore.prodspecific?prodnum=C00337-CDR-A0001.
90. Nott J. 2003. The importance of prehistoric data and variability of hazard regimes in natural hazard risk assessment - examples from Australia. Nat. Hazards 30(1): 43-58.
91. Nott J. 2004. Palaeotempestology: the study of prehistoric tropical cyclones - a review and implications for hazard assessment. Environ. Int. 30(3): 433-447.
92. Ohiduzzaman M. 1993. Socioeconomic and Environmental Effects of the 1991 Cyclone in Coastal Bangladesh: A Local Level Analysis, MURP thesis, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology (BUET), Dhaka.
93. Oldham RD. 1883. A catalogue of Indian earthquakes from the earliest time to the end of A.D. 1869. Mem. Geol. Surv. India 19(3): 163-215.
94. O'Malley LSS. 1908. Bengal District Gazetteers. Logos Press: New Delhi.
95. Paul BK. 2009. Why relatively fewer people died? The case of Bangladesh's Cyclone Sidr. Nat. Hazards 50: 289-304.
96. Paul BK, Rashid H, Islam MS, Hunt LM. 2010. Cyclone evacuation in Bangladesh: tropical cyclones Gorky (1991) vs Sidr. Environ. Hazards 9(1): 89-101.
97. Peddington H. 1948. The Sailor's Hand Book for the Law of the Storms: Being a Practical Exposition of the Theory of the Law of Storms and Its Uses to Mariners of All Classes in the All Parts of the World. John Wiley: London.
98. Peduzzi P, Chatenoux B, Dao H, Bono AD, Herold C, Kossin J, Mouton F, Nordbeck O. 2012. Global trends in tropical cyclone risk. Nat. Clim. Change 2: 289-294.
99. Rahman MO, Bennish M. 1993. Health related responses to natural disasters: the case of the Bangladesh cyclone of 1991. Soc. Sci. Med. 36(7): 903-904.
100. Rennell J, Banks J. 1781. An account of the Ganges and Burrampooter Rivers. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. 71: 87-114.
101. Rizvi SNH (ed). 1970. East Pakistan District Gazetteers: Chittagong. East Pakistan Government Press: Dhaka, 344.
102. Sadhuram Y, Murthy TVR, Somayajulu YK. 2006. Estimation of tropical cyclone heat potential in the Bay of Bengal and its role in the genesis and intensification of storms. Indian J. Mar. Sci. 35(2): 132-138.
103. Singh OP. 2007. Long term trends in the frequency of cyclones of Bay of Bengal: observations and simulations. Mausam 58(1): 59-66.
104. Singh OP, Khan TMA, Rahman MS. 2000. Changes in the frequency of tropical cyclones over the north Indian Ocean. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 75: 11-20.
105. Singh OP, Khan TMA, Rahman MS. 2001. Probable reasons for enhanced cyclogenesis in the Bay of Bengal during July-August of ENSO years. Glob. Planet. Change 29(1-2): 135-147.
106. Singleton RA, Straits BC. 1999. Approaches to Social Research, 3rd edn. Oxford University Press: New York, NY.
107. Smith K. 2007. Environmental Hazards: Assessing Hazard and Reducing Disaster. Routledge: New York, NY.
108. SMRC. 1998. The impact of tropical cyclones on the coastal region of SAARC countries and their influence in the region. Report No. 1, SMRC, Dhaka.
109. Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL. 2007. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, 996.
110. Song PX-K. 2007. Correlated Data Analysis: Modelling, Analytics and Applications. Springer: New York, NY, 352.
111. Talukder J, Roy GD, Ahmad M. 1992. Living with Cyclone: Study on Storm Surge Prediction and Disaster Preparedness. Community Development Library: Dhaka, 124.
112. UNISDR. 2005. Hyogo framework for 2005-2015: building the resilience of nations and communities to disasters [Online]. Retrieved February 10, 2012. http://www.unisdr.org/wcdr/intergover/official-doc/L-docs/Hyogo-framework-for-action-english.pdf
113. Wang Z, Xu H, Zhan Q, Saito Y, He Z, Xie J, Li X, Dong Y. 2010. Lithological and palynological evidence of late quaternary depositional environments in the subaqueous Yangtze delta, China. Quat. Res. 73: 550-562.
114. Webster JE. 1911. Eastern Bengal and Assam District Gazetteer: Noakhali. The Pioneer Press: Allahabad, India, 107.
115. Webster PJ, Holland GJ, Curry JA, Chang HR. 2005. Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science 309: 1844-1845.
116. White GF (ed). 1974. Natural Hazards: Local, National, Global. Oxford University Press: New York, NY.
117. Yokoi S, Takayabu YN. 2010. Environmental and external factors in the genesis of tropical cyclone Nargis in April 2008 over the Bay of Bengal. J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn. 88(3): 425-435.