Trends in global tropical cyclone activity over the past twenty years (1986-2005)

Geophysical Research Letters

Volumn 33, Issue 10, 2006, Pages

  Klotzbach, Philip J ^a  

^a Engineering Research Center and Hydraulics Laboratory   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE; GLOBAL WARMING; METEOROLOGY; OBSERVATORIES;

NORTH ATLANTIC BASIN; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS); TROPICAL CYCLONE FREQUENCY;

STORMS;

CYCLOGENESIS; GLOBAL WARMING; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; TREND ANALYSIS; TROPICAL CYCLONE;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; ATLANTIC OCEAN (NORTH); PACIFIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN (NORTHEAST);

EID: 33745873629     PISSN: 00948276     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2006GL025881     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Bell, G. D., M. S. Halpert, R. C. Schnell, R. W. Higgins, J. Lawrimore, V. E. Kousky, R. Tinker, W. Thiaw, M. Chelliah, and A. Artusa (2000), Climate assessment for 1999, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 81(6), 1328.
2. Chu, J.-H., C. R. Sampson, A. S. Levin, and E. Fukada (2002), The Joint Typhoon Warning Center tropical cyclone best tracks 1945-2000, report, Joint Typhoon Warning Cent., Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.
3. Dvorak, V. F. (1975), Tropical cyclone intensity and forecasting from satellite images, Mon. Weather Rev., 103, 420-430.
4. Dvorak, V. F. (1984), Tropical cyclone intensity analysis using satellite data, NOAA Tech. Rep. NESDIS 11, 47 pp., NOAA/NESDIS, Washington, D. C.
5. Emanuel, K. A. (1987), The dependence of hurricane intensity on climate, Nature, 326, 483-485.
6. Emanuel, K. A. (2005), Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years, Nature, 326, 686-688.
7. Goldenberg, S. B., C. W. Landsea, A. M. Mestas-Nuñez, and W. M. Gray (2001), The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: Causes and implications, Science, 293, 474-479.
8. Gray, W. M. (1968), Global view of the origin of tropical disturbances and storms, Mon. Weather Rev., 96, 669-700.
9. Gray, W. M., and P. J. Klotzbach (2005), Summary of 2005 Atlantic tropical cyclone activity and verification of author's seasonal and monthly forecasts, report, 48 pp., Dep. of Atmos. Sci., Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, Colo.
10. Gray, W. M., J. D. Sheaffer, and C. W. Landsea (1997), Climate trends associated with multi-decadal variability of intense Atlantic hurricane activity, in Hurricanes, Climatic Change and Socioeconomic Impacts: A Current Perspective, edited by H. F. Diaz and R. S. Pulwarty, pp. 15-53, Springer, New York.
11. Jarvinen, B. R., C. J. Neumann, and M. A. S. Davis (1984), A tropical cyclone data tape for the North Atlantic basin, 1886-1983: Contents, limitations, and uses, Tech. Memo. NWS NHC-22, 21 pp., NOAA, Washington, D. C.
12. Kaplan, A., M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir, A. C. Clement, M. B. Blumenthal, and B. Rajagopalan (1998), Analyses of global sea surface temperature 1856-1991, J. Geophys. Res., 103(C9), 18,567-18,589.
13. Kistler, R., et al. (2001), The NCEP-NCAR 50-year reanalysis: Monthly means CD-ROM and documentation, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 82(2), 247-267.
14. Klotzbach, P. J., and W. M. Gray (2005), Extended range forecast of Atlantic seasonal hurricane activity and U.S. landfall strike probability for 2006, report, 24 pp., Dep. of Atmos. Sci., Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, Colo.
15. Levitus, S., J. I. Antonov, T. P. Boyer, and C. Stephens (2000), Warming of the world ocean, Science, 287, 2225-2229.
16. Neumann, C. J. (1999), The HURISK model: An adaptation for the Southern Hemisphere (A user's manual), report, contract N00014-96-C-6015, 31 pp., Sci. Appl. Int. Corp., Monterey, Calif.
17. Pielke, R. A., Jr., C. Landsea, M. Mayfield, J. Laver, and R. Pasch (2005), Hurricanes and global warming, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 86(11), 1571-1575.
18. Rayner, N. A., D. E. Parker, E. B. Horton, C. K. Folland, L. V. Alexander, D. P. Rowell, E. C. Kent, and A. Kaplan (2003), Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century, J. Geophys. Res., 108(D14), 4407, doi:10.1029/2002JD002670.
19. Shapiro, L. J., and S. B. Goldenberg (1998), Atlantic sea surface temperatures and tropical cyclone formation, J. Clim., 11, 578-590.
20. Webster, P. J., G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry, and H.-R. Chang (2005), Changes in tropical cyclone number and intensity in a warming environment, Science, 309, 1844-1846.