메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 69, Issue , 2015, Pages S97-S105

Fertility in China: An uncertain future

Author keywords

China; family planning policy; fertility; one child policy

Indexed keywords

AGING POPULATION; FAMILY PLANNING; FERTILITY; POLICY REFORM; POPULATION POLICY;

EID: 84928474041     PISSN: 00324728     EISSN: 14774747     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2014.982898     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (45)

References (56)
  • 1
    • 84928497809 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Renda weiyuan: zhi fangkai dandu shuangdu sheng ertai youshi gongping [Member of the National People’s Congress: Unfair to allow families to have two children only if one parent is only child or both parents ore only children]
    • Available
    • 163.com. 2013. Renda weiyuan: zhi fangkai dandu shuangdu sheng ertai youshi gongping [Member of the National People’s Congress: Unfair to allow families to have two children only if one parent is only child or both parents ore only children], news.163.com. Available: http://news.163.com/13/1225/02/9GTJIKFK00014AED.html (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2013) news.163.com
  • 2
    • 84928497808 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Jiedu dandu lianghai zhengce [Elucidating policy permitting couples to have a second birth if one spouse is an only child]
    • Available
    • Bai, Jianfeng. 2014. Jiedu dandu lianghai zhengce [Elucidating policy permitting couples to have a second birth if one spouse is an only child], people.com.cn. Available: http://ft.people.com.cn/directList.do?fid=141 (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2014) people.com.cn
    • Bai, J.1
  • 3
    • 84928497807 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Family planning restrictions and a generation of excess males: analysis of national and provincial data from the 2010 Census of China
    • Basten, Stuart. 2012. Family planning restrictions and a generation of excess males: analysis of national and provincial data from the 2010 Census of China. Oxford Centre for Population Research Working Paper No. 59.
    • (2012) Oxford Centre for Population Research Working Paper No. 59
    • Basten, S.1
  • 4
    • 84928497806 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Childbearing preferences, reform of family planning restrictions and the Low Fertility Trap in China
    • Basten, Stuart and Baochang Gu. 2013. Childbearing preferences, reform of family planning restrictions and the Low Fertility Trap in China. Oxford Centre for Population Research Working Paper No. 61.
    • (2013) Oxford Centre for Population Research Working Paper No. 61
    • Basten, S.1    Gu, B.2
  • 5
    • 84886428984 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • ‘Maternity migration’ and the increased sex ratio at birth in Hong Kong SAR
    • Basten, Stuart and Georgia Verropoulou. 2013. ‘Maternity migration’ and the increased sex ratio at birth in Hong Kong SAR, Population Studies 67(3): 323–334.
    • (2013) Population Studies , vol.67 , Issue.3 , pp. 323-334
    • Basten, S.1    Verropoulou, G.2
  • 6
    • 84913602125 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future fertility in low fertility countries
    • Lutz Wolfgang, Butz William P., Samir K. C, (eds), Oxford: Oxford University Press
    • Basten, Stuart, Tomas Sobotka, and Krystof Zeman. 2014. Future fertility in low fertility countries, in Wolfgang Lutz, William P. Butz, and Samir K. C (eds.), World Population and Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 39–146.
    • (2014) World Population and Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century , pp. 39-146
    • Basten, S.1    Sobotka, T.2    Zeman, K.3
  • 7
    • 84928497805 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shanghai encourages second child for eligible couples
    • Available
    • Branigan, Tanya. 2009. Shanghai encourages second child for eligible couples, The Guardian (UK), 24 July 2009. Available: http://www.theguardian.com/world/2009/jul/24/shanghai-second-baby-family-planning (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2009) The Guardian (UK
    • Branigan, T.1
  • 8
    • 84857179206 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • China’s demographic reality and future
    • Cai, Yong. 2012. China’s demographic reality and future, Asian Population Studies 8(1): 1–3.
    • (2012) Asian Population Studies , vol.8 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-3
    • Cai, Y.1
  • 11
    • 0026039569 scopus 로고
    • Why do Chinese women practice contraception? The case of rural Jilin Province
    • Choe, Minja Kim and Noriko O. Tsuya. 1991. Why do Chinese women practice contraception? The case of rural Jilin Province, Studies in Family Planning 22(1): 39–51.
    • (1991) Studies in Family Planning , vol.22 , Issue.1 , pp. 39-51
    • Choe, M.K.1    Tsuya, N.O.2
  • 12
    • 84905054842 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Demographic transition and labour market changes: implications for economic development in China
    • Du, Yang and Cuifen Yang. 2014. Demographic transition and labour market changes: implications for economic development in China, Journal of Economic Surveys 28(4): 617–635.
    • (2014) Journal of Economic Surveys , vol.28 , Issue.4 , pp. 617-635
    • Du, Y.1    Yang, C.2
  • 13
    • 77957156565 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • East Asian childbearing patterns and policy developments
    • Frejka, Tomas, Gavin W. Jones, and Jean-Paul Sardon. 2010. East Asian childbearing patterns and policy developments, Population and Development Review 36(3): 579–606.
    • (2010) Population and Development Review , vol.36 , Issue.3 , pp. 579-606
    • Frejka, T.1    Jones, G.W.2    Sardon, J.-P.3
  • 14
    • 79953739459 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Child underreporting, fertility, and sex ratio imbalance in China
    • Goodkind, Daniel. 2011. Child underreporting, fertility, and sex ratio imbalance in China, Demography 48(1): 291–316.
    • (2011) Demography , vol.48 , Issue.1 , pp. 291-316
    • Goodkind, D.1
  • 16
    • 84928497804 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Guangdong relaxes one-child policy
    • Available
    • Gu, Liping. 2014. Guangdong relaxes one-child policy. ecns.cn. Available: http://www.ecns.cn/2014/03-27/106926.shtml (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2014) ecns.cn
    • Gu, L.1
  • 18
    • 84913586347 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Zhongguo renkou shengyu yiyuan bianqian: 1980–2011 [Transition of Chinese fertility intention: 1980–2011]
    • Hou, Jiawei, Silin Huang, Ziqiang Xin, Lin Sun, Hong Zhang, and Donghui Dou. 2014. Zhongguo renkou shengyu yiyuan bianqian: 1980–2011 [Transition of Chinese fertility intention: 1980–2011], Zhongguo Shehui Kexue [Social Sciences in China] 35(4): 78–97.
    • (2014) Zhongguo Shehui Kexue [Social Sciences in China] , vol.35 , Issue.4 , pp. 78-97
    • Hou, J.1    Huang, S.2    Xin, Z.3    Sun, L.4    Zhang, H.5    Dou, D.6
  • 19
    • 84928467833 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Beijing chengshi dusheng zinv shengyu yiyuan yanjiu [Studies of the desired bearing of one child couples in urban Beijing]
    • Hou, Yafei and Xiaohong Ma. 2008. Beijing chengshi dusheng zinv shengyu yiyuan yanjiu [Studies of the desired bearing of one child couples in urban Beijing], Beijing Shehui Kexue [Social Science of Beijing] 1: 27–31.
    • (2008) Beijing Shehui Kexue [Social Science of Beijing] , vol.1 , pp. 27-31
    • Hou, Y.1    Ma, X.2
  • 20
    • 84884296805 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Beijing chengshi nvxing dusheng zinv shengyu yiyuan he shengyu xingwei yanjiu [Research on the fertility desire and behavior of Beijing urban women from only-child families]
    • Hou, Yafei, Xiaohong Ma, and Kuangshi Huang. 2008. Beijing chengshi nvxing dusheng zinv shengyu yiyuan he shengyu xingwei yanjiu [Research on the fertility desire and behavior of Beijing urban women from only-child families], Renkou Yu Fazhan [Population and Development] 14(1): 47–54.
    • (2008) Renkou Yu Fazhan [Population and Development] , vol.14 , Issue.1 , pp. 47-54
    • Hou, Y.1    Ma, X.2    Huang, K.3
  • 21
    • 84893622320 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • China’s population policy at the crossroads: social impacts and prospects
    • Jiang, Quanbao, Shuzhuo Li, and Marcus W. Feldman. 2013. China’s population policy at the crossroads: social impacts and prospects, Asian Journal of Social Science 41(2): 193–218.
    • (2013) Asian Journal of Social Science , vol.41 , Issue.2 , pp. 193-218
    • Jiang, Q.1    Li, S.2    Feldman, M.W.3
  • 22
    • 84917738333 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Very low fertility in Pacific Asian countries
    • Jones Gavin W., Chan Angelique, Straughan Patricia, (eds), Abingdon: Routledge
    • Jones, Gavin W., Angelique Chan, and Patricia Straughan. 2009. Very low fertility in Pacific Asian countries, in Gavin W. Jones, Angelique Chan, and Patricia Straughan (Eds.), Ultra-Low Fertility in Pacific Asia: Trends, Causes and Policy Dilemmas. Abingdon: Routledge, pp. 1–22.
    • (2009) Ultra-Low Fertility in Pacific Asia: Trends, Causes and Policy Dilemmas , pp. 1-22
    • Jones, G.W.1    Chan, A.2    Straughan, P.3
  • 23
    • 84928497803 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Time running out for China’s one-child policy after three decades
    • Available
    • Kaiman, Jonathan. 2014. Time running out for China’s one-child policy after three decades, The Guardian (UK), 31 December 2014. Available: http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jan/31/time-running-out-china-one-child-policy-exemptions (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2014) The Guardian (UK
    • Kaiman, J.1
  • 25
    • 84928480057 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Baiwan shidu jiating zhitong [Grief of one million families bereaved of their only child]
    • Li, Hua. 2012. Baiwan shidu jiating zhitong [Grief of one million families bereaved of their only child], Zhongguo Gongren [Chinese Workers] 89(12): 28–39.
    • (2012) Zhongguo Gongren [Chinese Workers] , vol.89 , Issue.12 , pp. 28-39
    • Li, H.1
  • 26
    • 84875501006 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The changing patterns of China’s public services: a global perspective
    • Lee Ronald, Mason Andrew, (eds), Cheltenham: Edward Elgar
    • Li, Ling, Qiulin Chen, and Yu Jiang. 2011. The changing patterns of China’s public services: a global perspective, in Ronald Lee and Andrew Mason (eds.), Population Aging and the Generational Economy. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, pp. 408–420.
    • (2011) Population Aging and the Generational Economy , pp. 408-420
    • Li, L.1    Chen, Q.2    Jiang, Y.3
  • 29
    • 84880037630 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How fast is the population ageing in China?
    • Mai, Yinhua, Xiujian Peng, and Wei Chen. 2013. How fast is the population ageing in China? Asian Population Studies 9(2): 216–239.
    • (2013) Asian Population Studies , vol.9 , Issue.2 , pp. 216-239
    • Mai, Y.1    Peng, X.2    Chen, W.3
  • 30
    • 84863640453 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Below replacement fertility preferences in Shanghai
    • Merli, M. Giovanna and S. Philip Morgan. 2011. Below replacement fertility preferences in Shanghai, Population (English Version) 66(3/4): 519–542.
    • (2011) Population (English Version , vol.66 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 519-542
    • Merli, M.G.1    Morgan, S.P.2
  • 31
    • 84928497801 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Xuexi guanche zhongyang ‘jueding’ jingshen, jianchi jihua shengyu jiben guoce, zhubu tiaozheng wanshan shengyu zhengce [Learn the central Government’s spirit of determination, insist on the nation’s basic principles of family planning, take incremental steps to adapt and enhance family planning policies]
    • Available
    • NHFPC. 2013. Xuexi guanche zhongyang ‘jueding’ jingshen, jianchi jihua shengyu jiben guoce, zhubu tiaozheng wanshan shengyu zhengce [Learn the central Government’s spirit of determination, insist on the nation’s basic principles of family planning, take incremental steps to adapt and enhance family planning policies], Uojia Weisheng he Jihua Shengyu Weiyuanhui [National Health and Family Planning Commission: News]. Available: http://www.nhfpc.gov.cn/jczds/s3578/201311/2113e68c25704b6c927bc722059e751e.shtml (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2013) Uojia Weisheng he Jihua Shengyu Weiyuanhui [National Health and Family Planning Commission: News]
  • 32
    • 22744436726 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The one-child policy in Shanghai: acceptance and internalization
    • Nie, Yilin and Robert J. Wyman. 2005. The one-child policy in Shanghai: acceptance and internalization, Population and Development Review 31(2): 313–336.
    • (2005) Population and Development Review , vol.31 , Issue.2 , pp. 313-336
    • Nie, Y.1    Wyman, R.J.2
  • 34
    • 84928497799 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • No way China can sustain its growth: Biden
    • Available
    • Reuters. 2012. No way China can sustain its growth: Biden, Reuters US Edition. Available: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/02/06/us-usa-china-biden-idUSTRE8151VD20120206 (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2012) Reuters US Edition
  • 35
    • 84928497798 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Charlie Rose talks to Henry Kissinger
    • Available
    • Rose, Charlie. 2011. Charlie Rose talks to Henry Kissinger, Bloomberg Business Week, 20 January 2011. Available: http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/11_05/b4213015834652.htm (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2011) Bloomberg Business Week
    • Rose, C.1
  • 36
    • 0035285665 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • China’s one-child policy and the care of children: an analysis of qualitative and quantitative data
    • Short, Susan E., Fengying Zhai, Siyuan Xu, and Mingliang Yang. 2001. China’s one-child policy and the care of children: an analysis of qualitative and quantitative data, Social Forces 79(3): 913–943.
    • (2001) Social Forces , vol.79 , Issue.3 , pp. 913-943
    • Short, S.E.1    Zhai, F.2    Xu, S.3    Yang, M.4
  • 37
    • 84928497797 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Foreign baby formula, toy makers await China baby boom
    • Available
    • Steger, Isabella. 2013. Foreign baby formula, toy makers await China baby boom, Wall Street Journal, 18 November 2013. Available: http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2013/11/18/foreign-baby-formula-toy-makers-await-china-baby-boom/ (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2013) Wall Street Journal
    • Steger, I.1
  • 38
    • 84913586484 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Nongcun jihua shengyu 30nian: Jiantan shuifei gaige dui nongcui jihua shengyu de yingxiang [Thirty years of rural family planning: ahe effect of rural taxation reform on family planning]
    • Tian, Xianhong. 2008. Nongcun jihua shengyu 30nian: Jiantan shuifei gaige dui nongcui jihua shengyu de yingxiang [Thirty years of rural family planning: ahe effect of rural taxation reform on family planning], Huazhong Keji Daxue Xuebao (Shehui Kexue Ban) [Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology (Social Science Edition)] 22(1): 115–117.
    • (2008) Huazhong Keji Daxue Xuebao (Shehui Kexue Ban) [Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology (Social Science Edition)] , vol.22 , Issue.1 , pp. 115-117
    • Tian, X.1
  • 39
    • 84884236470 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Available
    • UNPD (United Nations Population Division). 2013. World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision. Available: http://esa.un.org/wpp/ (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2013) World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision
  • 41
    • 84928497796 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • China counts cost of one child policy
    • Available
    • Waldmeir, P. 2013. China counts cost of one child policy, Financial Times Online Edition, 1 February 2013. Available: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f60a25c8-6c52-11e2-b73a-00144feab49a.html#axzz2rnu9L14f (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2013) Financial Times Online Edition
    • Waldmeir, P.1
  • 42
    • 79251487074 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The future of a demographic overachiever: long-term implications of the demographic transition in China
    • Wang, Feng. 2011. The future of a demographic overachiever: long-term implications of the demographic transition in China, Population and Development Review 37(s1): 173–190.
    • (2011) Population and Development Review , vol.37 , pp. 173-190
    • Wang, F.1
  • 43
    • 84874165841 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population, policy, and politics: how will history judge China’s one-child policy?
    • s1
    • Wang, Feng, Yong Cai, and Baochang Gu. 2013. Population, policy, and politics: how will history judge China’s one-child policy? Population and Development Review 38(s1): 115–129.
    • (2013) Population and Development Review , vol.38 , pp. 115-129
    • Wang, F.1    Cai, Y.2    Gu, B.3
  • 44
    • 84928497795 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Baby No 2 becomes question Number 1
    • Available
    • Wang, Hongyi. 2012a. Baby No 2 becomes question Number 1. China Daily (online version), 14 December 2012. Available: http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2012-12/14/content_16015976.htm (accessed: August2014).
    • (2012) China Daily (online version
    • Wang, H.1
  • 45
    • 84928497794 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Shanghai encourages aging population to have 2nd baby
    • Available
    • Wang, Hongyi. 2012b. Shanghai encourages aging population to have 2nd baby. China Daily (online version), 12 December 2012. Available: http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2012-12/12/content_16010530.htm (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2012) China Daily (online version
    • Wang, H.1
  • 46
    • 84928497793 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 17 shengfen qunian shehui fuyangfei zong’e chao 165yi [The total social maintenance fees exceed 16.5 billion in 17 provinces]
    • Available
    • Wei, Mingyan. 2013. 17 shengfen qunian shehui fuyangfei zong’e chao 165yi [The total social maintenance fees exceed 16.5 billion in 17 provinces]. Xin Jing Bao [The Beijing News], 31 August 2013. Available: http://www.bjnews.com.cn/feature/2013/08/31/281096.html (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2013) Xin Jing Bao [The Beijing News]
    • Wei, M.1
  • 47
    • 84928497792 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 10 million new babies? China’s hope for boom likely to become policy bust
    • Available
    • Wetzstein, Cheryl. 2014. 10 million new babies? China’s hope for boom likely to become policy bust, The Washington Times, 20 April 2014. Available: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/apr/20/10-million-new-babies-chinas-hope-for-boom-likely-/ (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2014) The Washington Times
    • Wetzstein, C.1
  • 49
    • 0023520745 scopus 로고
    • Popular response to China’s fertility transition
    • Whyte, Martin King, and Shengzu Gu. 1987. Popular response to China’s fertility transition, Population and Development Review 13(3): 471–493.
    • (1987) Population and Development Review , vol.13 , Issue.3 , pp. 471-493
    • Whyte, M.K.1    Gu, S.2
  • 50
    • 84980005834 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Family policy in China: a snapshot of 1950–2010
    • Robila Mihaela, (ed), Dordrecht: Springer
    • Xia, Yan Ruth, Haiping Wang, and Shen Qin. 2014. Family policy in China: a snapshot of 1950–2010, in Mihaela Robila (ed.), Handbook of Family Policies Across the Globe. Dordrecht: Springer, pp. 257–272.
    • (2014) Handbook of Family Policies Across the Globe , pp. 257-272
    • Xia, Y.R.1    Wang, H.2    Qin, S.3
  • 51
    • 84928497791 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • China to Amass 1.45m Social Workers
    • Available
    • Xinhua. 2013. China to Amass 1.45m Social Workers. China Daily (online version), 9 May 2012. Available: http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2012-05/09/content_15249093.htm (accessed: August 2014).
    • (2013) China Daily (online version
  • 52
    • 34249880453 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Options for fertility policy transition in China
    • Zeng, Yi. 2007. Options for fertility policy transition in China, Population and Development Review 33(2): 215–246.
    • (2007) Population and Development Review , vol.33 , Issue.2 , pp. 215-246
    • Zeng, Y.1
  • 53
    • 84928497790 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dandu erhai zhixing sanyue, shenqing renshu buduo [There have not been many applications by eligible couples during the past three years]
    • Available
    • Zhang, Lili and Saiyuang Yuan. 2014. Dandu erhai zhixing sanyue, shenqing renshu buduo [There have not been many applications by eligible couples during the past three years]. China: Xuanwei TV. Available: http://news.zjw.cn/html/2014/shipinlianbo_0721/118915.html> (accessed: 21 August 2014). (In Chinese).
    • (2014) China: Xuanwei TV
    • Zhang, L.1    Yuan, S.2
  • 54
    • 84855413717 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • China’s far below replacement fertility and its long-term impact: comments on the preliminary results of the 2010 Census
    • Zhao, Zhongwei and Wei Chen. 2011. China’s far below replacement fertility and its long-term impact: comments on the preliminary results of the 2010 Census, Demographic Research 25: 819–836.
    • (2011) Demographic Research , vol.25 , pp. 819-836
    • Zhao, Z.1    Chen, W.2
  • 55
    • 77957121696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Below-replacement fertility and childbearing intention in Jiangsu Province, China
    • Zheng, Zhenzhen, Yong Cai, Feng Wang, and Baochang Gu. 2009. Below-replacement fertility and childbearing intention in Jiangsu Province, China, Asian Population Studies 5(3): 329–347.
    • (2009) Asian Population Studies , vol.5 , Issue.3 , pp. 329-347
    • Zheng, Z.1    Cai, Y.2    Wang, F.3    Gu, B.4
  • 56
    • 84928497789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Birth rate holds steady after one-child policy eased, but there won’t be further easing
    • Available
    • Zhuang, Pinghui. 2014. Birth rate holds steady after one-child policy eased, but there won’t be further easing, South China Morning Post, 11 July 2014. Available: http://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/1551461/birth-rate-holds-steady-after-one-child-policy-eased-there-wont-be (accessed: July 2014).
    • (2014) South China Morning Post
    • Zhuang, P.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.