China's far below-replacement fertility and its long-term impact: Comments on the preliminary results of the 2010 census

Demographic Research

Volumn 25, Issue , 2011, Pages 819-836

  Zhao, Zhongwei ^a   Chen, Wei ^b  

^a AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY   (Australia)

^b RENMIN UNIVERSITY OF CHINA   (China)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84855413717     PISSN: None     EISSN: 14359871     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2011.25.26     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Abbott, O. (2008). 2011 UK census coverage assessment and adjustment methodology. Proceedings of Q2008 European Conference on Quality in Official Statistics.http://q2008.istat.it/sessions/paper/06Abbott.pdf (July 2011).
2. Australian Bureau of Statistics (2003).Census update (News letter). http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/7d12b0f6763c78caca257061001cc588/0382f7854d89fcc8ca2573220016f312!OpenDocument (July 2011).
3. British Columbia Statistics, Population Section (2003). Feature article: How many people were missed in the 2001 Census? Population Section, BC STATS, Ministry of Management Services. http://www.bcstats.gov.bc.ca/pubs/mig/mig032fa.pdf (July 2011).
4. Cai, Y. (2008). An assessment of China's fertility level using the variable-r method. Demography 45(2): 271-281.
5. Cai, Y. (2010). China's below replacement fertility: Government policy or socioeconomic development. Population and Development Review 36(3): 419-440.
6. Cai, Y. (2011). United Nations Population Projection still overestimated China's fertility level. First Caijing Daily (23 May 2011). http://big5.xinhuanet.com/gate/big5/www.cnstock.com/index/gdbb/201105/1317694.htm (September 2011, in Chinese).
7. Floating Population Research Group (2010). China Floating Population Research, unpublished report. Center for Population and Development Studies, People's University of China.
8. Freedman, R. (1986). On underestimating the rate of social change: A cautionary note. Population and Development Review 12(3): 529-532.
9. Goodkind, D. (2011). Child underreporting, fertility, and sex ratios imbalance in China. Demography 48(1): 291-316.
10. Groves, R.M. (2010). Director's blog: Quality in a census, some overview thoughts. http://blogs.census.gov/directorsblog/2010/09/quality-in-a-census-some-overview-thoughts.html (July 2011).
11. Gu, B. and Cai, Y. (2009). Fertility prospects in China. Paper presented at the United Nations expert group meeting on recent and future trends in fertility, New York, December 2009.
12. Gu, B. and Wang, F. (eds.) (2009). An Experiment of Eight Million People. Beijing: Social Sciences Academic Press (in Chinese).
13. Gu, B., Wang, F., Guo, Z., and Zhang, E. (2007). China's local and national fertility policies at the end of the twentieth century. Population and Development Review 33(1): 129-148.
14. Guo, Z. and Chen, W. (2007). Below replacement fertility in Mainland China. In: Zhao, Z. and Guo, F. (eds.). Transition and Challenge: China's Population at the Beginning of the 21st Century. New York: Oxford University Press.
15. Ma, J. (2011). Ma Jian-Tang explains China's sixth national population census. http://news.163.com/11/0503/11/734K2LBJ00014JB5.html (May 2011, in Chinese).
16. National Strategy on Population Development Research Group (2007). The General Report on China's National Strategy on Population Development. Beijing: China Population Publishing House (in Chinese).
17. NBS (National Bureau of Statistics of China), Department of Population and Employment Statistics (2007 to 2010).China Population and Employment Statistics Yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press (in Chinese).
18. NBS (National Bureau of Statistics of China) (2011a). The Sixth National Census Bulletin No. 1.http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjfx/jdfx/t20110428_402722253.htm (April 2011, in Chinese).
19. NBS (National Bureau of Statistics of China) (2011b). China Statistical Yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press (in Chinese).
20. NPFPC (National Population and Family Planning Commission) (2008). Population and Family Planning Statistics Handbook. Beijing: China's Population Publishing House (in Chinese).
21. Qiao, X. (2005). Underreporting of births: The cause of the chaos of the national population statistics in China. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Philadelphia, March 31-April 2.
22. Retherford, R.D., Choe, M.K., Chen, J., Li, X., and Cui, H. (2005). How far has fertility in China really declined? Population and Development Review 31(1): 57-84.
23. Scharping, T. (2005). Chinese fertility trends 1979-2000: A comparative analysis of birth numbers and school data. Population Research 4: 1-15. (in Chinese). Sex Ratio at Birth Research Group (2010). Factors Affecting Declining Sex Ratio at Birth in China, unpublished report. Center for Population and Development Studies, People's University of China.
24. Statistics New Zealand (2011). Net census undercount. http://www2.stats.govt.nz/domino/external/omni/omni.nsf/wwwglsry/net+census+undercount (July 2011).
25. UN (United Nations) (2011). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/index.htm (May 2011).
26. Zhang, G. and Zhao, Z. (2006). Reexamining China's fertility puzzle: Data collection and quality over the last two decades. Population and Development Review 32(2): 293-321.
27. Zhao, Z. (2011). Reflections on China's recent population statistics and current demographic situation. Chinese Cross Currents 8(3): 44-56.
28. Zhao, Z. and Guo, Z. (2010). China's below replacement fertility: A further exploration. Canadian Studies in Population 37(3-4): 525-562.
29. Zhao, Z. and Zhang, X. (2010). China's recent fertility decline: Evidence from reconstructed fertility statistics. Population 65(3): 451-478.
30. Zheng, Z., Cai, Y., Wang, F., and Gu, B. (2009). Below-replacement fertility and childbearing intention in Jiangsu Province, China. Asian Population Studies 5(3): 329-347.