Impact of climate change on precipitation

Large-Scale Disasters: Prediction, Control, and Mitigation

Volumn 9780521872935, Issue , 2008, Pages 363-376

  Rasmussen, Roy ^a   Dai, Aiguo ^a   Trenberth, Kevin E ^a  

^a NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC RADIATION; CLIMATE CHANGE; DROUGHT; EARTH ATMOSPHERE; FLOODS; GLOBAL WARMING; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY);

CLIMATE IMPACTS; DAILY NEWSPAPERS; EARTH'S SURFACE; EXTREME HYDROLOGICAL EVENTS; FUTURE PROJECTIONS; GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL; GLOBAL WATER CYCLE; SCIENTIFIC RESEARCHES;

CLIMATE MODELS;

EID: 84926989406     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Book    
DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511535963.018     Document Type: Chapter

References (54)

1. Alexander, L. V., Peterson, T. C., Caesar, J., Gleason, B., Tank Klein, A. M. G., Haylock, M., Collins, D., Trewin, B., Rahimzadeh, F., Tagipour, A., Rupa Kumar, K., Revadekar, J., Griffiths, G., Vincent, L., Stephenson, D. B., Burn, J., Aguilar, E., Brunet, M., Taylor, M., New, M., Zhai, P., Rusticucci, M., and Vazquez-Aguirre, J. L. (2006) “Global Observed Changes in Daily Climate Extremes of Temperature and Precipitation,” J. Geophys. Res. 111, D05109, doi: 10.1029/2005JD006290.
2. Allen, M. R., and Ingram, W. J. (2002) “Constraints on Future Changes in Climate and the Hydrologic Cycle,” Nature 419, pp. 224-232.
3. Bowman, K. P., Collier, J. C., North, G. R., Wu, Q. Y., Ha, E. H., and Hardin, J. (2005) “Diurnal Cycle of Tropical Precipitation in Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Satellite and Ocean Buoy Rain Gauge Data,” J. Geophys. Res. 110, D21104, doi: 10.1029/2005JD005763.
4. Carbone, R. E., Tuttle, J. D., Ahijevych, D. A, and Trier, S. B. (2002) “Inferences of Predictability Associated with Warm Season Precipitation Episodes,” J. Atmos. Sci. 59, pp. 2033-2056.
5. Chen, F., Warner, T., and Manning, K. (2001). “Sensitivity of Orographic Moist Convection to Landscape Variability: A Study of the Buffalo Creek, Colorado, Flash Flood Case of 1996,” J. Atmos. Sci. 58, pp. 3204-3223.
6. Covey, C., Achuta Rao, K. M., Cubasch, U., Jones, P., Lambert, S. J., Mann, M. E., Phillips, T. J., and Taylor, K. E. (2003) “An Overview of Results from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project,” Global Planet Change 37, pp. 103-133.
7. Dai, A. G. (1999) “Recent Changes in the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation over the United States,” Geophys. Res. Lett. 26, pp. 341-344.
8. Dai, A. G. (2001) “Global Precipitation and Thunderstorm Frequencies. Part II: Diurnal Variations,” J. Climate 14, pp. 1112-1128.
9. Dai, A. G. (2006a) “Precipitation Characteristics in Eighteen Coupled Climate Models,” J. Climate 19, pp. 4605-4630.
10. Dai, A. G. (2006b) “Recent Climatology, Variability and Trends in Global Surface Humidity,” J. Climate 19, pp. 3589-3606.
11. Dai, A., Giorgi, F., and Trenberth, K. E. (1999) “Observed and Model-Simulated Diurnal Cycles of Precipitation over the Contiguous United States,” J. Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 104, pp. 6377-6402.
12. Dai, A. G., Trenberth, K. E., and Qian, T. T. (2004) “A Global Dataset of Palmer Drought Severity Index for 1870-2002. Relationship with Soil Moisture and Effects of Surface Warming,” J. Hydrometeorology 5, pp. 1117-1130.
13. Diaz, H. F., and Markgraf, V., eds. (2000) El Niño and the Southern Oscillation, Multiscale Variability and Global and Regional Impacts, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
14. Elsner, J. B., Kara, A. B., and Owens, M. A. (1999) “Fluctuations in North Atlantic Hurricane Frequency,” J. Climate 12, pp. 427-437.
15. Gray, W. M. (1984) “Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Frequency. Part I. El Niño and the 30 mb Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Influences,” Mon. Wea. Rev. 112, pp. 1649-1668.
16. Groisman, P. Ya., Knight, R. W., Easterling, D. R., Karl, T. R., Hegerl, G. C., and Razuvaev, V. N. (2005) “Trends in Intense Precipitation in the Climate Record,” J. Climate 18, pp. 1326-1350.
17. Groisman, P. Ya., Knight, R. W., Karl, T. R., Easterling, D. R., Sun, B., and Lawrimore, J. H. (2004) “Contemporary Changes of the Hydrological Cycle over the Contiguous United States: Trends Derived from In Situ Observations,” J. Hydrometeorology 5, pp. 64-85.
18. Guichard, F. D., and Parsonsk, E. M. (2000) “Thermodynamic and Radiative Impact of the Correction of Sounding Humidity Bias in the Tropics,” J. Climate 13, pp. 3611-3624.
19. Hennessy, K. J, Gregory, J. M., and Mitchell, J. F. B. (1997) “Changes in Daily Precipitation Under Enhanced Greenhouse Conditions,” Climate Dynamics 13, pp. 667-680.
20. Hense A., Krahe P., and Flohn H. (1988) “Recent Fluctuations of Tropospheric Temperature and Water Vapour Content in the Tropics,” Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 38, pp. 215-227.
21. Higgins, R.W., Yao, Y., Yarosh, E. S., Janowiak, J. E., and Mo, K. C. (1997) “Influence of the Great Plains Low-Level Jet on Summertime Precipitation and Moisture Transport over the Central United States,” J. Climate 10, pp. 481-507.
22. Houghton, J. T., Ding Y., Griggs, D. J., Noguer, M., van der Linden, P. J., Dai, X., Maskell, K., and Johnson, C. A. (2001) Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
23. Hurrell, J. W., Kushnir, Y., Ottersen, G., and Visbeck, M. (2003) The North Atlantic Oscillation: Climate Significance and Environmental Impacts. Geophys. Monogr. 134, American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC.
24. Karl, T. R., and Knight, W. R. (1998) “Secular Trends of Precipitation Amount, Frequency, and Intensity in the United States,” Bull. Am. Met. Soc. 79, pp. 231-241.
25. Kunkel, K. E., Easterling, D. R., Redmond, K., and Hubbard, K. (2003) “Temporal Variations of Extreme Precipitation Events in the United States: 1895-2000,” Geophys. Res. Lett. 30, pp. 1900-1910.
26. Kunkel, K. E., Andsager, K., and Easterling, D. R. (1999) “Long Term Trends in Extreme Precipitation Events over the Conterminous United States and Canada”. J. Climate, 12, 2515-2527.
27. Malmquist, D. L., ed. (1999) “European Windstorms and the North Atlantic Oscillation: Impacts, Characteristics, and Predictability,” a position paper based on the Proceedings of the Risk Prediction Initiative Workshop on European Winter Storms and the North Atlantic Oscillation, Hamilton, Bermuda, 18-19 January 1999.
28. Malone, E. D., and Hartmann, D. L. (2000a) “Modulaton of Eastern North Pacific Hurricances by the Madden-Julian Oscillation,” J. Climate 13, pp. 1451-1460.
29. Malone, E. D., and Hartmann, D. L. (2000b) “Modulation of Hurricane Activity in the Gulf of Mexico by the Madden-Julian Oscillation,” Science 287, pp. 2002-2004.
30. Meehl, G., Covey, C., McAvaney, B., Latif, M., and Stouffer, R. (2005) “Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project,” Bull. Am. Met. Soc. 86(1), pp. 89-93.
31. Milly, P. C. D., Wetherald, R. T., Dunne, K. A., and Delworth, T. L. (2002) “Increasing Risk of Great Floods in a Changing Climate,” Nature 415, pp. 514-517.
32. Murnane, R. J. (2004) “Climate Research and Reinsurance,” Bull. Amer. Met. Soc. 85, pp. 697-707.
33. Rodwell, M. J., Rowell, D. P., and Folland, C. K. (1999) “Oceanic Forcing of the Wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and European Climate,” Nature 398, pp. 320-323.
34. Ross, R. J., and Elliott, W. P. (1996) “Tropospheric Water Vapor Climatology and Trends over North America: 1973-1993,” J. Climate 9, pp. 3561-3574.
35. Ross, R. J., and Elliott, W. P. (2001) “Radiosonde-Based Northern Hemisphere Tropospheric Water Vapor Trends,” J. Climate 14, pp. 1602-1612.
36. Semenov, V. A., and Bengtsson, L. (2002) “Secular Trends in Daily Precipitation Characteristics Greenhouse Gas Simulation with a Coupled AOGCM,” Climate Dynamics 19, pp. 123-140.
37. Shapiro, L. J. (1989) “The Relationship of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation to Atlantic Tropical Storm Activity,” Mon. Wea. Rev. 117, pp. 2598-2614.
38. Soden, B. J., Wetherald, R. T., Stenchikov, G.L., and Robock, A. (2002) “Global Cooling after the Eruption of Mount Pintubo: A Test of Climate Feedback by Water Vapor,” Science 296, pp. 727-730.
39. Sorooshian, S., Gao, X., Maddox, R. A., Hong, Y., and Imam, B. (2002) “Diurnal Variability of Tropical Rainfall Retrieved from Combined GOES and TRMM Satellite Information,” J. Climate 15, pp. 983-1001.
40. Solomon, S., Quin, D., and Manning, M. (2007) “Climate Change 2007. The Physical Basis Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernment Panel on Climate Change”, Cambridge University Press, 1996 pp.
41. Sun, Y., Solomon, S., Dai, A., and Portmann, R. W. (2007) “How Often Will It Rain?” J. Climate. 19, pp. 916-934.
42. Thompson, D. W., and Wallace, J. M. (1998) “The Artic Oscillation Signature in the Wintertime Geopotential Height and Temperature Fields,” Geophys. Res. Lett. 25, pp. 1297-1300.
43. Trenberth, K. E. (1998) “Atmospheric Moisture Residence Times and Cycling: Implications for Rainfall Rates and Climate Change,” Climatic Change 39, pp. 667-694.
44. Trenberth, K. E., Dai, A., Rasmussen, R. M., and Parsons, D. B. (2003) “The Changing Character of Precipitation,” Bull. Am. Met. Soc. 84, pp. 1205-1217.
45. Trenberth, K. E., Fasullo, J., and Smith, L. (2005) “Trends and Variability in Column-Integrated Water Vapor,” Clim. Dyn. 24, pp. 741-758.
46. Trenberth, K. E., and Guillemot, C. J. (1996) “Physical Processes Involved in the 1988 Drought and 1993 Floods in North America,” J. Climate 9, pp. 1288-1298.
47. Trenberth, K. E., and Shea, D. J. (2005) “Relationships Between Precipitation and Surface Temperature,” Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, L14703, doi: 10.1029/2005GL022760.
48. Trenberth, K. E., Smith, L., Qian, T., Dai, A., and Fasullo, J. (2007) “Estimates of the Global Water Budget and Its Annual Cycle Using Observational and Model Data,” J. Hydrometeorology, 8, pp. 758-769.
49. Trier, S. B., and Parsons, D. B. (1993) “Evolution of Environmental Conditions Preceding the Development of a Nocturnal Mesoscale Convective Complex,” Mon. Wea. Rev. 121, pp. 1078-1098.
50. Wang, J. H., Cole, H. L., Carlson, D. J., Miller, E. R., Beierle, K., Paukkunen, A., and Laine, T. K. (2002) “Corrections of Humidity Measurement Errors from the Vaisala RS80 Radiosonde-Application to TOGA COARE Data,” J. Atmosph. & Ocean. Tech. 19, pp. 981-1002.
51. Warner, T., Brandes, E., Sun, J., Yates, D., and Mueller, C. (2000) “Prediction of a Flash Flood in Complex Terrain. Part I. A Comparison of Rainfall Estimates from Radar, and Very Short Range Rainfall Simulations from a Dynamic Model and an Algorithmic System,” J. Appl. Met. 39, pp. 797-814.
52. Wilby, R. L., and Wigley, T. M. L. (2002) “Future Changes in the Distribution of Daily Precipitation Totals Across North America,” Geophys. Res. Lett. 29, 10.1029/2001GL013048.
53. Yates, D., Warner, T., and Leavesley, G. (2000) “Prediction of a Flash Flood in Complex Terrain. Part II. A Comparison of Flood Discharge Simulations Using Rainfall Input from Radar, a Dynamic Model, and an Automated Algorithmic System,” J. Appl. Met. 39, pp. 815-825.
54. Zhai P., and Eskridge, R. E. (1997) “Atmospheric Water Vapor over China,” J. Climate 10, pp. 2643-2652.