Optimising seed portfolios to cope ex ante with risks from bad weather: Evidence from a recent maize farmer survey in China

Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics

Volumn 59, Issue 2, 2015, Pages 242-257

  Bai, Junfei ^a   Xu, Zhigang ^b   Qiu, Huanguang ^c   Liu, Haiyan ^d  

^a CHINA AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY   (China)

^b NANJING AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY   (China)

^c RENMIN UNIVERSITY OF CHINA   (China)

^d UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA   (United States)

Author keywords

Adaptation; Bad weather; Maize; Variety portfolio

Indexed keywords

ZEA MAYS;

EID: 84926420856     PISSN: 1364985X     EISSN: 14678489     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12056     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Adger, W.N., Huq, S., Brown, K., Conway, D. and Hulme, M. (2003). Adaptation to climate change in the developing world, Progress in Development Studies 3, 179-195.
2. Bradshaw, B., Dolan, H. and Smit, B. (2004). Farm-level adaptation to climatic variability and change: crop diversification in the Canadian prairies, Climatic Change 67, 119-141.
3. Bryan, E., Deressa, T.T., Gbetibouo, G.A. and Ringler, C. (2009). Adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia and South Africa: options and constraints, Environmental Science & Policy 12, 413-426.
4. Challinor, A.J., Wheeler, T.R., Craufurd, P.Q., Ferro, C.A.T. and Stephenson, D.B. (2007). Adaptation of crops to climate change through genotypic responses to mean and extreme temperatures, Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 119, 190-204.
5. Cuculeanu, V., Marica, A. and Simota, C. (1999). Climate change impact on agricultural crops and adaptation options in Romania, Climate Research 12, 153-160.
6. Ding, Y., Schoengold, K. and Tadesse, T. (2009). The impact of weather extremes on agricultural production methods: does drought increase adoption of conservation tillage practices?, Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 34, 395-411.
7. Erda, L., Xiong, W., Ju, H., Xu, Y., Li, Y., Bai, L. and Xie, L. (2005). Climate change impacts on crop yield and quality with CO2 fertilization in China, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences 360(1463), 2149-2154.
8. Fankhauser, S., Smith, J.B. and Tol, R.S.J. (1999). Weathering climate change: some simple rules to guide adaptation decisions, Ecological Economics 30, 67-78.
9. Feng, S., Nadarajah, S. and Hu, Q. (2007). Modeling annual extreme precipitation in China using the generalized extreme value distribution, Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan 85, 599-613.
10. Herath, H.M.G., Hardaker, J.B. and Anderson, J.R. (1982). Choice of varieties by Sri Lanka rice farmers: comparing alternative decision models, American Journal of Agricultural Economics 64, 87-93.
11. Kabubo-Mariara, J. (2009). Global warming and livestock husbandry in Kenya: impacts and adaptations, Ecological Economics 68, 1915-1924.
12. Li, Z., Zheng, F.-L., Liu, W.-Z. and Flanagan, D.C. (2010). Spatial distribution and temporal trends of extreme temperature and precipitation events on the Loess Plateau of China during 1961-2007, Quaternary International 226, 92-100.
13. Lv, Y. and Chen, S. (2010). Farmers' awareness of climate change and adaptation, Chinese Rural Economy (in Chinese) 7, 75-86.
14. Ma, S. (1996). A simulating study on the influences of climate change on grain yield and the countermeasures in the Northeast China, Acta Meteorologica Sinica 54, 484-492.
15. Mendelsohn, R. (2000). Efficient adaptation to climate change, Climatic Change 45, 583-600.
16. Meng, X., Rao, J. and Ye, J. (2005). Determining factors of farmers' choices for new crop varieties, Journal of Agrotechnical Economics (in Chinese) 1, 20-26.
17. Meza, F.J., Silva, D. and Vigil, H. (2008). Climate change impacts on irrigated maize in Mediterranean climates: evaluation of double cropping as an emerging adaptation alternative, Agricultural Systems 98, 21-30.
18. Parry, M.L., Rosenzweig, C., Iglesias, A., Fischer, G. and Livermore, M. (1999). Climate change and world food security: a new assessment, Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions 9, S51-S67.
19. Ren, G., Feng, G. and Yan, Z. (2010). Progresses in observation studies of climate extremes and changes in mainland China, Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese) 15, 337-353.
20. Rose, E. (2001). Ex ante and ex post labor supply response to risk in a low-income area, Journal of Development Economics 64, 371-388.
21. Rosenzweig, C. and Parry, M.L. (1994). Potential impact of climate-change on world food-supply, Nature 367, 133-138.
22. Seo, N.S. (2010). Is an integrated farm more resilient against climate change? A micro-econometric analysis of portfolio diversification in African agriculture, Food Policy 35, 32-40.
23. Smit, B. and Skinner, M.W. (2002). Adaptation options in agriculture to climate change: a typology, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 7, 85-114.
24. Song, J. (2000). Changes in dryness/wetness in China during the last 529 years, International Journal of Climatology 20, 1003-1015.
25. Sun, Z. (2008). Demand and supply of feed in China, 2008 (in Chinese).
26. Tan, Y., Feng, Z., Niu, B. and Pan, X. (2009). Investigation and analysis of villagers' cognition and acts to the climate change in agro-pastoral ecotone, Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin 25, 413-419.
27. Tang, Y., Gan, J., Zhao, L. and Gao, K. (2006). On the climatology of persistent heavy rainfall events in China, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 23, 678-692.
28. Tao, F., Yokozawa, M., Hayashi, Y. and Lin, E. (2003). Future climate change, the agricultural water cycle, and. agricultural production in China, Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment 95, 203-215.
29. Tao, F., Yokozawa, M., Zhang, Z., Hayashi, Y., Grassl, H. and Fu, C. (2004). Variability in climatology and agricultural production in China in association with the East Asian summer monsoon and El Niño southern oscillation, Climate Research 28, 23-30.
30. Tubiello, F.N., Amthor, J.S., Boote, K.J., Donatelli, M., Easterling, W., Fisher, G., Gifford, R., Howden, M., Reilly, J. and Rosenzweig, C. (2007). Crop response to elevated CO2 and world food supply: a comment on 'Food for Thought...' by Long et al. Science 312:1918-1921, 2006, European Journal of Agronomy 26, 215-223.
31. Wang, J.X.L. and Gaffen, D.J. (2001). Trends in extremes of surface humidity, temperature, and summertime heat stress in China, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 18, 742-751.
32. Xiong, W., Matthews, R., Holman, I., Lin, E. and Xu, Y. (2007). Modelling China's potential maize production at regional scale under climate change, Climatic Change 85, 433-451.
33. Yang, H. (1996). China's maize production and supply from a provincial perspective, Working paper No. 96/11, Chinese Economies Research Center, University of Adelaide, Australia.
34. Ye, Y., Fang, X., Ge, Q. and Zheng, J. (2004). Response and adaptation to climate change indicated by the relationship between revolt and drought 2 flood in Shandong Province during middle and late Qing Dynasty, Scientia Geographica Sinica (in Chinese) 24, 680-686.
35. Yuan, J. and Yan, Q. (2009). Discussion on factors of influencing farming household's acceptance for hybrid maize, Journal of Anhui Agricultural Science (in Chinese) 37, 6651-6652, 6654.