Risk factors associated with Rift Valley fever epidemics in South Africa in 2008-11

Scientific Reports

Volumn 5, Issue , 2015, Pages

  Métras, Raphaëlle ^a   Jewell, Chris ^b   Porphyre, Thibaud ^c   Thompson, Peter N ^d   Pfeiffer, Dirk U ^e   Collins, Lisa M ^f   White, Richard G ^b  

^a ROYAL VETERINARY COLLEGE   (United Kingdom)

^b LONDON SCHOOL OF HYGIENE AND TROPICAL MEDICINE   (United Kingdom)

^c MASSEY UNIVERSITY   (New Zealand)

^d UNIVERSITY OF EDINBURGH   (United Kingdom)

^e UNIVERSITY OF PRETORIA   (South Africa)

^f UNIVERSITY OF LINCOLN   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EPIDEMIC; GENETICS; HUMAN; RIFT VALLEY FEVER; RISK FACTOR; SOUTH AFRICA;

EPIDEMICS; HUMANS; RIFT VALLEY FEVER; RISK FACTORS; SOUTH AFRICA;

EID: 84925799259     PISSN: None     EISSN: 20452322     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/srep09492     Document Type: Article

References (25)

1. Bird, B. H., Ksiazek, T. G., Nichol, S. T. &MacLachlan, N. J. Rift Valley fever virus. J Am Vet Med Assoc 234, 883-893 (2009).
2. Pienaar, N. J. & Thompson, P. N. Temporal and spatial history of Rift Valley fever in South Africa: 1950 to 2011. Onderstepoort J Vet Res 80, Art.384, 13 pages. DOI:10.4102/ojvr.v80i1.384 (2013).
3. Metras, R. et al. Exploratory space-time analyses of Rift Valley fever in South Africa in 2008-2011. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 6, e1808 (2012).
4. Anyamba, A. et al. Climate teleconnections and recent patterns of human and animal disease outbreaks. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 6, e1465 (2012).
5. Anonymous. Rift Valley fever. Northern Cape province. 12p (2009) Available at http://sun025.sun.ac.za/portal/page/portal/Health-Sciences/Afrikaans/Sentrums/Infeksie-siektes/Rift-Valley-Fever-Outbreak-Northern-Cape-Summary.pdf (Accessed 15 September 2010).
6. OIE, World Organisation for Animal Health. Follow-up report No.: 7. Report reference: 7891, Report Date: 16/03/2009, Country: South Africa (2009). Available at http://web.oie.int/wahis/reports/en-fup-0000007891-20090317-124907.pdf (Accessed 15 September 2010).
7. OIE, World Organisation for Animal Health. Follow-up report No: 6. Report reference: RVF KZN 2009, OIE Ref: 8397, Report Date: 27/08/2009, Country: South Africa (2009). Available at: http://web.oie.int/wahis/reports/en-fup-0000008397-20090827-173721.pdf (Accessed 10 September 2010).
8. OIE, World Organisation for Animal Health. Rift Valley fever. Follow-up report No. 15. OIE Ref: 9559, Report Date: 30/07/2010, Country: South Africa (2010). Available at http://www.oie.int/wahis-2/public/wahid.php/Reviewreport/Review?reportid59559. (Accessed 11 March 2013).
9. OIE, World Organisation for Animal Health. Follow-up report No: 3. Report reference: Zwaardraai, OIE Ref: 8937, Report Date: 08/02/2010, Country: South Africa (2010). Available at: http://web.oie.int/wahis/reports/en-fup-0000008937-20100208-164327.pdf (Accessed 20 August 2010).
10. OIE, World Organisation for Animal Health. Rift Valley fever. Follow-up report No. 14. OIE Ref: 11073, Report Date: 28/09/2011, Country: South Africa (2011). Available at: http://web.oie.int/wahis/reports/en-fup-0000011073-20110929-143957.pdf (Accessed 17 October 2011).
11. R INLA project. Besag model for spatial effects (2012). Available at: http://www.math. ntnu.no/, hrue/r-inla.org/doc/latent/besag.pdf (Accessed 30 November 2012).
12. Rue, H., Martino, S. & Lindgren, F. INLA: Functions which allow to perform a full Bayesian analysis of structured (geo-)additive models using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximaxion. R package version 0.0. (2009) Available at: http://www. r-inla.org/download (Accessed: 30 November 2012)
13. Rue, H., Martino, S. & Chopin, N. Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations. J. R. Statist. Soc. B 71, 319-392 (2009).
14. Spiegelhalter, D. J., Best, N. G., Carlin, B. P.&van der Linde, A. Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit (with discussion). J. R. Statist. Soc. B 64, 583-639 (2002).
15. R Development Core Team. R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing (2010). Vienna, Austria, ISBN 3-900051-07-0, URL http://www.R-project.org.
16. Diggle, P. J. & Ribeiro, P. J. geoR: a package for geostatistical analysis R-NEWS 1, 15-18. June, 2001 (2001)
17. Diggle, P. & Ribeiro, P. in Model-based Geostatistics (eds Springer), Ch. 5, 99-133 (New York, 2007).
18. Turell, M. J., Rossi, C. A. & Bailey, C. L. Effect of extrinsic incubation temperature on the ability of Aedes taeniorhynchus and Culex pipiens to transmit Rift Valley fever virus. Am J Trop Med Hyg 34, 1211-1218 (1985).
19. Brubaker, J. F. & Turell, M. J. Effect of environmental temperature on the susceptibility of Culex pipiens (Diptera: Culicidae) to RiftValley fever virus.JMed Entomol 35, 918-921 (1998).
20. Grobbelaar, A. A. et al. Molecular epidemiology of Rift Valley fever virus. Emerg Infect Dis 17, 2270-2276 (2011).
21. Labeaud, A. D., Cross, P. C., Getz, W. M., Glinka, A.& King, C. H. Rift Valley fever virus infection in African buffalo (Syncerus caffer) herds in rural South Africa: evidence of interepidemic transmission. Am J Trop Med Hyg 84, 641-646 (2011).
22. Metras, R. et al. Transmission potential of Rift Valley fever virus over the course of the 2010 epidemic in South Africa. Emerg Infect Dis 19, 916-24 (2013).
23. DAFF, Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry. Census of commercial agriculture, Financial and production statistics (2007). Available at http://www.nda.agric.za/docs/statsinfo/Censcoagric2007.pdf (Accessed 11 February 2013).
24. ProMED-mail. Rift Valley fever-South Africa (09): multi-province. ProMEDmail 2010; 07 Apr (2010): 20100407.1119.http://www.promedmail.org (Accessed 15 September 2010).
25. ProMED-mail. Rift Valley fever-South Africa (05): ovine, vaccine policy. ProMED-mail 2010; 01 Feb (2011): 20110201.0377.http://www.promedmail.org (Accessed 02 February 2011).