메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 32, Issue 5, 2015, Pages 613-623

Influence of future tropical cyclone track changes on their basin-wide intensity over the western North Pacific: Downscaled CMIP5 projections

Author keywords

climate change; CMIP5; downscaling; tropical cyclone track and intensity

Indexed keywords


EID: 84924293119     PISSN: 02561530     EISSN: 18619533     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00376-014-4105-4     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (30)

References (35)
  • 1
    • 75749084428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeled impact of anthropogenic warming on the frequency of intense Atlantic hurricanes
    • Bender, M. A., T. R. Knutson, R. E. Tuleya, J. J. Sirutis, G. A. Vecchi, S. T. Garner, and I. Held, 2010: Modeled impact of anthropogenic warming on the frequency of intense Atlantic hurricanes. Science, 327(5964), 454–458, doi: 10.1126/science.1180568.
    • (2010) Science , vol.327 , Issue.5964 , pp. 454-458
    • Bender, M.A.1    Knutson, T.R.2    Tuleya, R.E.3    Sirutis, J.J.4    Vecchi, G.A.5    Garner, S.T.6    Held, I.7
  • 2
    • 0023525281 scopus 로고
    • The dependence of hurricane intensity on climate
    • Emanuel, K. A., 1987: The dependence of hurricane intensity on climate. Nature, 326, 483–485.
    • (1987) Nature , vol.326 , pp. 483-485
    • Emanuel, K.A.1
  • 3
    • 33750239228 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Climate and Tropical Cyclone Activity: A New Model Downscaling Approach
    • Emanuel, K., 2006: Climate and Tropical Cyclone Activity: A New Model Downscaling Approach. J. Climate, 19, 4797–4802.
    • (2006) J. Climate , vol.19 , pp. 4797-4802
    • Emanuel, K.1
  • 5
    • 44449100119 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hurricanes and global warming: Results from downscaling IPCC AR4 simulations
    • Emanuel, K., R. Sundararajan, and J. Williams, 2008: Hurricanes and global warming: Results from downscaling IPCC AR4 simulations. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89, 347–367.
    • (2008) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.89 , pp. 347-367
    • Emanuel, K.1    Sundararajan, R.2    Williams, J.3
  • 6
    • 0000980508 scopus 로고
    • Global view of the origin of tropical disturbances and storms
    • Gray, W. M., 1968: Global view of the origin of tropical disturbances and storms. Mon. Wea. Rev., 96, 669–700.
    • (1968) Mon. Wea. Rev. , vol.96 , pp. 669-700
    • Gray, W.M.1
  • 7
    • 0020969397 scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclone motion: Environmental interaction plus a beta effect
    • Holland, G. J., 1983: Tropical cyclone motion: Environmental interaction plus a beta effect. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 328–342.
    • (1983) J. Atmos. Sci. , vol.40 , pp. 328-342
    • Holland, G.J.1
  • 9
    • 0029768948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year reanalysis project
    • Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year reanalysis project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437–471.
    • (1996) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.77 , pp. 437-471
    • Kalnay, E.1
  • 10
    • 7044231527 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 2-induced warming on simulated hurricane intensity and precipitation: Sensitivity to the choice of climate model and convective parameterization
    • 2-induced warming on simulated hurricane intensity and precipitation: Sensitivity to the choice of climate model and convective parameterization. J. Climate, 17, 3477–3495.
    • (2004) J. Climate , vol.17 , pp. 3477-3495
    • Knutson, T.R.1    Tuleya, R.E.2
  • 12
    • 34250765456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of the recent multidecadal increase of Atlantic hurricane activity using an 18-km-Grid regional model
    • Knutson, T. R., J. J. Sirutis, S. T. Garner, I. M. Held, and R. E. Tuleya, 2007: Simulation of the recent multidecadal increase of Atlantic hurricane activity using an 18-km-Grid regional model. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88, 1549–1565.
    • (2007) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.88 , pp. 1549-1565
    • Knutson, T.R.1    Sirutis, J.J.2    Garner, S.T.3    Held, I.M.4    Tuleya, R.E.5
  • 13
    • 44949174546 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulated reduction in Atlantic hurricane frequency under twenty-first century warming conditions
    • Knutson, T. R., J. J. Sirutis, S. T. Garner, G. A. Vecchi, and I. M. Held, 2008: Simulated reduction in Atlantic hurricane frequency under twenty-first century warming conditions. Nature Geosci., 1, 359–364.
    • (2008) Nature Geosci. , vol.1 , pp. 359-364
    • Knutson, T.R.1    Sirutis, J.J.2    Garner, S.T.3    Vecchi, G.A.4    Held, I.M.5
  • 14
    • 77950522627 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclone and climate change
    • Knutson, T. R., and Coauthors, 2010: Tropical cyclone and climate change. Nature Geosci., 3, 157–163.
    • (2010) Nature Geosci. , vol.3 , pp. 157-163
    • Knutson, T.R.1
  • 15
    • 84878956247 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamical downscaling projections of Twenty-First-Century Atlantic hurricane activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Model-Based scenarios
    • Knutson, T. R., and Coauthors, 2013: Dynamical downscaling projections of Twenty-First-Century Atlantic hurricane activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Model-Based scenarios. J. Climate, 26, 6591–6617.
    • (2013) J. Climate , vol.26 , pp. 6591-6617
    • Knutson, T.R.1
  • 16
    • 70350731200 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hurricane track variability and secular potential intensity trends
    • Kossin, J. P., and S. J. Camargo, 2009: Hurricane track variability and secular potential intensity trends. Climatic Change, 97, 329–337.
    • (2009) Climatic Change , vol.97 , pp. 329-337
    • Kossin, J.P.1    Camargo, S.J.2
  • 18
    • 84890234156 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trend analysis with a new global record of tropical cyclone intensity
    • Kossin, J. P., T. L. Olander, and K. R. Knapp, 2013: Trend analysis with a new global record of tropical cyclone intensity. J. Climate, 26, 9960–9976.
    • (2013) J. Climate , vol.26 , pp. 9960-9976
    • Kossin, J.P.1    Olander, T.L.2    Knapp, K.R.3
  • 19
    • 84891632145 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future change of global monsoon in the CMIP5
    • Lee, J.-Y., and B. Wang, 2012: Future change of global monsoon in the CMIP5. Climate Dyn., 42, 101–119.
    • (2012) Climate Dyn. , vol.42 , pp. 101-119
    • Lee, J.-Y.1    Wang, B.2
  • 20
    • 78249272349 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location
    • Li, T., M. Kwon, M. Zhao, J.-S. Kug, J.-J. Luo, and W. Yu, 2010: Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L21804, doi: 10.1029/2010GL045124.
    • (2010) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.37 , pp. 21804
    • Li, T.1    Kwon, M.2    Zhao, M.3    Kug, J.-S.4    Luo, J.-J.5    Yu, W.6
  • 21
    • 79955007797 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Future change of western North Pacific typhoons: Projections by a 20-km mesh global atmospheric model
    • Murakami, H., B. Wang, and A. Kitoh, 2011: Future change of western North Pacific typhoons: Projections by a 20-km mesh global atmospheric model. J. Climate, 24, 1154–1169.
    • (2011) J. Climate , vol.24 , pp. 1154-1169
    • Murakami, H.1    Wang, B.2    Kitoh, A.3
  • 22
    • 43449087894 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How well do coupled models simulate today’s climate?
    • Reichler, T., and J. Kim, 2008: How well do coupled models simulate today’s climate? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soci., 89, 303–311.
    • (2008) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soci. , vol.89 , pp. 303-311
    • Reichler, T.1    Kim, J.2
  • 23
    • 45349109008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improvements to NOAA’s historical merged land-ocean surface temperature analysis (1880–2006)
    • Smith, T. M., R. W. Reynolds, T. C. Peterson, and J. Lawrimore, 2008: Improvements to NOAA’s historical merged land-ocean surface temperature analysis (1880–2006). J. Climate, 21, 2283–2296.
    • (2008) J. Climate , vol.21 , pp. 2283-2296
    • Smith, T.M.1    Reynolds, R.W.2    Peterson, T.C.3    Lawrimore, J.4
  • 24
    • 84860684669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design
    • Taylor, K. E., R. J. Stouffer, and G. A. Meehl, 2012: An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bull Am Meteor Soc, 93, 485–498.
    • (2012) Bull Am Meteor Soc , vol.93 , pp. 485-498
    • Taylor, K.E.1    Stouffer, R.J.2    Meehl, G.A.3
  • 25
    • 67749086696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The Abrupt Shift of Typhoon Activity in the Vicinity of Taiwan and Its Association with Western North Pacific-East Asian Climate Change
    • Tu, J.-Y., C. Chou, and P.-S. Chu, 2009: The Abrupt Shift of Typhoon Activity in the Vicinity of Taiwan and Its Association with Western North Pacific-East Asian Climate Change. J. Climate, 22, 3617–3628.
    • (2009) J. Climate , vol.22 , pp. 3617-3628
    • Tu, J.-Y.1    Chou, C.2    Chu, P.-S.3
  • 26
    • 34250699969 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationship between the potential and actual intensities of tropical cyclones on interannual time scales
    • Wing, A. A., A. H. Sobel, and S. J. Camargo, 2007: Relationship between the potential and actual intensities of tropical cyclones on interannual time scales. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, doi: 10.1029/2006GL028581.
    • (2007) Geophys. Res. Lett. , pp. 34
    • Wing, A.A.1    Sobel, A.H.2    Camargo, S.J.3
  • 27
    • 84861924455 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclone intensity change in the Western North Pacific: Downscaling from IPCC AR4 experiments
    • Wang, C., and L. Wu, 2012: Tropical cyclone intensity change in the Western North Pacific: Downscaling from IPCC AR4 experiments. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 90, 223–233.
    • (2012) J. Meteor. Soc. Japan , vol.90 , pp. 223-233
    • Wang, C.1    Wu, L.2
  • 28
    • 79960684271 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Typhoon track changes associated with global warming
    • Wang, R., L. Wu, and C. Wang, 2011: Typhoon track changes associated with global warming. J. Climate, 24, 3748–3752.
    • (2011) J. Climate , vol.24 , pp. 3748-3752
    • Wang, R.1    Wu, L.2    Wang, C.3
  • 29
    • 34347243497 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impact of Saharan air layer on hurricane peak intensity
    • Wu, L. 2007: Impact of Saharan air layer on hurricane peak intensity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, doi: 10.1029/2007GL029564.
    • (2007) Geophys. Res. Lett. , pp. 34
    • Wu, L.1
  • 30
    • 2342565806 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing impacts of global warming on tropical cyclone tracks
    • Wu, L., and B. Wang, 2004: Assessing impacts of global warming on tropical cyclone tracks. J. Climate, 17, 1686–1698.
    • (2004) J. Climate , vol.17 , pp. 1686-1698
    • Wu, L.1    Wang, B.2
  • 31
    • 44349089139 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • What has changed the proportion of intense hurricanes in the last 30 years?
    • Wu, L., and B. Wang, 2008: What has changed the proportion of intense hurricanes in the last 30 years? J. Climate, 21, 1432–1439.
    • (2008) J. Climate , vol.21 , pp. 1432-1439
    • Wu, L.1    Wang, B.2
  • 32
    • 84863076556 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Dynamically derived tropical cyclone intensity changes over the Western North Pacific
    • Wu, L., and H. Zhao, 2012: Dynamically derived tropical cyclone intensity changes over the Western North Pacific. J. Climate, 25, 89–98.
    • (2012) J. Climate , vol.25 , pp. 89-98
    • Wu, L.1    Zhao, H.2
  • 33
    • 27744527639 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Growing typhoon influence on East Asia
    • Wu, L., B. Wang, and S. Geng, 2005: Growing typhoon influence on East Asia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L18703, doi: 10.1029/2005GL022937.
    • (2005) Geophys. Res. Lett. , vol.32 , pp. 18703
    • Wu, L.1    Wang, B.2    Geng, S.3
  • 34
    • 44349169993 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implications of tropical cyclone power dissipation index
    • Wu, L., B. Wang, and S. A. Braun, 2008: Implications of tropical cyclone power dissipation index. Int. J. Climatol., 28, 727–731.
    • (2008) Int. J. Climatol. , vol.28 , pp. 727-731
    • Wu, L.1    Wang, B.2    Braun, S.A.3
  • 35
    • 68949202517 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tropical cyclone damages in China 1983–2006
    • Zhang, Q., L. Wu, and Q. Liu 2009: Tropical cyclone damages in China 1983–2006. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90, 489–495.
    • (2009) Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. , vol.90 , pp. 489-495
    • Zhang, Q.1    Wu, L.2    Liu, Q.3


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.