On predicting debris flows in arid mountain belts

Global and Planetary Change

Volumn 126, Issue , 2015, Pages 1-13

  Stolle, Amelie ^a   Langer, Maria ^a   Blöthe, Jan Henrik ^a,b   Korup, Oliver ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF POTSDAM   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF BONN   (Germany)

Author keywords

Bayesian logistic regression; Channel geometry; Debris flow; Geomorphometry; Peak discharge; Transhimalaya

Indexed keywords

ARID REGIONS; CATCHMENTS; DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS; FORECASTING; LANDFORMS; MONTE CARLO METHODS; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; REMOTE SENSING; RUNOFF; STORMS; THUNDERSTORMS;

CHANNEL GEOMETRY; DEBRIS FLOWS; GEOMORPHOMETRY; LOGISTIC REGRESSIONS; PEAK DISCHARGE; TRANSHIMALAYA;

DEBRIS;

ARID ENVIRONMENT; ASSESSMENT METHOD; BELT; CATCHMENT; DEBRIS FLOW; FLASH FLOOD; FLOW VELOCITY; GEOMETRY; HAZARD ASSESSMENT; HUMID ENVIRONMENT; MORPHOMETRY; MOUNTAIN REGION; PEAK DISCHARGE; PREDICTION; RECONSTRUCTION; REMOTE SENSING; SATELLITE DATA; TERRAIN;

HIMALAYAS; INDIA; JAMMU AND KASHMIR; LADAKH; ZANSKAR HIMALAYAS;

EID: 84921386153     PISSN: 09218181     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2014.12.005     Document Type: Article

References (38)

1. Bookhagen B., Thiede R.C., Strecker M.R. Abnormal monsoon years and their control on erosion and sediment flux in the high, arid northwest Himalaya. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 2005, 231:131-146.
2. Bovis M., Jakob M. The role of debris supply conditions in predicting debris flow activity. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 1999, 24:1039-1054.
3. Carrara A., Crosta G.B., Frattini P. Comparing models of debris-flow susceptibility in the alpine environment. Geomorphology 2008, 94:353-378.
4. Census Commissioner, India Census of India 2011, Provisional Population Totals, Jammu and Kashmir Available at, (accessed 2 February 2013). http://www.censusindia.gov.in.
5. Costa J. Physical Geomorphology of Debris Flows 1984, 268-312. Springer, Heidelberg.
6. Crosta G.B., Frattini P. Controls on modern alluvial fan processes in the Central Alps, Northern Italy. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 2004, 29:267-293.
7. Das I., Stein A., Kerle N., Dadhwal V.K. Landslide susceptibility mapping along road corridors in the Indian Himalayas using Bayesian logistic regression models. Geomorphology 2012, 179:116-125.
8. Daultrey S., Gergan R. Living with Change: Adaptation and Innovation in Ladakh. Ladakh Renewable Energy Development Agency (LREDA) 2011, 1-11.
9. David-Novak H.B., Morin E., Enzel Y. Modern extreme storms and the rainfall thresholds for initiating debris flow on the hyperarid western escarpment of the Dead Sea, Israel. Geol. Soc. Am. Bull. 2004, 116:718-728.
10. De Scally F., Owens I. Morphometric controls and geomorphic responses on fans in the Southern Alps, New Zealand. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 2004, 29:311-322.
11. Dézes P. Tectonic and Metamorphic Evolution of the Central Himalayan Domain in Southeast Zanskar (Kashmir, India) 1999, Lausanne, Mémoires de Géologie, (145 p).
12. Geological Survey of India Geological Investigation of Disastrous Debris/Mud Flows of 5th & 6th August 2010 Cloudbursts, Leh (Ladakh), J&K. Landslide Hazard Studies. Geol. Surv. India 2010, (5 p).
13. Harvey A., Mather A., Stokes M. Geomorphology, sedimentology, dynamics. Geol. Soc. Lond 2005, 251:1-7. Special Publications. A. fans (Ed.).
14. Hobley D.E.J., Sinclair H.D., Mudd S.M. Reconstruction of a major storm event from its geomorphic signature: the Ladakh floods, 6 August 2010. Geology 2012, 40:483-486.
15. Hungr O., Morgan G., Kellerhals R. Quantitative analysis of debris torrent hazards for design of remedial measures. Can. Geotech. J. 1984, 21:337-663.
16. Iverson R. The Physics of Debris Flows. Review of Geophysics 1997, 3:245-296.
17. Jakob M., Hungr O. Debris-Flow Hazards and Related Phenomena 2005, Springer, Heidelberg, (1723 p).
18. Jamieson S., Sinclair H., Kirstein L., Purves R. Tectonic forcing of longitudinal valleys in the Himalaya: morphological analysis of the Ladakh Batholith, North India. Geomorphology 2004, 58:49-65.
19. Juyal N. Cloud burst-triggered debris flows around Leh. Curr. Sci. 2010, 9:1166-1167.
20. Korup O. Earth's portfolio of extreme sediment transport events. Earth Sci. Rev. 2012, 112:115-125.
21. Korup O., Stolle A. Landslide prediction from machine learning. Geol. Today 2014, 1:26-33.
22. Kostaschuk R., MacDonald G., Putnam P. Depositional process and alluvial fan drainage basin morphometric relationships near Banff, Alberta, Canada. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 1986, 11:471-484.
23. Kovanen D.J., Slaymaker O. The morphometric and stratigraphic framework for estimates of debris flow incidence in the North Cascades foothills, Washington State, USA. Geomorphology 2008, 99:224-245.
24. Kruschke J.K. Doing Bayesian Data Analysis 2011, Academic Press, Burlington, (653 p).
25. Magirl C.S., Griffiths P.G., Webb R.H. Analyzing debris flows with the statistically calibrated empirical model LAHARZ in southeastern Arizona, USA. Geomorphology 2010, 119:111-124.
26. Melton M. The geomorphic and paleoclimatic significance of alluvial deposits in Southern Arizona. J. Geol. 1965, 73:1-38.
27. Revellino P., Hungr O., Guadagno F., Evans S. Velocity and runout simulation of destructive debris flows and debris avalanches in pyroclastic deposits, Campania region, Italy. Environ. Geol. 2004, 45:295-311.
28. Schneider G. Naturkatastrophen 1980, Ferdinand Enke Verlag, Stuttgart.
29. Stock J., Dietrich W.E. Valley incision by debris flows: evidence of a topographic signature. Water Resour. Res. 2003, 39:ESG11-ESG125.
30. Thayyen R.J., Dimri A.P., Kumar P., Agnihotri G. Study of cloudburst and flash floods around Leh, India, during August 4-6, 2010. Nat. Hazards 2013, 65:2175-2204.
31. Vargas G., Rutlant J., Ortlieb L. ENSO tropical-extratropical climate teleconnections and mechanisms for Holocene debris flows along the hyperarid coast of western South America (17°-24°S). Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 2006, 249:467-483.
32. Volker H., Wasklwicz T., Ellis M. A topographic fingerprint to distinguish alluvial fan formative processes. Geomorphology 2007, 88:34-45.
33. Weidinger J. Sacred buddhistic monuments in the Himalaya: indicators and protectors from mountainous hazards. J. Nepal Geol. Soc. 2002, 6:91-98.
34. Welsh A., Davies D. Identification of alluvial fans susceptible to debris flow hazards. Landslides 2010, 8:183-194.
35. Whipple K., Dunne T. The influence of debris-flow rheology on fan morphology, Owens Valley. Geol. Soc. Am. Bull. 1992, 104:887-900.
36. Wilford D., Sakal M., Innes J., Sidle R., Bergerud W. Recognition of debris flow, debris flood and flood hazard through watershed morphometrics. Landslides 2004, 1:61-66.
37. Witten I.H., Frank E., Hall M.A. Data Mining 2011, Morgan Kaufman, Burlington, (629 p). 3rd ed.
38. World Meteorological Organization WMO Statement on the Status of the Global Climate in 2010. WMO Report 2011, 1074. (20 p).