Changing forest water yields in response to climate warming: Results from long-term experimental watershed sites across North America

Global Change Biology

Volumn 20, Issue 10, 2014, Pages 3191-3208

  Creed, Irena F ^a   Spargo, Adam T ^a   Jones, Julia A ^b   Buttle, Jim M ^c   Adams, Mary B ^d   Beall, Fred D ^e   Booth, Eric G ^f   Campbell, John L ^d   Clow, Dave ^g   Elder, Kelly ^h   Green, Mark B ⁱ   Grimm, Nancy B ^j   Miniat, Chelcy ^d   Ramlal, Patricia ^k   Saha, Amartya ^l   Sebestyen, Stephen ^d   Spittlehouse, Dave ^m   Sterling, Shannon ⁿ   Williams, Mark W ^o   Winkler, Rita ^m   Yao, Huaxia ^p   more..

^a UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN ONTARIO   (Canada)

^b OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^c TRENT UNIVERSITY   (Canada)

^d USDA FOREST SERVICE   (United States)

^e GREAT LAKES FORESTRY CENTRE   (Canada)

^f Wisconsin Electric Machines and Power Electronics Consortium   (United States)

^g U S GEOLOGICAL SURVEY   (United States)

^h ROCKY MOUNTAIN RESEARCH STATION   (United States)

ⁱ PLYMOUTH STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^j ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^k FRESHWATER INSTITUTE   (Canada)

^l FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^m RESEARCH BRANCH   (Canada)

ⁿ DALHOUSIE UNIVERSITY   (Canada)

^o UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO   (United States)

^p ONTARIO MINISTRY OF THE ENVIRONMENT   (Canada)

more..

Author keywords

Budyko curve; Catchments; Climate change; Elasticity; Evapotranspiration; Forest; Precipitation; Resilience; Water yield

Indexed keywords

CATCHMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; CONIFEROUS FOREST; DECIDUOUS FOREST; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; FOREST ECOSYSTEM; FORESTRY; GLOBAL WARMING; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); WATER YIELD; WATERSHED;

CANADA; UNITED STATES;

RAIN; WATER;

CLIMATE CHANGE; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION; FOREST; GEOGRAPHIC AND GEOLOGICAL PHENOMENA; HYDROLOGY; NORTH AMERICA; TEMPERATURE; THEORETICAL MODEL;

CLIMATE CHANGE; FORESTS; GEOLOGICAL PHENOMENA; HYDROLOGY; MODELS, THEORETICAL; NORTH AMERICA; PLANT TRANSPIRATION; RAIN; TEMPERATURE; WATER;

EID: 84908549032     PISSN: 13541013     EISSN: 13652486     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12615     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. Aber JD, Ollinger SV, Federer CA et al. (1995) Predicting the effects of climate change on water yield and forest production in the northeastern United States. Climate Research, 5, 207-222.
2. Barnett TP, Pierce DW, Hidalgo HG et al. (2008) Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States. Science, 319, 1080-1083.
3. Baron JS, Schmidt TM, Hartman MD (2009) Climate-induced changes in high elevation stream nitrate dynamics. Global Change Biology, 15, 1777-1789.
4. Bates BC, Kundzewicz ZW, Wu S, Palutikof JP (eds) (2008) Climate Change and Water. Technical Paper of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC Secretariat, Geneva.
5. Bolker BM, Pacala SW, Bazzaz FA, Canham CD, Levin SA (1995) Species diversity and ecosystem response to carbon dioxide fertilization: conclusions from a temperate forest model. Global Change Biology, 1, 373-381.
6. Brand FS, Jax K (2007) Focusing the meaning(s) of resilience: resilience as a descriptive concept and a boundary object. Ecology and Society, 12, 23.
7. Brown AE, Zhang L, McMahon TA, Western AW, Vertessy RA (2005) A review of paired catchment studies for determining changes in water yield resulting from alterations in vegetation. Journal of Hydrology, 310, 28-61.
8. Brown TC, Hobbins MT, Ramirez JA (2008) Spatial distribution of water supply in the coterminous United States. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 44, 1474-1487.
9. Budyko MI (1974) Climate and Life. Academic Press, New York.
10. Caine N (2011) Recent hydrologic change in a Colorado alpine basin: an indicator of permafrost thaw? Annals of Glaciology, 51, 130-134.
11. Chabot BF, Hicks DJ (1982) The ecology of leaf life spans. Annual Review of Ecological and Systematics, 13, 229-259.
12. Cornish PM, Vertessy RA (2001) Forest age-induced changes in evapotranspiration and water yield in a eucalypt forest. Journal of Hydrology, 242, 43-63.
13. Ellison D, Futter MN, Bishop K (2012) On the forest cover-water yield debate: from demand-to supply-side thinking. Global Change Biology, 18, 806-820.
14. Ewers BE, Gower ST, Bond-Lamberty B, Wang C (2005) Effects of stand age and tree species composition on transpiration and canopy conductance of boreal forest stands. Plant, Cell and Environment, 28, 660-678.
15. Ewers BE, Mackay DS, Samanta S (2006) Interannual consistency in canopy stomatal conductance control of leaf water potential across seven tree species. Tree Physiology, 27, 11-24.
16. Fischer J, Lindenmayer DB, Manning AD (2006) Biodiversity, ecosystem function, and resilience: ten guiding principles for commodity production landscapes. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 4, 80-86.
17. Ford CR, Hubbard RM, Vose M (2011) Quantifying structural and physiological controls on variation in canopy transpiration among planted pine and hardwood species in the southern Appalachians. Ecohydrology, 4, 183-195.
18. Gentine P, D'Odorico P, Lintner BR, Sivandran G, Salvucci G (2012) Interdependence of climate, soil, and vegetation as constrained by the Budyko curve. Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L19404.
19. Gerten D, Lucht W, Schaphoff S, Cramer W, Hickler T, Wagner W (2005) Hydrologic resilience of the terrestrial biosphere. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L21408.
20. Grant RF, Barr AG, Black TA et al. (2009) Interannual variation in net ecosystem productivity of Canadian forests as affected by regional weather patterns-a Fluxnet-Canada synthesis. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 149, 2022-2039.
21. Grier CG, Running SW (1977) Leaf area of mature northwester coniferous forests: relation to site water balance. Ecology, 58, 893-899.
22. Gunderson LH (2000) Ecological resilience-in theory and application. Annual Review of Ecological and Systematics, 31, 425-439.
23. Hamon WR (1963) Computation of direct runoff amounts from storm rainfall. International Association of Scientific Hydrological Publication, 63, 52-62.
24. Holling CS (1973) Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Annual Review of Ecological and Systematics, 4, 1-23.
25. Holling CS (1996) Engineering resilience versus ecological resilience. In: Engineering Within Ecological Constraints (ed. Schulze P), pp. 31-44. National Academy Press, Washington, DC.
26. Jansen E, Overpeck J, Briffa KR et al. (2007) Palaeoclimate. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (eds Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL), pp. 433-497. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY.
27. Jones JA, Creed IF, Hatcher KL et al. (2012) Ecosystem processes and human influences regulate discharge response to climate change at long-term ecological research sites. BioScience, 62, 390-404.
28. Karl TR, Melillo JM, Peterson TC (eds) (2009) Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
29. Loarie SR, Duffy PB, Hamilton H, Asner GP, Field CB, Ackerly DD (2009) The velocity of climate change. Nature, 462, 1052-1055.
30. Lu J, Sun G, McNulty SG, Amatya DM (2005) A comparison of six potential evapotranspiration methods for regional use in the southeastern United States. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41, 621-633.
31. McGuire KJ, McDonnell JJ, Weiler M, Kendall C, McGlynn BL, Welker JM, Seibert J (2005) The role of topography on catchment-scale water residence time. Water Resources Research, 41, W05002.
32. Milly PCD (1994) Climate, soil water storage, and the average annual water balance. Water Resources Research, 30, 2143-2156.
33. Moore GW, Bond BJ, Jones JA, Phillips N, Meinzer FC (2004) Structural and compositional controls on transpiration in 40-and 450-year-old riparian forests in western Oregon, USA. Tree Physiology, 24, 481-491.
34. National Research Council (2008) Hydrologic Effects of a Changing Forest Landscape. Committee on Hydrologic Impact of Forest Management (Barten PK (Chair), Achterman GL, Brooks KN, Creed IF, Ffolliott P, Hairston-Strang A, Jones JA, Kavanaugh MC, Macdonald L, Smith RC, Tinker DB, Walker SB, Wemple BC, Weyerhaeuser GH). Water Science and Technology Board, Division of Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council of the National Academies. The National Academies Press, Washington, DC.
35. Poff NL, Allan JD, Bain MB et al. (1997) The natural flow regime: a paradigm for river conservation and restoration. BioScience, 47, 769-784.
36. Polgar CA, Primack RB (2011) Leaf-out phenology of temperate woody plants: from trees to ecosystems. New Phytologist, 191, 926-941.
37. Ponce Campos GE, Moran MS, Huete A et al. (2013) Ecosystem resilience despite large-scale altered hydroclimatic conditions. Nature, 494, 349-352.
38. Potter NJ, Zhang L, Milly PCD, McMahon TA, Jakeman AJ (2005) Effects of rainfall seasonality and soil moisture capacity on mean annual water balance for Australian catchments. Water Resources Research, 41, W06007.
39. Sankarasubramanian A, Vogel RM, Limbrunner JF (2001) Climate elasticity of streamflow in the United States. Water Resources Research, 37, 1771-1781.
40. Schaake JC (1990) From climate to flow. In: Climate Change and U.S. Water Resources (ed. Waggoner PE), pp. 177-206. John Wiley, New York.
41. Stewart IT (2009) Changes in snowpack and snowmelt runoff for key mountain regions. Hydrological Processes, 23, 78-94.
42. Swank WT, Vose JM, Elliott KJ (2001) Long-term hydrologic and water quality responses following commercial clearcutting of mixed hardwoods on a southern Appalachian catchment. Forest Ecology and Management, 143, 163-178.
43. Troch PA, Carrillo G, Sivapalan M, Wagener T, Sawicz K (2013) Climate-vegetationsoil interactions and long-term hydrologic partitioning: signatures of catchment co-evolution. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17, 2209-2217.
44. Trujillo E, Molotch NP, Goulden ML, Kelly AE, Bales RC (2012) Elevation-dependent influence of snow accumulation on forest greening. Nature Geoscience, 5, 705-709.
45. Voepel H, Ruddell B, Schumer R et al. (2011) Quantifying the role of climate and landscape characteristics on hydrologic partitioning and vegetation response. Water Resources Research, 47, W00J09.
46. Walther G, Post E, Convey P et al. (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature, 416, 389-395.
47. Wang DB, Hejazi M (2011) Quantifying the relative contribution of the climate and direct human impacts on mean annual streamflow in the contiguous United States. Water Resources Research, 47, W00J12.
48. Wang T, Istanbulluoglu E, Lenters J, Scott D (2009) On the role of groundwater and soil texture in the regional water balance: an investigation of the Nebraska Sand Hills. USA. Water Resources Research, 45, W10413.
49. Williams CA, Reichstein M, Buchmann N et al. (2012) Climate and vegetation controls on the surface water balance: synthesis of evapotranspiration measured across a global network of flux towers. Water Resources Research, 48, W06523.
50. Yao H (2009) Long-Term study of lake evaporation and evaluation of seven estimation methods: results from Dickie Lake, South-Central Ontario, Canada. Journal of Water Resource and Protection, 2, 59-77.
51. Yokoo Y, Sivapalan M, Oki T (2008) Investigating the roles of climate seasonality and landscape characteristics on mean annual and monthly water balances. Journal of Hydrology, 357, 255-269.
52. Zhang L, Dawes WR, Walker GR (2001) Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetation changes at catchment scale. Water Resources Research, 37, 701-708.