메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 46, Issue , 2014, Pages 224-235

Aviation fuel demand development in China

Author keywords

ARIMA; Aviation fuel demand; Aviation fuel efficiency; Bayes; ETS

Indexed keywords

EFFICIENCY; FACTOR ANALYSIS; FORECASTING; PROFITABILITY; REGRESSION ANALYSIS;

EID: 84908508818     PISSN: 01409883     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2014.09.007     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (16)

References (37)
  • 1
    • 84862614168 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cross hedging jet-fuel price exposure
    • Adams Z., Gerner M. Cross hedging jet-fuel price exposure. Energy Econ. 2012, 34(5):1301-1309.
    • (2012) Energy Econ. , vol.34 , Issue.5 , pp. 1301-1309
    • Adams, Z.1    Gerner, M.2
  • 2
    • 79956344554 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combination of long term and short term forecasts, with application to tourism demand forecasting
    • Andrawis R.R., Atiya A.F., El-Shishiny H. Combination of long term and short term forecasts, with application to tourism demand forecasting. Int. J. Forecast. 2011, 27(3):870-886.
    • (2011) Int. J. Forecast. , vol.27 , Issue.3 , pp. 870-886
    • Andrawis, R.R.1    Atiya, A.F.2    El-Shishiny, H.3
  • 3
    • 0036841693 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The historical fuel efficiency characteristics of regional aircraft from technological, operational, and cost perspectives
    • Babikian R., Lukachko S.P., Waitz I.A. The historical fuel efficiency characteristics of regional aircraft from technological, operational, and cost perspectives. J. Air Transp. Manag. 2002, 8(6):389-400.
    • (2002) J. Air Transp. Manag. , vol.8 , Issue.6 , pp. 389-400
    • Babikian, R.1    Lukachko, S.P.2    Waitz, I.A.3
  • 4
    • 78649598811 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the 10-year US Treasury rate
    • Baghestani H. Forecasting the 10-year US Treasury rate. J. Forecast. 2010, 29(8):673-688.
    • (2010) J. Forecast. , vol.29 , Issue.8 , pp. 673-688
    • Baghestani, H.1
  • 5
    • 84908539890 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Aviation demand forecasting: a survey of methodologies
    • Bernstein G.W. Aviation demand forecasting: a survey of methodologies. Transp. Res. Board Rep. 2002, 11-14.
    • (2002) Transp. Res. Board Rep. , pp. 11-14
    • Bernstein, G.W.1
  • 6
    • 0040691456 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Improving forecasting for telemarketing centers by ARIMA modeling with intervention
    • Bianchi L., Jarrett J., Hanumara R.C. Improving forecasting for telemarketing centers by ARIMA modeling with intervention. Int. J. Forecast. 1998, 14(4):497-504.
    • (1998) Int. J. Forecast. , vol.14 , Issue.4 , pp. 497-504
    • Bianchi, L.1    Jarrett, J.2    Hanumara, R.C.3
  • 8
    • 33947579819 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Optimal prediction with nonstationary ARFIMA model
    • Boutahar M. Optimal prediction with nonstationary ARFIMA model. J. Forecast. 2007, 26(2):95-111.
    • (2007) J. Forecast. , vol.26 , Issue.2 , pp. 95-111
    • Boutahar, M.1
  • 9
    • 0033362357 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Updating the forecast function of ARIMA models and the link with DLM
    • Butler N.A. Updating the forecast function of ARIMA models and the link with DLM. J. Forecast. 1999, 18(4):275-284.
    • (1999) J. Forecast. , vol.18 , Issue.4 , pp. 275-284
    • Butler, N.A.1
  • 10
    • 71849102311 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why does energy intensity fluctuate in China?
    • Chai J., Guo J.E., Wang S.Y., Lai K.K. Why does energy intensity fluctuate in China?. Energy Policy 2009, 27(12):5717-5731.
    • (2009) Energy Policy , vol.27 , Issue.12 , pp. 5717-5731
    • Chai, J.1    Guo, J.E.2    Wang, S.Y.3    Lai, K.K.4
  • 11
    • 84945797974 scopus 로고
    • What is the 'best' method of forecasting?
    • Chatfield C. What is the 'best' method of forecasting?. J. Appl. Stat. 1988, 15(1):19-38.
    • (1988) J. Appl. Stat. , vol.15 , Issue.1 , pp. 19-38
    • Chatfield, C.1
  • 12
    • 0001057463 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model uncertainty and forecast accuracy
    • Chatfield C. Model uncertainty and forecast accuracy. J. Forecast. 1996, 15(7):495-508.
    • (1996) J. Forecast. , vol.15 , Issue.7 , pp. 495-508
    • Chatfield, C.1
  • 13
    • 79960720461 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting world and regional aviation jet fuel demands to the mid-term (2025)
    • Chèze B., Gastineau P., Chevallier J. Forecasting world and regional aviation jet fuel demands to the mid-term (2025). Energy Policy 2011, 39(9):5147-5158.
    • (2011) Energy Policy , vol.39 , Issue.9 , pp. 5147-5158
    • Chèze, B.1    Gastineau, P.2    Chevallier, J.3
  • 14
    • 70350490245 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting in large cointegrated processes
    • Chigira H., Yamamoto T. Forecasting in large cointegrated processes. J. Forecast. 2009, 28(7):631-650.
    • (2009) J. Forecast. , vol.28 , Issue.7 , pp. 631-650
    • Chigira, H.1    Yamamoto, T.2
  • 15
    • 84984525502 scopus 로고
    • Prior information and ARIMA forecasting
    • Cholette P.A. Prior information and ARIMA forecasting. J. Forecast. 1982, 1(4):375-383.
    • (1982) J. Forecast. , vol.1 , Issue.4 , pp. 375-383
    • Cholette, P.A.1
  • 16
    • 33745952342 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 25years of time series forecasting
    • De Gooijer J.G., Hyndman R.J. 25years of time series forecasting. Int. J. Forecast. 2006, 22(3):443-473.
    • (2006) Int. J. Forecast. , vol.22 , Issue.3 , pp. 443-473
    • De Gooijer, J.G.1    Hyndman, R.J.2
  • 17
    • 84984526135 scopus 로고
    • An evaluation of Bayesian forecasting
    • Fildes R. An evaluation of Bayesian forecasting. J. Forecast. 1983, 2(2):137-150.
    • (1983) J. Forecast. , vol.2 , Issue.2 , pp. 137-150
    • Fildes, R.1
  • 18
    • 68149182283 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Related-variables selection in temporal disaggregation
    • Fukuda K. Related-variables selection in temporal disaggregation. J. Forecast. 2009, 28(4):343-357.
    • (2009) J. Forecast. , vol.28 , Issue.4 , pp. 343-357
    • Fukuda, K.1
  • 19
    • 77949652043 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robust forecasting with exponential and Holt-Winters smoothing
    • Gelper S., Fried R., Croux C. Robust forecasting with exponential and Holt-Winters smoothing. J. Forecast. 2010, 29(3):285-300.
    • (2010) J. Forecast. , vol.29 , Issue.3 , pp. 285-300
    • Gelper, S.1    Fried, R.2    Croux, C.3
  • 20
    • 0038541208 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Linear combination of restrictions and forecasts in time series analysis
    • Guerrero V.M., Peña D. Linear combination of restrictions and forecasts in time series analysis. J. Forecast. 2000, 19(2):103-122.
    • (2000) J. Forecast. , vol.19 , Issue.2 , pp. 103-122
    • Guerrero, V.M.1    Peña, D.2
  • 21
    • 48749112805 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R
    • Hyndman R.J., Khandakar Y. Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R. J. Stat. Softw. 2008, 27(3):1-22.
    • (2008) J. Stat. Softw. , vol.27 , Issue.3 , pp. 1-22
    • Hyndman, R.J.1    Khandakar, Y.2
  • 22
    • 0036071568 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods
    • Hyndman R.J., Koehler A.B., Snyder R.D., Grose S. A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods. Int. J. Forecast. 2002, 18(3):439-454.
    • (2002) Int. J. Forecast. , vol.18 , Issue.3 , pp. 439-454
    • Hyndman, R.J.1    Koehler, A.B.2    Snyder, R.D.3    Grose, S.4
  • 23
    • 43849093314 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The admissible parameter space for exponential smoothing models
    • Hyndman R.J., Akram M., Archibald B.C. The admissible parameter space for exponential smoothing models. Ann. Inst. Stat. Math. 2008, 60(2):407-426.
    • (2008) Ann. Inst. Stat. Math. , vol.60 , Issue.2 , pp. 407-426
    • Hyndman, R.J.1    Akram, M.2    Archibald, B.C.3
  • 24
    • 84861776231 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An experimental and modeling study of burning velocities of possible future synthetic jet fuels
    • Kick T., Herbst J., Kathrotia T., Marquetand J., Braun-Unkhoff M., Naumann C., Riedel U. An experimental and modeling study of burning velocities of possible future synthetic jet fuels. Energy 2012, 43(1):111-123.
    • (2012) Energy , vol.43 , Issue.1 , pp. 111-123
    • Kick, T.1    Herbst, J.2    Kathrotia, T.3    Marquetand, J.4    Braun-Unkhoff, M.5    Naumann, C.6    Riedel, U.7
  • 25
    • 84856692076 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A study of outliers in the exponential smoothing approach to forecasting
    • Koehler A.B., Snyder R.D., Ord J.K., Beaumont A. A study of outliers in the exponential smoothing approach to forecasting. Int. J. Forecast. 2012, 28(2):477-484.
    • (2012) Int. J. Forecast. , vol.28 , Issue.2 , pp. 477-484
    • Koehler, A.B.1    Snyder, R.D.2    Ord, J.K.3    Beaumont, A.4
  • 26
    • 49649086407 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combining forecasts using optimal combination weight and generalized autoregression
    • Kurz-Kim J.R. Combining forecasts using optimal combination weight and generalized autoregression. J. Forecast. 2008, 27(5):419-432.
    • (2008) J. Forecast. , vol.27 , Issue.5 , pp. 419-432
    • Kurz-Kim, J.R.1
  • 27
    • 79953304319 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Aviation fuel demand modeling in OECD and developing countries: impacts of fuel efficiency
    • Mazraati M. Aviation fuel demand modeling in OECD and developing countries: impacts of fuel efficiency. OPEC Energy Rev. 2009, 33:23-46.
    • (2009) OPEC Energy Rev. , vol.33 , pp. 23-46
    • Mazraati, M.1
  • 28
    • 79960913901 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World aviation fuel demand outlook
    • Mazraati M. World aviation fuel demand outlook. OPEC Energy Rev. 2010, 34(1):42-72.
    • (2010) OPEC Energy Rev. , vol.34 , Issue.1 , pp. 42-72
    • Mazraati, M.1
  • 29
    • 79953328560 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling aviation fuel demand: the case of the United States and China
    • Mazraati M., Faquih Y.Y.O. Modelling aviation fuel demand: the case of the United States and China. OPEC Energy Rev. 2008, 32(4):323-342.
    • (2008) OPEC Energy Rev. , vol.32 , Issue.4 , pp. 323-342
    • Mazraati, M.1    Faquih, Y.Y.O.2
  • 30
    • 0011936429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evidence for the selection of forecasting methods
    • Meade N. Evidence for the selection of forecasting methods. J. Forecast. 2000, 19(6):515-535.
    • (2000) J. Forecast. , vol.19 , Issue.6 , pp. 515-535
    • Meade, N.1
  • 31
    • 70349103676 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Aviation fuel and future oil production scenarios
    • Nygren E., Aleklett K., Höök M. Aviation fuel and future oil production scenarios. Energy Policy 2009, 37(10):4003-4010.
    • (2009) Energy Policy , vol.37 , Issue.10 , pp. 4003-4010
    • Nygren, E.1    Aleklett, K.2    Höök, M.3
  • 32
    • 84879504634 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Capturing the impact of fuel price on jet aircraft operating costs with Leontief technology and econometric models
    • Ryerson M.S., Hansen M. Capturing the impact of fuel price on jet aircraft operating costs with Leontief technology and econometric models. Transp. Res. C Emerg. Technol. 2013, 33:282-296.
    • (2013) Transp. Res. C Emerg. Technol. , vol.33 , pp. 282-296
    • Ryerson, M.S.1    Hansen, M.2
  • 33
    • 4744368723 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Smooth transition exponential smoothing
    • Taylor J.W. Smooth transition exponential smoothing. J. Forecast. 2004, 23(6):385-404.
    • (2004) J. Forecast. , vol.23 , Issue.6 , pp. 385-404
    • Taylor, J.W.1
  • 34
    • 0032124562 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term scenarios for aviation: demand and emissions of CO2 and NOx
    • Vedantham A., Oppenheimer M. Long-term scenarios for aviation: demand and emissions of CO2 and NOx. Energy Policy 1998, 26(8):625-641.
    • (1998) Energy Policy , vol.26 , Issue.8 , pp. 625-641
    • Vedantham, A.1    Oppenheimer, M.2
  • 35
    • 68849088231 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling fuel demand for different socio-economic groups
    • Wadud Z., Graham D.J., Noland R.B. Modelling fuel demand for different socio-economic groups. Appl. Energy 2009, 86(12):2740-2749.
    • (2009) Appl. Energy , vol.86 , Issue.12 , pp. 2740-2749
    • Wadud, Z.1    Graham, D.J.2    Noland, R.B.3
  • 37
    • 84908549077 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development trend of aviation Oil market
    • (In Chinese)
    • Zhao S.B., Hu J.Y. Development trend of aviation Oil market. China Ind. Econ. 2002, 5:34-36. (In Chinese).
    • (2002) China Ind. Econ. , vol.5 , pp. 34-36
    • Zhao, S.B.1    Hu, J.Y.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.