Ecological niche modeling of bacillus anthracis on three continents: Evidence for genetic-ecological divergence?

PLoS ONE

Volumn 8, Issue 8, 2013, Pages

  Mullins, Jocelyn C ^a   Garofolo, Giuliano ^b,c   Van Ert, Matthew ^a   Fasanella, Antonio ^c   Lukhnova, Larisa ^d   Hugh Jones, Martin E ^e   Blackburn, Jason K ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA   (United States)

^b ISTITUTO ZOOPROFILATTICO SPERIMENTALE DELL ABRUZZO E DEL MOLISE G CAPORALE   (Italy)

^c ISTITUTO ZOOPROFILATTICO SPERIMENTALE DELLA PUGLIA E DELLA BASILICATA   (Italy)

^d Masgut Aikimbayev National Scientific Center for Especially Dangerous Infections of the Ministry of Healthcare of the Republic of Kazakhstan   (Kazakhstan)

^e LOUISIANA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ANTHRAX; ARTICLE; BACILLUS ANTHRACIS; CONTROLLED STUDY; DISEASE SURVEILLANCE; ECOLOGICAL NICHE; GENETIC SELECTION; GENETIC VARIABILITY; GENOME ANALYSIS; GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION; ITALY; KAZAKHSTAN; LANDSCAPE; NONHUMAN; POPULATION GENETICS; UNITED STATES; VACCINATION; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; ECOSYSTEM; GENETICS; GEOGRAPHY; HUMAN; SAMPLE SIZE;

BACILLUS ANTHRACIS;

BACILLUS ANTHRACIS; ECOSYSTEM; GEOGRAPHY; HUMANS; ITALY; KAZAKHSTAN; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; SAMPLE SIZE; UNITED STATES;

EID: 84908126338     PISSN: None     EISSN: 19326203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0072451     Document Type: Article

References (57)

1. Hugh-Jones M, Blackburn J (2009) The ecology of Bacillus anthracis. Mol Aspects Med 30: 356-367. doi:10.1016/j.mam.2009.08.003. PubMed: 19720074.
2. Schuch R, Fischetti VA (2009) The secret life of the anthrax agent Bacillus anthracis: bacteriophage-mediated ecological adaptations. PLOS ONE 4: e6532. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0006532. PubMed: 19672290.
3. Sternbach G (2003) The history of anthrax. J Emerg Med 24: 463-467. doi:10.1016/S0736-4679(03)00079-9. PubMed: 12745053.
4. Blackburn JK, McNyset KM, Curtis A, Hugh-Jones ME (2007) Modeling the geographic distribution of Bacillus anthracis, the causative agent of anthrax disease, for the contiguous United States using predictive ecologic niche modeling. Am J Trop Med Hyg 77: 1103-1110. PubMed: 18165531.
5. Blackburn JK, Curtis A, Hadfield TL, O'Shea B, Mitchell MA et al. (2010) Confirmation of Bacillus anthracis from flesh-eating flies collected during a West Texas anthrax season. J Wildl Dis 46: 918-922. PubMed: 20688697.
6. Kracalik IT, Blackburn JK, Lukhnova L, Pazilov Y, Hugh-Jones ME et al. (2012) Analysing the spatial patterns of livestock anthrax in Kazakhstan in relation to environmental factors: a comparison of local (Gi∗) and morphology cluster statistics. Geospatial Health 7: 111-126. PubMed: 23242686.
7. Smith KL, DeVos V, Bryden H, Price LB, Hugh-Jones ME et al. (2000) Bacillus anthracis diversity in Kruger National Park. J Clin Microbiol 38: 3780-3784. PubMed: 11015402.
8. Van Ness G, Stein CD (1956) Soils of the United States favorable for Anthrax. J Am Vet Med Assoc 128: 7-9. PubMed: 13278269.
9. Van Ness GB (1971) Ecology of Anthrax. Science 172: 1303-1307. doi: 10.1126/science.172.3990.1303. PubMed: 4996306.
10. Hugh-Jones ME, de Vos V (2002) Anthrax and wildlife. Rev Sci Tech 21: 359-383. PubMed: 11974621.
11. Mukherjee A, Diaz R, Thom M, Overholt W, Cuda J (2012) Niche-based prediction of establishment of biocontrol agents: an example with Gratiana boliviana and tropical soda apple. Biocontrol Sci Technol 22: 447-461. doi:10.1080/09583157.2012.664616.
12. Peterson AT (2003) Predicting the geography of species' invasions via ecological niche modeling. Q Rev Biol 78: 419-433. doi: 10.1086/378926. PubMed: 14737826.
13. Joyner TA, Lukhnova L, Pazilov Y, Temiralyeva G, Hugh-Jones ME et al. (2010) Modeling the potential distribution of Bacillus anthracis under multiple climate change scenarios for Kazakhstan. PLOS ONE 5: e9596. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0009596. PubMed: 20231894.
14. Nakazawa Y, Williams R, Peterson AT, Mead P, Staples E et al. (2007) Climate change effects on plague and tularemia in the United States. Vector-Borne Zoonotic Dis 7: 529-540. doi:10.1089/vbz.2007.0125. PubMed: 18047395.
15. Broennimann O, Treier UA, Müller-Schärer H, Thuiller W, Peterson AT et al. (2007) Evidence of climatic niche shift during biological invasion. Ecol Lett 10: 701-709. doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01060.x. PubMed: 17594425.
16. Mukherjee A, Williams D, Wheeler G, Cuda J, Pal S et al. (2011) Brazilian peppertree (Schinus terebinthifolius) in Florida and South America: evidence of a possible niche shift driven by hybridization. Biol Invasions: 1-16.
17. Fisher MC, Hanage WP, De Hoog S, Johnson E, Smith MD et al. (2005) Low effective dispersal of asexual genotypes in heterogeneous landscapes by the endemic pathogen Penicillium marneffei. PLOS Pathog 1: 1986-1990. PubMed: 16254598.
18. Nakazawa Y, Williams RA, Peterson AT, Mead PS, Kugeler KJ et al. (2010) Ecological niche modeling of Francisella tularensis subspecies and clades in the United States. Am J Trop Med Hyg 82: 912-918. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2010.09-0354. PubMed: 20439975.
19. Rissler LJ, Apodaca JJ (2007) Adding more ecology into species delimitation: ecological niche models and phylogeography help define cryptic species in the black salamander (Aneides flavipunctatus). Syst Biol 56: 924-942. doi:10.1080/10635150701703063. PubMed: 18066928.
20. Rice NH, Martinez-Meyer E, Peterson AT (2003) Ecological niche differentiation in the Aphelocoma jays: a phylogenetic perspective. Biol J Linn Soc 80: 369-383. doi:10.1046/j.1095-8312.2003.00242.x.
21. Mullins J, Lukhnova L, Aikimbayev A, Pazilov Y, Van Ert M et al. (2011) Ecological Niche Modelling of the Bacillus anthracis A1.a sub-lineage in Kazakhstan. BMC Ecol 11: 32. doi:10.1186/1472-6785-11-32. PubMed: 22152056.
22. McNyset KM (2005) Use of ecological niche modelling to predict distributions of freshwater fish species in Kansas. Ecol Freshw Fish 14: 243-255. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0633.2005.00101.x.
23. Gonzalez SC, Soto-Centeno JA, Reed DL (2011) Population distribution models: Species distributions are better modeled using biologically relevant data partitions. BMC Ecol 11: 20. doi: 10.1186/1472-6785-11-20. PubMed: 21929792.
24. Van Ert MN, Easterday WR, Huynh LY, Okinaka RT, Hugh-Jones ME et al. (2007) Global Genetic Population Structure of Bacillus anthracis. PLOS ONE 2: e461. PubMed: 17520020.
25. Aikembayev AM, Lukhnova L, Temiraliyeva G, Meka-Mechenko T, Pazylov Y et al. (2010) Historical distribution and molecular diversity of Bacillus anthracis, Kazakhstan. Emerg Infect Dis 16: 789-796. doi: 10.3201/eid1605.091427. PubMed: 20409368.
26. Fasanella A, Van Ert M, Altamura SA, Garofolo G, Buonavoglia C et al. (2005) Molecular diversity of Bacillus anthracis in Italy. J Clin Microbiol 43: 3398-3401. doi:10.1128/JCM.43.7.3398-3401.2005. PubMed: 16000465.
27. Simonson TS, Okinaka RT, Wang B, Easterday WR, Huynh L et al. (2009) Bacillus anthracis in China and its relationship to worldwide lineages. BMC Microbiol 9: 71. doi:10.1186/1471-2180-9-71. PubMed: 19368722.
28. Keim P, Price LB, Klevytska AM, Smith KL, Schupp JM et al. (2000) Multiple-locus variable-number tandem repeat analysis reveals genetic relationships within Bacillus anthracis. J Bacteriol 182: 2928-2936. doi: 10.1128/JB.182.10.2928-2936.2000. PubMed: 10781564.
29. Lista F, Faggioni G, Valjevac S, Ciammaruconi A, Vaissaire J et al. (2006) Genotyping of Bacillus anthracis strains based on automated capillary 25-loci multiple locus variable-number tandem repeats analysis. BMC Microbiol 6: 33. doi:10.1186/1471-2180-6-33. PubMed: 16600037.
30. Kugeler KJ, Mead PS, Janusz AM, Staples JE, Kubota KA et al. (2009) Molecular epidemiology of Francisella tularensis in the United States. Clin Infect Dis 48: 863-870. doi:10.1086/597261. PubMed: 19245342.
31. Garofolo G, Serrecchia L, Corrò M, Fasanella A (2011) Anthrax phylogenetic structure in Northern Italy. BMC Res Notes 4: 273. doi: 10.1186/1756-0500-4-273. PubMed: 21801397.
32. Joyner TA (2010) Ecological niche modeling of a zoonosis: A case study using anthrax outbreaks and climate change in Kazakhstan. University of Florida.
33. Kenefic LJ, Pearson T, Okinaka RT, Schupp JM, Wagner DM et al. (2009) Pre-columbian origins for north american anthrax. PLOS ONE 4: e4813. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0004813. PubMed: 19283072.
34. Hay SI, Tatem AJ, Graham AJ, Goetz SJ, Rogers DJ (2006) Global environmental data for mapping infectious disease distribution. Adv Parasitol 62: 37-77. PubMed: 16647967.
35. Hijmans RJ, Cameron SE, Parra JL, Jones PG, Jarvis A (2005) Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. Int J Climatol 25: 1965-1978. doi:10.1002/joc.1276.
36. Mullins J, Lukhnova L, Aikimbayev A, Pazilov Y, Van Ert M et al. (2011) Ecological Niche Modelling of the Bacillus anthracis A1.a sub-lineage in Kazakhstan. BMC Ecology 11: 32.
37. Stockwell D, Peters D (1999) The GARP modelling system: problems and solutions to automated spatial prediction. Int J Geogr Inf Sci 13: 143-158. doi:10.1080/136588199241391.
38. Anderson RP, Lew D, Peterson AT (2003) Evaluating predictive models of species' distributions: criteria for selecting optimal models. Ecol Modell 162: 211-232. doi:10.1016/S0304-3800(02)00349-6.
39. Lobo JM, Jiménez-Valverde A, Real R (2008) AUC: a misleading measure of the performance of predictive distribution models. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 17: 145-151. doi:10.1111/j.1466-8238.2007.00358.x.
40. Peterson AT, Papes M, Soberón J (2008) Rethinking receiver operating characteristic analysis applications in ecological niche modeling. Ecol Modell 213: 63-72. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.11.008.
41. Peterson A, Nakazawa Y (2008) Environmental data sets matter in ecological niche modelling: an example with Solenopsis invicta and Solenopsis richteri. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 17: 135-144.
42. Rödder D, Lötters S (2010) Explanative power of variables used in species distribution modelling: an issue of general model transferability or niche shift in the invasive Greenhouse frog (Eleutherodactylus planirostris). Naturwissenschaften 97: 781-796. doi:10.1007/s00114-010-0694-7. PubMed: 20617298.
43. Holt R, Barfield M, Gomulkiewicz R (2005) Theories of niche conservatism and evolution: could exotic species be potential tests? In: DF Sax. Species invasions: insights into ecology, evolution, and biogeography. Sinauer Associates. pp. 259-290.
44. Carrel MA, Emch M, Jobe RT, Moody A, Wan XF (2010) Spatiotemporal Structure of Molecular Evolution of H5N1 Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Viruses in Vietnam. PLOS ONE 5: e8631. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0008631. PubMed: 20072619.
45. Pearson T, Busch JD, Ravel J, Read TD, Rhoton SD et al. (2004) Phylogenetic discovery bias in Bacillus anthracis using single-nucleotide polymorphisms from whole-genome sequencing. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 101: 13536-13541. doi:10.1073/pnas.0403844101. PubMed: 15347815.
46. Beyer W, Bellan S, Eberle G, Ganz HH, Getz WM et al. (2012) Distribution and molecular evolution of Bacillus anthracis genotypes in Namibia. PLOS Neglected Trop Dis 6: e1534. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd. 0001534. PubMed: 22413024.
47. Jiménez-Valverde A, Nakazawa Y, Lira-Noriega A, Peterson AT (2009) Environmental correlation structure and ecological niche model projections. Biodivers Informatics 6.
48. Araujo MB, Guisan A (2006) Five (or so) challenges for species distribution modelling. J Biogeogr 33: 1677-1688. doi:10.1111/j. 1365-2699.2006.01584.x.
49. Austin M (2007) Species distribution models and ecological theory: a critical assessment and some possible new approaches. Ecol Modell 200: 1-19. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.07.005.
50. Barve N, Barve V, Jiménez-Valverde A, Lira-Noriega A, Maher SP et al. (2011) The crucial role of the accessible area in ecological niche modeling and species distribution modeling. Ecol Modell 222: 1810-1819. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.02.011.
51. Elith J, Kearney M, Phillips S (2010) The art of modelling range-shifting species. Methods Ecol Evolution 1: 330-342. doi:10.1111/j.2041-210X. 2010.00036.x.
52. Rödder D, Schmidtlein S, Veith M, Lötters S (2009) Alien invasive slider turtle in unpredicted habitat: a matter of niche shift or of predictors studied? PLOS ONE 4: e7843. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0007843. PubMed: 19956684.
53. Broennimann O, Guisan A (2008) Predicting current and future biological invasions: both native and invaded ranges matter. Biol Lett 4: 585-589. doi:10.1098/rsbl.2008.0254. PubMed: 18664415.
54. Woods CW, Ospanov K, Myrzabekov A, Favorov M, Plikaytis B et al. (2004) Risk factors for human anthrax among contacts of anthrax-infected livestock in Kazakhstan. Am J Trop Med Hyg 71: 48-52. PubMed: 15238688.
55. Blackburn JK (2006) Evaluating the spatial ecology of anthrax in North America: Examining epidemiological components across multiple geographic scales using a GIS-based approach. Louisiana State University.
56. Peterson AT, Soberon J, Pearson RG, Anderson RP, Martinez-Meyer E et al. (2011) Ecological Niches and Geographic Distributions (MPB-49). Princeton University Press.
57. Hay SI, Tatem AJ, Graham AJ, Goetz SJ, Rogers DJ (2006) Global environmental data for mapping infectious disease distribution. Adv Parasitol 62: 37-77. doi:10.1016/S0065-308X(05)62002-7. PubMed: 16647967.