Quantifying and generalizing hydrologic responses to dam regulation using a statistical modeling approach

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 519, Issue PA, 2014, Pages 1278-1296

  McManamay, Ryan A ^a  

^a OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY   (United States)

Author keywords

ELOHA; Environmental flow; Flow ecology relationships; Hydrologic alteration; Hydrologic classification

Indexed keywords

ELOHA; ENVIRONMENTAL FLOW; FLOW-ECOLOGY RELATIONSHIPS; HYDROLOGIC ALTERATIONS; HYDROLOGIC RESPONSE; STATISTICAL MODELING;

DAM; ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECT; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS; SAMPLING;

EID: 84908110303     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.08.053     Document Type: Article

References (84)

1. AEP (Appalachian Power), 2014. Smith mountain project. (accessed 19.07.14). http://www.smithmtn.com/about/Default.aspx.
2. Arnold J.G., Fohrer N. SWAT2000: current capabilities and research opportunities in applied watershed modelling. Hydrol. Process. 2005, 19:563-572.
3. Arthington A.H., Bunn S.E., Poff N.L., Naiman R.J. The challenge of providing environmental flow rules to sustain river ecosystems. Ecol. Appl. 2006, 16:1311-1318.
4. Baker D.W., Bledsoe B.P., Albano C.M., Poff N.L. Downstream effects of diversion dams on sediment and hydraulic conditions of Rocky Mountain streams. River Res. Appl. 2011, 27:388-401.
5. Batalla R.J., Gómez C.M., Kondolf G.M. Reservoir-induced hydrological changes in the Ebro River basin (NE Spain). J. Hydrol. 2004, 290:117-136.
6. Bates, D., Maechler, M., Bolker, B., Walker, S., Christensen, R.H.B., Singmann, H., 2014. lme4: Linear mixed-effects models using Eigen and S4. CRAN R package. (accessed 25.03.14). http://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/lme4/index.html.
7. Bevelhimer M.S., McManamay R.A., O'Conner B. Characterizing sub-daily flow regimes: implications of hydrologic resolution on ecohydrology studies. River. Res. Appl. 2014, (in press). 10.1002/rra.2781.
8. Bolker B.M., Brooks M.E., Clark C.J., Geange S.W., Poulsen J.R., Stevens M.H.H., White J.-S.S. Generalized linear mixed models: a practical guide for ecology and evolution. Trends Ecol. Evol. 2008, 24:127-135.
9. Bouraoui F., Benabdallah S., Jrad A., Bidoglio G. Application of the SWAT model on the Medjerda river basin (Tunisia). Phys. Chem. Earth 2005, 30:497-507.
10. Breiman L. Random forests. Mach. Learn. 2001, 45:5-32.
11. Burnham K.P., Anderson D.R. Model Selection and Multimodel Inference: A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach 2002, Springer, New York. second ed.
12. Burnham K.P., Anderson D.R. Multimodel inference: understanding AIC and BIC in model selection. Sociol. Methods Res. 2004, 33:261-304.
13. Carlisle D.M., Falcone J., Wolock D.M., Meador M.R., Norris R.H. Predicting the natural flow regime: models for assessing hydrological alteration in streams. River Res. Appl. 2010, 26:118-136.
14. Carlisle D.M., Wolock D.M., Meador M.R. Alteration of streamflow magnitudes and potential ecological consequences: a multiregional assessment. Front. Ecol. Environ. 2011, 9:264-270.
15. Castellarin A., Camorani G., Brath A. Predicting annual and long-term flow-duration curves in ungauged basins. Adv. Water Resour. 2007, 30:937-953.
16. Cushman R.M. Review of ecological effects of rapidly varying flows downstream from hydroelectric facilities. North Am. J. Fish. Manage. 1985, 5:330-339.
17. Cutler D.R., Edwards T.C., Beard K.H., Cutler A., Hess K.T., Gibson J., Lawler J.J. Random forests for classification in ecology. Ecology 2007, 88:2783-2792.
18. DeWeber J.T., Tsang Y.-P., Krueger D.M., Whittier J.B., Wagner T., Infante D.M., Whelan G. Importance of understanding landscape biases in USGS gage locations: implications and solutions for managers. Fisheries 2014, 39:155-163.
19. Döll P., Kasper F., Lehner B. A global hydrological model for deriving water availability indicators: model tuning and validation. J. Hydrol. 2003, 270:105-134.
20. Eng K., Carlisle D.M., Wolock D.M., Falcone J.A. Predicting the likelihood of altered streamflows at ungauged rivers across the conterminous United States. River Res. Appl. 2012, 29:781-791.
21. Falcone, J.A., 2011. GAGES-II: geospatial attributes of gages for evaluating streamflow. (accessed 09.11.11). http://water.usgs.gov/GIS/metadata/usgswrd/XML/gagesII_Sept2011.xml#Identification_Information.
22. Falcone J.A., Carlisle D.M., Wolock D.M., Meador M.R. GAGES: a stream gage database for evaluating natural and altered flow conditions in the conterminous United States. Ecology 2010, 91:621.
23. Fergus T. Geomorphological response of a river regulated for hydropower: River Fortun, Norway. Regul. Rivers: Res. Manage. 1997, 13:449-461.
24. Fitzhugh T.W., Vogel R.M. The impact of dams on flood flows in the United States. River Res. Appl. 2011, 27:1192-1215.
25. Gao Y., Vogel R.M., Kroll C.N., Poff N.L., Olden J.D. Development of representative indicators of hydrologic alteration. J. Hydrol. 2009, 374:136-147.
26. Graf W.L. Geomorphology and American dams: the scientific, social, and economic context. Geomorphology 2005, 71:3-26.
27. Grant G.E. The geomorphic response of gravel-bed rivers to dams: perspectives and prospects. Gravel-bed Rivers: Processes, Tools, Environments 2012, 165-181. John Wiley & Sons, New York. M. Church, P.M. Biron, A.G. Roy (Eds.).
28. Grumbine R.E., Pandit M.K. Threats from India's Himalaya dams. Science 2013, 339:36-37.
29. Haddeland I., Skaugen T., Lettenmaier D.P. Hydrologic effects of land and water management in North America and Asia: 1700-1992. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2007, 11:1035-1045.
30. Hanasaki N., Kanae S., Oki T. A reservoir operation scheme for global river routing models. J. Hydrol. 2006, 327:22-41.
31. Henriksen, J.A., Heasley, J., Kennen, J.G., Niewsand, S., 2006. Users' manual for the hydroecological integrity assessment process software (including the New Jersey Assessment Tools): U.S. Geological Survey, Biological Resources Discipline, Open File Report 2006-1093, 71 pp.
32. Jager H.I., McManamay R.A. Comment on ''Cumulative biophysical impact of small and large hydropower development in Nu River, China'' by Kelly M. Kibler and Desiree D. Tullos. Water Resour. Res. 2014, 50:758-759.
33. Kalogeropoulos K., Chalkias C., Pissias E., Karalis S. Application of the SWAT model for the investigation of reservoirs creation. Advances in the Research of Aquatic Environment 2011, vol. 2. Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, New York, doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-24076-8.
34. Kibler K.M., Tullos D.D. Reply to comment by Henriette I. Jager and Ryan A. McManamay on "Cumulative biophysical impact of small and large hydropower development in Nu River, China". Water Resour. Res. 2014, 50:760-761.
35. Labadie J.W. Optimal operation of multireservoir systems: state-of-the-art review. J. Water Resour. Plan. Manage. 2004, 130:93-111.
36. Larned S.T., Datry T., Arscott D.B., Tockner K. Emerging concepts in temporary-river ecology. Freshw. Biol. 2010, 5:717-738.
37. Lehner B., Lierman C.R., Revenga C., Vörösmarty C., Fekete B., Crouzet P., Döll P., Endejan M., Frenken K., Magome J., Nilsson C., Robertson J.C., Rödel R., Sindorf N., Wisser D. High-resolution mapping of the world's reservoirs and dams for sustainable river-flow management. Front Ecol. 2011, 9:494-502.
38. Levick, L., Fonseca, J., Goodrich, D., Hernandez, M., Semmens, D., Stromberg, J., Leidy, R., Scianni, M., Guertin, D.P., Tluczek, M., Kepner, W., 2008. The ecological and hydrological significance of ephemeral and intermittent streams in the arid and semi-arid American Southwest. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and USDA/ARS Southwest Watershed Research Center, EPA/600/R-08/134, ARS/233046.116 pp.
39. Magilligan F.J., Nislow K.H. Long-term changes in regional hydrologic regime following impoundment in a humid-climate watershed. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 2001, 37:1551-1569.
40. Magilligan F.J., Nislow K.H. Changes in hydrologic regime by dams. Geomorphology 2005, 71:61-78.
41. Maingi J.K., Marsh S.E. Quantifying hydrologic impacts following dam construction along the Tana River, Kenya. J. Arid Environ. 2002, 50:53-79.
42. McManamay, R.A., Bevelhimer, M.S., 2013. A holistic framework for environmental flows determination in hydropower contexts. Oak Ridge National Laboratory Technical Manuscript. ORNL/TM-2013/159.
43. McManamay R.A., Orth D.J., Dolloff C.A. Revisiting the homogenization of dammed rivers in the Southeastern US. J. Hydrol. 2012, 424-425:217-237.
44. McManamay R.A., Orth D.J., Dolloff C.A. Case study: application of the ELOHA framework to regulated rivers in the Upper Tennessee River basin. Environ. Manage. 2013, 51:1210-1235.
45. McManamay R.A., Bevelhimer M.S., Kao S. Updating the US hydrologic classification: an approach to clustering and stratifying ecohydrologic data. Ecohydrology 2014, 7:903-926.
46. Murphy J.C., Knight R.R., Wolfe W.J., Gain W.S. Predicting ecological flow regime at ungaged sites: a comparison of methods. River Res. Appl. 2013, 29:660-669.
47. Nilsson C., Reidy C.A., Dynesius M., Revenga C. Fragmentation and flow regulation of the World's large river systems. Science 2005, 308:405-408.
48. Nislow K.H., Magilligan F.J., Fassnatcht H., Bechtel D., Ruesink A. Effects of dam impoundment on the flood regime of natural floodplain communities in the upper Connecticut River. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 2002, 38:1533-1548.
49. Olden J.D., Poff N.L. Redundancy and the choice of hydrologic indices for characterizing streamflow regimes. River Res. Appl. 2003, 19:101-121.
50. ORNL (Oak Ridge National Laboratory), 2014. (NHAAP) National Hydropower Asset Assessment Program. (accessed 13.06.13). http://nhaap.ornl.gov/.
51. Pearsall S.H., McCrodden B.J., Townsend P.A. Adaptive management of flows in the lower Roanoke River, North Carolina, USA. Environ. Manage. 2005, 35:353-367.
52. Petts G.E. Impounded Rivers: Perspectives for Ecological Management 1984, John Wiley and Sons, New York.
53. Poff N.L. A hydrogeography of unregulated streams in the United States and an examination of scale-dependence in some hydrological descriptors. Freshwater Biol. 1996, 36:71-91.
54. Poff N.L., Hart D.D. How dams vary and why it matters for the emerging science of dam removal. Bioscience 2002, 52:660-668.
55. Poff N.L., Allan J.D., Bain M.B., Karr J.R., Prestegaard K.L., Richter B.D., Sparks R.E., Stromberg J.C. The natural flow regime: a paradigm for river conservation and restoration. Bioscience 1997, 47:769-784.
56. Poff N.L., Olden J.D., Merritt D.M., Pepin D.M. Homogenization of regional river dynamics by dams and global biodiversity implications. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2007, 104:5732-5737.
57. Poff N.L., Richter B.D., Arthington A.H., Bunn S.E., Naiman R.J., Kendy E., Acreman M., Apse C., Bledsoe B.P., Freeman M.C., Henriksen J., Jacobson R.B., Kennen J.G., Merritt D.M., O'Keeffe J.H., Olden J.D., Rogers K., Tharme R.E., Warner A. The ecological limits of hydrologic alteration (ELOHA): a new framework for developing regional environmental flow standards. Freshw. Biol. 2010, 55:147-170.
58. Pyron M., Neumann K. Hydrologic alterations in the Wabash River watershed, USA. River Res. Appl. 2008, 24:1175-1184.
59. Richter B.D., Baumgartner J.V., Powell J., Braun D.P. A method for assessing hydrologic alteration within ecosystems. Conserv. Biol. 1996, 10:1163-1174.
60. Richter B.D., Baumgartner J.V., Wiginton R., Braun D.P. How much water does a river need?. Freshw. Biol. 1997, 37:231-249.
61. Richter B.D., Baumbartner J.V., Braun D.P., Powell J. A spatial assessment of hydrologic alteration within a river network. Regul. Rivers: Res. Manage. 1998, 14:329-340.
62. Richter B.D., Davis M.M., Apse C., Konrad C. A presumptive standard for environmental flow protection. River Res. Appl. 2012, 28:1312-1321.
63. Rulifson R.A., Manooch C.S. Recruitment of juvenile striped bass in the Roanoke River, North Carolina, as related to reservoir discharge. North Am. J. Fish. Manage. 1990, 10:397-407.
64. Ryan S. Morphologic response of subalpine streams to transbasin flow diversion. J. Am. Water Resour. Assoc. 1997, 33:839-854.
65. Sanborn S.C., Bledsoe B.P. Predicting streamflow regime metrics for ungaged streams in Colorado, Washington, and Oregon. J. Hydrol. 2006, 325:241-261.
66. Shiklomanov I.A. Appraisal and assessment of world water resources. Int. Water Resour. Assoc. 2000, 25:11-32.
67. Shresha B.P., Duckstein l., Stakhi E.A. Fuzzy rule-based modelling of reservoir operation. J. Water Resour. Plan. Manage. 1996, 122:262-269.
68. Sophocleous M., Perkins S.P. Methodology and application of combined watershed and ground-water models in Kansas. J. Hydrol. 2000, 236:185-201.
69. Stedinger J.R., Pei D., Cohn T.A. A condensed disaggregation model for incorporating parameter uncertainty into monthly reservoir simulations. Water Resour. Res. 1985, 21:665-675.
70. Stedinger J.R., Sule B.F., Loucks D.P. Stochastic dynamic programming models for reservoir operation optimization. Water Resour. Res. 1985, 20:1499-1505.
71. Steward A.L., von Schiller D., Tockner K., Marshall J.C., Bunn S.E. When the river runs dry: human and ecological values of dry riverbeds. Front. Ecol. Environ. 2012, 10:202-209.
72. Stromberg J.C., Lite S.J., Marler R., Paradzick C., Shafroth P.B., Shorrock D., White J.M., White M.S. Altered stream-flow regimes and invasive plant species: the Tamarix case. Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. 2007, 16:381-393.
73. Trush W.J., McBain S.M., Leopold L.B. Attributes of an alluvial river and their relation to water policy and management. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 2000, 97:11858-11863.
74. USACE (US Army Corps of Engineers), 2013. Corps Map. National Inventory of Dams. (accessed 08.07.13). https://nid.usace.army.mil.
75. USGS (US Geological Survey), 2014. National Water-Quality Assessment (NAWQA) Program. (accessed 30.06.14). http://water.usgs.gov/nawqa/.
76. Vogl A.L., Lopes V.L. Impacts of water resources development on flow regimes in the Brazos River. Environ. Monit. Assess. 2009, 157:331-345.
77. Vörösmarty C.J., Moore B. Modeling basin-scale hydrology in support of physical climate and global biogeochemical studies: an example using the Zambezi River. Surv. Geophys. 1991, 12:271-311.
78. Vörösmarty C.J., Sahagian D. Anthropogenic disturbance of the terrestrial water cycle. Bioscience 2000, 50:753-765.
79. Wurbs R.A. Reservoir-system simulation and optimization models. J. Water Resour. Plan. Manage. 1993, 119:455-472.
80. Yeh W.W.-G. Reservoir management and operations models: a state-of-the-art review. Water Resour. Res. 1985, 21:1797-1818.
81. Zhang M., Wei X. The effects of cumulative forest disturbance on streamflow in a large watershed in the central interior of British Columbia, Canada. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 2012, 16:2021-2034.
82. Zhang Y., Xia J., Liang T., Shao Q. Impact of water projects on river flow regimes and water quality in Huai River Basin. Water Resour. Manage. 2010, 24:889-908.
83. Zhang Y., Xia J., Chen J., Zhang M. Water quantity and quality optimization modeling of dams operation based on SWAT in Wenyu River Catchment, China. Environ. Monitor. Assess. 2011, 173:409-430.
84. Zhu Y., Day R.L. Regression modeling of streamflow, baseflow, and runoff using geographic information systems. J. Environ. Manage. 2009, 90:946-953.