Two physical mechanisms controlling the interannual variability of baiu precipitation

Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan

Volumn 92, Issue 4, 2014, Pages 305-325

  Yamaura, Tsuyoshi ^a   Tomita, Tomohiko ^b,c  

^a RIKEN   (Japan)

^b KUMAMOTO UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

^c JAPAN AGENCY FOR MARINE EARTH SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY   (Japan)

Author keywords

Baiu precipitation; ENSO; Interannual variability; Predictability

Indexed keywords

ANNUAL VARIATION; ANTICYCLONE; EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); ROSSBY WAVE; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; TELECONNECTION; TEMPERATURE ANOMALY;

INDIAN OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN (NORTH);

EID: 84907508867     PISSN: 00261165     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2014-403     Document Type: Article

References (60)

1. Adler, F. R., G. J. Huffman, A. Chang, R. Ferraro, P. P. Xie, J. Janowiak, B. Rudolf, U. Schneider, S. Curtis, D. Blvin, A. Gruber, J. Susskind, P. Arkin, and E. Nelkin, 2003: The version-2 Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) monthly precipitation analysis (1979- present). J. Hydrometeor, 4, 1147-1167.
2. Ashok, K., S. K. Behera, S. A. Rao, H. Weng, and T. Yamagata, 2007: El Niño Modoki and its possible teleconnection. J. Geophys. Res., 112, C11007, doi:10.1029/2006JC003798.
3. Chang, C. P., Y. Zhang, and T. Li, 2000a: Interannual and interdecadal variations of the East Asian summer monsoon and tropical Pacific SSTs. Part I: Roles of the subtropical ridge. J. Climate, 13, 4310-4325.
4. Chang, C. P., Y. Zhang, and T. Li, 2000b: Interannual and interdecadal variations of the East Asian summer monsoon and tropical pacific SSTs. Part II: Meridional structure of the monsoon. J. Climate, 13, 4326-4340.
5. Emanuel, K. A., J. D. Neelin, and C. S. Bretherton, 1997: Reply to comments by Bjorn Stevens, David A. Randall, Xin Lin, and Michael T. Montgomery on ‘On large-scale circulations in convecting atmospheres’ (July B, 1994, 120, 1111-1143). Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 123, 1779-1782.
6. Enomoto, T., B. J. Hoskins, and Y. Matsuda, 2003: The formation mechanism of the Bonin high in August. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 129, 157-178.
7. Gill, A. E., 1980: Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropical circulation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 106, 447-462.
8. Huang, B., and J. L. Kinter III, 2002: Interannual variability in the tropical Indian Ocean. J. Geophys. Res., 107, 3199, doi:10.1029/2001JC001278.
9. Kao, H.-Y., and J.-Y. Yu, 2009: Contrasting eastern-Pacific and central-Pacific types of ENSO. J. Climate, 22, 615-632.
10. Kato, T., 2006: Structure of the band-shaped precipitation system inducing the heavy rainfall observed over northern Kyushu, Japan on 29 June 1999. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 84, 129-153.
11. Kato, T., and K. Aranami, 2005: Formation factors of 2004 Niigata-Fukushima and Fukui heavy rainfalls and problems in the predictions using a cloud-resolving model. SOLA, 1, 1-4.
12. Kawamura, R., 1998: A possible mechanism of the Asian summer monsoon-ENSO coupling. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 76, 1009-1027.
13. Kawamura, R., and T. Murakami, 1998: Baiu near Japan and its relation to summer monsoons over Southeast Asia and the Western Pacific. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 76, 619-639.
14. Klein, S. A., B. J. Soden, and N. C. Lau, 1999: Remote sea surface temperature variations during ENSO: Evidence for a tropical atmospheric bridge. J. Climate, 12, 917-932.
15. Kosaka, Y., and H. Nakamura, 2006: Structure and dynamics of the summertime Pacific-Japan (PJ) teleconnection pattern. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 132, 2009-2030.
16. Kosaka, Y., S. P. Xie, and H. Nakamura, 2011: Dynamics of interannual variability in summer precipitation over East Asia. J. Climate, 24, 5435-5453.
17. Krishnan, R., and M. Sugi, 2001: Baiu rainfall variability and associated monsoon teleconnections. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 79, 851-860.
18. Kumar, A., and M. P. Hoerling, 1998: Specification of regional sea surface temperatures in atmospheric general circulation model simulations. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 8901-8907.
19. Larkin, N. K., and D. E. Harisson, 2005: Global seasonal temperature and precipitation anomalies during El Niño autumn and winter. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L16705, doi:10.1029/2005GL022860.
20. Lau, N.-C., and M. J. Nath, 2000: Impact of ENSO on the variability of the Asian-Australian monsoons as simulated in GCM experiments. J. Climate, 13, 4287-4309.
21. Lau, N.-C., A. Leetmaa, M. J. Nath, and H. L. Wang, 2005: Influences of ENSO-induced Indo-western Pacific SST anomalies on extratropical atmospheric variability during the boreal summer. J. Climate, 18, 2922-2942.
22. Matsuno, T., 1966: Quasi-geostrophic motions in the equatorial area. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 44, 25-43.
23. Murakami, T., and J. Matsumoto, 1994: Summer monsoon over the Asian continent and western North Pacific. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 72, 719-745.
24. Nakazawa, T., 1992: Seasonal phase lock of intraseasonal variation during the Asian summer monsoon. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 70, 597-611.
25. Neelin, J. D., and H. Su, 2005: Moist teleconnection mechanisms for the tropical South American and Atlantic sector. J. Climate, 18, 3928-3950.
26. Ninomiya, K., 2000: Large- and meso-α-scale characteristics of Meiyu/Baiu front associated with intense rainfalls in 1-10 July 1991. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 78, 141-157.
27. Ninomiya, K., and H. Mizuno, 1987: Variations of Baiu precipitation over Japan in 1951-1980 and large-scale characteristics of wet and dry Baiu. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 65, 115-127.
28. Ninomiya, K., and Y. Shibagaki, 2003: Cloud system families in the Meiyu-Baiu front observed during 1-10 July 1991. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 81, 193-209.
29. Nitta, T., 1987: Convective activities in the tropical western Pacific and their impact on the Northern Hemisphere summer circulation. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 65, 373-390.
30. Ogura, Y., T. Asai, and K. Dohi, 1985: A case study of a heavy precipitation event along the Baiu front in northern Kyushu, 23 July 1982: Nagasaki heavy rainfall. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 63, 883-900.
31. Onogi, K., J. Tsutsui, H. Koide, M. Sakamoto, S. Kobayashi, H. Hatsushika, T. Matsumoto, N. Yamazaki, H. Kamahori, K. Takahashi, S. Kadokura, K. Wada, K. Kato, R. Oyama, T. Ose, N. Mannoji, and R. Taira, 2007: The JRA-25 reanalysis. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 85, 369-432.
32. Reynolds, R. W., T. M. Smith, C. Liu, D. B. Chelton, K. S. Casey, and M. G. Schlax, 2007: Daily high-resolution blended analyses for sea surface temperature. J. Climate, 20, 5473-5496.
33. Shen, S., and K.-M. Lau, 1995: Biennial oscillation associated with the East Asian summer monsoon and tropical monsoon and tropical sea surface temperature. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 73, 105-124.
34. Sobel, A. H., I. M. Held, and C. S. Bretherton, 2002: The ENSO signal in tropical tropospheric temperature. J. Climate, 15, 2702-2706.
35. Su, H., J. D. Neelin, and J. E. Meyerson, 2003: Sensitivity of tropical tropospheric temperature to sea surface temperature forcing. J. Climate, 16, 1283-1301.
36. Suzuki, S.-I., and B. J. Hoskins, 2009: The large-scale circulation change at the end of the Baiu season in Japan as seen in ERA40 data. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 87, 83-99.
37. Tanaka, M., 1992: Intraseasonal oscillation and the onset and retreat dates of the summer monsoon over east, southeast Asia and the western Pacific region using GMS high cloud amount data. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 70, 613-629.
38. Tanaka, M., 1997: Interannual and interdecadal variations of the western North Pacific monsoon and Baiu rainfall and their relationship to the ENSO cycles. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 75, 1109-1123.
39. Tokinaga, H., and Y. Tanimoto, 2004: Seasonal transition of SST anomalies in the tropical Indian Ocean during El Niño and Indian Ocean dipole years. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 82, 1007-1018.
40. Tomita, T., and T. Yasunari, 1996: Role of the northeast winter monsoon on the biennial oscillation of the ENSO/monsoon system. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 74, 399-413.
41. Tomita, T., T. Yoshitake, and T. Yasunari, 2004: Biennial and lower-frequency variability observed in the early summer climate in the western North Pacific. J. Climate, 17, 4254-4266.
42. Tomita, T., M. Nonaka, and T. Yamaura, 2010: Interannual variability in the subseasonal northward excursion of the Baiu front. Int. J. Climatol., 30, 2205-2216.
43. Tomita, T., T. Yamaura, and T. Hashimoto, 2011: Interannual variability of the Baiu season near Japan evaluated from the equivalent potential temperature. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 89, 517-537.
44. Ueda, H., T. Yasunari, and R. Kawamura, 1995: Abrupt seasonal change of large-scale convective activity over the western Pacific in the northern summer. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 73, 795-809.
45. Ueda, H., M. Ohba, and S. P. Xie, 2009: Important factors for the development of the Asian-Northwest Pacific summer monsoon. J. Climate, 22, 649-669.
46. Wang, B., and Lin Ho, 2002: Rainy season of the Asian-Pacific summer monsoon. J. Climate, 15, 386-398.
47. Wang, B., and X. Xu, 1997: Northern hemisphere summer monsoon singularities and climatological intraseasonal oscillation. J. Climate, 10, 1071-1085.
48. Wang, B., and Q. Zhang, 2002: Pacific-East Asian teleconnection. Part II: How the Philippine Sea anomalous anticyclone is established during El Niño development. J. Climate, 15, 3252-3265.
49. Wang, B., R. Wu, and X. Fu, 2000: Pacific-East Asian teleconnection. Part I: How does ENSO affect East Asian climate? J. Climate, 13, 1517-1536.
50. Ward Jr., J. H., 1963: Hierarchical grouping to optimize an objective function. J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 58, 236-244.
51. Wu, R., 2002: Processes for the northeastward advance of the summer monsoon over the western North Pacific. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 80, 67-83.
52. Wu, R., and B. Wang, 2001: Multi-stage onset of the summer monsoon over the western North Pacific. Climate Dyn., 17, 277-289.
53. Xie, S. P., H. Annamalai, F. A. Schott, and J. P. McCreary Jr., 2002: Structure and mechanisms of South Indian Ocean climate variability. J. Climate, 15, 864-878.
54. Xie, S. P., K. Hu, J. Hafner, H. Tokinaga, Y. Du, G. Huang, and T. Sampe, 2009: Indian Ocean capacitor effect on Indo-Western Pacific climate during the summer following El Niño. J. Climate, 22, 730-747.
55. Yamaura, T., and T. Tomita, 2011: Spatiotemporal differences in the interannual variability of Baiu frontal activity in June. Int. J. Climatol., 31, 57-71.
56. Yamaura, T., and T. Tomita, 2012: Covariability between the Baiu precipitation and tropical cyclone activity through large-scale atmospheric circulations. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 90, 449-465.
57. Yoshino, M., 1965: Four stages of the rainy season in early summer over East Asia (part I). J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 43, 231-245.
58. Yoshino, M., 1966: Four stages of the rainy season in early summer over East Asia (part II). J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 44, 209-217.
59. Yoshizaki, M., T. Kato, Y. Tanaka, H. Takayama, Y. Shoji, and H. Seko, 2000: Analytical and numerical study of the 26 June 1998 orographic rainband observed in western Kyushu, Japan. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 78, 835-856.
60. Yulaeva, E., and J. M. Wallace, 1994: The signature of ENSO in global temperature and precipitation fields derived from the microwave sounding unit. J. Climate, 7, 1719-1736.