Evaluating the impact of distance measures on deforestation simulations in the fluvial landscapes of amazonia

Ambio

Volumn 43, Issue 6, 2014, Pages 779-790

  Salonen, Maria ^a   Maeda, Eduardo Eiji ^a   Toivonen, Tuuli ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF HELSINKI   (Finland)

Author keywords

Accessibility; Deforestation; Distance; LUCC modeling; Peruvian Amazonia

Indexed keywords

ACCURACY ASSESSMENT; ANTHROPOGENIC EFFECT; DEFORESTATION; LAND USE CHANGE; LANDSCAPE CHANGE;

AMAZONAS [PERU]; PERU;

ARTICLE; COMPUTER SIMULATION; ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION; PERU; RIVER; THEORETICAL MODEL; TIME; TRAFFIC AND TRANSPORT;

COMPUTER SIMULATION; CONSERVATION OF NATURAL RESOURCES; MODELS, THEORETICAL; PERU; RIVERS; TIME FACTORS; TRANSPORTATION;

EID: 84907224929     PISSN: 00447447     EISSN: 16547209     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s13280-013-0463-x     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. Achard, F., R. Defries, H. Eva, M. Hansen, P. Mayaux, and H. Stibig. 2007. Pan-tropical monitoring of deforestation. Environmental Research Letters 2: 045022.
2. Almeida, C.M., J.M. Gleriani, E.F. Castejon, and B.S. Soares-Filho. 2008. Using neural networks and cellular automata for modelling intra-urban land-use dynamics. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 22: 943-963.
3. Alvarez, N.L., and L. Naughton-Treves. 2003. Linking national agrarian policy to deforestation in the Peruvian Amazon: A case study of Tambopata, 1986-1997. AMBIO 32: 269-274.
4. Apparicio, P., M. Abdelmajid, M. Riva, and R. Shearmur. 2008. Comparing alternative approaches to measuring the geographical accessibility of urban health services: Distance types and aggregation-error issues. International Journal of Health Geographics 7(1): 7.
5. Batjes, N.H. 2009. Harmonized soil profile data for applications at global and continental scales: Updates to the WISE database. Soil Use and Management 25: 124-127.
6. Bonham-Carter, G. 1994. Geographic information systems for geoscientists: Modelling with GIS. Kidlington: Elsevier, Pergamon.
7. Bowman, M.S., B.S. Soares-Filho, F.D. Merry, D.C. Nepstad, H. Rodrigues, and O.T. Almeida. 2012. Persistence of cattle ranching in the Brazilian Amazon: A spatial analysis of the rationale for beef production. Land Use Policy 29: 558-568.
8. Brown, D.G., S. Page, R. Riolo, M. Zellner, and W. Rand. 2005. Path dependence and the validation of agent-based spatial models of land use. International Journal of Geographic Information Science 19: 153-174.
9. Chomitz, K.M., and D.A. Gray. 1996. Roads, land use, and deforestation: A spatial model applied to Belize. World Bank Economic Review 10: 487-512.
10. Chomitz, K.M., and T.S. Thomas. 2003. Determinants of land use in Amazônia: A fine-scale spatial analysis. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 85: 1016-1028.
11. Cochrane, M.A., and W.F. Laurance. 2008. Synergisms among fire, land use, and climate change in the Amazon. AMBIO 37: 522-527.
12. Cropper, M., J. Puri, and C. Griffiths. 2001. Predicting the location of deforestation: The role of roads and protected areas in North Thailand. Land Economics 77: 172-186.
13. Fuller, D.O., M. Hardiono, and E. Meijaard. 2011. Deforestation projections for carbon-rich peat swamp forests of Central Kalimantan, Indonesia. Environmental Management 48: 436-447.
14. Geurs, K.T., and B. van Wee. 2004. Accessibility evaluation of land-use and transport strategies: Review and research directions. Journal of Transport Geography 12: 127-140.
15. Guerrero, G., O. Masera, and J. Mas. 2008. Land use/land cover change dynamics in the Mexican highlands: Current situation and long term scenarios. In Modelling environmental dynamics: Advances in geomatic solutions, ed. M. Paegelow and M.T. Camacho Olmedo, 57 pp. Berlin: Springer.
16. Hibbard, K., A. Janetos, D.P. Van Vuuren, J. Pongratz, S.K. Rose, R. Betts, M. Herold, and J.J. Feddema. 2010. Research priorities in land use and land-cover change for the Earth system and integrated assessment modelling. International Journal of Climatology 30: 2118-2128.
17. Imbernon, J. 1999. A comparison of the driving forces behind deforestation in the Peruvian and the Brazilian Amazon. AMBIO 28: 509-513.
18. Ingram, D.R. 1971. The concept of accessibility: A search for an operational form. Regional Studies 5: 101.
19. Jasinski, E., D. Morton, R. DeFries, Y. Shimabukuro, L. Anderson, and M. Hansen. 2005. Physical landscape correlates of the expansion of mechanized agriculture in Mato Grosso, Brazil. Earth Interactions 9(16): 1-18.
20. Josse, C., G. Navarro, F. Encarnación, A. Tovar, P. Comer, W. Ferreira, F. Rodríguez, J. Saito, et al. 2007. Ecological systems of the Amazon Basin of Peru and Bolivia. Classification and Mapping. Arlington: NatureServe.
21. Kim, O.S. 2010. An assessment of deforestation models for reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD). Transactions in GIS 14: 631-654.
22. Kirby, K.R., W.F. Laurance, A.K. Albernaz, G. Schroth, P.M. Fearnside, S. Bergen, E.M. Venticinque, and C. da Costa. 2006. The future of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon. Futures 38: 432-453.
23. Kok, K., A. Farrow, A. Veldkamp, and P.H. Verburg. 2001. A method and application of multi-scale validation in spatial land-use models. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 85: 223-238.
24. Kvist, L.P., and G. Nebel. 2001. A review of Peruvian flood plain forests: Ecosystems, inhabitants and resource use. Forest Ecology and Management 150: 3-26.
25. Laurance, W.F., A.K.M. Albernaz, G. Schroth, P.M. Fearnside, S. Bergen, E.M. Venticinque, and C. Da Costa. 2002. Predictors of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon. Journal of Biogeography 29: 737-748.
26. Maeda, E.E., B.J.F. Clark, P. Pellikka, and M. Siljander. 2010. Modelling agricultural expansion in Kenya's Eastern Arc Mountains biodiversity hotspot. Agricultural Systems 103: 609-620.
27. Maeda, E.E., C.M. de Almeida, A. de Carvalho Ximenes, A.R. Formaggio, Y.E. Shimabukuro, and P. Pellikka. 2011. Dynamic modeling of forest conversion: Simulation of past and future scenarios of rural activities expansion in the fringes of the Xingu National Park, Brazilian Amazon. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation 13: 435-446.
28. Mann, M.L., R.K. Kaufmann, D. Bauer, S. Gopal, M.D.C. Vera-Diaz, D. Nepstad, F. Merry, J. Kallay, et al. 2010. The economics of cropland conversion in Amazonia: The importance of agricultural rent. Ecological Economics 69: 1503-1509.
29. Mas, J.F., H. Puig, J.L. Palacio, and A. Sosa-López. 2004. Modelling deforestation using GIS and artificial neural networks. Environmental Modelling & Software 19: 461-471.
30. Mas, J.F., A. Pérez-Vega, and K.C. Clarke. 2012. Assessing simulated land use/cover maps using similarity and fragmentation indices. Ecological Complexity 11: 38-45.
31. Merry, F., B. Soares-Filho, D. Nepstad, G. Amacher, and H. Rodrigues. 2009. Balancing conservation and economic sustainability: The future of the Amazon Timber Industry. Environmental Management 44: 395-407.
32. MINAM - Ministerio del Ambiente. 2009. Mapa de Deforestación de la Amazonía Peruana 2000. PROCLIM - Programa de Fortalecimiento de Capacidades Nacionales para manejar el impacto del Cambio Climático y la Contaminación del Aire. Memoria Descriptiva.
33. Nelson, A. 2008. Travel time to major cities: A global map of Accessibility. Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, Luxembourg. doi: 10.2788/95835, ISBN:978-92-79-09771-3.
34. Nelson, G.C., and D. Hellerstein. 1997. Do roads cause deforestation? Using satellite images in econometric analysis of land use. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 79: 80-88.
35. Oliveira, P.J.C., G.P. Asner, D.E. Knapp, A. Almeyda, R. Galván-Gildemeister, S. Keene, R.F. Raybin, and R.C. Smith. 2007. Land-use allocation protects the Peruvian Amazon. Science 317: 1233-1236.
36. Pan, W., D. Carr, A. Barbieri, R. Bilsborrow, and C. Suchindran. 2007. Forest clearing in the Ecuadorian amazon: A study of patterns over space and time. Population Research and Policy Review 26: 635-659.
37. Pontius, R.G., Jr., W. Boersma, J. Castella, K. Clarke, T. Nijs, C. Dietzel, Z. Duan, E. Fotsing, et al. 2008. Comparing the input, output, and validation maps for several models of land change. Annals of Regional Science 42: 11-37.
38. Puhakka, M., R. Kalliola, M. Rajasilta, and J. Salo. 1992. River types, site evolution and successional vegetation patterns in Peruvian Amazonia. Journal of Biogeography 19: 651-665.
39. Salonen, M., T. Toivonen, J.-M. Cohalan, and O.T. Coomes. 2012. Critical distances: Comparing measures of spatial accessibility in the riverine landscapes of Peruvian Amazonia. Applied Geography 32: 501-513.
40. Schirpke, U., G. Leitinger, U. Tappeiner, and E. Tasser. 2012. SPA-LUCC: Developing land-use/cover scenarios in mountain landscapes. Ecological Informatics 12: 68-76.
41. Soares-Filho, B.S., G. CoutinhoCerqueira, and C. Lopes Pennachin. 2002. DINAMICA - A stochastic cellular automata model designed to simulate the landscape dynamics in an Amazonian colonization frontier. Ecological Modelling 154: 217-235.
42. Soares-Filho, B.S., D.C. Nepstad, L.M. Curran, G.C. Cerqueira, R.A. Garcia, C.A. Ramos, E. Voll, A. McDonald, et al. 2006. Modelling conservation in the Amazon basin. Nature 440: 520-523.
43. Soares-Filho, B.S., H.O. Rodrigues, and W.L.S. Costa. 2009. Modeling environmental dynamics with Dinamica EGO. Belo Horizonte, Brazil: Centro de Sensoriamento Remoto/Universida de Federal de Minas Gerais.
44. Thapa, R.B., and Y. Murayama. 2011. Urban growth modeling of Kathmandu metropolitan region, Nepal. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 35: 25-34.
45. Toivonen, T., S. Mäki, and R. Kalliola. 2007. The riverscape of Western Amazonia - A quantitative approach to the fluvial biogeography of the region. Journal of Biogeography 34: 1374-1387.
46. Tuomisto, H., K. Ruokolainen, R. Kalliola, A. Linna, W. Danjoy, and Z. Rodriguez. 1995. Dissecting Amazonian biodiversity. Science 269: 63-66.
47. Veldkamp, A., and E.F. Lambin. 2001. Predicting land-use change. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 85: 1-6.
48. Verburg, P.H., K.P. Overmars, and N. Witte. 2004a. Accessibility and land-use patterns of the forest fringe in the northeastern part of the Philippines. Geographical Journal 170: 238-255.
49. Verburg, P.H., P.P. Schot, M.J. Dijst, and A. Veldkamp. 2004b. Land use change modelling: Current practice and research priorities. GeoJournal 61: 309-324.
50. Verburg, P.H., E.C. Ellis, and A. Letourneau. 2011a. A global assessment of market accessibility and market influence for global environmental change studies. Environmental Research Letters 6: 034019.
51. Verburg, P.H., K. Neumann, and L. Nol. 2011b. Challenges in using land use and land cover data for global change studies. Global Change Biology 17: 974-989.
52. Viña, A., F.R. Echavarria, and D.C. Rundquist. 2004. Satellite change detection analysis of deforestation rates and patterns along the Colombia-Ecuador border. AMBIO 33: 118-125.