Mapping risk of plague in Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, China

BMC Infectious Diseases

Volumn 14, Issue 1, 2014, Pages

  Qian, Quan ^a,b   Zhao, Jian ^c   Fang, Liqun ^a   Zhou, Hang ^c   Zhang, Wenyi ^a   Wei, Lan ^a   Yang, Hong ^a   Yin, Wenwu ^c   Cao, Wuchun ^a   Li, Qun ^c  

^a BEIJING INSTITUTE OF MICROBIOLOGY AND EPIDEMIOLOGY   (China)

^b Beijing Institute of Health Service and Medical Information   (China)

^c CHINESE CENTER FOR DISEASE CONTROL AND PREVENTION   (China)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; CHINA; CONTROLLED STUDY; DATA ANALYSIS; DISEASE SURVEILLANCE; ECOLOGICAL NICHE; ENVIRONMENTAL EXPOSURE; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION; GEOGRAPHIC MAPPING; HUMAN; INFECTION RISK; NONHUMAN; OUTCOME ASSESSMENT; PLAGUE; POPULATION DISTRIBUTION; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK FACTOR; SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY; HEALTH SURVEY; STATISTICAL MODEL;

HUMANS; MODELS, STATISTICAL; PLAGUE; POPULATION SURVEILLANCE; RISK FACTORS; TIBET;

EID: 84905379511     PISSN: None     EISSN: 14712334     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1186/1471-2334-14-382     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Stenseth N, Atshabar B, Begon M, Belmain S, Bertherat E, Carniel E, Gage K, Leirs H, Rahalison L. Plague: past present and future. PLoS Med 2008, 5:E3.
2. Tan J, Liu Y, Shen E, Zhu W, Wang W, Li R, Yang L. Plague Foci of the World. The Atlas of Plague and Its Environment in the People's Republic of China 2000, 42-46. Beijing: Science press.
3. Gage K, Kosoy M. Natural history of plague: perspectives from more than a century of research. Annu Rev Entomol 2005, 50:505-528. 10.1146/annurev.ento.50.071803.130337, 15471529.
4. Cong X, Yin W. Plague Overview. Chinese Plague Manual: Prevention, Control and Emergency Response 2009, 1-49. Beijing: Beijing University Medical Press.
5. Tian F. Investigation of the nature focus of Marmota himalayana [in Chinese]. Chin J Zoonoses 2000, 16:95-97.
6. Yin W. Analysis and Prediction of Plague Epidemic of 2009 [in Chinese]. China National Plague Surveillance Summary of China CDC 2009, 32-38.
7. World Health Organization Plague in China. http://www.who.int/csr/don/2009_08_11/en/index.html, World Health Organization.
8. Tikhomirov E. Epidemiology and Distribution of Plague. Plague Manual: Epidemiology, Distribution, Surveillance and Control http://www.who.int/entity/csr/resources/publications/plague/whocdscsredc992a.pdf.
9. Davis S, Trapman P, Leirs H, Begon M, Heesterbeek J. The abundance threshold for plague as a critical percolation phenomenon. Nature 2008, 454:634-637. 10.1038/nature07053, 18668107.
10. Davis S, Begon M, De Bruyn L, Ageyev V, Klassovskiy N, Pole S, Viljugrein H, Stenseth N, Leirs H. Predictive thresholds for plague in Kazakhstan. Science 2004, 304:736. 10.1126/science.1095854, 15118163.
11. Maher S, Ellis C, Gage K, Enscore R, Peterson A. Range-wide determinants of plague distribution in North America. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2010, 83(4):736-742. 10.4269/ajtmh.2010.10-0042, 2946734, 20889857.
12. Neerinckx S, Peterson AT, Gulinck H, Deckers J, Leirs H. Geographic distribution and ecological niche of plague in sub-Saharan Africa. Int J Health Geogr 2008, 7:54. 10.1186/1476-072X-7-54, 2582229, 18947399.
13. Holt A, Salkeld D, Fritz C, Tucker J, Gong P. Spatial analysis of plague in California: niche modeling predictions of the current distribution and potential response to climate change. Int J Health Geogr 2009, 8:38. 10.1186/1476-072X-8-38, 2716330, 19558717.
14. Adjemian J, Girvetz E, Beckett L, Foley J. Analysis of Genetic Algorithm for Rule-Set Production (GARP) modeling approach for predicting distributions of fleas implicated as vectors of plague, Yersinia pestis, in California. J Med Entomol 2006, 43:93-103. 10.1603/0022-2585(2006)043[0093:AOGAFR]2.0.CO;2, 16506453.
15. Eisen R, Reynolds P, Ettestad P, Brown T, Enscore R, Biggerstaff B, Cheek J, Bueno R, Targhetta J, Montenieri J, Gage K. Residence-linked human plague in New Mexico: a habitat-suitability model. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2007, 77:121.
16. Eisen R, Glass G, Eisen L, Cheek J, Enscore R, Ettestad P, Gage K, Ettestad P, Gage K. A spatial model of shared risk for plague and hantavirus pulmonary syndrome in the southwestern United States. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2007, 77:999.
17. Winters A, Staples J, Ogen-Odoi A, Mead P, Griffith K, Owor N, Babi N, Enscore R, Eisen L, Gage K, Eisen R. Spatial risk models for human plague in the West Nile region of Uganda. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2009, 80:1014.
18. Stenseth N, Samia N, Viljugrein H, Kausrud K, Begon M, Davis S, Leirs H, Dubyanskiy V, Esper J, Ageyev V, Klassovskiy N, Pole S, Chan K. Plague dynamics are driven by climate variation. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2006, 103:13110. 10.1073/pnas.0602447103, 1559761, 16924109.
19. Stevens K, Pfeiffer D. Spatial modelling of disease using data- and knowledge-driven approaches. Spat Spatio-tempor Epidemiol 2011, 2(3):125-133.
20. Wang Z, Chen H, Zheng Y, Wu K. Types and Distribution of Plague Natural Foci in China 2009, 264. Beijing: Science Press, Plague Epizoology.
21. Zhao S. A new proposal of Chinese physical geographical zoning. J Geogr Sci 1983, 38:1-10.
22. Gao M. Spatial Distribution Prediction and Analysis of Himalayan Marmot Plague Natural Foci in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau 2011, Beijing China: Graduate University of Chinese Academy Sciences.
23. Wang J, Li X, Christakos G, Liao Y, Zhang T, Gu X, Zheng X. Geographical detectors-based health risk assessment and its application in the neural tube defects study of the Heshun region, China. Int J Geogr Inf Sci 2010, 24(1):107-127.
24. Wang J, Hu Y. Environmental health risk detection with GeogDetector. Environ Model Software 2012, 33:114-115.
25. Pereira R. Desktop Garp Lawrence, Kansas: University of Kansas Biodiversity Research Center, http://www.nhm.ku.edu/desktopgarp/.
26. Phillips S, Anderson R, Schapire R. Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecol Model 2006, 190:231-259.
27. Raxworthy C, Martinez-Meyer E, Horning N, Nussbaum R, Schneider G, Ortega-Huerta M, Peterson T. Predicting distributions of known and unknown reptile species in Madagascar. Nature 2003, 426:837-841. 10.1038/nature02205, 14685238.
28. Saatchi S, Buermann W, Ter Steege H, Mori S, Smith T. Modeling distribution of Amazonian tree species and diversity using remote sensing measurements. Remote Sens Environ 2008, 112:2000-2017.
29. Peterson A, Sánchez-Cordero V, Beard C, Ramsey J. Ecologic niche modeling and potential reservoirs for Chagas disease, Mexico. Emerg Infect Dis 2002, 8:662-667. 10.3201/eid0807.010454, 2730326, 12095431.
30. Mak S, Klinkenberg B, Bartlett K, Fyfe M. Ecological Niche Modeling of Cryptococcus gattii in British Columbia, Canada. Environ Health Persp 2009, 118:653.
31. Peterson A, Bauer J, Mills J. Ecologic and geographic distribution of filovirus disease. Emerg Infect Dis 2004, 10:40-47. 10.3201/eid1001.030125, 3322747, 15078595.
32. Steven J, Miroslav D, Robert E. A Maximum Entropy Approach to Species Distribution Modeling 2004, 655-662. Machine Learning: In Proceedings of the Twenty-First International Conference on.
33. Jane E, Steven J, Trevor H, Miroslav D, Yung E, Colin J. A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists. Divers Distrib 2011, 17:43-57.
34. Zhao J, Xu M, Lu S, Cao C. Human settlement evaluation in mountain areas based on remote sensing. GIS and ecological niche modeling. J Mount Sci 2013, 10(3):378-387.
35. Guisan A, Zimmermann N. Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecol Model 2000, 135:147-186.
36. Anderson R, Gómez-Laverde M, Peterson A. Geographical distributions of spiny pocket mice in South America: insights from predictive models. Global Ecol Biogeogr 2002, 11:131-141.
37. Menne B, Davies C, Daniel M, Kriz B, Gratz N. Environmental changes and vector and rodent borne diseases in Europe. Epidemiology 2004, 15:S111.
38. Walther G, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A, Parmesan C, Beebee T, Fromentin J, Guldberg O, Bairlein F. Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 2002, 416:389-395. 10.1038/416389a, 11919621.
39. Tan J, Liu Y, Shen E, Zhu W, Wang W, Ribang L, Linsheng Y. Maps of Plague Natural Foci and Their Environments. The Atlas of Plague and Its Environment in the People's Republic of China 2000, Beijing: Science press.
40. Perry R, Fetherston J. Yersinia pestis-etiologic agent of plague. Clin Microbiol Rev 1997, 10:35-66. 172914, 8993858.
41. Shi S, Liu F, Yan X. Habitat selection by Marmota himalayana in the eastern Qilian mountains [in Chinese]. J Gansu Agr Univ 2008, 43:28.
42. World Health Organization Plague http://www.who.int/csr/disease/plague/en/, World Health Organization.
43. Parmenter R, Yadav E, Parmenter C, Ettestad P, Gage K. Incidence of plague associated with increased winter-spring precipitation in New Mexico. Am J Trop Med Hyg 1999, 61:814.