Aging in the Context of Cohort Evolution and Mortality Selection

Demography

Volumn 51, Issue 4, 2014, Pages 1295-1317

  Zheng, Hui ^a  

^a OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Cohort evolution; Mortality selection; Rate of biological aging; Rate of demographic aging; Strehler and Mildvan model

Indexed keywords

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGE; AGED; AGING; ARTICLE; CHILD; FEMALE; HEALTH STATUS; HUMAN; INFANT; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; NEWBORN; POPULATION DYNAMICS; PRESCHOOL CHILD; SWEDEN; VERY ELDERLY; YOUNG ADULT;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGE FACTORS; AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; AGING; CHILD; CHILD, PRESCHOOL; FEMALE; HEALTH STATUS; HUMANS; INFANT; INFANT, NEWBORN; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; POPULATION DYNAMICS; SWEDEN; YOUNG ADULT;

EID: 84904988528     PISSN: 00703370     EISSN: 15337790     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s13524-014-0306-9     Document Type: Article

References (62)

1. Arbeev, K. G., Ukraintseva, S. V., Arbeeva, L. S., & Yashin, A. I. (2005). Mathematical models for human cancer incidence rates. Demographic Research, 12(article 10), 237-272. doi: 10. 4054/DemRes. 2005. 12. 10.
2. Barker, D. J. P. (Ed.). (1992). Fetal and infant origins of adult disease. London, UK: BMJ Publishing Group.
3. Barker, D. J. P. (1994). Mothers, babies and disease in later life. London, UK: BMJ Publishing Group.
4. Barker, D. J. P. (2004). The developmental origins of well-being. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society: Biological Science, 359, 1359-1366.
5. Barker, D. J. P., Godfrey, K. M., Fall, C., Osmond, C., Winter, P. D., & Shaheen, S. O. (1991). Relation of birth weight and childhood respiratory infection to adult lung function and death from chronic obstructive airways disease. British Medical Journal, 303, 671-675.
6. Beltrán-Sánchez, H., Crimmins, E. M., & Finch, C. E. (2012). Early cohort mortality predicts the cohort rate of aging: A historical analysis. Journal of Developmental Origins of Health and Disease, 3, 380-386.
7. Bengtsson, T., & Lindstrom, M. (2003). Airborne infectious diseases during infancy and mortality in later life in southern Sweden, 1766-1894. International Journal for Epidemiology, 32, 286-294.
8. Ben-Shlomo, Y., & Kuh, D. (2002). A life course approach to chronic disease epidemiology: Conceptual models, empirical challenges and interdisciplinary perspectives. International Journal of Epidemiology, 31, 285-293.
9. Buck, C., & Simpson, H. (1982). Infant diarrhoea and subsequent mortality from heart disease and cancer. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 36, 27-30.
10. Crimmins, E. M., & Finch, C. E. (2006). Infection, inflammation, height, and longevity. Proceedings of National Academy of Science, 103, 498-503.
11. Finch, C. E., & Crimmins, E. M. (2004). Inflammatory exposure and historical changes in human life-spans. Science, 305, 1736-1739.
12. Fogel, R. W. (2004a). Changes in the process of aging during the twentieth century. Population and Development Review, 30(Suppl.), 19-47.
13. Fogel, R. W. (2004b). The escape from hunger and premature death, 1700-2100: Europe, America, and the third world. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.
14. Fogel, R. W. (2005). Changes in the disparities in chronic diseases during the course of the 20th century. Perspectives in Biology and Medicine, 48(1 Suppl.), S150-S165.
15. Fogel, R. W., & Costa, D. L. (1997). A theory of technophysio evolution, with some implications for forecasting population, health care costs, and pension costs. Demography, 34, 49-66.
16. Gavrilov, L. A., & Gavrilova, N. S. (2011). Mortality measurement at advanced ages: A study of the Social Security Administration Death Master File. North American Actuarial Journal, 15, 432-447.
17. Gompertz, B. (1825). On the nature of the function expressive of the law of mortality. Philosophical Transactions, 27, 513-585.
18. Himes, C. L., Preston, S. H., & Condran, G. A. (1994). A relationship model of mortality at older ages in low mortality countries. Population Studies, 48, 269-291.
19. Ho, J. Y., & Preston, S. H. (2010). US mortality in an international context: Age variations. Population and Development Review, 36, 749-773.
20. Janssen, F., Peeters, A., Mackenbach, J. P., & Kunst, A. E. (2005). Relation between trends in late middle age mortality and trends in old age mortality-Is there evidence for mortality selection? Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 59, 775-781.
21. Jones, H. B. (1956). A special consideration of the aging process, disease, and life expectancy. Advances in Biological and Medical Physics, 4, 281-337.
22. Karlamangla, A. S., Singer, B. H., McEwen, B. S., Rowe, J. W., & Seeman, T. E. (2002). Allostatic load as a predictor of functional decline. MacArthur studies of successful aging. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 55, 696-710.
23. Kirkwood, T. B. (1977). Evolution of ageing. Nature, 270, 301-304.
24. Levers, M. J., Estabrooks, C. A., & Kerr, J. C. (2006). Factors contributing to frailty: Literature review. Journal of Advanced Nursing, 56, 282-291.
25. Lunn, P. G., Northrop-Clewes, C. A., & Downes, R. M. (1991). Intestinal permeability, mucosal injury, and growth faltering in Gambian infants. Lancet, 338, 907-910.
26. Manton, K. G., & Stallard, E. (1981). Methods for evaluating the heterogeneity of aging processes in human populations using vital statistics data: Explaining the black/white mortality crossover by a model of mortality selection. Human Biology, 53, 47-67.
27. Medawar, P. B. (1952). An unsolved problem of biology. London, UK: H. K. Lewis and Company.
28. Mercer, A. (1990). Disease mortality and population in transition. Leicester, UK: Leicester University Press.
29. Mitnitski, A., Song, X., Skoog, I., Broe, G. A., Cox, J. L., Grunfeld, E., & Rockwood, K. (2005). Relative fitness and frailty of elderly men and women in developed countries and their relationship with mortality. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 53, 2184-2189.
30. Oeppen, J., & Vaupel, J. W. (2002). Broken limits to life expectancy. Science, 296, 1029-1031.
31. Olshansky, S. J., & Ault, A. B. (1986). The fourth stage of the epidemiologic transition: The age of delayed degenerative diseases. The Milbank Quarterly, 64, 355-391.
32. Omran, A. R. (1971). The epidemiologic transition: A theory of the epidemiology of population change. Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, 49, 509-538.
33. Piantanelli, L., Rossolini, G., Basso, A., Piantanelli, A., Malavolta, M., & Zaia, A. (2001). Use of mathematical models of survivorship in the study of biomarkers of aging: The role of heterogeneity. Mechanisms of Ageing and Development, 122, 1461-1475.
34. Preston, S. H., Elo, I. T., Rosenwaike, I., & Hill, M. (1996). African-American mortality at older ages: Results of a matching study. Demography, 33, 193-209.
35. Preston, S. H., Elo, I. T., & Stewart, Q. (1999). Effects of age misreporting on mortality estimates at older ages. Population Studies, 53, 165-177.
36. Preston, S. H., Hill, M. E., & Drevenstedt, G. L. (1998). Childhood conditions that predict survival to advanced ages among African-Americans. Social Science & Medicine, 47, 1231-1246.
37. Preston, S. H., Keyfitz, N., & Schoen, R. (1972). Causes of death: Life tables for national population. New York, NY: Seminar Press.
38. Prieto, M. D., Llorca, L., & Delgado-Rodriguez, M. (1996). Longitudinal Gompertzian and Weibull analyses of adult mortality in Spain (Europe), 1990-1992. Mechanisms of Ageing and Development, 90, 35-51.
39. Ridley, M. (2012, June 16). Do human beings carry expiration dates? The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved from http://online. wsj. com/article/SB10001424052702303918204577448601182476234. html.
40. Riggs, J. E. (1993). Aging, genomic entropy and carcinogenesis: Implications derived from longitudinal age-specific colon cancer mortality rate dynamics. Mechanisms of Ageing and Development, 72, 165-181.
41. Riggs, J. E., & Myers, E. J. (1994). Defining the impact of prevention and improved management upon stroke mortality. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 47, 931-939.
42. Shaheen, S. O., Barker, D. J. P., Shiell, A. W., Crocker, F. J., Wield, G. A., & Holgate, S. T. (1994). The relationship between pneumonia in early childhood and impaired lung function in late adult life. American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, 149, 616-619.
43. Strehler, B. L., & Mildvan, A. S. (1960). General theory of mortality and aging. Science, 132, 14-21.
44. Swanepoel, S. (2012, August 26). Sweet 116th birthday wishes to the world's oldest living person. Loganville-Grayson Patch. Retrieved from http://monroe-ga. patch. com/groups/editors-picks/p/happy-sweet-116th-birthday-to-the-worlds-oldest-living-person.
45. Thatcher, A. R., Kannisto, V., Vaupel, J. W. (1998). The force of mortality at ages 80 to 120 (Monographs on Population Aging No. 5). Odense, Denmark: Odense University Press.
46. Vasto, S., Scapagnini, G., Bulati, M., Candore, G., Castiglia, L., Colonna-Romano, G., Caruso, C. (2010). Biomarkers of aging. Frontiers in Bioscience (Scholar ed.), 2, 392-402.
47. Vaupel, J. W. (2010a). The theory of heterogeneity: A concise primer. Unpublished manuscript, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
48. Vaupel, J. W. (2010b). Biodemography of human ageing. Nature, 464, 536-542.
49. Vaupel, J. W., Carey, J. R., Christensen, K., Johnson, T. E., Yashin, A. I., Holm, N. V., & Cursinger, J. W. (1998). Biodemographic trajectories of longevity. Science, 280, 855-860.
50. Vaupel, J. W., Manton, K. G., & Stallard, E. (1979). The impact of heterogeneity in individual frailty on the dynamics of mortality. Demography, 16, 439-454.
51. Williams, G. C. (1957). Pleiotropy, natural selection and the evolution of senescence. Evolution, 11, 398-411.
52. Wilmoth, J. R., & Horiuchi, S. (1999). Rectangularization revisited: Variability of age at death within human populations. Demography, 36, 475-495.
53. Wooldridge, J. M. (2002). Econometric analysis of cross section and panel data. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press.
54. Yashin, A. I. (2013, June). Mathematical demography of aging. Paper presented at Keyfitz Centennial Symposium on Mathematical Demography, Columbus, OH.
55. Yashin, A. I., Arbeev, K. G., Kulminski, A., Akushevich, I., Akushevich, L., & Ukraintseva, S. V. (2007). Health decline, aging and mortality: How are they related? Biogerontology, 8, 291-302.
56. Yashin, A. I., Arbeev, K. G., Wu, D., Arbeeva, L. S., Kulminski, A., Akushevich, I., Ukrainsteva, S. V. (2013). How lifespan associated genes modulate aging changes: Lessons from analysis of longitudinal data. Frontiers in Genetics, 4, 1-20.
57. Yashin, A. I., Begun, A. S., Boiko, S. I., Ukraintseva, S. V., & Oeppen, J. (2001). The new trends in survival improvement require a revision of traditional gerontological concepts. Experimental Gerontology, 37, 157-167.
58. Yashin, A. I., Begun, A. S., Boiko, S. I., Ukraintseva, S. V., & Oeppen, J. (2002a). New age patterns of survival improvement in Sweden: Do they characterize changes in individual aging? Mechanisms of Ageing and Development, 123, 637-647.
59. Yashin, A. I., Iachine, I. A., & Begun, A. S. (2000). Mortality modeling: A review. Mathematical Population Studies, 8, 305-332.
60. Yashin, A. I., Ukraintseva, S. V., Boiko, S. I., & Arbeev, K. G. (2002b). Individual aging and mortality rate: How are they related? Social Biology, 49, 206-217.
61. Zheng, H., Yang, Y., & Land, K. C. (2011). Heterogeneity in the Strehler-Mildvan general theory of mortality and aging. Demography, 48, 267-290.
62. Zuev, S. M., Yashin, A. I., Manton, K. G., Dowd, E., Pogojev, I. B., & Usmanov, R. N. (2000). Vitality index in survival modeling: How physiological aging influences mortality. Journal of Gerontology: Biological Sciences, 55A, B10-B19.