Projections of total hip replacement in Sweden from 2013 to 2030

Acta Orthopaedica

Volumn 85, Issue 3, 2014, Pages 238-243

  Nemes, Szilárd ^a   Gordon, Max ^a,b   Rogmark, Cecilia ^a,c   Rolfson, Ola ^a,d  

^a Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register ^*  (Sweden)

^b DANDERYD HOSPITAL   (Sweden)

^c LUND UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

^d UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG   (Sweden)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; HUMAN; INCIDENCE; LIFE EXPECTANCY; SWEDEN; TOTAL HIP PROSTHESIS; TREND STUDY;

ADULT; AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; ARTHROPLASTY, REPLACEMENT, HIP; FEMALE; FORECASTING; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; LIFE EXPECTANCY; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; MODELS, STATISTICAL; OSTEOARTHRITIS, HIP; REGISTRIES; RETROSPECTIVE STUDIES; SWEDEN;

EID: 84902657062     PISSN: 17453674     EISSN: 17453682     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3109/17453674.2014.913224     Document Type: Article

References (23)

1. Berger A, Bozic K, Stacey B, Edelsberg J, Sadosky A, Oster G. Patterns of pharmacotherapy and health care utilization and costs prior to total hip or total knee replacement in patients with osteoarthritis. Arthritis Rheum 2011; 63 (8): 2268-75.
2. Bini S A, Sidney S, Sorel M. Slowing demand for total joint arthroplasty in a population of 3.2 million. J Arthroplasty 2011; 26 (6): 124-8.
3. Bozdogan H. Model selection and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC)-The general-Theory and its analytical extensions. Psychometrika 1987 52(3): 345-70.
4. Davies C, Briggs A, Lorgelly P, Garellick G, Malchau H. The "hazards" of extrapolating survival curves. Med Decis Making 2013; 33 (3): 369-80.
5. Elzhov T V, Mullen K M, Spiess A N, Bolker B. minpack.lm: R interface to the Levenberg-Marquardt nonlinear least-squares algorithm found in MINPACK, plus support for bounds. R package version 11-7. 2013; http://CRAN.R-project.org/ package=minpack.lm.
6. Garellick G, Kärrholm J, Rogmark C, Rolfson O, Herberts P. Swedish hip arthroplasty register. Annual report 2011. 2012; ISBN 978-91-980507-1-4.
7. Kotlarz H, Gunnarsson C L, Fang H, Rizzo J A. Insurer and out-of-pocket costs of osteoarthritis in the US evidence from national survey data. Arthritis Rheum 2009; 60 (12): 3546-53.
8. Krupic F, Eisler T, Eliasson T, Garellick G, Gordon M, Kärrholm J. No influence of immigrant background on the outcome of total hip arthroplasty. Acta Orthop 2013, 84 (1): 18-24.
9. Kurtz S, Mowat F, Ong K, Chan N, Lau E, Halpern M. Prevalence of primary and revision total hip and knee arthroplasty in the United States from 1990 through 2002. J Bone Joint Surg (Am) 2005; 87 (7): 1487-97. (Pubitemid 40917748)
10. Kurtz S, Ong K, Lau E, Mowat F, Halpern M. Projections of primary and revision hip and knee arthroplasty in the United States from 2005 to 2030. J Bone Joint Surg (Am) 2007a; 89: 780-5. (Pubitemid 46564282)
11. Kurtz S M, Ong K L, Schmier J, Mowat F, Saleh K, Dybvik E, et al. Future clinical and economic impact of revision total hip and knee arthroplasty. J Bone Joint Surg (Am) 2007b; 89: 144-51. (Pubitemid 47556798)
12. Lukacs P M, Burnham K P, Anderson D R. Model selection bias and Freedman's paradox. Ann Inst Stat Math. 2010; 62 (1): 117-25.
13. Makela K T, Peltola M, Hakkinen U, Remes V. Geographical variation in incidence of primary total hip arthroplasty: A population-based analysis of 34,642 replacements. Arch Orthop Trauma Surg 2010; 130 (5): 633-9.
14. Moré J. The Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm: Implementation and theory. In: Numerical Analysis. Lecture Notes in Mathematics (ed. G A Watson). 630: Springer Berlin Heidelberg; 1978: 105-16.
15. Park E W, Lim S M. Empirical estimation of the asymptotes of disease progress curves and the use of the Richards generalized rate parameters for describing disease progress. Phytopathology 1985; 75 (1): 786-91.
16. Patterson C C, Dahlquist G G, Gyürüs E, Green A, Soltész G. Incidence trends for childhood type 1 diabetes in Europe during 1989-2003 and predicted new cases 2005-20: A multicentre prospective registration study. The Lancet 2009; 373 (9680): 2027-33.
17. R Core Team. R: A Language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing 2013; Vienna, Austria(http://www.Rproject. org/).
18. Skytta E T, Jarkko L, Antti E, Huhtala H, Ville R. Increasing incidence of hip arthroplasty for primary osteoarthritis in 30-To 59-year-old patients. Acta Orthop 2011; 82 (1): 1-5.
19. Symonds M R E, Moussalli A. A brief guide to model selection, multimodel inference and model averaging in behavioural ecology using Akaike's information criterion. Behav Ecol Sociobiol 2011; 65 (1): 13-21
20. Turner M E, Monroe R J, Lucas H L, Jr. Generalized asymptotic regression and non-linear path analysis. Biometrics 1961; 17 (1): 120-43.
21. Turner M E, Jr., Blumenstein B A, Sebaugh J L. 265 Note: A generalization of the logistic law of growth. Biometrics 1969; 25 (3): 577-80.
22. Wagenmakers E J, Farrell S. AIC model selection using Akaike weights. Psychon Bull Rev 2004; 11 (1): 192-6. (Pubitemid 38652053)
23. Woolf A D, Pfleger B. Burden of major musculoskeletal conditions. Bull World Health Organ 2003; 81 (9): 646-56. (Pubitemid 37254686).