메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 20, Issue 7, 2014, Pages 2301-2320

How do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors?

(38)  Bassu, Simona a   Brisson, Nadine a   Durand, Jean Louis b   Boote, Kenneth c   Lizaso, Jon d   Jones, James W e   Rosenzweig, Cynthia f   Ruane, Alex C f   Adam, Myriam g   Baron, Christian h   Basso, Bruno i,j   Biernath, Christian k   Boogaard, Hendrik l   Conijn, Sjaak l   Corbeels, Marc m   Deryng, Delphine n   De Sanctis, Giacomo o   Gayler, Sebastian p   Grassini, Patricio q   Hatfield, Jerry r   more..


Author keywords

AgMIP; Climate; Maize; Model intercomparison; Simulation; Temperature; Uncertainty

Indexed keywords

CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE EFFECT; COMPUTER SIMULATION; CROP PRODUCTION; CROP YIELD; MAIZE; MODELING; TEMPERATURE EFFECT; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

EID: 84901927473     PISSN: 13541013     EISSN: 13652486     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12520     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (548)

References (72)
  • 1
    • 0025103716 scopus 로고
    • Global climate change and US agriculture
    • Adams RM, Rosenzweig C, Peart RM et al. (1990) Global climate change and US agriculture. Nature, 345, 219-224.
    • (1990) Nature , vol.345 , pp. 219-224
    • Adams, R.M.1    Rosenzweig, C.2    Peart, R.M.3
  • 2
    • 0033579663 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effects of global climate change on agriculture: an interpretative review
    • Adams RM, Hurd BH, Lenhart S, Leary N (1998) Effects of global climate change on agriculture: an interpretative review. Climate Research, 11, 19-30.
    • (1998) Climate Research , vol.11 , pp. 19-30
    • Adams, R.M.1    Hurd, B.H.2    Lenhart, S.3    Leary, N.4
  • 3
    • 33645791656 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • InfoCrop: a dynamic simulation model for the assessment of crop yields losses due to pests and environmental impact of agro-ecosystems in tropical environments I
    • Aggarwal PK, Kalra N, Chander S, Pathak H (2006) InfoCrop: a dynamic simulation model for the assessment of crop yields losses due to pests and environmental impact of agro-ecosystems in tropical environments I. Model Description Agricultural Systems, 89, 1-25.
    • (2006) Model Description Agricultural Systems , vol.89 , pp. 1-25
    • Aggarwal, P.K.1    Kalra, N.2    Chander, S.3    Pathak, H.4
  • 6
    • 84883377040 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Uncertainties in simulating wheat yields under climate change
    • Asseng S, Ewert F, Rosenzweig C et al. (2013) Uncertainties in simulating wheat yields under climate change. Nature Climate Change, 3, 827-832.
    • (2013) Nature Climate Change , vol.3 , pp. 827-832
    • Asseng, S.1    Ewert, F.2    Rosenzweig, C.3
  • 7
    • 33645745650 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From GCM grid cell to agricultural plot: scale issues affecting modelling of climate impact. Philosophical transactions of the royal society of London
    • Baron C, Sultan B, Balme M et al. (2005) From GCM grid cell to agricultural plot: scale issues affecting modelling of climate impact. Philosophical transactions of the royal society of London. Biological Sciences, 360, 2095-2108.
    • (2005) Biological Sciences , vol.360 , pp. 2095-2108
    • Baron, C.1    Sultan, B.2    Balme, M.3
  • 8
    • 77955570661 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term wheat response to nitrogen in a rainfed Mediterranean environment: field data and simulation analysis
    • Basso B, Cammarano D, Troccoli A, Chen D, Ritchie JT (2010) Long-term wheat response to nitrogen in a rainfed Mediterranean environment: field data and simulation analysis. European Journal of Agronomy, 33, 132-138.
    • (2010) European Journal of Agronomy , vol.33 , pp. 132-138
    • Basso, B.1    Cammarano, D.2    Troccoli, A.3    Chen, D.4    Ritchie, J.T.5
  • 9
    • 33947374404 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the role of agriculture for the 20th century global terrestrial carbon balance
    • Bondeau A, Smith PC, Zaehle S et al. (2007) Modelling the role of agriculture for the 20th century global terrestrial carbon balance. Global Change Biology, 13, 679-706.
    • (2007) Global Change Biology , vol.13 , pp. 679-706
    • Bondeau, A.1    Smith, P.C.2    Zaehle, S.3
  • 10
    • 84901924827 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • WOFOST 7.1: user's guide for the WOFOST 7.1 crop growth simulation model and WOFOST Control Center 1.5. Technical document/DLO Winand Staring Centre;52. DLO Winand Staring Centre, Wageningen.
    • Boogaard HL, Van Diepen CA, Roetter RP, Cabrera JMCA, Laar HHv (1998) WOFOST 7.1: user's guide for the WOFOST 7.1 crop growth simulation model and WOFOST Control Center 1.5. Technical document/DLO Winand Staring Centre;52. DLO Winand Staring Centre, Wageningen.
    • (1998)
    • Boogaard, H.L.1    Van Diepen, C.A.2    Roetter, R.P.3    Cabrera, J.M.C.A.4    Laar, H.H.5
  • 12
    • 80053641833 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Position statement on crop adaptation to climate change
    • Boote KJ, Amir MHI, Lafitte R et al. (2011) Position statement on crop adaptation to climate change. Crop Science, 51, 2337-2343.
    • (2011) Crop Science , vol.51 , pp. 2337-2343
    • Boote, K.J.1    Amir, M.H.I.2    Lafitte, R.3
  • 13
    • 0036126403 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • - STICS: a generic model for the simulation of crops and their water and nitrogen balances. II- Model validation for wheat and maize
    • Brisson N, Ruget F, Gate P et al. (2002) - STICS: a generic model for the simulation of crops and their water and nitrogen balances. II- Model validation for wheat and maize. Agronomie, 22, 69-92.
    • (2002) Agronomie , vol.22 , pp. 69-92
    • Brisson, N.1    Ruget, F.2    Gate, P.3
  • 16
    • 78651456533 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Effect of elevated carbon dioxide and water stress on gas exchange and water use efficiency in corn
    • Chun JA, Wang Q, Timlin D, Fleisher D, Reddy VR (2011) Effect of elevated carbon dioxide and water stress on gas exchange and water use efficiency in corn. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151, 378-384.
    • (2011) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology , vol.151 , pp. 378-384
    • Chun, J.A.1    Wang, Q.2    Timlin, D.3    Fleisher, D.4    Reddy, V.R.5
  • 17
    • 84856896529 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulating the effects of climate and agricultural management practices on global crop yield
    • Deryng D, Sacks WJ, Barford CC, Ramankutty N (2011) Simulating the effects of climate and agricultural management practices on global crop yield. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 25, 1-18.
    • (2011) Global Biogeochemical Cycles , vol.25 , pp. 1-18
    • Deryng, D.1    Sacks, W.J.2    Barford, C.C.3    Ramankutty, N.4
  • 18
    • 0002333428 scopus 로고
    • Validity of agroecosystem models - a comparison of results of different models applied to the same data set
    • Diekkrüger B, Söndgerath D, Kersebaum KC, McVoy CW (1995) Validity of agroecosystem models - a comparison of results of different models applied to the same data set. Ecological Modelling, 81, 3-29.
    • (1995) Ecological Modelling , vol.81 , pp. 3-29
    • Diekkrüger, B.1    Söndgerath, D.2    Kersebaum, K.C.3    McVoy, C.W.4
  • 19
    • 84887871507 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivities of crop models to extreme weather conditions during flowering period demonstrated for maize and winter wheat in Austria
    • Eitzinger J, Thaler S, Schmid E et al. (2013) Sensitivities of crop models to extreme weather conditions during flowering period demonstrated for maize and winter wheat in Austria. Journal of Agricultural Science, 151, 813-835.
    • (2013) Journal of Agricultural Science , vol.151 , pp. 813-835
    • Eitzinger, J.1    Thaler, S.2    Schmid, E.3
  • 20
    • 84901951332 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scenario development and assessment of the potential impacts of climate and market changes on crops in Europe. AgriAdapt project reports, 2 and 3, July 2011.
    • Ewert F, Angulo C, Rumbaur C et al. (2011) Scenario development and assessment of the potential impacts of climate and market changes on crops in Europe. AgriAdapt project reports, no. 2 and 3, July 2011. 49 pp.
    • (2011) , pp. 49
    • Ewert, F.1    Angulo, C.2    Rumbaur, C.3
  • 23
    • 0001642555 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting crop yields under global change
    • In, eds Walker BH, Steffen W, Cambridge University Press, New York.
    • Goudriaan J (1996) Predicting crop yields under global change. In: Global Change and Terrestrial Ecosystems, (eds Walker BH, Steffen W), pp. 260-274. Cambridge University Press, New York.
    • (1996) Global Change and Terrestrial Ecosystems , pp. 260-274
    • Goudriaan, J.1
  • 25
    • 84868502274 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the productivity of energy crops in different agro-ecological environments
    • Jing Q, Conijn SJG, Jongschaap REE, Bindraban PS (2012) Modeling the productivity of energy crops in different agro-ecological environments. Biomass and Bioenergy, 46, 618-633.
    • (2012) Biomass and Bioenergy , vol.46 , pp. 618-633
    • Jing, Q.1    Conijn, S.J.G.2    Jongschaap, R.E.E.3    Bindraban, P.S.4
  • 27
    • 37849187178 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Sensitivity of a crop growth simulation model to variation in LAI and canopy nitrogen used for run-time calibration
    • Jongschaap REE (2007) Sensitivity of a crop growth simulation model to variation in LAI and canopy nitrogen used for run-time calibration. Ecological Modelling, 200, 89-98.
    • (2007) Ecological Modelling , vol.200 , pp. 89-98
    • Jongschaap, R.E.E.1
  • 28
    • 0000275988 scopus 로고
    • Separation of mesophyll protoplasts and bundle sheath cells from maize leaves for photosynthetic studies
    • Kanai R, Edwards GE (1973) Separation of mesophyll protoplasts and bundle sheath cells from maize leaves for photosynthetic studies. Plant Physiology, 51, 1133-1137.
    • (1973) Plant Physiology , vol.51 , pp. 1133-1137
    • Kanai, R.1    Edwards, G.E.2
  • 29
    • 0037232266 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An overview of APSIM, a model designed for farming systems simulation
    • Keating BA, Carberry PS, Hammer GL et al. (2003) An overview of APSIM, a model designed for farming systems simulation. European Journal of Agronomy, 18, 267-288.
    • (2003) European Journal of Agronomy , vol.18 , pp. 267-288
    • Keating, B.A.1    Carberry, P.S.2    Hammer, G.L.3
  • 30
    • 33846443235 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling nitrogen dynamics in soil-crop systems with HERMES
    • Kersebaum KC (2007) Modelling nitrogen dynamics in soil-crop systems with HERMES. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems, 77, 39-52.
    • (2007) Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems , vol.77 , pp. 39-52
    • Kersebaum, K.C.1
  • 35
    • 84989078087 scopus 로고
    • 2 concentrations: has its importance been underestimated?
    • 2 concentrations: has its importance been underestimated? Plant, Cell and Environment, 14, 729-739.
    • (1991) Plant, Cell and Environment , vol.14 , pp. 729-739
    • Long, S.P.1
  • 36
    • 33645031235 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Global food insecurity. Treatment of major food crops with elevated carbon dioxide and ozone under large-scale fully open-air conditions suggests models may seriously over-estimate future yields
    • Long SP, Ainsworth EA, Leakey ADB, Morgan PB (2005) Global food insecurity. Treatment of major food crops with elevated carbon dioxide and ozone under large-scale fully open-air conditions suggests models may seriously over-estimate future yields. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 360, 2011-2020.
    • (2005) Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B , vol.360 , pp. 2011-2020
    • Long, S.P.1    Ainsworth, E.A.2    Leakey, A.D.B.3    Morgan, P.B.4
  • 38
    • 34548618668 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Long-term effects of continuous direct seeding mulch-based cropping systems on soil nitrogen supply in the Cerrado region of Brazil
    • Maltas A, Corbeels M, Scopel E, Oliver R, Douzet JM, Macena da Silva FA, Wery J (2007) Long-term effects of continuous direct seeding mulch-based cropping systems on soil nitrogen supply in the Cerrado region of Brazil. Plant and Soil, 298, 161-173.
    • (2007) Plant and Soil , vol.298 , pp. 161-173
    • Maltas, A.1    Corbeels, M.2    Scopel, E.3    Oliver, R.4    Douzet, J.M.5    Macena da Silva, F.A.6    Wery, J.7
  • 39
    • 70349454008 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cover crop and nitrogen effects on maize productivity in no-tillage systems of the Brazilian cerrados
    • Maltas A, Corbeels M, Scopel E, Wery J, Macena da Silva FA (2009) Cover crop and nitrogen effects on maize productivity in no-tillage systems of the Brazilian cerrados. Agronomy Journal, 101, 1036-1046.
    • (2009) Agronomy Journal , vol.101 , pp. 1036-1046
    • Maltas, A.1    Corbeels, M.2    Scopel, E.3    Wery, J.4    Macena da Silva, F.A.5
  • 43
    • 0000209134 scopus 로고
    • Temperature and solar radiation effects on potential maize yield across locations
    • Muchow RC, Sinclair TR, Bennett JM (1990) Temperature and solar radiation effects on potential maize yield across locations. Agronomy Journal, 82, 338-343.
    • (1990) Agronomy Journal , vol.82 , pp. 338-343
    • Muchow, R.C.1    Sinclair, T.R.2    Bennett, J.M.3
  • 44
    • 79953297665 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The MONICA model: testing predictability for crop growth, soil moisture and nitrogen dynamics
    • Nendel C, Berg M, Kersebaum KC et al. (2011) The MONICA model: testing predictability for crop growth, soil moisture and nitrogen dynamics. Ecological Modelling, 222, 1614-1625.
    • (2011) Ecological Modelling , vol.222 , pp. 1614-1625
    • Nendel, C.1    Berg, M.2    Kersebaum, K.C.3
  • 45
    • 79960617267 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of winter wheat yield and its variability in different climates of Europe. A comparison of eight crop growth models
    • Palosuo T, Kersebaum KC, Angulo C et al. (2011) Simulation of winter wheat yield and its variability in different climates of Europe. A comparison of eight crop growth models. European Journal of Agronomy, 35, 103-114.
    • (2011) European Journal of Agronomy , vol.35 , pp. 103-114
    • Palosuo, T.1    Kersebaum, K.C.2    Angulo, C.3
  • 46
    • 0036153943 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Implications of atmospheric and climatic change for crop yield and water use efficiency
    • Polley HW (2002) Implications of atmospheric and climatic change for crop yield and water use efficiency. Crop Science, 42, 131-140.
    • (2002) Crop Science , vol.42 , pp. 131-140
    • Polley, H.W.1
  • 48
    • 79952683753 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • MERRA - NASA's modern-era retrospective analysis for research and applications
    • Rienecker MR, Suarez MJ, Gelaro R et al. (2011) MERRA - NASA's modern-era retrospective analysis for research and applications. Journal of Climate, 24, 3624-3648.
    • (2011) Journal of Climate , vol.24 , pp. 3624-3648
    • Rienecker, M.R.1    Suarez, M.J.2    Gelaro, R.3
  • 49
    • 77952604809 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The state of climate change vulnerability, impacts, and adaptation research: strengthening knowledge base and community
    • Rosenzweig C, Wilbanks TJ (2010) The state of climate change vulnerability, impacts, and adaptation research: strengthening knowledge base and community. Climatic Change, 100, 103-106.
    • (2010) Climatic Change , vol.100 , pp. 103-106
    • Rosenzweig, C.1    Wilbanks, T.J.2
  • 50
    • 84872945036 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The agricultural model intercomparison and improvement project: protocols and pilot studies
    • Rosenzweig C, Jones JW, Hatfield JL et al. (2013) The agricultural model intercomparison and improvement project: protocols and pilot studies. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170, 166-172.
    • (2013) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology , vol.170 , pp. 166-172
    • Rosenzweig, C.1    Jones, J.W.2    Hatfield, J.L.3
  • 52
    • 84861468366 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Simulation of spring barley yield in different climatic zones of Northern and Central Europe. A comparison of nine crop models
    • Rötter RP, Palosuo T, Kersebaum KC et al. (2012) Simulation of spring barley yield in different climatic zones of Northern and Central Europe. A comparison of nine crop models. Field Crops Research, 133, 23-36.
    • (2012) Field Crops Research , vol.133 , pp. 23-36
    • Rötter, R.P.1    Palosuo, T.2    Kersebaum, K.C.3
  • 55
    • 0000232775 scopus 로고
    • A method for estimating the direct and climatic effects of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide on growth and yield of crops: part II-sensitivity analysis at three sites in the midwestern USA
    • Stöckle CO, Dyke PT, Williams JR, Jones CA, Rosenberg NJ (1992) A method for estimating the direct and climatic effects of rising atmospheric carbon dioxide on growth and yield of crops: part II-sensitivity analysis at three sites in the midwestern USA. Agricultural Systems, 38, 239-256.
    • (1992) Agricultural Systems , vol.38 , pp. 239-256
    • Stöckle, C.O.1    Dyke, P.T.2    Williams, J.R.3    Jones, C.A.4    Rosenberg, N.J.5
  • 57
    • 0002119374 scopus 로고
    • Transpiration efficiency of potato
    • Tanner CB (1981) Transpiration efficiency of potato. Agronomy Journal, 73, 59-64.
    • (1981) Agronomy Journal , vol.73 , pp. 59-64
    • Tanner, C.B.1
  • 58
    • 77955578221 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Adaptation of maize production to climate change in north China plain: quantify the relative contributions of adaptation options
    • Tao F, Zhang Z (2010) Adaptation of maize production to climate change in north China plain: quantify the relative contributions of adaptation options. European Journal of Agronomy, 33, 103-116.
    • (2010) European Journal of Agronomy , vol.33 , pp. 103-116
    • Tao, F.1    Zhang, Z.2
  • 59
    • 79952744476 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Impacts of climate change as a function of global mean temperature: maize productivity and water use in China
    • Tao F, Zhang Z (2011) Impacts of climate change as a function of global mean temperature: maize productivity and water use in China. Climatic Change, 105, 409-432.
    • (2011) Climatic Change , vol.105 , pp. 409-432
    • Tao, F.1    Zhang, Z.2
  • 60
    • 59349100515 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modelling the impacts of weather and climate variability on crop productivity over a large area: a new process-based model development, optimization, and uncertainties analysis
    • Tao F, Yokozawa M, Zhang Z (2009a) Modelling the impacts of weather and climate variability on crop productivity over a large area: a new process-based model development, optimization, and uncertainties analysis. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 149, 831-850.
    • (2009) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology , vol.149 , pp. 831-850
    • Tao, F.1    Yokozawa, M.2    Zhang, Z.3
  • 61
    • 67349163244 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the impacts of weather and climate variability on crop productivity over a large area: a new super-ensemble-based probabilistic projection
    • Tao F, Zhang Z, Liu J, Yokozawa M (2009b) Modeling the impacts of weather and climate variability on crop productivity over a large area: a new super-ensemble-based probabilistic projection. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 149, 1266-1278.
    • (2009) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology , vol.149 , pp. 1266-1278
    • Tao, F.1    Zhang, Z.2    Liu, J.3    Yokozawa, M.4
  • 62
    • 0033037135 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Relationship between mean yield, coefficient of variation, mean square error and plot size in wheat field experiment
    • Taylor SL, Payton ME, Raun WR (1999) Relationship between mean yield, coefficient of variation, mean square error and plot size in wheat field experiment. Communications in Soil Science and Plant Analysis, 30, 1439-1447.
    • (1999) Communications in Soil Science and Plant Analysis , vol.30 , pp. 1439-1447
    • Taylor, S.L.1    Payton, M.E.2    Raun, W.R.3
  • 64
    • 0000466419 scopus 로고
    • Effect of temperature and rate of leaf appearance and flowering date in maize
    • Tollenaar M, Daynard TB, Hunter RB (1979) Effect of temperature and rate of leaf appearance and flowering date in maize. Crop Science, 19, 363-366.
    • (1979) Crop Science , vol.19 , pp. 363-366
    • Tollenaar, M.1    Daynard, T.B.2    Hunter, R.B.3
  • 65
    • 2942737352 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Free-air carbon dioxide enrichment (FACE) effects on energy balance and evapotranspiration of sorghum
    • Triggs JM, Kimball BA, Pinter PJ Jr et al. (2004) Free-air carbon dioxide enrichment (FACE) effects on energy balance and evapotranspiration of sorghum. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 124, 63-79.
    • (2004) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology , vol.124 , pp. 63-79
    • Triggs, J.M.1    Kimball, B.A.2    Pinter Jr., P.J.3
  • 66
    • 0036919622 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 2 on crops: approaches and applications for climate change
    • 2 on crops: approaches and applications for climate change. European Journal of Agronomy, 18, 57-74.
    • (2002) European Journal of Agronomy , vol.18 , pp. 57-74
    • Tubiello, F.1    Ewert, F.2
  • 69
    • 0034763740 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 2 improved sorghum plant water status by ameliorating the adverse effects of drought
    • 2 improved sorghum plant water status by ameliorating the adverse effects of drought. New Phytologist, 152, 231-248.
    • (2001) New Phytologist , vol.152 , pp. 231-248
    • Wall, G.W.1    Brooks, T.J.2    Adam, R.3
  • 70
    • 80052809575 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Methodologies for simulating impact of climate change on crop production
    • White JW, Hoogenboom G, Kimball BA, Wall GW (2011) Methodologies for simulating impact of climate change on crop production. Field Crops Research, 124, 357-368.
    • (2011) Field Crops Research , vol.124 , pp. 357-368
    • White, J.W.1    Hoogenboom, G.2    Kimball, B.A.3    Wall, G.W.4


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.