메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 182, Issue 1, 2014, Pages 100-118

Testing for structural stability of factor augmented forecasting models

Author keywords

Diffusion index; Factor loading stability; Forecast failure; Forecast stability; Regression coefficients stability

Indexed keywords

FORECASTING; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; STATISTICAL TESTS;

EID: 84901836647     PISSN: 03044076     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.04.011     Document Type: Conference Paper
Times cited : (62)

References (28)
  • 1
    • 77956778258 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seeing inside the black box: Using diffusion index methodology to construct factor proxies in largescale macroeconomic time series environments
    • N.A. Armah, and N.R. Swanson Seeing inside the black box: using diffusion index methodology to construct factor proxies in largescale macroeconomic time series environments Econometric Rev. 29 2010 476 510
    • (2010) Econometric Rev. , vol.29 , pp. 476-510
    • Armah, N.A.1    Swanson, N.R.2
  • 2
    • 0036221554 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Determining the number of factors in approximate factor models
    • J. Bai, and S. Ng Determining the number of factors in approximate factor models Econometrica 70 2002 191 221
    • (2002) Econometrica , vol.70 , pp. 191-221
    • Bai, J.1    Ng, S.2
  • 3
    • 33745304373 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Confidence intervals for diffusion index forecasts and inference with factor augmented regressions
    • J. Bai, and S. Ng Confidence intervals for diffusion index forecasts and inference with factor augmented regressions Econometrica 74 2006 1133 1150
    • (2006) Econometrica , vol.74 , pp. 1133-1150
    • Bai, J.1    Ng, S.2
  • 5
    • 84901838181 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting with factor-augmented error correction models
    • (forthcoming)
    • Banerjee, A., Marcellino, M., Marsten, I., Forecasting with factor-augmented error correction models. Int. J. Forecast. (forthcoming).
    • Int. J. Forecast.
    • Banerjee, A.1    Marcellino, M.2    Marsten, I.3
  • 6
    • 79956356524 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models
    • J. Breitung, and S. Eickmeier Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models J. Econometrics 163 2011 71 84
    • (2011) J. Econometrics , vol.163 , pp. 71-84
    • Breitung, J.1    Eickmeier, S.2
  • 7
    • 84862659669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Model selection when there are multiple breaks
    • J.L. Castle, J.A. Doornik, and D.F. Hendry Model selection when there are multiple breaks J. Econometrics 169 2012 239 246
    • (2012) J. Econometrics , vol.169 , pp. 239-246
    • Castle, J.L.1    Doornik, J.A.2    Hendry, D.F.3
  • 8
    • 84886722809 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting by factors, by variables by both, or neither?
    • J.A. Castle, M.P. Clements, and D.F. Hendry Forecasting by factors, by variables by both, or neither? J. Econometrics 177 2013 305 319
    • (2013) J. Econometrics , vol.177 , pp. 305-319
    • Castle, J.A.1    Clements, M.P.2    Hendry, D.F.3
  • 9
    • 84897978937 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detecting big structural breaks in large factor models
    • L. Chen, J.J. Dolado, and J. Gonzalo Detecting big structural breaks in large factor models J. Econometrics 180 2014 30 48
    • (2014) J. Econometrics , vol.180 , pp. 30-48
    • Chen, L.1    Dolado, J.J.2    Gonzalo, J.3
  • 10
    • 0012128301 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling methodology and forecast failure
    • M.P. Clements, and D.F. Hendry Modeling methodology and forecast failure Econom. J. 5 2002 319 344
    • (2002) Econom. J. , vol.5 , pp. 319-344
    • Clements, M.P.1    Hendry, D.F.2
  • 11
    • 38349034396 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting with breaks
    • G. Elliott, C.W.J. Granger, A. Timmermann, North-Holland, Elsevier
    • M.P. Clements, and D.F. Hendry Forecasting with breaks G. Elliott, C.W.J. Granger, A. Timmermann, Handbook of Economic Forecasting 2006 North-Holland, Elsevier
    • (2006) Handbook of Economic Forecasting
    • Clements, M.P.1    Hendry, D.F.2
  • 12
    • 33747888495 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictive density and conditional confidence interval accuracy tests
    • V. Corradi, and N.R. Swanson Predictive density and conditional confidence interval accuracy tests J. Econometrics 2006 135 228
    • (2006) J. Econometrics , pp. 135-228
    • Corradi, V.1    Swanson, N.R.2
  • 14
    • 64149101746 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Detecting and predicting forecast breakdowns
    • R. Giacomini, and B. Rossi Detecting and predicting forecast breakdowns Rev. Econom. Stud. 76 2009 669 705
    • (2009) Rev. Econom. Stud. , vol.76 , pp. 669-705
    • Giacomini, R.1    Rossi, B.2
  • 15
    • 84901857022 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bootstrapping factor-augmented regression models
    • Working Paper (forthcoming)
    • Goncalves, S., Perron, B., 2013. Bootstrapping factor-augmented regression models. Working Paper, J. Econometrics (forthcoming).
    • (2013) J. Econometrics
    • Goncalves, S.1    Perron, B.2
  • 16
    • 17744401343 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Maximum likelihood and the bootstrap for nonlinear dynamic models
    • S. Goncalves, and H. White Maximum likelihood and the bootstrap for nonlinear dynamic models J. Econometrics 119 2004 199 219
    • (2004) J. Econometrics , vol.119 , pp. 199-219
    • Goncalves, S.1    White, H.2
  • 17
    • 84901850279 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Tests for parameter instability in dynamic factor models
    • (forthcoming)
    • Han, X., Inoue, A., Tests for parameter instability in dynamic factor models. Econometric Theory (forthcoming).
    • Econometric Theory
    • Han, X.1    Inoue, A.2
  • 21
    • 84889085567 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting financial and macroeconomic variables using data reduction methods: New empirical evidence
    • H.H. Kim, and N.R. Swanson Forecasting financial and macroeconomic variables using data reduction methods: new empirical evidence J. Econometrics 178 2014 352 367
    • (2014) J. Econometrics , vol.178 , pp. 352-367
    • Kim, H.H.1    Swanson, N.R.2
  • 23
    • 84864211158 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Out of sample forecast tests robust to window size choice
    • B. Rossi, and A. Inoue Out of sample forecast tests robust to window size choice J. Bus. Econom. Statist. 30 2012 432 453
    • (2012) J. Bus. Econom. Statist. , vol.30 , pp. 432-453
    • Rossi, B.1    Inoue, A.2
  • 24
    • 0036005160 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indexes
    • J.H. Stock, and M.W. Watson Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indexes J. Bus. Econom. Statist. 20 2002 147 162
    • (2002) J. Bus. Econom. Statist. , vol.20 , pp. 147-162
    • Stock, J.H.1    Watson, M.W.2
  • 25
    • 0036970448 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting using principal components from a large number of predictors
    • J.H. Stock, and M.W. Watson Forecasting using principal components from a large number of predictors J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 97 2002 1167 1179
    • (2002) J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. , vol.97 , pp. 1167-1179
    • Stock, J.H.1    Watson, M.W.2
  • 26
    • 4744365124 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven-countries data-set
    • J.H. Stock, and M.W. Watson Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven-countries data-set J. Forecasting 23 2004 405 430
    • (2004) J. Forecasting , vol.23 , pp. 405-430
    • Stock, J.H.1    Watson, M.W.2
  • 28
    • 0346362776 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Regression-based tests for predictive ability
    • K.D. West, and M.W. McCracken Regression-based tests for predictive ability Internat. Econom. Rev. 39 1998 817 840
    • (1998) Internat. Econom. Rev. , vol.39 , pp. 817-840
    • West, K.D.1    McCracken, M.W.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.