Estimating the opportunity costs of reducing carbon dioxide emissions via avoided deforestation, using integrated assessment modelling

Land Use Policy

Volumn 41, Issue , 2014, Pages 45-60

  Overmars, Koen P ^a,b   Stehfest, Elke ^a   Tabeau, Andrzej ^c   van Meijl, Hans ^c   Beltrán, Angelica Mendoza ^a   Kram, Tom ^a  

^a PBL NETHERLANDS ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT AGENCY   (Netherlands)

^b Koen Overmars Consultancy   (Netherlands)

^c WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

Carbon price; IMAGE; LEITAP; Marginal cost curve; REDD; Scenario analysis

Indexed keywords

CARBON DIOXIDE; CARBON EMISSION; DEFORESTATION; ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS; ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY; GREENHOUSE GAS; POLLUTION TAX; AGRICULTURAL LAND; COST ANALYSIS; DEVELOPING WORLD; EMISSION CONTROL; INTEGRATED APPROACH; MODELING;

AFRICA; CENTRAL AMERICA; SOUTH AMERICA; SOUTHEAST ASIA;

EID: 84901461731     PISSN: 02648377     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2014.04.015     Document Type: Article

References (44)

1. Agrawal A., Chhatre A., Hardin R. Changing governance of the World's forests. Science 2008, 320:1460-1462.
2. Agrawal A., Nepstad D., Chhatre A. Reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation. Annu. Rev. Environ. Resour. 2011, 36:373-396.
3. Alcamo J., Kreileman E., Krol M., Leemans R., Bollen J., Minnen J.V., Schaeffer M., Toet S., de Vries B. Global modelling of environmental change: an overview of IMAGE 2.1. Global Change Scenarios of the 21st Century. Results from the IMAGE 2.1 Model 1998, 3-94. Elsevier Science Ltd., Oxford. J. Alcamo, R. Leemans, E. Kreileman (Eds.).
4. Banse M., Van Meijl H., Tabeau A., Woltjer G. Will EU biofuel policies affect global agricultural markets?. Eur. Rev. Agric. Econ. 2008, 35(2):117-141.
5. Bellassen V., Gitz V. Reducing emissions from deforestation and degradation in cameroon - assessing costs and benefits. Ecol. Econ. 2008, 68:336-344.
6. Bouwman A.F., Kram T., Klein Goldewijk K. Integrated Modelling of Global Environmental Change: An Overview of IMAGE 2.4 2006, Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (MNP), Bilthoven.
7. Bruinsma J. World Agriculture: Towards 2015/2030. An FAO Perspective 2003, Earthscan, London.
8. Cixous A.-C. Le prix de la terre dans les pays européens. Mémoire de Master 2 Recherche en Economie Internationale (2005/2006) 2006, Université Paris, Paris, France.
9. Dimaranan B.V. Global Trade, Assistance, and Production: The GTAP 6 Data Base 2006.
10. Don A., Schumacher J., Freibauer A. Impact of tropical land-use change on soil organic carbon stocks - a meta-analysis. Global Change Biol. 2011, 17:1658-1670. 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02336.x.
11. Edwards R., Mulligan D., Marelli L. Indirect Land Use Change from Increased Biofuels Demand, JRC Scientific and Technical Reports 2010, European Union, Italy. 10.2788/54137.
12. Eickhout B., Van Meijl H., Tabeau A., Stehfest E. The impact of environmental and climate constraints on global food supply. Economic Analysis of Land Use in Global Climate Change Policy 2009, Routledge, London, England/New York, NY. T. Hertel, S. Rose, R. Tol (Eds.).
13. FAO, 2007. http://faostat.fao.org/.
14. Geist H.J., Lambin E.F. Proximate causes and underlying driving forces of tropical deforestation. Bioscience 2002, 52:143-150.
15. Golub A., Hertel T., Lee H.L., Rose S., Sohngen B. The opportunity cost of land use and the global potential for greenhouse gas mitigation in agriculture and forestry. Resour. Energy Econ. 2009, 31(4):299-319.
16. Golub A.A., Henderson B.B., Hertel T.W., Gerber P.J., Rose S.K., Sohngen B. Global climate policy impacts on livestock, land use, livelihoods, and food security. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 2012, 10.1073/pnas.1108772109.
17. Grieg-Gran M. The Cost of Avoiding Deforestation - Report Prepared for the Stern Review of the Economics of Climate Change 2006, IIED, London, 20 pp.
18. Hertel T.W. Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and Applications 1997, Cambridge University Press.
19. Houghton R.A. Tropical deforestation as a source of greenhouse gas emissions. Tropical Deforestation and Climate Change 2005, 13-21. Amazon Institute for Environmental Research, Belém, Pará, Brazil. P. Moutinho, S. Schwartzman (Eds.).
20. IAASTD International Assessment of Agricultural Knowledge Science and Technology for Development: Summary for Decision Makers of the Global Report 2008, Island Press, Washington.
21. Kindermann G., Obersteiner M., Sohngen B., Sathaye J., Andrasko K., Rametsteiner E., Schlamadinger B., Wunder S., Beach R. Global cost estimates of reducing carbon emissions through avoided deforestation. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A. 2008, 105:10302-10307.
22. Klein Goldewijk K., Van Minnen J.G., Kreileman G.J.J., Vloedbeld M., Leemans R. Simulation of the carbon flux between the terrestrial environment and the atmosphere. Water Air Soil Pollut. 1994, 76:199-230.
23. Leemans R., Van der Born G.J. Determining the potential global distribution of natural vegetation, crops and agricultural productivity. WaterAir Soil Pollut. 1994, 76:133-161.
24. Nepstad D., Soares-Filho B., Merry F., Moutinho P., Rodrigues H.O., Bowman M., Schwartzman S., Almeida O., Rivero S. The costs and benefits of reducing carbon emissions from deforestation and forest degradation in the Brazilian Amazon 2007, WHRC/IPAM/UFMG, 32 pp.
25. Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Indonesia Letter of intent on "Cooperation on reducing greenhouse gas emissions from deoforestation and forest degradation 2010, http://www.regjeringen.no/upload/SMK/Vedlegg/2010/Indonesia_avtale.pdf.
26. Nowicki P., Van Meijl H., Knierim A., Banse M., Helming J., Margraf O., Matzdorf B., Mnatsakanian R., Reutter M., Terluin I., Overmars K., Verhoog C., Weeger C., Westhoek H. Scenar 2020 - Scenario Study on Agriculture and the Rural World 2007, European Commission/Directorate-General Agriculture/Rural Development, Brussels.
27. OECD OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050 2012, 350 pp.
28. Prentice I.C., Cramer W., Harrison S., Leemans R., Monserud R.A., Solomon A.M. A global biome model based on plant physiology and dominance, soil properties and climate. J. Biogeogr. 1992, 19:117-134.
29. Prins A.G., Stehfest E., Overmars K.P., Ros J.P.M. Indirect Effects of Biofuels: are Models Suitable for Determining ILUC Factors? 2010, PBL - Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
30. Reilly J., Melillo J., Cai Y., Kicklighter D., Gurgel A., Paltsev S., Cronin T., Sokolov A., Schlosser A. Using land to mitigate climate change: hitting the target, recognizing the tradeoffs. Environ. Sci. Technol. 2012, 46(11):5672-5679.
31. Rogner H.-H., Zhou D., Bradley R., Crabb P., Edenhofer O., Hare B., Kuijpers L., Yamaguchi M. Introduction. Climate Change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom/New York, NY, USA. B. Metz, O.R. Davidson, P.R. Bosch, R. Dave, L.A. Meyer (Eds.).
32. Rosegrant M., Ringler C., Msangi S., Sulser T.B., Zhu T., Cline S.A. International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT): Model Description 2008, International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC.
33. Searchinger T., Heimlich R., Houghton R.A., Dong F., Elobeid A., Fabiosa J., Tokgoz S., Hayes D., Yu T.H. Use of U.S. croplands for biofuels increases greenhouse gases through emissions from land-use change. Science 2008, 319:1238-1240.
34. Sohngen B., Sedjo R. Carbon sequestration in global forests under different carbon price regimes. Energy J. 2006, 27:109-126.
35. Stehfest E., van den Berg M., Woltjer G., Msangi S., Westhoek H. Options to reduce the environmental effects of livestock production - comparison of two economic models. Agric. Syst. 2013, 114:38-53.
36. Strassburg B., Turner R.K., Fisher B., Schaeffer R., Lovett A. Reducing emissions from deforestation-The "combined incentives" mechanism and empirical simulations. Global Environ. Change 2009, 19:265-278.
37. UNEP GEO 4, Global Environment Outlook: Environment for Development 2007.
38. UNFCCC Report of the Conference of the Parties on its Sixteenth Session, Held in Cancun from 29 November to 10 December 2010. Addendum Part Two: Action Taken by the Conference of the Parties at its Sixteenth Session 2011.
39. UN-REDD programme, 2012. (accessed 25.09.12). http://www.un-redd.org/AboutUNREDDProgramme/tabid/583/Default.aspx.
40. Van Meijl H., van Rheenen T., Tabeau A., Eickhout B. The impact of different policy environments on agricultural land use in Europe. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 2006, 114:21-38.
41. Van Minnen J.G., Leemans R., Ihle F. Defining the importance of including transient ecosystem responses to simulate C-cycle dynamics in a global change model. Global Change Biol. 2000, 6:595-611.
42. Van Ruijven B., van Vuuren D.P., de Vries B. The potential role of hydrogen in energy systems with and without climate policy. Int. J. Hydrogen Energy 2007, 32:1655-1672.
43. 2 in 2100. Energy Econ. 2010, 32:1105-1120.
44. World Bank Estimating the Opportunity Costs of REDD+ A Training Manual 2011.