An artificial neural network in short-term electrical load forecasting of a university campus: A case study

ASME 2012 6th International Conference on Energy Sustainability, ES 2012, Collocated with the ASME 2012 10th International Conference on Fuel Cell Science, Engineering and Technology

Volumn , Issue PARTS A AND B, 2012, Pages 709-717

  Palchak, David ^a   Suryanarayanan, Siddharth ^a   Zimmerle, Daniel ^b  

^a Department of Mechanical Engineering   (United States)

^b Veterinary Dentistry and Oral Surgery   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ECONOMICS; ELECTRIC LOADS; ENERGY UTILIZATION; FUEL CELLS; NEURAL NETWORKS; SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT;

ACCURATE PREDICTION; COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITIES; ELECTRICAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION; ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES; NUMBER OF HIDDEN NEURONS; SHORT-TERM ELECTRICAL LOADS; STATISTICAL INFORMATION; TIME-OF-USE PRICING;

ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING;

EID: 84900418697     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: 10.1115/ES2012-91300     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (35)

1. M. A. Abu-El-Magd and N. K. Sinha, "Short-Term Load Demand Modeling and Forecasting: A Review," Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions, Vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 370-382, 1982.
2. M. Shahidehpour, Market operations in electric power systems forecasting, scheduling, and risk management. [New York]: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Wiley-Interscience, 2002.
3. S. A. Soliman, Electrical load forecasting modeling and model construction. Burlington, MA: Butterworth-Heinemann, 2010.
4. F. J. Gibson and T. T. Kraft, "Electric Demand Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network Technology," ASHRAE Journal, Vol. 35, no. 3, pp. 60-68, 1993.
5. S. A. Kalogirou and M. Bojic, "Artificial neural networks for the prediction of the energy consumption of a passive solar building," Energy, Vol. 25, no. 5, pp. 479-491, May 2000.
6. M. Krarti, "An Overview of Artificial Intelligence-Based Methods for Building Energy Systems," Journal of Solar Energy Engineering, Vol. 125, no. 3, pp. 331-342, 2003.
7. Strategic management and planning for electric utilities. Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1985.
8. 110th United States Congress, "'Smart Grid,' Title XIII, Energy Independence and Security Act 2007.".
9. V. Cherkassky, S. R. Chowdhury, V. Landenberger, S. Tewari, and P. Bursch, "Prediction of electric power consumption for commercial buildings," in Neural Networks (IJCNN), The 2011 International Joint Conference on, 2011, pp. 666-672.
10. D. S. Loughran and J. Kulick, "Demand-Side Management and Energy Efficiency in the United States," The Energy Journal, Vol. 25, no. 1, pp. 19-44, 2004.
11. "SmartMeter™ - See Your Power." [Online]. Available: http://www.pge.com/myhome/customerservice/smartmeter/. [Accessed: 03-Feb-2012].
12. "CPS Energy to Pilot Advanced Meters." [Online]. Available: http://www.cpsenergy.com/Services/Generate-Deliver-Energy/Energy-Delivery/AMI/ index.asp. [Accessed: 03-Feb-2012].
13. "Automated Meters." [Online]. Available: http://www. austinenergy.com/Customer%20Care/Billing/AM/index.htm. [Accessed: 03-Feb-2012].
14. "The Smart Grid in Ontario." [Online]. Available: http://www.ieso.ca/imoweb/siteShared/ontarios-smart-grid.asp?sid=md. [Accessed: 03-Feb-2012].
15. "Meters and More - European initiatives - Smart Grids - Innovation - Enel.com." [Online]. Available: http://www.enel.com/en-GB/innovation/ smart-grids/european-initiatives/meters-more/index.aspx. [Accessed: 03-Feb-2012].
16. "ComEd - An Exelon Company | Real-time Pricing." [Online]. Available: https://www.comed.com/sites/homesavings/pages/hsrealtimepricing.aspx. [Accessed: 03-Feb-2012].
17. "NYSEG | Time-of-Use Service Rate." [Online]. Available: http://www.nyseg.com/YourHome/pricingandrates/timeofuserate.html. [Accessed: 03-Feb-2012].
18. "Time-Of-Use Rate." [Online]. Available: http://www.oru.com/ programsandservices/incentivesandrebates/timeofuse.html. [Accessed: 03-Feb-2012].
19. "Time Of Use: Pricing | PGE." [Online]. Available: http://www.portlandgeneral.com/residential/your-account/billing-payment/ time-of-use/pricing.aspx. [Accessed: 03-Feb-2012].
20. G. Gross and F. D. Galiana, "Short-term load forecasting," Proceedings of the IEEE, Vol. 75, no. 12, pp. 1558-1573, 1987.
21. C.-N. Lu, H.-T. Wu, and S. Vemuri, "Neural network based short term load forecasting," Power Systems, IEEE Transactions, Vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 336-342, 1993.
22. H. S. Hippert, C. E. Pedreira, and R. C. Souza, "Neural networks for short-term load forecasting: a review and evaluation," Power Systems, IEEE Transactions, Vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 44-55, 2001.
23. G. P. Zhang, "Avoiding Pitfalls in Neural Network Research," Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part C: Applications and Reviews, IEEE Transactions, Vol. 37, no. 1, pp. 3-16, 2007.
24. D. C. Park, M. A. El-Sharkawi, R. J. Marks, L. E. Atlas, and M. J. Damborg, "Electric load forecasting using an artificial neural network," Power Systems, IEEE Transactions, Vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 442-449, 1991.
25. Z. H. Osman, M. L. Awad, and T. K. Mahmoud, "Neural network based approach for short-term load forecasting," in Power Systems Conference and Exposition, 2009. PSCE '09. IEEE/PES, 2009, pp. 1-8.
26. G. Zhang, B. Eddy Patuwo, and M. Y. Hu, "Forecasting with artificial neural networks:: The state of the art," International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 35-62, Mar. 1998.
27. S. Haykin, Neural networks a comprehensive foundation. Upper Saddle River, N.J.: Prentice Hall, 1999.
28. "GPS Coordinates Of Colorado State University Located In Fort Collins, Colorado - Latitude And Longitude Of Colorado State University." [Online]. Available: http://www.thegpscoordinates.com/colorado/fort-collins/ colorado-state-university/. [Accessed: 04-Feb-2012].
29. "Colorado State University - Facts and Figures." [Online]. Available: http://www.colostate.edu/features/facts-figures.aspx. [Accessed: 04-Feb-2012].
30. "Fort Collins, CO - Climate Summary." [Online]. Available: http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/cgi-bin/cliMAIN.pl?co3005. [Accessed: 07-Feb-2012].
31. "Fort Collins Weather Station." [Online]. Available: http://climate.colostate.edu/~autowx/. [Accessed: 03-Feb-2012].
32. S. Samarasinghe, Neural Networks for Applied Sciences and Engineering from Fundamentals to Complex Pattern Recognition. Boca Raton, FL: Auerbach, 2007.
33. "Utilities: City of Fort Collins, 2009 Energy Policy." [Online]. Available: http://www.fcgov.com/utilities/what-we-do/light-power. [Accessed: 05-Feb-2012].
34. M. H. Beale, M. T. Hagan, and H. B. Demuth, Neural Network Toolbox User's Guide, R2011b ed. The Mathworks Inc., 2011.
35. D. K. Ranaweera, G. G. Karady, and R. G. Farmer, "Effect of probabilistic inputs on neural network-based electric load forecasting," Neural Networks, IEEE Transactions, Vol. 7, no. 6, pp. 1528-1532, 1996.