Bayesian inversion for finite fault earthquake source models - II: The 2011 great Tohoku-oki, Japan earthquake

Geophysical Journal International

Volumn 198, Issue 2, 2014, Pages 922-940

  Minson, S E ^a   Simons M , ^a   Beck, J L ^b   Ortega F , ^a   Jiang J , ^a   Owen, S E ^c   Moore, A W ^c   Inbal A , ^a   Sladen A , ^d  

^a CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (United States)

^b California Institute of Technology   (United States)

^c CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (United States)

^d UNIVERSITÉ DE NICE SOPHIA ANTIPOLIS   (France)

Author keywords

Computational seismology; Earthquake source observations; Inverse theory; Probability distributions

Indexed keywords

EARTHQUAKES; GEODETIC SATELLITES; KINEMATICS; MODELS; MONTE CARLO METHODS; PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

COMPUTATIONAL SEISMOLOGIES; EARTHQUAKE SOURCE MODELS; EARTHQUAKE SOURCE OBSERVATIONS; INVERSE THEORY; MASSIVELY PARALLELS; POSTERIOR PROBABILITY; RUPTURE PARAMETERS; SPATIAL COMPACTNESS;

FAULTING;

BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; COMPUTER SIMULATION; EARTHQUAKE EVENT; EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE; FAULT; GPS; INVERSE ANALYSIS; MONTE CARLO ANALYSIS; PROBABILITY; SEISMIC SOURCE; SLIP; STRESS ANALYSIS; THEORETICAL STUDY; TOHOKU EARTHQUAKE 2011;

EID: 84897823259     PISSN: 0956540X     EISSN: 1365246X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggu170     Document Type: Article

References (52)

1. Chu, R., Wei, S., Helmberger, D. & Zhan, Z., 2011. Initiation of the great Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake, Earth planet. Sci. Lett., 308, 277-283.
2. Duputel, Z., Rivera, L., Kanamori, H., Hayes, G., Hirshorn, B. &Weinstein, S., 2011. Real-time W phase inversion during the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake, Earth, Planets Space, 63(7), 535-539.
3. Duputel, Z., Agram, P.S., Simons, M., Minson, S.E. & Beck, J.L., 2014. Accounting for prediction uncertainty when inferring subsurface fault slip, Geophys. J. Int., 197(1), 464-482.
4. Fujie, G., Kasahara, J., Hino, R., Sato, T., Shinohara, M. & Suyehiro, K., 2002. A significant relation between seismic activities and reflection intensities in the Japan Trench region, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(7), 1100, doi:10.1029/2001GL013764.
5. Fujii, Y., Satake, K., Sakai, S., Shinohara, M. & Kanazawa, T., 2011. Tsunami source of the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake, Earth, Planets space, 63(7), 815-820.
6. Fujiwara, T., Kodaira, S., No, T., Kaiho, Y., Takahashi, N. & Kaneda, Y., 2011. The 2011Tohoku-Oki earthquake: displacement reaching the trench axis, Science, 334(6060), 1240-1240.
7. Fukuda, J. & Johnson, K., 2008. A fully Bayesian inversion for spatial distribution of fault slip with objective smoothing, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 98(3), 1128-1146.
8. Gelman, A., Carlin, J., Stern, H.&Rubin, D., 2004. Bayesian Data Analysis, Chapman and Hall.
9. Hasegawa, A., Nakajima, J., Umino, N. & Miura, S., 2005. Deep structure of the northeastern Japan arc and its implications for crustal deformation and shallow seismic activity, Tectonophysics, 403(1), 59-75.
10. Heaton, T.H., 1990. Evidence for and implications of self-healing pulses of slip in earthquake rupture, Phys. Earth planet. Inter., 64(1), 1-20.
11. Hooper, A. et al., 2013. Importance of horizontal seafloor motion on tsunami height for the 2011 Mw = 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake, Earth planet. Sci. Lett., 361, 469-479.
12. Hsu, Y.-J., Simons, M., Williams, C. & Casarotti, E., 2011. Threedimensional FEM derived elastic green's functions for the coseismic deformation of the 2005 Mw 8.7 Nias-Simeulue, Sumatra earthquake, Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 12(7), Q07013, doi:10.1029/ 2011GC003553.
13. Ito, A., Fujie, G., Tsuru, T., Kodaira, S., Nakanishi, A. & Kaneda, Y., 2004. Fault plane geometry in the source region of the 1994 Sanriku-oki earthquake, Earth planet. Sci. Lett., 223(1-2), 163-175.
14. Ito, Y. et al., 2011. Frontal wedge deformation near the source region of the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38(15), L00G05, doi:10.1029/2011GL048355.
15. Iwasaki, T. et al., 1994. Precise p and s wave velocity structures in the Kitakami massif, northern Honshu, Japan, from a seismic refraction experiment, J. geophys. Res., 99(B11), 22187-22204.
16. Katsumata, K., Wada, N. & Kasahara, M., 2003. Newly imaged shape of the deep seismic zone within the subducting Pacific plate beneath the Hokkaido corner, Japan-Kurile arc-arc junction, J. geophys. Res., 108(B12), 2565, doi:10.1029/2002JB002175.
17. Kido, M., Osada, Y., Fujimoto, H., Hino, R. & Ito, Y., 2011. Trenchnormal variation in observed seafloor displacements associated with the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38(24), L24303, doi:10.1029/2011GL050057.
18. Kodaira, S. et al., 2012. Coseismic fault rupture at the trench axis during the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake, Nat. Geosci., 5(9), 646-650.
19. Koper, K. D., Hutko, A. R.&Lay, T., 2011a. Along-dip variation of teleseismic short-period radiation from the 11 March 2011 Tohoku earthquake (Mw 9.0), Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L21309, doi:10.1029/2011GL049689.
20. Koper, K.D., Hutko, A.R., Lay, T., Ammon, C.J. & Kanamori, H., 2011b. Frequency-dependent rupture process of the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku earthquake:comparison of short-period P wave backprojection images and broadband seismic rupture models, Earth, Planets Space, 63(7), 599-602.
21. Lay, T. & Kanamori, H., 2011. Insights from the great 2011 Japan earthquake, Phys. Today, 64(12), 33-39.
22. Lay, T., Ammon, C.J., Kanamori, H., Xue, L. & Kim, M.J., 2011. Possible large near-trench slip during the 2011 Mw 9.0 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake, Earth, Planets Space, 63(7), 687-692.
23. Lévěque, J., Rivera, L. & Wittlinger, G., 1993. On the use of the checkerboard test to assess the resolution of tomographic inversions, Geophys. J. Int., 115(1), 313-318.
24. Lin, Y.-n.N. et al., 2013. Coseismic and postseismic slip associated with the 2010 maule earthquake, chile: characterizing the arauco peninsula barrier effect, J. geophys. Res.: Solid Earth, 118(6), 3142-3159.
25. Liu, P.L.-F., Woo, S.-B. & Cho, Y.-S., 1998. Computer programs for tsunami propagation and inundation, Tech. rep., Cornell University.
26. Meng, L., Inbal, A. & Ampuero, J.-P., 2011.Awindowinto the complexity of the dynamic rupture of the 2011Mw 9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38(7), L00G07, doi:10.1029/2011GL048118.
27. Menke, W., 2012. Geophysical Data Analysis: Discrete Inverse Theory, Academic Press.
28. Metropolis, N., Rosenbluth, A., Rosenbluth, M., Teller, A.&Teller, E., 1953. Equation of state calculations by fast computingmachines, J. Chem. Phys., 21(6), 1087-1092.
29. Minson, S.E., Simons, M. & Beck, J.L., 2013. Bayesian inversion for finite fault earthquake source models I-theory and algorithm, Geophys. J. Int., 194(3), 1701-1726.
30. Miura, S., Kodaira, S., Nakanishi, A., Tsuru, T., Takahashi, N., Hirata, N. & Kaneda, Y., 2003. Structural characteristics controlling the seismicity crustal structure of southern Japan trench fore-arc region, revealed by ocean bottom seismographic data, Tectonophysics, 363(1), 79-102.
31. Miura, S., Takahashi, N., Nakanishi, A., Tsuru, T., Kodaira, S.&Kaneda, Y., 2005. Structural characteristics offmiyagi forearc region, the Japan trench seismogenic zone, deduced from a wide-angle reflection and refraction study, Tectonophysics, 407(3), 165-188.
32. Monelli, D. & Mai, P., 2008. Bayesian inference of kinematic earthquake rupture parameters through fitting of strong motion data, Geophys. J. Int., 173(1), 220-232.
33. Parsons, I., Hall, J. & Lyzenga, G., 1988. Relationships between the average offset and the stress drop for two-and three-dimensional faults, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 78(2), 931-915.
34. Satake, K., Fujii, Y., Harada, T. & Namegaya, Y., 2013. Time and space distribution of coseismic slip of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake as inferred from tsunami waveformdata, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 103(2B), 1473-1492.
35. Sato, M., Ishikawa, T., Ujihara, N., Yoshida, S., Fujita, M., Mochizuki, M. & Asada, A., 2011. Displacement above the hypocenter of the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake, Science, 332(6036), 1395.
36. Simons, M. et al., 2011. The 2011 magnitude 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake:Mosaicking the megathrust from seconds to centuries, Science, 332(6036), 1421-1425.
37. Takahashi, N. et al., 2004. Seismic structure and seismogenesis off Sanriku region, northeastern Japan, Geophys. J. Int., 159(1), 129-145.
38. Tarantola, A., 2005. Inverse Problem Theory and Methods for Model Parameter Estimation, SIAM.
39. Tsai, V.C., Ampuero, J.-P., Kanamori, H.&Stevenson, D.J., 2013. Estimating the effect of Earth elasticity and variable water density on tsunami speeds, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40(3), 492-496.
40. Tsuru, T., Park, J.-O., Takahashi, N., Kodaira, S., Kido, Y., Kaneda, Y. & Kono, Y., 2000. Tectonic features of the Japan trench convergent margin off Sanriku, northeastern Japan, revealed by multichannel seismic reflection data, J. geophys. Res.: Solid Earth, 105(B7), 16403-16413.
41. Uchide, T., 2013. High-speed rupture in the first 20 s of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, Japan, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40(12), 2993-2997.
42. Watada, S., 2013. Tsunami speed variations in density-stratified compressible global oceans, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40(15), 4001-4006.
43. Watada, S., Kusumoto, S. & Satake, K., 2014. Traveltime delay and initial phase reversal of distant tsunamis coupled with the self-gravitating elastic Earth, J. geophys. Res.: Solid Earth, 119, doi:10.1002/2013JB010841.
44. Yagi, Y. & Fukahata, Y., 2011. Introduction of uncertainty of Green's function into waveform inversion for seismic source processes, Geophys. J. Int., 186(2), 711-720.
45. Yamamoto, Y., Hino, R., Nishino, M., Yamada, T., Kanazawa, T., Hashimoto, T. & Aoki, G., 2006. Three-dimensional seismic velocity structure around the focal area of the 1978 Miyagi-Oki earthquake, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33(10), L10308, doi:10.1029/2005GL025619.
46. Yamazaki, Y., Lay, T., Cheung, K., Yue, H. & Kanamori, H., 2011. Modeling near-field tsunami observations to improve finite-fault slip models for the 11 March 2011 Tohoku earthquake, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38(7), L00G15, doi:10.1029/2011GL049130.
47. Yoshida, K., Miyakoshi, K. & Irikura, K., 2011. Source process of the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku earthquake inferred from waveform inversion with long-period strong-motion records, Earth, Planets Space, 63(7), 577-582.
48. Yue, H. & Lay, T., 2011. Inversion of high-rate (1 sps) gps data for rupture process of the 11 March 2011 Tohoku earthquake (Mw 9.1), Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L00G09, doi:10.1029/2011GL048700.
49. Zhang, H., Thurber, C.H., Shelly, D., Ide, S., Beroza, G.C. & Hasegawa, A., 2004. High-resolution subducting-slab structure beneath northern Honshu, Japan, revealed by double-difference tomography, Geology, 32(4), 361-364.
50. Zhao, D., Huang, Z., Umino, N., Hasegawa, A.&Kanamori, H., 2011. Structural heterogeneity in the megathrust zone and mechanism of the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake (Mw 9.0), Geophys. Res. Lett., 38(17), L17308, doi:10.1029/2011GL048408.
51. Zhao, H., 2005. A fast sweeping method for eikonal equations, Math. Comput., 74(250), 603-628.
52. Zhu, L. & Rivera, L., 2002. A note on the dynamic and static displacements from a point source in multilayered media, Geophys. J. Int., 148(3), 619-627.