Predicting Monthly Spring Discharges Using a Simple Statistical Model

Water Resources Management

Volumn 28, Issue 4, 2014, Pages 969-978

  Diodato, Nazzareno ^a,b   Guerriero, Luigi ^b   Fiorillo, Francesco ^b   Esposito, Libera ^b   Revellino, Paola ^b   Grelle, Gerardo ^b   Guadagno, Francesco Maria ^b  

^a Met European Research Observatory   (Italy)

^b UNIVERSITY OF SANNIO   (Italy)

Author keywords

Complex aquifer; Montaguto; Southern Italy; Spring discharge; Statistical model

Indexed keywords

CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN; GROUND WATER DISCHARGE; MONTAGUTO; PARSIMONIOUS MODELING; PHYSICAL ASSUMPTIONS; SOUTHERN ITALY; SPRING DISCHARGES; STATISTICAL MODELING;

GROUNDWATER FLOW;

AQUIFERS;

AQUIFER; CLIMATE MODELING; DISCHARGE; FLOW MODELING; GROUNDWATER FLOW; GROUNDWATER-SURFACE WATER INTERACTION; HYDROLOGICAL MODELING; NUMERICAL MODEL; RECONSTRUCTION; SPRING WATER;

AVELLINO; CAMPANIA [ITALY]; ITALY; MONTAGUTO;

EID: 84896700435     PISSN: 09204741     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11269-014-0527-0     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. Celico P (1986) Idrogeologia dei massicci carbonatici, delle piane quaternarie e delle aree vulcaniche dell'Italia centromeridionale (Marche e Lazio meridionale, Abruzzo, Molise e Campania). Quad Cassa per il Mezzogiorno 4(2): 1-203.
2. Cook RD, Weisberg S (1982) Residuals and Influence. In: Regression (Repr. ed.), New York, Chapman and Hall.
3. De Vita P, Allocca V, Manna F, Fabbrocino S (2012) Coupled decadal variability of the North Atlantic Oscillation, regional rainfall and karst spring discharges in the Campania region (southern Italy). Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 16: 1389-1399.
4. Diodato N (1997) Paesaggi d'Inverno (Winter Landscape). Ente Provincia di Benevento, Ed. 79.
5. Diodato N (2006) Modeling net erosion responses to enviroclimatic changes recorded upon multisecular timescale. Geomorphology 80: 164-177.
6. Diodato N, Bellocchi G (2011) Historical perspective of drought response in Mediterranean Italy. Clim Res 49: 189-200.
7. Diodato N, Fiorillo F (2012) Complexity-reduced in the hydroclimatological modelling of aquifer's discharge. Water Environ J. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1747-6593. 2012. 00336. x.
8. Doll P, Kaspar F, Lehner B (2003) A global hydrological model for deriving water availability indicators: model tuning and validation. J Hydrol 270: 105-134.
9. Dreiss SJ (1982) Linear kernel for karst aquifer. Water Resour Res 18: 865-876.
10. Eisenlohr L, Bouzelboidjen M, Kiraly L, Rossier Y (1997) Numerical versus statistical modelling of natural response of a karst hydrogeological system. J Hydrol 202: 244-262.
11. Fiorillo F (2009) Spring hydrographs as indicators of droughts in a karst environment. J Hydrol 373: 290-301.
12. Fiorillo F, Doglioni A (2010) The relation between karst spring discharge and rainfall by cross-correlation analysis (Campania, Southern Italy). Hydrogeol J 19: 1009-1019.
13. Fiorillo F, Guadagno FM (2010) Karst spring discharges analysis in relation to drought periods, using the SPI. Water Resour Manag 24: 1864-1884.
14. Fiorillo F, Guadagno FM (2012) Long karst spring discharge time series and droughts occurrence in Southern Italy. Environ Earth Sci 65: 2273-2283.
15. Franchini M, Suppo M (1996) Regional analysis of flow duration curves for a limestone region. Water Resour Manag 10: 199-218. doi: 10. 1007/BF00424203.
16. Grelle G, Revellino P, Donnarumma A, Guadagno FM (2011) Bedding control on landslides: a methodological approach for computer-aided mapping analysis. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 11: 1395-1409.
17. Guerriero L, Revellino P, Coe JA, Focareta M, Grelle G, Albanese V, Corazza A, Guadagno FM (2013) Multi-temporal maps of the Montaguto earth flow in Southern Italy from 1954 to 2010. J Maps 9: 135-145. doi: 10. 1080/17445647. 2013. 765812.
18. Hajkowicz S, Collins K (2007) A review of multiple criteria analysis for water resource planning and management. Water Resour Manag 21: 1553-1566.
19. Iglesias A, Garrote L, Flores F, Moneo M (2007) Challenges to manage the risk of water scarcity and climate change in the Mediterranean. Water Resour Manag 21: 775-788.
20. Janža M (2010) Hydrological modeling in the karst area, Rižana spring catchment, Slovenia. Mitja Janža. Environ Earth Sci 61: 909-920.
21. Kresic N, Papic P, Golubovic R (1989) The influence of precipitation on the quality of karst groundwater in industrial zones. In: Groundwater Management: Quantity and Quality, Proceedings of the Benidorm Symposium, October 1989, IAHS Publ. n°188.
22. Loague K, VanderKwaak JE (2004) Physics-based hydrologic response simulation: platinum bridge, 1958 Edsel, or useful tool. Hydrol Process 18: 2949-2956.
23. Mangin A (1984) Pour une meilleure connaissance des systèmes hydrologiques à partir des analyses corrèlatoire et spectale. J Hydrol 67: 25-34.
24. Mendicino G, Versace P (2007) Integrated drought watch system: a case study in Southern Italy. Water Resour Manag 21: 1409-1428.
25. Mulligan J, Wainwright M (2004) Modelling and Model Building. In: Wainwright J, Mulligan M (eds) Environmental Modelling. Wiley, Chichester, pp 7-73.
26. Neumann FH, Kagan EJ, Leroy SAG, Baruch U (2010) Vegetation history and climate fluctuations on a transect along the Dead Sea west shore and their impact on past societies over the last 3500 years. J Arid Environ 74: 756-764.
27. Peleg N, Morin E, Gvirtzman H, Yehouda E (2012) Rainfall, spring discharge and past human occupancy in the eastern Mediterranean. Clim Chang 112: 769-789.
28. Pescatore T, Russo B, Senatore MR, Ciampo G, Esposito P, Pinto F, Staiti D (1996) La successione messiniana della valle del torrente Cervaro (Appennino Dauno, Italia meridionale). Boll Soc Geol Ital 115: 369-378.
29. Revellino P, Grelle G, Donnarumma A, Guadagno FM (2010) Structurally controlled earth flows of the Benevento province (Southern Italy). Bull Eng Geol Environ 69: 487-500.
30. Roshani M, Ramazanipour M, Sotoudeh F, Aveily JG (2012) The analysis of trend and cycle between rainfall and discharge in Ghaleroudkhan basin. World Appl Sci J 16: 244-249.
31. Royston P, Sauerbrei W (2008) Multivariable model-building. Wiley, New York, p 303.
32. Santo A, Senatore MR (1988) La successione stratigrafica dell'Unità dauna a Monte Sidone (Castelluccio Valmaggiore-Foggia). Mem Soc Geol Ital 41: 431-438.