Six-year demographic study reveals threat of stochastic extinction for remnant populations of a threatened amphibian

Austral Ecology

Volumn 39, Issue 2, 2014, Pages 244-253

  Pickett, Evan John ^a,b   Stockwell, Michelle Pirrie ^a   Bower, Deborah Sheena ^a   Pollard, Carla Jean ^a   Garnham, James Ian ^a   Clulow, John ^a   Mahony, Michael Joseph ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NEWCASTLE   (Australia)

^b UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG   (Hong Kong)

Author keywords

Anuran; Conservation; Growth; Litoria aurea; Mark recapture; Variability

Indexed keywords

DEMOGRAPHIC SURVEY; EFFECTIVE POPULATION SIZE; EXTINCTION RISK; FROG; MARK-RECAPTURE METHOD; POPULATION DECLINE; POPULATION VIABILITY ANALYSIS; RECOLONIZATION; SPECIES CONSERVATION; STOCHASTICITY;

AMPHIBIA; ANURA; HYLIDAE; LITORIA; LITORIA AUREA;

EID: 84896490632     PISSN: 14429985     EISSN: 14429993     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/aec.12080     Document Type: Article

References (58)

1. Alford R. A., Dixon P. M. & Pechmann J. H. K. (2001) Global amphibian population declines. Nature 414, 449-500.
2. Alford R. A. & Richards S. J. (1999) Global amphibian declines: a problem in applied ecology. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 30, 113-165.
3. Barinaga M. (1990) Where have all the froggies gone? Science 247, 1033-1034.
4. Beissinger S. R. & McCullough D. R. (2002) Population Viability Analysis. The University of Chicago Press, London.
5. Bell B. D. & Pledger S. A. (2010) How has the remnant population of the threatened frog, Leiopelma pakeka (Anura: Leiopelmatidae) fared on Maud Island, New Zealand, over the past 25 years? Austral Ecol. 35, 241-256.
6. Blaustein A. R., Wake D. B. & Sousa W. P. (1994) Amphibian declines: judging stability, persistence, and susceptibility of populations to local and global extinctions. Conserv. Biol. 8, 60-71.
7. Bower D. S., Stockwell M. P., Pollard C. J. etal. (2012) Life stage specific variation in the occupancy of ponds by Litoria aurea, a threatened amphibian. Austral Ecol. 38, 543-547. DOI: 10.1111/j.1442-9993.2012.02452.x.
8. Brown J. H. & Kodric-Brown A. (1977) Turnover rates in insular biogeography: effect of immigration on extinction. Ecology 58, 445-449.
9. Browne R. K., Pomering M. & Hamer A. J. (2003) High density effects on the growth, development and survival of Litoria aurea tadpoles. Aquaculture 215, 109-121.
10. Burnham K. P. & Anderson D. R. (2002) Model Selection and Multimodel Inference: A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach. Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg.
11. Burnham K. P., Anderson D. R., White G. C., Brownie C. & Pollock K. H. (1987) Design and analysis methods for fish survival experiments based on release-recapture. American Fisheries Society, Monograph 5, Bethesda, Maryland.
12. Christy M. T. (1996) The efficacy of using Passive Integrated Transponder (PIT) tags without anaesthetic in free-living frogs. Aust. Zool. 30, 139-142.
13. Darcovich K. & O'Meara J. (2008) An Olympic legacy: Green and Golden Bell Frog conservation at Sydney Olympic Park 1993-2006. Aust. Zool. 34, 236-248.
14. Department of Environment and Climate Change (NSW) (2008) Hygiene Protocol for the Control of Disease in Frogs. Information Circular Number 6. DECC, Sydney South.
15. Ecology Partners Pty Ltd (2008) Green and Golden Bell Frog Litoria aurea monitoring at Sydney Olympic Park, New South Wales, 2007/08. Report prepared for the Sydney Olympic Park Authority July 2008.
16. Fabens A. J. (1965) Properties and fitting of the von Bertalanffy growth curve. Growth 29, 265-289.
17. Frankham R. (1995) Inbreeding and extinction: a threshold effect. Conserv. Biol. 9, 792-799.
18. Funk W. C., Greene A. E., Corn P. S. & Allendorf F. W. (2005) High dispersal in a frog species suggests that it is vulnerable to habitat fragmentation. Biol. Lett. 1, 13-16.
19. Gibbons J. W. & Andrews K. M. (2004) PIT tagging: simple technology at its best. Bioscience 54, 447-454.
20. Goater C. P. (1994) Growth and survival of postmetamorphic toads: interactions among larval history, density and parasitism. Ecology 75, 2264-2274.
21. Goldingay R. L. & Newell D. A. (2005a) Aspects of the population ecology of the green and golden bell frog Litoria aurea at the northern end of its range. Aust. Zool. 33, 49-59.
22. Goldingay R. L. & Newell D. A. (2005b) Population estimation of the green and golden bell frog Litoria aurea at Port Kembla. Aust. Zool. 33, 210-216.
23. Green D. M. (2003) The ecology of extinction: population fluctuation and decline in amphibians. Biol. Conserv. 111, 331-343.
24. Hamer A. J. & Mahony M. J. (2007) Life history of an endangered amphibian challenges the declining species paradigm. Aust. J. Zool. 55, 79-88.
25. Heard G. W., Scroggie M. P. & Malone B. S. (2011) The life history and decline of the threatened Australian frog, Litoria raniformis. Austral Ecol. 37, 276-284.
26. Hero J.-M., Gillespie G. R., Cogger H., Lemckert F. L. & Robertson P. (2004) Litoria aurea In IUCN 2011. IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2011.2. Available from URL: http://www.iucnredlist.org
27. Hilken G., Dimigen J. & Iglauer F. (1995) Growth of Xenopus laevis under different laboratory rearing conditions. Lab. Anim. 29, 152-162.
28. Hota A. K. (1994) Growth in amphibians. Gerontology 40, 147-160.
29. Hughes L. (2003) Climate change and Australia: trends, projections and impacts. Austral Ecol. 28, 423-443.
30. Kendall W. L. (2001) The Robust Design for Capture-Recapture Analysis Studies: Analysis Using Program MARK. The Wildlife Society, Bethesda.
31. Lande R. (1993) Risks of population extinction from demographic and environmental stochasticity and random catastrophes. Am. Nat. 142, 911-927.
32. Madsen T., Stille B. & Shine R. (1996) Inbreeding depression in an isolated population of Adders Vipera berus. Biol. Conserv. 75, 113-118.
33. Mahony M. J. (1999) Review of the declines and disappearances within the bell frog species group (Litoria aurea species group) in Australia. In: Declines and Disappearances of Australian Frogs (ed. A. Campbell) pp. 81-93. Environment Australia, Canberra.
34. Marunouchi J., Ueda H. & Ochi O. (2000) Variation in age and size among breeding populations at different altitudes in the Japanese newts, Cynops pyrrhogaster. Amphib-reptil. 21, 381-396.
35. Mills L. S. & Smouse P. E. (1994) Demographic consequences of inbreeding in remnant populations. Am. Nat. 144, 412-431.
36. Muir G. W. (2008) Design of a movement corridor for the Green and Golden Bell Frog Litoria aurea at Sydney Olympic Park. Aust. Zool. 34, 297-302.
37. Penman T. D., Muir G. W., Magarey E. R. & Burns E. L. (2008) Impact of a Chytrid-related mortality event on a population of the Green and Golden Bell Frog Litoria aurea. Aust. Zool. 34, 314-318.
38. Pollock K. H. (1982) A capture-recapture design robust to unequal probability of capture. J. Wildl. Manage. 46, 752-757.
39. Pollock K. H., Nichols J. D., Brownie C. & Hines J. E. (1990) Statistical inference for capture-recapture experiments. Wildl. Monogr. 107, 1-97.
40. Purvis A., Gittleman J. L., Cowlishaw G. & Mace G. M. (2000) Predicting extinction risk in declining species. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B Biol. Sci. 157, 1947-1952.
41. Pyke G. H. & White A. W. (2001) A review of the biology of the Green and Golden Bell Frog Litoria aurea. Aust. Zool. 31, 563-598.
42. R Development Core Team (2011) R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.
43. Reed D. H., O'Grady J. J., Brook B. W., Ballou J. D. & Frankham R. (2003) Estimates of minimum viable population sizes for vertebrates and factors influencing those estimates. Biol. Conserv. 113, 23-34.
44. Sakai A. K., Allendorf F. W., Holt J. S. etal. (2001) The population biology of invasive species. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 32, 305-332.
45. Saunders D. A. (1982) The breeding behaviour and biology of the short-billed form of the White-tailed Black Cockatoo Calyptorhynchus funereus. Ibis 124, 422-455.
46. Semlitsch R. D., Scott D. E. & Pechmann J. H. K. (1996) Structure and dynamics of an amphibian community: evidence from a 16-year study of a natural pond. In: Long-Term Studies of Vertebrate Communities (eds M. L. Cody & J. D. Smallwood) pp. 217-248. Academic Press, New York.
47. Smith G. T. & Saunders D. A. (1986) Clutch size and productivity in three sympactric species of Cockatoo (Psittaciformes) in the south-west of Western Australia. Aust. Wildl. Res. 13, 275-285.
48. Stockwell M. P. (2011) Impact and mitigration of the emerging infectious disease chytridiomycosis on the endangered green and golden bell frog. In: School of Environmental and Life Sciences. University of Newcastle, Newcastle.
49. Stockwell M. P., Clulow S., Clulow J. & Mahony M. J. (2008) The impact of the Amphibian Chytrid Fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis on a Green and Golden Bell Frog Litoria aurea reintroduction program at the Hunter Wetlands Centre Australia in the Hunter Region of NSW. Aust. Zool. 34, 379-386.
50. Stuart S. N., Chanson J. S., Cox N. A. etal. (2004) Status and trends of amphibian declines and extinctions worldwide. Science 306, 1783-1786.
51. Traill L. W., Bradshaw C. J. A. & Brook B. W. (2007) Minimum viable population size: a meta-analysis of 30 years of published estimates. Biol. Conserv. 139, 159-166.
52. Van de Mortel T. F. & Goldingay R. L. (1998) Population assessment of the endangered green and golden bell frog Litoria aurea at Port Kembla, NSW. Aust. Zool. 30, 398-404.
53. Wake D. B. (1991) Declining amphibian populations. Science 253, 860.
54. Westemeier R. L., Brawn J. D., Simpson S. A. etal. (1998) Tracking the long-term decline and recovery of an isolated population. Science 282, 1695-1698.
55. White A. W. & Pyke G. H. (2008) Green and Golden Bell Frogs in New South Wales: current status and future prospects. Aust. Zool. 34, 319-333.
56. White G. C. & Burnham K. P. (1999) Program MARK: survival estimation from populations of marked animals. Bird Study 46, 120-139.
57. Wooler R. D., Bradley J. S. & Croxall J. P. (1992) Long-term population studies of seabirds. Trends Ecol. Evol. 7, 111-114.
58. Young A., Boyle T. & Brown T. (1996) The population genetic consequences of habitat fragmentation for plants. Trends Ecol. Evol. 11, 413-418.