Regional differences in the growing incidence of dengue fever in Vietnam explained by weather variability

Tropical Medicine and Health

Volumn 42, Issue 1, 2014, Pages 25-33

  Vu, Ha Hai ^a,b   Okumura, Junko ^b   Hashizume, Masahiro ^b   Tran, Duong Nhu ^a   Yamamoto, Taro ^b  

^a NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF HYGIENE AND EPIDEMIOLOGY   (Viet Nam)

^b NAGASAKI UNIVERSITY   (Japan)

Author keywords

Dengue; Humidity; Rainfall; Sunshine; Temperature; Weather variability

Indexed keywords

RAIN;

ARTICLE; DENGUE; HUMAN; HUMIDITY; METEOROLOGICAL PHENOMENA; STATISTICAL MODEL; SUNLIGHT; TEMPERATURE; VIET NAM; WEATHER;

EID: 84896458292     PISSN: 13488945     EISSN: 13494147     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2149/tmh.2013-24     Document Type: Article

References (36)

1. World Health Organization and the Special Programme for Research and Training in Tropical Diseases. Dengue: guidelines for diagnosis, treatment, prevention and control. Geneva: WHO Press; 2009.
2. Edelman R. Dengue vaccines approach the finish line. Clin Infect Dis 2007; 45 Suppl 1: S56-60.
3. Gubler DJ. Dengue and dengue hemorrhagic fever. Clin Microbiol Rev 1998; 11(3): 480-496.
4. Dayal-Drager R. Dengue fever. In: Heymann DL, ed. Control of communicable diseases manual. 18th ed. Washington: America Public Health Association; 2004. pp. 146-149.
5. Higa Y, Yen NT, Kawada H, Son TH, Hoa NT, Takagi M. Geographic distribution of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus collected from used tires in Vietnam. J Am Mosq Control Assoc 2010; 26(1): 1-9.
6. Hopp MJ, Foley JA. Worldwide fluctuations in dengue fever cases related to climate variability. Clim Res 2003; 25: 85-94.
7. Gratz NG. Emerging and resurging vector-borne diseases. Annu Rev Entomol 1999; 44: 51-75.
8. Minh TC. General of climate and meteorology. Hanoi: Vietnam National University Publisher; 2007 (in Vietnamese).
9. Nam VS, Yen NT, Holynska M, Reid JW, Kay BH. National progress in dengue vector control in Vietnam: survey for Mesocyclops (Copepoda), Micronecta (Corixidae), and fish as biological control agents. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2000; 62(1): 5-10.
10. Hii YL, Rocklov J, Ng N, Tang CS, Pang FY, Sauerborn R. Climate variability and increase in intensity and magnitude of dengue incidence in Singapore. Glob Health Action 2009; 2.
11. Wu PC, Guo HR, Lung SC, Lin CY, Su HJ. Weather as an effective predictor for occurrence of dengue fever in Taiwan. Acta Trop 2007; 103(1): 50-57.
12. Cuong HQ, Hien NT, Duong TN, Phong TV, Cam NN, Farrar J, Nam VS, Thai KT, Horby P. Quantifying the emergence of dengue in Hanoi, Vietnam: 1998-2009. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2011; 5(9): e1322.
13. Hurtado-Diaz M, Riojas-Rodriguez H, Rothenberg SJ, Gomez-Dantes H, Cifuentes E. Short communication: impact of climate variability on the incidence of dengue in Mexico. Trop Med Int Health 2007; 12(11): 1327-1337.
14. Johansson MA, Dominici F, Glass GE. Local and global effects of climate on dengue transmission in Puerto Rico. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2009; 3(2): e382.
15. Johansson MA, Cummings DA, Glass GE. Multiyear climate variability and dengue-El Nino southern oscillation, weather, and dengue incidence in Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Thailand: a longitudinal data analysis. PLoS Med 2009; 6(11): e1000168.
16. Huan TQ. Evaluation of the result of the National project for the prevention of dengue. Journal of Practical Medicine 2009; 7: 3-7 (in Vietnamese).
17. Pasteur institute Ho Chi Minh city. Diagnosis of dengue fever/dengue hemorrhagic fever [Internet] [cited 2010 Sep 10]. Available from: http://www. pasteur-hcm. org. vn/ytecongdong/sot_dengue/chandoan. htm. (in Vietnamese).
18. Statistical office in Ho Chi Minh city. Statistical yearbook [Internet] [cited 2011 Oct 3]. Available from: http://www. pso. hochiminhcity. gov. vn/so_lieu_ktxh/view_content_year?ID=khi_tuong_thuy_van&parent_ID=2002. (in Vietnamese).
19. McCullagh P, Nelder J, eds. Generalized linear models. London: Chapman & Hall; 1989.
20. Brumback B, Ryan L, Schwartz J, Neas L, Stark P, Burge H. Transitional regression models, with application to environmental time series. J Am Stat Assoc 2000; 95: 16-27.
21. Greer A, Ng V, Fisman D. Climate change and infectious diseases in North America: the road ahead. CMAJ 2008; 178(6): 715-722.
22. Patz JA, Githeko AK, McCarty JP, Hussein S, Confalonieri U, de Wet N. Climate change and infectious diseases. In: McMichael AJ, Campbell-Lendrun DH, Corvalán CF, Ebi KL, Githeko AK, Scheraga JD, Woodward A, eds. Climate change and human health-risks and responses. Geneva: WHO; 2003. pp. 103-132.
23. Akaike H. A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Trans Automat Contr AC 1974; 19: 716-723.
24. Durrleman S, Simon R. Flexible regression models with cubic splines. Stat Med 1989; 8(5): 551-561.
25. Chung YK, Pang FY. Dengue virus infection rate in field populations of female Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus in Singapore. Trop Med Int Health 2002; 7(4): 322-330.
26. Wongkoon S, Jaroensutasinee M, Jaroensutasinee K, Preechaporn W, Chumkiew S. Larval occurrence and climatic factors affecting DHF incidence in Samui Islands, Thailand. Int J Biol Med Sci 2007; 2(2): 107-112.
27. Chadee DD, Shivnauth B, Rawlins SC, Chen AA. Climate, mosquito indices and the epidemiology of dengue fever in Trinidad (2002-2004). Ann Trop Med Parasitol 2007; 101(1): 69-77.
28. Su GL. Correlation of climatic factors and dengue incidence in Metro Manila, Philippines. Ambio 2008; 37(4): 292-294.
29. Teng HJ, Apperson CS. Development and survival of immature Aedes albopictus and Aedes triseriatus (Diptera: Culicidae) in the laboratory: effects of density, food, and competition on response to temperature. J Med Entomol 2000; 37(1): 40-52.
30. Costa EAPA, Santos AMM, Correia JC, de Albuquerque CMR. Impact of small variations in temperature and humidity on the reproductive activity and survival of Aedes aegypti (Diptera, Culicidae). Revista Brasileira de Entomologia 2010; 54(3): 488-493.
31. Alto BW, Juliano SA. Precipitation and temperature effects on populations of Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae): implications for range expansion. J Med Entomol 2001; 38(5): 646-656.
32. Alto BW, Juliano SA. Temperature effects on the dynamics of Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae) populations in the laboratory. J Med Entomol 2001; 38(4): 548-556.
33. Jansen CC, Beebe NW. The dengue vector Aedes aegypti: what comes next. Microbes Infect 2010; 12(4): 272-279.
34. Dondji B, Duchon S, Diabate A, Herve JP, Corbel V, Hougard JM, Santus R, Schrevel J. Assessment of laboratory and field assays of sunlight-induced killing of mosquito larvae by photosensitizers. J Med Entomol 2005; 42(4): 652-656.
35. Pham HV, Doan HT, Phan TT, Minh NN. Ecological factors associated with dengue fever in a Central Highlands province, Vietnam. BMC Infect Dis 2011; 11: 172.
36. Nam VS. Dengue control programmes in Vietnam. In: Report of Asia-Pacific dengue program managers meeting in Singapore 5-9 May 2008, Manila: Western Pacific Region of the World Health Organization; 2008. [Internet] [Cited 2012 February 10]. Available from: http://www. wpro. who. int/internet/files/mvp/Dengue_Report. pdf.