Quantifying the emergence of dengue in Hanoi, Vietnam: 1998-2009

PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases

Volumn 5, Issue 9, 2011, Pages

  Cuong, Hoang Quoc ^a,b   Hien, Nguyen Tran ^c   Duong, Tran Nhu ^c   Phong, Tran Vu ^c   Cam, Nguyen Nhat ^d   Farrar, Jeremy ^a,e   Nam, Vu Sinh ^c   Thai, Khoa T D ^a,f,g   Horby, Peter ^a,e  

^a OXFORD UNIVERSITY CLINICAL RESEARCH UNIT   (Viet Nam)

^b PASTEUR INSTITUTE   (Viet Nam)

^c NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF HYGIENE AND EPIDEMIOLOGY   (Viet Nam)

^d Preventive Medicine Center   (Viet Nam)

^e UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

^f ACADEMIC MEDICAL CENTER   (Netherlands)

^g UNIVERSITY OF AMSTERDAM   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADULT; AGE DISTRIBUTION; ARTICLE; CLIMATE CHANGE; DENGUE; DENGUE VIRUS; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; ENZYME LINKED IMMUNOSORBENT ASSAY; EPIDEMIC; FEMALE; HUMAN; HUMIDITY; INCIDENCE; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MALE; MORBIDITY; OSCILLATION; PERIODICITY; SEASONAL VARIATION; STANDARDIZED INCIDENCE RATIO; STANDARDIZED MORBIDITY RATIO; VIET NAM; WAVELET ANALYSIS; WIND; ADOLESCENT; AGED; CHILD; COMMUNICABLE DISEASE; GEOGRAPHY; INFANT; MIDDLE AGED; NEWBORN; PRESCHOOL CHILD; TIME;

ADOLESCENT; ADULT; AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; CHILD; CHILD, PRESCHOOL; COMMUNICABLE DISEASES, EMERGING; DENGUE; FEMALE; GEOGRAPHY; HUMANS; INCIDENCE; INFANT; INFANT, NEWBORN; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; TIME FACTORS; VIETNAM; YOUNG ADULT;

EID: 80053452764     PISSN: 19352727     EISSN: 19352735     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0001322     Document Type: Article

References (53)

1. Beatty ME, Beutels P, Meltzer MI, Shepard DS, Hombach J, et al. (2010) Health Economics of Dengue: A Systematic Literature Review and Expert Panel's Assessment. Am J Trop Med Hyg 84: 473-488.
2. Scientific Working Group on Dengue (2006) Report of the Scientific Working Group on Dengue, 1-5 October 2006. Geneva World Health Organization.
3. Kroeger A, Nathan MB, (2006) Dengue: setting the global research agenda. Lancet 368: 2193-2195.
4. Jansen CC, Beebe NW, (2010) The dengue vector Aedes aegypti: what comes next. Microbes Infect 12: 272-279.
5. Lambrechts L, Scott TW, Gubler DJ, (2010) Consequences of the expanding global distribution of Aedes albopictus for dengue virus transmission. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 4: e646.
6. (2010) World Urbanization Prospects: The 2009 Revision. New York United Nations.
7. Vong S, Khieu V, Glass O, Ly S, Duong V, et al. (2010) Dengue incidence in urban and rural cambodia: results from population-based active Fever surveillance, 2006-2008. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 4: e903.
8. Wu F, Liu Q, Lu L, Wang J, Song X, et al. (2010) Distribution of Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae) in Northwestern China. Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis.
9. (2009) Dengue: guidelines for diagnosis, treatment, prevention and control- New edition. Geneva World Health Organization.
10. Ferguson NM, Donnelly CA, Anderson RM, (1999) Transmission dynamics and epidemiology of dengue: insights from age-stratified sero-prevalence surveys. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 354: 757-768.
11. Arunachalam N, Tana S, Espino F, Kittayapong P, Abeyewickreme W, et al. (2010) Eco-bio-social determinants of dengue vector breeding: a multicountry study in urban and periurban Asia. Bull World Health Organ 88: 173-184.
12. (1999) Guidelines on the surveillance, diagnosis, and treatment of dengue hemorrhagic fever. Hanoi, Vietnam Ministry of Health.
13. Cardosa MJ, Wang SM, Sum MS, Tio PH, (2002) Antibodies against prM protein distinguish between previous infection with dengue and Japanese encephalitis viruses. BMC Microbiol 2: 9.
14. Kirkwood BR, Sterne AC, (2003) Essential Medical Statistics. Oxford Blackwell Science Ltd.
15. Cazelles B, Chavez M, Magny GC, Guegan JF, Hales S, (2007) Time-dependent spectral analysis of epidemiological time-series with wavelets. J R Soc Interface 4: 625-636.
16. Torrence C, Compo GP, (1998) A Practical Guide to Wavelet Analysis. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 79: 61-78.
17. Johansson MA, Cummings DA, Glass GE, (2009) Multiyear climate variability and dengue-El Nino southern oscillation, weather, and dengue incidence in Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Thailand: a longitudinal data analysis. PLoS Med 6: e1000168.
18. Barbazan P, Guiserix M, Boonyuan W, Tuntaprasart W, Pontier D, et al. (2010) Modelling the effect of temperature on transmission of dengue. Med Vet Entomol 24: 66-73.
19. Luz PM, Mendes BV, Codeco CT, Struchiner CJ, Galvani AP, (2008) Time series analysis of dengue incidence in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Am J Trop Med Hyg 79: 933-939.
20. Rohani A, Wong YC, Zamre I, Lee HL, Zurainee MN, (2009) The effect of extrinsic incubation temperature on development of dengue serotype 2 and 4 viruses in Aedes aegypti (L.). Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 40: 942-950.
21. Depradine C, Lovell E, (2004) Climatological variables and the incidence of Dengue fever in Barbados. Int J Environ Health Res 14: 429-441.
22. Lu L, Lin H, Tian L, Yang W, Sun J, et al. (2009) Time series analysis of dengue fever and weather in Guangzhou, China. BMC Public Health 9: 395.
23. Thai KT, Cazelles B, Nguyen NV, Vo LT, Boni MF, et al. (2010) Dengue dynamics in Binh Thuan province, southern Vietnam: periodicity, synchronicity and climate variability. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 4: e747.
24. Tipayamongkholgul M, Fang CT, Klinchan S, Liu CM, King CC, (2009) Effects of the El Nino-southern oscillation on dengue epidemics in Thailand, 1996-2005. BMC Public Health 9: 422.
25. Cazelles B, Chavez M, McMichael AJ, Hales S, (2005) Nonstationary influence of El Nino on the synchronous dengue epidemics in Thailand. PLoS Med 2: e106.
26. Adams B, Holmes EC, Zhang C, Mammen MP Jr, Nimmannitya S, et al. (2006) Cross-protective immunity can account for the alternating epidemic pattern of dengue virus serotypes circulating in Bangkok. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 103: 14234-14239.
27. Huy R, Buchy P, Conan A, Ngan C, Ong S, et al. (2010) National dengue surveillance in Cambodia 1980-2008: epidemiological and virological trends and the impact of vector control. Bull World Health Organ 88: 650-657.
28. Cummings DA, Irizarry RA, Huang NE, Endy TP, Nisalak A, et al. (2004) Travelling waves in the occurrence of dengue haemorrhagic fever in Thailand. Nature 427: 344-347.
29. Recker M, Blyuss KB, Simmons CP, Hien TT, Wills B, et al. (2009) Immunological serotype interactions and their effect on the epidemiological pattern of dengue. Proc Biol Sci 276: 2541-2548.
30. Rohani P, (2009) The link between dengue incidence and El Nino southern oscillation. PLoS Med 6: e1000185.
31. Hay SI, Myers MF, Burke DS, Vaughn DW, Endy T, et al. (2000) Etiology of interepidemic periods of mosquito-borne disease. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 97: 9335-9339.
32. Wearing HJ, Rohani P, (2006) Ecological and immunological determinants of dengue epidemics. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 103: 11802-11807.
33. Nisalak A, Endy TP, Nimmannitya S, Kalayanarooj S, Thisayakorn U, et al. (2003) Serotype-specific dengue virus circulation and dengue disease in Bangkok, Thailand from 1973 to 1999. Am J Trop Med Hyg 68: 191-202.
34. Wichmann O, Yoon IK, Vong S, Limkittikul K, Gibbons RV, et al. (2011) Dengue in Thailand and cambodia: an assessment of the degree of underrecognized disease burden based on reported cases. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 5: e996.
35. Anders KL, Nguyet NM, Chau NV, Hung NT, Thuy TT, et al. (2010) Epidemiological factors associated with dengue shock syndrome and mortality in hospitalized dengue patients in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. Am J Trop Med Hyg 84: 127-134.
36. Midgley CM, Bajwa-Joseph M, Vasanawathana S, Limpitikul W, Wills B, et al. (2010) An in-depth analysis of original antigenic sin in dengue virus infection. J Virol 85: 410-421.
37. Cummings DA, Iamsirithaworn S, Lessler JT, McDermott A, Prasanthong R, et al. (2009) The impact of the demographic transition on dengue in Thailand: insights from a statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. PLoS Med 6: e1000139.
38. Halstead SB, (2006) Dengue in the Americas and Southeast Asia: do they differ? Rev Panam Salud Publica 20: 407-415.
39. Nagao Y, Koelle K, (2008) Decreases in dengue transmission may act to increase the incidence of dengue hemorrhagic fever. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 105: 2238-2243.
40. Jamaiah I, Rohela M, Nissapatorn V, Maizatulhikma MM, Norazlinda R, et al. (2005) Prevalence of dengue fever and dengue hemorrhagic fever in Hospital Tengku Ampuan Rahimah, Klang, Selangor, Malaysia. Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 36 (Suppl 4): 196-201.
41. Egger JR, Ooi EE, Kelly DW, Woolhouse ME, Davies CR, et al. (2008) Reconstructing historical changes in the force of infection of dengue fever in Singapore: implications for surveillance and control. Bull World Health Organ 86: 187-196.
42. Ooi EE, Gubler DJ, (2009) Dengue in Southeast Asia: epidemiological characteristics and strategic challenges in disease prevention. Cad Saude Publica 25 (Suppl 1): S115-124.
43. Shekhar KC, Huat OL, (1992) Epidemiology of dengue/dengue hemorrhagic fever in Malaysia-a retrospective epidemiological study. 1973-1987. Part II: Dengue fever (DF). Asia Pac J Public Health 6: 126-133.
44. Malavige GN, Velathanthiri VG, Wijewickrama ES, Fernando S, Jayaratne SD, et al. (2006) Patterns of disease among adults hospitalized with dengue infections. QJM 99: 299-305.
45. Hussin N, Jaafar J, Naing NN, Mat HA, Muhamad AH, et al. (2005) A review of dengue fever incidence in Kota Bharu, Kelantan, Malaysia during the years 1998-2003. Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 36: 1179-1186.
46. Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Cordeiro MT, Braga C, de Souza WV, Marques ET, et al. (2011) From re-emergence to hyperendemicity: the natural history of the dengue epidemic in Brazil. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 5: e935.
47. Sniadack DH, Mendoza-Aldana J, Huyen DT, Van TT, Cuong NV, et al. (2010) Epidemiology of a measles epidemic in Vietnam 2008-2010. J Infect Dis 204 (Suppl 1): S476-482.
48. Bauch CT, Earn DJ, (2003) Transients and attractors in epidemics. Proc Biol Sci 270: 1573-1578.
49. Watthanaworawit W, Turner P, Turner CL, Tanganuchitcharnchai A, Jarman RG, et al. (2010) A prospective evaluation of diagnostic methodologies for the acute diagnosis of dengue virus infection on the Thailand-Myanmar border. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 105: 32-37.
50. Peeling RW, Artsob H, Pelegrino JL, Buchy P, Cardosa MJ, et al. (2010) Evaluation of diagnostic tests: dengue. Nat Rev Microbiol 8: S30-38.
51. Yen NT, Duffy MR, Hong NM, Hien NT, Fischer M, et al. (2010) Surveillance for Japanese encephalitis in Vietnam, 1998-2007. Am J Trop Med Hyg 83: 816-819.
52. Fry SR, Meyer M, Semple MG, Simmons CP, Sekaran SD, et al. (2011) The diagnostic sensitivity of dengue rapid test assays is significantly enhanced by using a combined antigen and antibody testing approach. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 5: e1199.
53. Thammapalo S, Nagao Y, Sakamoto W, Saengtharatip S, Tsujitani M, et al. (2008) Relationship between transmission intensity and incidence of dengue hemorrhagic fever in Thailand. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2: e263.