The absence of memory in the climatic forcing of glaciers

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 42, Issue 5-6, 2014, Pages 1335-1346

  Burke, Erin E ^a   Roe, Gerard H ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate persistence; Climate variability; Glaciers

Indexed keywords

EID: 84894380954     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1758-0     Document Type: Article

References (43)

1. Booth BB, Dunstone NJ, Halloran PR, Andrews T, Bellouin N (2012) Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability. Nature 484: 228-232. doi: 10. 1038/nature10946.
2. Box GEP, Jenkins GM, Reinsel GC (2008) Time series analysis: forecasting and control. Wiley.
3. Bretherton CS, Widmann M, Dymnikov VP, Wallace JM, Blade I (1999) The effective number of spatial degrees of freedom of a time-varying field. J Climate 12: 1990-2009.
4. Chylek P, Folland CK, Dijkstra HA, Lesins G, Dubey MK (2011) Ice-core data evidence for a prominent near 20 year time-scale of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation. Geophys Res Lett 38: L13704. doi: 10. 1029/2011GL047501.
5. Crowley TJ (2000) Causes of climate change over the past 1000 years. Science 289: 270-277.
6. Delworth TL, Mann ME (2000) Observed and simulated multidecadal variability in the Northern Hemisphere. Clim Dyn 16: 661-676.
7. Deser C, Alexander MA, Xie S-P, Phillips AS (2010) Sea surface temperature variability: patterns and mechanisms. Annu Rev Mar Sci 2: 115-143. doi: 10. 1146/annurev-marine-120408-151453.
8. Dyurgerov M (2002) Glacier mass balance and regime: data of measurements and analysis. In: Meier M, Armstrong R (eds) INSTAAR Occasional Paper No. 55. Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO. Distributed by National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, CO.
9. Forster P, Ramaswamy V et al (2007) Changes in Atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M et al (eds) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge, UK.
10. Fraedrich K, Luksch U, Blender RA (2003) 1/f-model for long time memory of the ocean surface temperature. Phys Rev E 70: 037301. doi: 10. 1103/PhysRevE. 70. 037301.
11. Hansen J, Russell G, Lacis A, Fung I, Rind D, Stone P (1985) Climate response times: dependence on climate sensitivity and ocean mixing. Science 229: 857-859.
12. Hasselmann K (1976) Stochastic climate models. Part 1. Theory. Tellus 28: 473-485.
13. Hoffert MI, Callegari AJ, Hsieh CT (1980) The role of deep-sea heat storage in the secular response to climatic forcing. J Geophys Res 85: 6667-6679.
14. Hurrell JW (1995) Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation regional temperatures and precipitation. Science 269: 676-679.
15. Huss M, Hock R, Bauder A, Funk M (2010) 100-year mass changes in the Swiss Alps linked to the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation. Geophys Res Lett 37: L10501. doi: 10. 1029/2010GL042616.
16. Huybers P, Curry W (2006) Links between annual. Milankovitch, and continuum temperature variability. Nature 441: 329-332. doi: 10. 1038/nature04745.
17. Huybers K, Roe GH (2009) Spatial patterns of glaciers in response to spatial patterns in regional climate. J Climate 22: 4606-4620.
18. Imhof P, Nesje A, Nussbaumer SU (2012) Climate and glacier fluctuations at Jostedalsbreen and Folgefonna, southwestern Norway and in the western Alps from the 'Little Ice Age' until the present: the influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Holocene 22: 235-247.
19. Jenkins GM, Watts DG (1968) Spectral analysis and its applications. Holden-Day, San Francisco.
20. Johannesson T, Raymond C, Waddington ED (1989) Time-scale for adjustment of glaciers to changes in mass balance. J Glaciol 35(121): 355-369.
21. Mann ME, Emanuel KA (2006) Atlantic hurricane trends linked to climate change. EOS Trans Am Geophys Union 87: 233-244.
22. Marzeion B, Nesje A (2012) Spatial patterns of North Atlantic Oscillation influence on mass balance variability of European glaciers. Cryosphere 6: 661-673.
23. Mitchell TD, Carter TR et al. (2004) A comprehensive set of climate scenarios for Europe and the globe. Tyndall Centre Working Paper 55.
24. Nesje A, Dahl SO (2003) The 'Little Ice Age'-only temperature? Holocene 13: 139-145.
25. Nesje A, Matthews JA (2012) The Briksdalsbre event: a winter precipitation-induced decadal-scale glacial advance in southern Norway in the AD 1990s and its implications. Holocene. doi: 10. 1177/0959683611414938.
26. Nesje A, Dahl SO, Thun T, Nordli O (2007) The 'Little Ice Age' glacial expansion in western Scandinavia: summer temperature or winter precipitation? Clim Dyn. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-007-0324-z.
27. Oerlemans J (2000) Holocene glacier fluctuations: is the current rate of retreat exceptional? Ann Glaciol 31: 39-44.
28. Oerlemans J (2001) Glaciers and climate change. Lisse, etc., A. A. Balkema.
29. Pelletier JD (1997) Analysis and modeling of the natural variability of climate. J Climate 10: 1331-1342.
30. Percival DB, Overland JE, Mofjeld HO (2001) Interpretation of North Pacific variability as a short- and long-memory process, J. Climate 14: 4545-4559.
31. Reichert BK, Bengtsson L, Oerlemans J (2002) Recent glacier retreat exceeds internal variability. J Climate 15: 3069-3081.
32. Robock A (2000) Volcanic eruptions and climate. Rev Geophys 38: 191-219.
33. Roe GH (2009) Feedbacks, time scales, and seeing red. Annu Rev Earth Planet Sci 37: 93-115.
34. Roe GH (2011) What do glaciers tell us about climate variability and climate change? J Glaciol 57: 567-578.
35. Roe GH, Baker MB (2013) Paleoclimate proxies, extreme events, and the climate continuum (submitted).
36. Roe GH, O'Neal MA (2009) The response of glaciers to intrinsic climate variability: observations and models of late-Holocene variations in the Pacific Northwest. J Glaciol 55: 839-854.
37. Schaefer JM, Denton GH, Kaplan M, Putnam A, Finkel RC, Barrell DJA, Andersen BG, Schwartz R, Mackintosh A, Chinn T, Schluchter C (2009) High-frequency holocene glacier fluctuations in New Zealand differ from the northern signature. Science 324: 622-625. doi: 10. 1126/science. 1169312.
38. Schneider T, Neumaier A (2001) Algorithm 808: ARfit-a Matlab package for the estimation of parameters and eigen modes of multivariate autoregressive models. ACM Trans Math Softw 27: 58-65.
39. Shindell D, Faluvegi G (2009) Climate response to regional radiative forcing during the twentieth century. Nat Geosci 2: 294-300. doi: 10. 1038/ngeo473.
40. von Storch H, Zwiers FW (1999) Statistical analysis in climate research. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
41. Wallace JM, Hobbs PV (2006) Atmospheric science: an introductory survey. Academic Press, New York.
42. Wunsch C (1999) The interpretation of short climate records with comments on the North Atlantic and Southern Oscillations. Bull Am Meteor Soc 80: 245-256.
43. Zhang R (2008) Coherent surface-subsurface fingerprint of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Geophys Res Lett 35: L20705. doi: 10. 1029/2008GL035463.