Relative contribution of feedback processes to Arctic amplification of temperature change in MIROC GCM

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 42, Issue 5-6, 2014, Pages 1613-1630

  Yoshimori, Masakazu ^a   Watanabe, Masahiro ^a   Abe Ouchi, Ayako ^a,b   Shiogama, Hideo ^c   Ogura, Tomoo ^c  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TOKYO   (Japan)

^b JAPAN AGENCY FOR MARINE EARTH SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY   (Japan)

^c NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES   (Japan)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 84894307708     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1875-9     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Alexeev VA, Langen PL, Bates JR (2005) Polar amplification of surface warming on an aquaplanet in "ghost forcing" experiments without sea ice feedbacks. Clim Dyn 24: 655-666.
2. Alexeev VA, Esau I, Polyakov IV, Byam SJ, Sorokina S (2011) Vertical structure of recent arctic warming from observed data and reanalysis products. Clim Chan 111: 215-239.
3. Andrews T, Ringer MA, Doutriaux-Boucher M, Webb MJ, Collins WJ (2012) Sensitivity of an Earth system climate model to idealized radiative forcing. Geophys Res Lett 39: L10702. doi: 10. 1029/2012gl051942.
4. Bintanja R, Graversen RG, Hazeleger W (2011) Arctic winter warming amplified by the thermal inversion and consequent low infrared cooling to space. Nat Geosci 4: 758-761.
5. Bintanja R, van der Linden EC, Hazeleger W (2012) Boundary layer stability and Arctic climate change: a feedback study using EC-Earth. Clim Dyn 39: 2659-2673.
6. Boé J, Hall A, Qu X (2009) Current GCMs' unrealistic negative feedback in the arctic. J Clim 22: 4682-4695.
7. Cai M (2005) Dynamical amplification of polar warming. Geophys Res Lett 32: L22710. doi: 10. 1029/2005gl024481.
8. Cai M, Lu JH (2009) A new framework for isolating individual feedback processes in coupled general circulation climate models. Part II: method demonstrations and comparisons. Clim Dyn 32: 887-900.
9. Crook JA, Forster PM, Stuber N (2011) Spatial patterns of modeled climate feedback and contributions to temperature response and polar amplification. J Clim 24: 3575-3592.
10. Curry JA, Schramm JL, Ebert EE (1995) Sea-ice albedo climate feedback mechanism. J Clim 8: 240-247.
11. Drijfhout S, van Oldenborgh GJ, Cimatoribus A (2012) Is a decline of AMOC causing the warming hole above the north Atlantic in observed and modeled warming patterns? J Clim 25: 8373-8379.
12. Goldenson N, Doherty SJ, Bitz CM, Holland MM, Light B, Conley AJ (2012) Arctic climate response to forcing from light-absorbing particles in snow and sea ice in CESM. Atmos Chem Phys 12: 7903-7920.
13. Graversen RG, Wang MH (2009) Polar amplification in a coupled climate model with locked albedo. Clim Dyn 33: 629-643.
14. Graversen RG, Mauritsen T, Tjernstrom M, Kallen E, Svensson G (2008) Vertical structure of recent Arctic warming. Nature 451: 53-56.
15. Hall A (2004) The role of surface albedo feedback in climate. J Clim 17: 1550-1568.
16. Hall A, Manabe S (1999) The role of water vapor feedback in unperturbed climate variability and global warming. J Clim 12: 2327-2346.
17. Held IM, Soden BJ (2006) Robust responses of the hydrological cycle to global warming. J Clim 19: 5686-5699.
18. Holland MM, Bitz CM (2003) Polar amplification of climate change in coupled models. Clim Dyn 21: 221-232.
19. Hwang YT, Frierson DMW, Kay JE (2011) Coupling between Arctic feedbacks and changes in poleward energy transport. Geophys Res Lett 38: L17704. doi: 10. 1029/2011gl048546.
20. K-1 model developers, X (2004) K-1 coupled model (miroc) description. Tech. rep., Center for Climate System Research, The University of Tokyo.
21. Kay JE, Holland MM, Bitz CM, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth E, Gettelman A, Conley A, Bailey D (2012) The influence of local feedbacks and northward heat transport on the equilibrium arctic climate response to increased greenhouse gas forcing. J Clim 25: 5433-5450.
22. Laîné A, Kageyama M, Braconnot P, Alkama R (2009) Impact of greenhouse gas concentration changes on surface energetics in IPSL-CM4: regional warming patterns, land-sea warming ratios, and glacial-interglacial differences. J Clim 22: 4621-4635.
23. Langen PL, Graversen RG, Mauritsen T (2012) Separation of contributions from radiative feedbacks to polar amplification on an aquaplanet. J Clim 25: 3010-3024.
24. Lu JH, Cai M (2009a) Seasonality of polar surface warming amplification in climate simulations. Geophys Res Lett 36: L16704. doi: 10. 1029/2009gl040133.
25. Lu JH, Cai M (2009b) A new framework for isolating individual feedback processes in coupled general circulation climate models. Part I: formulation. Clim Dyn 32: 873-885.
26. Lu JH, Cai M (2010) Quantifying contributions to polar warming amplification in an idealized coupled general circulation model. Clim Dyn 34: 669-687.
27. Mahlstein I, Knutti R (2011) Ocean heat transport as a cause for model uncertainty in projected arctic warming. J Clim 24: 1451-1460.
28. 2-climate sensitivity study with a mathematical-model of the global climate. Nature 282: 491-493.
29. 2 concentration in the atmosphere. J Geophys Res 85: 5529-5554.
30. 2 concentration on climate of a general circulation model. J Atmos Sci 32: 3-15.
31. 2. Clim Dyn 33: 645-663.
32. Ohmura A (1984) On the cause of fram type seasonal change in diurnal amplitude of air-temperature in polar-regions. J Climatol 4: 325-338.
33. Ohmura A (2012) Enhanced temperature variability in high-altitude climate change. Theor Appl Climatol 110: 499-508.
34. Qu X, Hall A (2007) What controls the strength of snow-albedo feedback? J Clim 20: 3971-3981.
35. Ridley J, Lowe J, Brierley C, Harris G (2007) Uncertainty in the sensitivity of Arctic sea ice to global warming in a perturbed parameter climate model ensemble. Geophys Res Lett 34: L19704. doi: 10. 1029/2007gl031209.
36. Robock A (1983) Ice and snow feedbacks and the latitudinal and seasonal distribution of climate sensitivity. J Atmos Sci 40: 986-997.
37. Schneider EK, Kirtman BP, Lindzen RS (1999) Tropospheric water vapor and climate sensitivity. J Atmos Sci 56: 1649-1658.
38. Screen JA, Simmonds I (2010) The central role of diminishing sea ice in recent Arctic temperature amplification. Nature 464: 1334-1337.
39. Screen JA, Simmonds I (2011) Erroneous arctic temperature trends in the era-40 reanalysis: a closer look. J Clim 24: 2620-2627.
40. Serreze MC, Barry RG (2011) Processes and impacts of Arctic amplification: a research synthesis. Global Planet Chan 77: 85-96.
41. Serreze MC, Barrett AP, Stroeve JC, Kindig DN, Holland MM (2009) The emergence of surface-based Arctic amplification. Cryosphere 3: 11-19.
42. Shindell D, Faluvegi G (2009) Climate response to regional radiative forcing during the twentieth century. Nat Geosci 2: 294-300.
43. Soden BJ, Held IM, Colman R, Shell KM, Kiehl JT, Shields CA (2008) Quantifying climate feedbacks using radiative kernels. J Clim 21: 3504-3520.
44. Taylor PC, Cai M, Hu A, Meehl J, Washington W, Zhang GJ (2013) A decomposition of feedback contributions to polar warming amplification. J Clim. doi: 10. 1175/jcli-d-12-00696. 1.
45. Tsushima Y, Emori S, Ogura T, Kimoto M, Webb MJ, Williams KD, Ringer MA, Soden BJ, Li B, Andronova N (2006) Importance of the mixed-phase cloud distribution in the control climate for assessing the response of clouds to carbon dioxide increase: a multi-model study. Clim Dyn 27: 113-126.
46. Vavrus S (2004) The impact of cloud feedbacks on Arctic climate under greenhouse forcing. J Clim 17: 603-615.
47. Winton M (2006) Amplified Arctic climate change: what does surface albedo feedback have to do with it? Geophys Res Lett 33: L03701. doi: 10. 1029/2005gl025244.
48. Yoshimori M, Abe-Ouchi A (2012) Sources of spread in multimodel projections of the Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance. J Clim 25: 1157-1175.
49. Yoshimori M, Yokohata T, Abe-Ouchi A (2009) A comparison of climate feedback strength between CO2 doubling and LGM experiments. J Clim 22: 3374-3395.
50. Yoshimori M, Hargreaves JC, Annan JD, Yokohata T, Abe-Ouchi A (2011) Dependency of feedbacks on forcing and climate state in physics parameter ensembles. J Clim 24: 6440-6455.