Simulation analysis of China's energy and industrial structure adjustment potential to achieve a low-carbon economy by 2020

Sustainability (Switzerland)

Volumn 5, Issue 12, 2013, Pages 5081-5099

  Xiang, Nan ^a,b,c   Xu, Feng ^a,d   Sha, Jinghua ^a,c  

^a CHINA UNIVERSITY OF GEOSCIENCES   (China)

^b UNIVERSITY OF CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES   (China)

^c China University of Geosciences Beijing)   (China)

^d TSINGHUA UNIVERSITY   (China)

Author keywords

Dynamic simulation; Energy balance; Industrial structure; Low carbon economy

Indexed keywords

CARBON EMISSION; ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT; ENERGY BUDGET; ENERGY FLOW; ENERGY USE; GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT; INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE; NUMERICAL MODEL; SIMULATION;

CHINA;

EID: 84894038082     PISSN: 20711050     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3390/su5125081     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Morrison, W.M. China's economic conditions, CRS Report RL33534. Available online: https://www.opencrs.com/document/RL33534/ (accessed on 14 October 2013).
2. Leggett, J.A.; Logan, J.; Mackey, A. China's greenhouse gas emission and mitigation policies, CRS Report RL34659. Available online: www.fas.org sgp crs row R41919.pdf (accessed on 14 October 2013).
3. Levine, M.; Aden, N. Global carbon emissions in the coming decades: The case of China. Annu. Rev. Environ. Resour. 2008, 33, 19-38.
4. World Bank. Cost of Pollution in China: Economic Estimates of Physical Damages; World Bank: Washington, DC, USA, 2007.
5. Grantham Institute for Climate Change. An Assessment of China's 2020 Carbon Intensity Target; Report GR1; Imperial College: London, UK, 2011.
6. Gomi, K.; Shimada, K.; Matsuoka, Y. A low-carbon scenario creation method for a local-scale economy and its application in Kyoto city. Energ. Policy 2010, 38, 4783-4796.
7. Yi, W.J.; Zou, L.L.; Guo, J.; Wang, K.; Wei, Y.M. How can China reach its CO2 intensity reduction targets by 2020? A regional allocation based on equity and development. Energ. Policy 2011, 39, 2407-2415.
8. China Statistics Bureau. China Statistical Yearbook 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011; China Statistics Press: Beijing, China, 2011.
9. Dolf, G.; Chen, C.H. The CO2 emission reduction benefits of Chinese energy policies and environmental policies: A case study for Shanghai, period 1995-2020. Ecol. Econ. 2001, 39, 257-270.
10. World Bank. Available online: http://www.data.worldbank.org (accessed on 14 October 2013).
11. Chakravarty, A.; Chikkatur, A.; de Coninck, H.; Pacala, S.; Socolow, R.; Mavoni, M. Sharing Global CO2 Emission Reductions among One Billion High Emitters. In Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Fairfax, VA, USA, 6 July 2009.
12. Ding, Z.; Duan, X.; Ge, Q. Control of atmospheric CO2 concentration by 2050: An allocation on the emission rights of different countries. Sci. China Earth Sci. 2009, 39, 1448-1471.
13. Hu, G.; Luo, Y.; Liu, H. Contributions of accumulative per capita emissions to global climate change. Adv. Clim. Chang. Res. 2009, 5, 30-33.
14. Hof, A.; den Elzen, M.G.J.; van Vuuren, D.P. Environmental effectiveness and economic consequences of fragmented vs. universal regimes: What can we learn from model studies. Int. Environ. Agreem. Polit. Law Econ. 2009, 9, 39-62.
15. Jiang, K.J.; Hu, X.L.; Zhuang, X.; Liu, Q.; Zhu, S.L. China's energy demand and greenhouse gas emission scenarios in 2050. Adv. Clim. Chang. Res. 2008, 4, 296-302.
16. Edwards, T.; Hutton, J. Allocation of carbon permits within a country: A general equilibrium analysis of the United Kingdom. Energ. Econ. 2001, 23, 371-386.
17. Tietenberg, T. Economic instruments for environmental regulation. Oxford Rev. Econ. Pol. 1990, 6, 17-34.
18. Viguier, L. Fair trade and harmonization of climate change policies in Europe. Energ. Policy 2001, 21, 749-753.
19. Marland, G. Emissions accounting: China's uncertain CO2 emissions. Nat. Clim. Chang. 2012, 2, 645-646.
20. Xu, H.Q. China National Energy Strategy and Policy 2020-Subtitle 7: Global Climate Change: Challenges, Opportunities, and Strategy Faced by China; Energy Research Institute National Development and Reform Commission: Beijing, China, 2005.
21. International Energy Agency (IEA). World Energy Outlook; IEA/OECD: Paris, France, 2009.
22. International Energy Agency (IEA). Energy Technology Perspectives 2010; IEA/OECD: Paris, France, 2010.
23. Den Elzen, M.; Höhne, N. Reductions of greenhouse gas emissions in Annex I and non-Annex I countries for meeting concentration stabilisation targets. Clim. Chang. 2008, 91, 249-274.
24. Wang, Y.J.; Gu, A.; Zhang, L. Recent development of energy supply and demand in China, and energy sector prospects through 2030. Energ. Policy 2011, 39, 6745-6759.
25. Lin, Q.G.; Huang, G.H. Planning of energy system management and GHG-emission control in the Municipality of Beijing-An inexact-dynamic stochastic programming model. Energ. Policy 2009, 37, 4463-4473.
26. Higano, Y.; Nijkamp, P.; Poot, J.; Wyk, K.V. The Region in the New Economy: An International Perspective on Regional Dynamics in the 21st Century; Ashgate publishing: Farnham, UK, 2002.
27. Beroggi, G.E.G. Dicision Modelling in Policy Management: An Introduction to Analytic Concepts; Springer: Berlin, Germany, 1999.
28. Li, B.; Higano, Y. An Environmental Socioeconomic Framework Model for Adapting to Climate Change in China. In Globalization and Regional Economic Modeling; Advances in Spatial Science, Part C; Cooper, R., Donaghy, K., Hewings, G., Ed.; Springer: Berlin/Heidelberg, Germany, 2007; pp. 327-349.
29. Xu, F.; Xiang, N.; Higano, Y. Comprehensive Evaluation of Environmental Policies for Sustainable Development in Jiaxing City, China. Environ. Eng. Manag. J. 2013, in press. Available online: http://omicron.ch.tuiasi.ro/EEMJ/accepted.htm (accessed on 14 October 2013).
30. Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth (RITE). Scenario Analysis of Halving Global CO2 Emissions by 2050; RITE: Kyoto, Japan, 2009.