Modeled subalpine plant community response to climate change and atmospheric nitrogen deposition in Rocky Mountain National Park, USA

Environmental Pollution

Volumn 187, Issue , 2014, Pages 55-64

  McDonnell, T C ^a   Belyazid, S ^b   Sullivan, T J ^a   Sverdrup, H ^c   Bowman, W D ^d   Porter, E M ^e  

^a E and S Environmental Chemistry Inc   (United States)

^b Belyazid Consulting and Communication AB   (Sweden)

^c LUND UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

^d UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO   (United States)

^e NATIONAL PARK SERVICE   (United States)

Author keywords

Biodiversity; Climate; Critical load; Nitrogen; Plant; Subalpine

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC NITROGEN; ATMOSPHERIC NITROGEN DEPOSITION; CLIMATE; COMMUNITY COMPOSITION; CRITICAL LOAD; PLANT; ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK; SUBALPINE;

BIODIVERSITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; VEGETATION;

NITROGEN;

NITROGEN;

ATMOSPHERIC DEPOSITION; BIODIVERSITY; BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLE; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMMUNITY RESPONSE; COMPETITION (ECOLOGY); ECOSYSTEM RESPONSE; NITROGEN; PLANT COMMUNITY; VEGETATION DYNAMICS;

ARTICLE; ATMOSPHERIC DEPOSITION; BIODIVERSITY; BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLE; CLIMATE CHANGE; COMPARATIVE STUDY; CRITICAL LOAD; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETERS; NONHUMAN; PLANT COMMUNITY; PLANT ENVIRONMENT INTERACTION; PLANT MODEL; PLANT RESPONSE; PREDICTION; SIMULATION; SUBALPINE PLANT COMMUNITY; UNITED STATES; VEGETATION DYNAMICS; VEGETATION RESPONSE;

COLORADO; ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK; UNITED STATES;

BIODIVERSITY; CLIMATE; CRITICAL LOAD; NITROGEN; PLANT; SUBALPINE;

AIR POLLUTANTS; ATMOSPHERE; CLIMATE; CLIMATE CHANGE; COLORADO; ECOSYSTEM; ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; NITROGEN; PLANT DEVELOPMENT; PLANTS;

EID: 84892731859     PISSN: 02697491     EISSN: 18736424     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2013.12.021     Document Type: Article

References (42)

1. J.S. Baron Hindcasting nitrogen deposition to determine ecological critical load Ecol. Appl. 16 2006 433 439
2. S. Belyazid Dynamic Modelling of Biogeochemical Processes in Forest Ecosystems 2006 Chemical Engineering. Lund University Lund, Sweden
3. S. Belyazid, and F. Moldan Using ForSAFE-veg to Investigate the Feasibility and Requirements of Setting Critical Loads for N Based on Vegetation Change, a Pilot Study at Gårdsjön, Göteborg, Sweden 2009
4. S. Belyazid, D. Kurz, S. Braun, H. Sverdrup, B. Rihm, and J.-P. Hettelingh A dynamic modelling approach for estimating critical loads of nitrogen based on plant community changes under a changing climate Environ. Pollut. 159 2011 789 801
5. S. Belyazid, H. Sverdrup, D. Kurz, and S. Braun Exploring ground vegetation change for different deposition scenarios and methods for estimating critical loads for biodiversity using the ForSAFE-Veg model in Switzerland and Sweden Water Air Soil Pollut. 216 2011 289 317
6. R. Bobbink, K. Hicks, J. Galloway, T. Spranger, R. Alkemade, M. Ashmore, M. Bustamante, S. Cinderby, E. Davidson, F. Dentener, B. Emmett, J.-W. Erisman, M. Fenn, F.S. Gilliam, A. Nordin, L. Pardo, and W. De Vries Global assessment of nitrogen deposition effects on terrestrial plant diversity: a synthesis Ecol. Appl. 20 2010 30 59
7. W.D. Bowman, T.A. Theodose, J.C. Schardt, and R.T. Conant Constraints of nutrient availability on primary production in two alpine tundra communities Ecology 74 1993 2085 2097
8. W.D. Bowman, T.A. Theodose, and T.A. Fisk Physiological and production responses of plant growth forms to increases in limiting resources in alpine tundra: implications for differential community response to environmental change Oecologia 101 1995 217 227
9. W.D. Bowman, J.R. Gartner, K. Holland, and M. Wiedermann Nitrogen critical loads for alpine vegetation and terrestrial ecosystem response: are we there yet? Ecol. Appl. 16 2006 1183 1193
10. W.D. Bowman, J. Murgel, T. Blett, and E. Porter Nitrogen critical loads for alpine vegetation and soils in Rocky Mountain National Park J. Environ. Manag. 103 2012 165 171
11. J.R. Bray, and J.T. Curtis An ordination of upland forest communities of southern Wisconsin Ecol. Monogr. 27 1957 325 349
12. D.A. Burns Atmospheric nitrogen deposition in the Rocky Mountains of Colorado and Southern Wyoming - a review and new analysis of past study results Atmos. Environ. 37 2003 921 932
13. M.D. Dearing Disparate determinants of summer and winter diet selection of a generalist herbivore, Ochotona princeps Oecologia 108 1996 467 478
14. M.E. Fenn, R. Haeuber, G.S. Tonnesen, J.S. Baron, S. Grossman-Clark, D. Hope, D.A. Jaffe, S. Copeland, L. Geiser, H.M. Rueth, and J.O. Sickman Nitrogen emissions, deposition, and monitoring in the western United States BioScience 53 2003 391 403
15. L.H. Geiser, and P.N. Neitlich Air pollution and climate gradients in western Oregon and Washington indicated by epiphytic macrolichens Environ. Pollut. 145 2007 203 218
16. A. Henriksen, and M. Posch Steady-state models for calculating critical loads of acidity for surface waters Water Air Soil. Pollut. Focus 1 2001 375 398
17. A.E. Hessl, and W.L. Baker Spruce and fir regeneration and climate in the forest-tundra ecotone of Rocky Mountain National Park, Colorado, U.S.A Arct. Alp. Res. 29 1997 173 183
18. K. Heuer, K.A. Tonnessen, and G.P. Ingersoll Comparison of precipitation chemistry in the Central Rocky Mountains, Colorado, USA Atmos. Environ. 34 2000 1713 1722
19. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, H.L. Miller, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007 Cambridge University Press Cambridge/New York
20. J.E. Korb, and T.A. Ranker Changes in stand composition and structure between 1981 and 1996 in four Front Range plant communities in Colorado Plant Ecol. 157 2001 1 11
21. E.P. Maurer, L. Brekke, T. Pruitt, and P.B. Duffy Fine-resolution climate projections enhance regional climate change impact studies Eos Trans. Am. Geophys. Union 88 2007
22. S.G. McNulty, E.C. Cohen, J.A.M. Myers, T.J. Sullivan, and H. Li Estimates of critical acid loads and exceedances for forest soils across the conterminous United States Environ. Pollut. 149 2007 281 292
23. L. Nanus, D.W. Clow, J.E. Saros, V.C. Stephens, and D.H. Campbell Mapping critical loads of nitrogen deposition for aquatic ecosystems in the Rocky Mountains, USA Environ. Pollut. 166 2012 125 135
24. J. Nilsson, and P. Grennfelt Critical Loads for Sulphur and Nitrogen 1988 Nordic Council of Ministers Copenhagen
25. L.H. Pardo, M.J. Robin-Abbott, and C.T. Driscoll Assessment of Nitrogen Deposition Effects and Empirical Critical Loads of Nitrogen for Ecoregions of the United States General Technical Report NRS-80 2011 U.S. Forest Service Newtown Square, PA
26. L.H. Pardo, M.E. Fenn, C.L. Goodale, L.H. Geiser, C.T. Driscoll, E.B. Allen, J.S. Baron, R. Bobbink, W.D. Bowman, C.M. Clark, B. Emmett, F.S. Gilliam, T.L. Greaver, S.J. Hall, E.A. Lilleskov, L. Liu, J.A. Lynch, K.J. Nadelhoffer, S.S. Perakis, M.J. Robin-Abbott, J.L. Stoddard, K.C. Weathers, and R.L. Dennis Effects of nitrogen deposition and empirical nitrogen critical loads for ecoregions of the United States Ecol. Appl. 21 8 2011 3049 3082
27. C. Parmesan Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 37 2006 637 669
28. R.K. Peet Forest vegetation of the Colorado Front range: composition and dynamics Vegetatio 45 1981 3 75
29. E. Porter, T. Blett, D.U. Potter, and C. Huber Protecting resources on federal lands: implications of critical loads for atmospheric deposition on nitrogen and sulfur BioScience 55 2005 603 612
30. E. Porter, H. Sverdrup, and T.J. Sullivan Estimating and mitigating the impacts of climate change and air pollution on alpine plant communities in national parks Park Sci. 28 2012 58 64 Available online at: http://www.nature. nps.gov/ParkScience/index.cfm?ArticleID=513
31. E.M. Porter, W.D. Bowman, C.M. Clark, J.E. Compton, L.H. Pardo, and J.L. Soong Interactive effects of anthropogenic nitrogen enrichment and climate change on terrestrial and aquatic biodiversity Biogeochemistry 114 2013 93 120
32. W.H. Schlesinger Biogeochemistry: an Analysis of Global Change 1997 Academic Press San Diego
33. K.N. Suding, S.L. Collins, L. Gough, C. Clark, E.E. Cleland, K.L. Gross, D.G. Milchunas, and S. Pennings Functional- and abundance-based mechanisms explain diversity loss due to N fertilization Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 102 2005 4387 4392
34. T.J. Sullivan, B.J. Cosby, K.A. Tonnessen, and D.W. Clow Surface water acidification responses and critical loads of sulfur and nitrogen deposition in Loch Vale Watershed, Colorado Water Resour. Res. 41 2005 W01021 10.1029/2004 WR 003414
35. H. Sverdrup, S. Belyazid, D. Kurz, and S. Braun Proposed method for estimating critical loads for nitrogen based on biodiversity using a fully integrated dynamic model, with testing in Switzerland and Sweden H. Sverdrup, Towards Critical Loads for Nitrogen Based on Biodiversity: Exploring a Fully Integrated Dynamic Model at Test Sites in Switzerland and Sweden. Background Document for the 18th CCE Workshop on the Assessment of Nitrogen Effects under the ICP for Modelling and Mapping, LRTAP Convention (UNECE), 21-25 April 2008, Berne, Switzerland 2008
36. H. Sverdrup, T.C. McDonnell, T.J. Sullivan, B. Nihlgård, S. Belyazid, B. Rihm, E. Porter, W.D. Bowman, and L. Geiser Testing the feasibility of using the ForSAFE-VEG model to map the critical load of nitrogen to protect plant biodiversity in the Rocky Mountains region, USA Water Air Soil. Pollut. 2012 10.1007/s11270-011-0865-y
37. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Risk and Exposure Assessment for Review of the Secondary National Ambient Air Quality Standards for Oxides of Nitrogen and Oxides of Sulfur: Final 2009 Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Health and Environmental Impacts Division, Research Triangle Park, NC
38. P.M. Vitousek, J.D. Aber, R.W. Howarth, G.E. Likens, P.A. Matson, D.W. Schindler, W.H. Schlesinger, and D.G. Tilman Human alteration of the global nitrogen cycle: sources and consequences Ecol. Appl. 7 1997 737 750
39. P. Wallman, M.G.E. Svensson, H. Sverdrup, and S. Belyazid ForSAFE - an integrated process-oriented forest model for long-term sustainability assessments For. Ecol. Manag. 207 2005 19 36
40. K.C. Weathers, S.M. Simkin, G.M. Lovett, and S.E. Lindberg Empirical modeling of atmospheric deposition in mountainous landscapes Ecol. Appl. 16 2006 1590 1607
41. J.L. Wilkening, C. Ray, E.A. Beever, and P.F. Brussard Modeling contemporary range retraction in Great Basin pikas (Ochotona princeps) using data on microclimate and microhabitat Quat. Int. 235 2011 77 88
42. M.W. Williams, and K.A. Tonnessen Critical loads for inorganic nitrogen deposition in the Colorado Front Range, USA Ecol. Appl. 10 2000 1648 1665