The accuracy of predicting survival in individual patients with cancer: Clinical article

Journal of Neurosurgery

Volumn 120, Issue 1, 2014, Pages 24-30

  Kondziolka, Douglas ^a   Parry, Phillip V ^b   Lunsford, L Dade ^b   Kano, Hideyuki ^b   Flickinger, John C ^b   Rakfal, Susan ^b   Arai, Yoshio ^b   Loeffler, Jay S ^d   Rush, Stephen ^a   Knisely, Jonathan P S ^e   Sheehan, Jason ^f   Friedman, William ^g   Tarhini, Ahmad A ^c   Francis, Lanie ^c   Lieberman, Frank ^b   Ahluwalia, Manmeet S ^h   Linskey, Mark E ⁱ   McDermott, Michael ^j   Sperduto, Paul ^k   Stupp, Roger ^l  

^a NEW YORK UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH SCHOOL OF MEDICINE   (United States)

^c UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH   (United States)

^d HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL   (United States)

^e LONG ISLAND JEWISH MEDICAL CENTER   (United States)

^f UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA HEALTH SYSTEM   (United States)

^g UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA COLLEGE OF MEDICINE   (United States)

^h LERNER RESEARCH INSTITUTE   (United States)

ⁱ UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^j UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA   (United States)

^k Minneapolis Radiation Oncology   (United States)

^l UNIVERSITY OF LAUSANNE   (Switzerland)

more..

Author keywords

Brain metastasis; Brain tumor; Cancer; Oncology; Outcome; Prediction; Survival

Indexed keywords

ADULT; AGED; ARTICLE; BRAIN METASTASIS; BREAST CANCER; CACHEXIA; CANCER PATIENT; CANCER SURVIVAL; HUMAN; KARNOFSKY PERFORMANCE STATUS; KIDNEY CARCINOMA; LUNG NON SMALL CELL CANCER; LUNG SMALL CELL CANCER; MAJOR CLINICAL STUDY; MEDICAL ONCOLOGIST; MELANOMA; MIDDLE AGED; NEUROSURGEON; PRIORITY JOURNAL; PROSPECTIVE STUDY; RADIATION ONCOLOGIST; RADIOSURGERY; RADIOTHERAPY; RECURSIVE PARTITIONING ANALYSIS CLASS; SCORING SYSTEM; STEREOTACTIC RADIOSURGERY; SURGICAL ONCOLOGIST; SURVIVAL PREDICTION; SURVIVAL TIME; VERY ELDERLY; WHOLE BRAIN RADIOTHERAPY;

ADULT; AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; BRAIN NEOPLASMS; FEMALE; HUMANS; MALE; MIDDLE AGED; NEOPLASMS; PREDICTIVE VALUE OF TESTS; PROGNOSIS; SURVIVAL RATE;

EID: 84892413333     PISSN: 00223085     EISSN: 19330693     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3171/2013.9.JNS13788     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. Andrews DW, Scott CB, Sperduto PW, Flanders AE, Gaspar LE, Schell MC, et al: Whole brain radiation therapy with or without stereotactic radiosurgery boost for patients with one to three brain metastases: phase III results of the RTOG 9508 randomised trial. Lancet 363:1665-1672, 2004
2. Aoyama H, Shirato H, Tago M, Nakagawa K, Toyoda T, Hatano K, et al: Stereotactic radiosurgery plus whole-brain radiation therapy vs stereotactic radiosurgery alone for treatment of brain metastases: a randomized controlled trial. JAMA 295:2483-2491, 2006
3. Barnholtz-Sloan JS, Yu C, Sloan AE, Vengoechea J, Wang M, Dignam JJ, et al: A nomogram for individualized estimation of survival among patients with brain metastasis. Neuro Oncol 14:910-918, 2012
4. Bhatnagar AK, Kondziolka D, Lunsford LD, Flickinger JC: Recursive partitioning analysis of prognostic factors for patients with four or more intracranial metastases treated with radiosurgery. Technol Cancer Res Treat 6:153-160, 2007
5. Chiou SM: Validity of the graded prognostic assessment-derived index to predict brain-metastatic patients' survival after Gamma Knife radiosurgery. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 78:1156-1162, 2010
6. Chow E, Abdolell M, Panzarella T, Harris K, Bezjak A, Warde P, et al: Predictive model for survival in patients with advanced cancer. J Clin Oncol 26:5863-5869, 2008
7. Chow E, Harth T, Hruby G, Finkelstein J, Wu J, Danjoux C: How accurate are physicians' clinical predictions of survival and the available prognostic tools in estimating survival times in terminally ill cancer patients? A systematic review. Clin Oncol (R Coll Radiol) 13:209-218, 2001
8. Christakis NA, Lamont EB: Extent and determinants of error in doctors' prognoses in terminally ill patients: prospective cohort study. BMJ 320:469-472, 2000
9. Clément-Duchêne C, Carnin C, Guillemin F, Martinet Y: How accurate are physicians in the prediction of patient survival in advanced lung cancer? Oncologist 15:782-789, 2010
10. Gaspar L, Scott C, Rotman M, Asbell S, Phillips T, Wasserman T, et al: Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) of prognostic factors in three Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) brain metastases trials. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 37:745-751, 1997
11. Glare P, Virik K, Jones M, Hudson M, Eychmuller S, Simes J, et al: A systematic review of physicians' survival predictions in terminally ill cancer patients. BMJ 327:195-198, 2003
12. Gripp S, Moeller S, Bölke E, Schmitt G, Matuschek C, Asgari S, et al: Survival prediction in terminally ill cancer patients by clinical estimates, laboratory tests, and self-rated anxiety and depression. J Clin Oncol 25:3313-3320, 2007
13. Gupta D, Lis CG: Pretreatment serum albumin as a predictor of cancer survival: a systematic review of the epidemiological literature. Nutr J 9:69, 2010
14. Gwilliam B, Keeley V, Todd C, Gittins M, Roberts C, Kelly L, et al: Development of prognosis in palliative care study (PiPS) predictor models to improve prognostication in advanced cancer: prospective cohort study. BMJ 343:d4920, 2011
15. Hølmebakk T, Solbakken A, Mala T, Nesbakken A: Clinical prediction of survival by surgeons for patients with incurable abdominal malignancy. Eur J Surg Oncol 37:571-575, 2011
16. Kondziolka D, Kano H, Harrison GL, Yang HC, Liew DN, Niranjan A, et al: Stereotactic radiosurgery as primary and salvage treatment for brain metastases from breast cancer. Clinical article. J Neurosurg 114:792-800, 2011
17. Kondziolka D, Martin JJ, Flickinger JC, Friedland DM, Brufsky AM, Baar J, et al: Long-term survivors after gamma knife radiosurgery for brain metastases. Cancer 104:2784-2791, 2005
18. Kondziolka D, Patel A, Lunsford LD, Kassam A, Flickinger JC: Stereotactic radiosurgery plus whole brain radiotherapy versus radiotherapy alone for patients with multiple brain metastases. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 45:427-434, 1999
19. Liew DN, Kano H, Kondziolka D, Mathieu D, Niranjan A, Flickinger JC, et al: Outcome predictors of Gamma Knife surgery for melanoma brain metastases. Clinical article. J Neurosurg 114:769-779, 2011
20. Linskey ME, Andrews DW, Asher AL, Burri SH, Kondziolka D, Robinson PD, et al: The role of stereotactic radiosurgery in the management of patients with newly diagnosed brain metastases: a systematic review and evidence-based clinical practice guideline. J Neurooncol 96:45-68, 2010
21. Mackillop WJ, Quirt CF: Measuring the accuracy of prognostic judgments in oncology. J Clin Epidemiol 50:21-29, 1997
22. Maher EJ: How long have I got doctor? Eur J Cancer 30A: 283-284, 1994
23. Morita T, Tsunoda J, Inoue S, Chihara S: The Palliative Prognostic Index: a scoring system for survival prediction of terminally ill cancer patients. Support Care Cancer 7:128-133, 1999
24. Niwińska A, Murawska M: New breast cancer recursive partitioning analysis prognostic index in patients with newly diagnosed brain metastases. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 82:2065-2071, 2012
25. Parkes CM: Accuracy of predictions of survival in later stages of cancer. BMJ 2:29-31, 1972
26. Sperduto PW, Kased N, Roberge D, Xu Z, Shanley R, Luo X, et al: Effect of tumor subtype on survival and the graded prognostic assessment for patients with breast cancer and brain metastases. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 82:2111-2117, 2012
27. Varlotto JM, Flickinger JC, Niranjan A, Bhatnagar A, Kondziolka D, Lunsford LD: The impact of whole-brain radiation therapy on the long-term control and morbidity of patients surviving more than one year after gamma knife radiosurgery for brain metastases. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 62:1125-1132, 2005
28. Viganò A, Dorgan M, Bruera E, Suarez-Almazor ME: The relative accuracy of the clinical estimation of the duration of life for patients with end of life cancer. Cancer 86:170-176, 1999
29. Weeks JC, Cook EF, O'Day SJ, Peterson LM, Wenger N, Reding D, et al: Relationship between cancer patients' predictions of prognosis and their treatment preferences. JAMA 279:1709-1714, 1998
30. Weltman E, Salvajoli JV, Brandt RA, de Morais Hanriot R, Prisco FE, Cruz JC, et al: Radiosurgery for brain metastases: a score index for predicting prognosis. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 46:1155-1161, 2000
31. Zhao X, Rødland EA, Sørlie T, Naume B, Langerød A, Frigessi A, et al: Combining gene signatures improves prediction of breast cancer survival. PLoS ONE 6:e17845, 2011