Different flavors of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 42, Issue 1-2, 2014, Pages 381-399

  Zanchettin, Davide ^a   Bothe, Oliver ^a,b   Müller, Wolfgang ^a   Bader, Jürgen ^a,c   Jungclaus, Johann H ^a  

^a MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGY   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF HAMBURG   (Germany)

^c BJERKNES CENTRE FOR CLIMATE RESEARCH   (Norway)

Author keywords

Atlantic Multidecadal Variability; Climate of the last millennium; Earth system model; Externally forced climate variability; Natural climate variability; Sea surface temperatures; Teleconnections

Indexed keywords

ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION; CLIMATE FORCING; CLIMATE VARIATION; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; TELECONNECTION;

EID: 84891624673     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-013-1669-0     Document Type: Article

References (60)

1. Booth BBB, Dunstone NJ, Halloran PR, Andrews T, Bellouin N (2012) Aerosols implicated as a prime driver of twentieth-century North Atlantic climate variability. Nature. doi: 10. 1038/nature10946.
2. Bothe O, Jungclaus JH, Zanchettin D, Zorita E (2012) Climate of the last millennium: ensemble consistency of simulations and reconstructions. Clim Past Discuss 8: 2409-2444. doi: 10. 5194/cpd-8-2409-2012.
3. Brovkin V, Lorenz SJ, Jungclaus J, Raddatz T, Timmreck C, Reick CH, Segschneider J, Six K (2010) Sensitivity of a coupled climate-carbon cycle model to large volcanic eruptions during the last millennium. Tellus B 62: 674-681. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1600-0889. 2010. 00471. x.
4. Choi J, An S-I, Kug J-S, Yeh S-W (2011) The role of mean state on changes in El Niño's flavours. Clim Dyn 37: 1205-1215.
5. Chylek P, Folland CK, Dijkstra HA, Lesins G, Dubey MK (2011) Icecore data evidence for a prominent near 20 year time-scale of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation. Geophys Res Lett 38: L13704. doi: 10. 1029/2011GL047501.
6. Chylek P, Folland C, Frankcombe L, Dijkstra H, Lesins G, Dubey M (2012) Greenland ice core evidence for spatial and temporal variability of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Geophys Res Lett 39: L09705. doi: 10. 1029/2012GL051241.
7. Cook ER, Briffa KR, Jones PD (1994) Spatial regression methods in dendroclimatology-a review and comparison of 2 techniques. Int J Climatol 14: 379-402.
8. Crowley TJ, Unterman MB (2012) Technical details concerning development of a 1200-yr proxy index for global volcanism. Earth Syst Sci Data Discuss 5: 1-28. doi: 10. 5194/essdd-5-1-2012.
9. Crowley TJ et al (2008) Volcanism and the little ice age. Pages News 16: 22-23.
10. DelSole T, Tippett MK, Shukla J (2011) A significant component of unperturbed multidecadal variability in the recent acceleration of global warming. J Clim 24: 909-926. doi: 10. 1175/2010JCLI3659. 1.
11. Deser C et al (2012) ENSO and Pacific decadal variability in the community climate system model version 4. J. Clim 25: 2622-2651.
12. Dima M, Lohmann G (2009) Evidence for two distinct modes of large-scale ocean circulation changes over the last century. J Clim 23: 5-16. doi: 10. 1175/2009JCLI2867. 1.
13. Dommenget D, Latif M (2008) Generation of hyper-climate modes. Geophys Res Lett 35: L02706. doi: 10. 1029/2007GL031087.
14. Enfield DB, Cid-Serrano L (2006) Projecting the risk of future climate shifts. Int J Climatol 26: 885-895.
15. Enfield DB, Cid-Serrano L (2010) Secular and multidecadal warmings in the North Atlantic and their relationships with major hurricane activity. Int J Climatol 30(2): 174-184.
16. Enfield DB, Mestas-Nuñez AM (1999) Multiscale variabilities in global sea surface temperatures and their relationships with tropospheric climate patterns. J Clim 12: 2719-2733.
17. Enfield DB, Mestas-Nuñez AM, Trimble PJ (2001) The Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its relation to rainfall and river flows in the continental US. Geophys Res Lett 28: 2077-2080.
18. Fernández-Donado L et al (2012) Temperature response to external forcing in simulations and reconstructions of the last millennium. Clim Past Discuss 8: 4003-4073. doi: 10. 5194/cpd-8-4003-2012.
19. Folland CK, Parker DE, Palmer TN (1986) Sahel rainfall and worldwide sea temperatures, 1901-1985. Nature 320: 602-607.
20. Gao C, Robock A, Ammann C (2008) Volcanic forcing of climate over the last 1500 years: an improved ice-core based index for climate models. J Geophys Res 113: D2311. doi: 10. 1029/2008JD010239.
21. Gent PR et al (2011) The community climate system model version 4. J Clim 24: 4973-4991. doi: 10. 1175/2011JCLI4083. 1.
22. Giorgetta MA et al (2012) Climate change from 1850 to 2100 in MPI-ESM simulations for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5. Submitted to JAMES, special issue. The Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Earth System Model.
23. Gray ST, Graumlich LJ, Betancourt JL, Pederson GT (2004) A treering based reconstruction of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation since 1567 AD. Geophys Res Lett 31: L12205.
24. Grosfeld K, Lohmann G, Rimbu N (2008) The impact of Atlantic and Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies on the North Atlantic multidecadal variability. Tellus. doi: 10. 1111/j. 1600-0870. 2008. 00304. x.
25. Henriksson SV, Räisänen P, Silén J, Laaksonen A (2012) Quasiperiodic climate variability with a period of 50-80 years: fourier analysis of measurements and earth system model simulations. Clim Dyn. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-012-1341-0.
26. Jungclaus JH et al (2010) Climate and carbon-cycle variability over the last millennium. Clim Past 6: 723-737. doi: 10. 5194/cp-6-723-2010.
27. Jungclaus JH et al (2012) Characteristics of the ocean simulations in MPIOM, the ocean component of the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model. Submitted to JAMES, special issue. The Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Earth System Model.
28. Kerr RA (2000) A North Atlantic climate pacemaker for the centuries. Science 288: 1984-1986.
29. Knight JF (2009) The Atlantic multidecadal oscillation inferred from the forced climate response in coupled general circulation models. J Clim 22: 1610-1625.
30. Knudsen MF, Seidenkrantz M-S, Jacobsen BH, Kuijpers A (2011) Tracking the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation through the last 8, 000 years. Nature Comm 2: 178. doi: 10. 1038/ncomms1186.
31. Kwon Y-O et al (2010) Role of Gulf Stream and Kuroshio-Oyashio systems in large-scale atmosphere-ocean interaction: a review. J Clim 23: 3249-3281.
32. Landrum L, Otto-Bliesner BL, Wahl ER, Conley A, Lawrence PJ, Teng H (2011) Last millennium climate and its variability in CCSM4. J Clim. doi: 10. 1175/JCLI-D-11-00326. 1.
33. Liu Z (2012) Dynamics of interdecadal climate variability: a historical perspective. J. Clim 25: 1963-1995. doi: 10. 1175/2011JCLI3980. 1.
34. Mann ME, Emanuel KA (2006) Atlantic hurricane trends linked to climate change. Eos Trans AGU 87(24): 233-244.
35. Mann ME, Zhang Z, Rutherford S, Bradley RS, Hughes MK, Shindell D, Ammann C, Faluvegi G, Ni F (2009) Global signatures and dynamical origins of the little ice age and medieval climate anomaly. Science 326: 1256-1260.
36. Manzini E, Cagnazzo C, Fogli PG, Bellucci A, Müller WA (2012) Stratosphere-troposphere coupling at inter-decadal time scales: implications for the North Atlantic Ocean. Geophys Res Lett 39: L05801. doi: 10. 1029/2011GL050771.
37. Marshall J et al (2001) North Atlantic climate variability: phenomena, impacts and mechanisms. Int J Climatol 21: 1863-1898. doi: 10. 1002/joc. 693.
38. Menary MB, Park W, Lohman K, Vellinga M, Palmer MD, Latif M, Jungclaus JH (2012) A multimodel comparison of centennial Atlantic meridional overturning circulation variability. Clim Dyn 38: 2377-2388.
39. Neumaier A, Schneider T (2001) Estimation of parameters and eigenmodes of multivariate autoregressive models. ACM Trans Math Softw 27: 27-57.
40. Otterå OH, Bentsen M, Drange H, Suo L (2010) External forcing as a metronome for Atlantic multidecadal variability. Nat Geosci. doi: 10. 1038/NGEO995.
41. Park W, Latif M (2010) Pacific and Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. Geophys Res Lett 37: L24702. doi: 10. 1029/2010GL045560.
42. Saenger C, Cohen AL, Oppo DW, Halley RB, Carilli JE (2009) Surface temperature trends and variability in the low-latitude North Atlantic since 1552. Nat Geosci 2: 492-495. doi: 10. 1038/ngeo552.
43. Schlesinger ME, Ramankutty N (1994) An oscillation in the global climate system of period 65-70 years. Nature 367: 723-726. doi: 10. 1038/367723a0.
44. Schmidt GA et al (2011) Climate forcing reconstructions for use in PMIP simulations of the last millennium (v1. 0). Geosci Model Dev 4: 33-45. doi: 10. 5194/gmd-4-33-2011.
45. Ting M, Kushnir Y, Seager R, Li C (2009) Forced and internal twentieth century SST in the North Atlantic. J Clim 22: 1469-1481. doi: 10. 1175/2008JCLI2561. 1.
46. Ting M, Kushnir Y, Seager R, Li C (2011) Robust features of Atlantic multi-decadal variability and its climate impacts. Geophys Res Lett 38: L17705. doi: 10. 1029/2011GL048712.
47. Trenberth KE, Shea DJ (2006) Atlantic hurricanes and natural variability in 2005. Geophys Res Lett 33: L12704. doi: 10. 1029/2006GL026894.
48. Vieira LEA, Solanki SK, Krivova NA, Usoskin I (2011) Evolution of the solar irradiance during the holocene. Astron Astrophys 531: A6. doi: 10. 1051/0004-6361/201015843.
49. Vincze M, Jánosi IM (2011) Is the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) a statistical phantom? Nonlin Proc Geophys 18: 469-475. doi: 10. 5194/npg-18-469-2011.
50. Wei W, Lohmann G (2012) Simulated atlantic multidecadal oscillation during the holocene. J Clim 25: 6989-7002. http://dx. doi. org/10. 1175/JCLI-D-11-00667. 1.
51. Wu Z, Huang NE, Wallace JM, Smoliak BV, Chen X (2011a) On the time-varying trend in global-mean surface temperature. Clim Dyn 37: 759-773. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-011-1128-8.
52. Wu S, Liu Z, Zhang R, Delworth TL (2011b) On the observed relationship between the Pacific decadal oscillation and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation. J Oceanogr 67: 27-35. doi: 10. 1007/s10872-011-0003-x.
53. Wyatt MG, Kravtsov S, Tsonis AA (2011) Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and Northern Hemisphere's climate variability. Clim Dyn. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-011-1071-8.
54. Yoshimori M, Raible CC, Stocker TF, Renold M (2010) Simulated decadal oscillations of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a cold climate state. Clim Dyn 34: 101-121. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-009-0540-9.
55. Zanchettin D, Rubino A, Traverso P, Tomasino M (2008) Impact of variations in solar activity on hydrological decadal patterns in northern Italy. J Geophys Res 113: D12102. doi: 10. 1029/2007JD009157.
56. Zanchettin D, Rubino A, Jungclaus JH (2010) Intermittent multidecadal-to-centennial fluctuations dominate global temperature evolution over the last millennium. Geophys Res Lett 37: L14702. doi: 10. 1029/2010GL043717.
57. Zanchettin D, Rubino A, Bothe O, Matei D, Jungclaus JH (2012a) Multidecadal-to-centennial SST variability in the MPI-ESM simulation ensemble for the last millennium. Clim Dyn. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-012-1361-9.
58. Zanchettin D, Timmreck C, Graf H-F, Rubino A, Lorenz S, Krueger K, Lohmann K, Jungclaus JH (2012b) Bi-decadal variability excited in the coupled ocean-atmosphere system by strong tropical volcanic eruptions. Clim Dyn 39(1-2): 419-444. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-011-1167-1.
59. Zhang R, Delworth TL (2007) Impact of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on North Pacific climate variability. Geophys Res Lett 34: L23708. doi: 10. 1029/2007GL031601.
60. Zhong Y et al (2010) Centennial-scale climate change from decadally-paced explosive volcanism: a coupled sea ice-ocean mechanism. Clim Dyn 23: 5-7. doi: 10. 1007/s00382-010-0967-z.