The role of risk perception in making flood risk management more effective

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

Volumn 13, Issue 11, 2013, Pages 3013-3030

  Buchecker, M ^a   Salvini, G ^b   Di Baldassarre, G ^c   Semenzin, E ^b   Maidl, E ^a   Marcomini, A ^b  

^a SWISS FEDERAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE WSL   (Switzerland)

^b CA' FOSCARI UNIVERSITY OF VENICE   (Italy)

^c UNESCO IHE INSTITUTE FOR WATER EDUCATION   (Netherlands)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT; FLOOD; FLOOD CONTROL; LITERATURE REVIEW; RISK ASSESSMENT; RISK PERCEPTION; SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT; STAKEHOLDER;

EUROPE;

EID: 84890103121     PISSN: 15618633     EISSN: 16849981     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-13-3013-2013     Document Type: Article

References (96)

1. Aerts, J., Botzen, W. J. W., van der Veen, A., Krywkow, J., and Werners, S.: Dealing with uncertainty in flood management through diversification, Ecol. Soc., 13, available at: http://www. ecologyandsociety.org/vol13/iss1/art41/, 2008.
2. Al-Kodmany, K.: Using Visualization Techniques For Enhancing Public Participation, in: Planning And Design: Process, Implementation, And Evaluation, Landscape Urban Plan., 45, 37-45, 1999.
3. American Society for Civil Engineers, The New Orleans hurricane protection system: What Went Wrong and Why, Published by American Society of Civil Engineers, Reston, Virginia 20191, available at http://www.asce.org/ uploadedFiles/Publications/ASCE-News/2009/04-April/ERPreport.pdf, (last access: 5 October 2012), 2007.
4. Analysis, S. F. R.: Glossary of Risk Analysis Terms, available at: http://www.sra.org/resources-glossary.php (last access: 7 June 2005), 2005.
5. Ashley, R. M. and Blanksby, J.: Towards integrated approaches to increase resilience and robustness for the prevention adn mitigation of flood risk in urban areas, Advances in Urban Flood Management, London, Taylor and Francis, 415-432, 2007.
6. Belzer, R.: Getting beyond the grin and bear in the practice of risk management, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Safe., 72, 137-148, 2001. (Pubitemid 32334933)
7. Berkes, F., Colding, J., and Folke, C. (Eds.): Navigating Social-Ecological Systems: Building Resilience for Complexity and Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2003.
8. Biggs, D., Abel, N., Knight, A. T., Leitch, A., Langston, A., and Ban, N. C.: The implementation crisis in conservation planning: could "mental models" help?, Conservation Letters, 4, 169-183, 2011.
9. Birkmann, J, Cardona, O. D., Carrenno, M. L., Barbat, A. H., Pelling, M., Schneiderbauer, S., Kienberger, S., Keiler, M., Alexander, D., Zeil, P., and Welle, T.: Framing vulnerability, risk and societal responses: the MOVE framework, Nat. Hazards, 67, 193-211, 2013.
10. Blöchl, A. and Braun, B.: Economic assessment of landslide risks in the Swabian Alb, Germany-research framework and first results of homeowners' and experts' surveys, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 5, 389-396, doi:10.5194/nhess-5-389-2005, 2005. (Pubitemid 40906421)
11. Blok, A.: Experts on public trial: on democratizing expertise through a Danish consensus conference, Public Underst. Sci., 16, 163-182, 2007.
12. Boholom, A.: Comparative studies of risk perception: a review of twenty years of research, J. Risk Res., 1, 135-163, 1998.
13. Bowman, L. and White, P.: "Community" perception of a disaster risk reduction intervention at Santa Ana (Ilamatepec) Vulcano, El Salvador, Environ. Hazards, 11, 138-154, 2012.
14. Brun, W.: Cognitive components in risk perception: natural vs. man-made risks, J. Behav. Decis. Making, 5, 117-132, 1992.
15. Bryner, G.: Cooperative instruments and policy making: assessing public participation in US Environmental regulation, Eur. Environ., 11, 49-60, 2001. (Pubitemid 32200961)
16. Bubeck, P., Botzen, W. J. W., Suu, L. T. T., and Aerts, J. C. J. H.: Do flood risk perceptions provide useful insights for flood risk management? Findings from Vietnam, J. Flood Risks Manage., 5, 295-302, 2012.
17. Buchecker, M., Meier, C., and Hunziker, M.: Measuring the effects of consensus-building processes with methods of intervention research, Eur. Plan. Stud., 18, 259-279, 2010.
18. Bundesamt für Umwelt, Wald und Landschaft: Risikoanalyse bei gravitativen Massenbewegungen, Umweltmaterialien, 107/1, Bern, 1999.
19. Burton, C. and Cutter, S. L.: Levee failures and social vulnerability in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta area, California, Nat. Hazards Rev., 9, 136-149, 2008. (Pubitemid 352035611)
20. Cirella, G. T., Semenzin, E., Critto, A., and Marcomini, A.: Natural Hazard Risk Assessment and Management Methodologies Review: Europe, in: Sustainable Cities and Military Installations, Springer Netherlands, 329-358, 2014.
21. Cousin, M. E., and Siegrist, M.: The public's knowledge of mobile communication and its influence on base station siting preferences, Health Risk Soc., 12, 231-250, 2010.
22. Crichton, D.: The Risk Triangle, in: Natural Disaster Management, edited by: Ingleton, J., Tudor Rose, London, 1999.
23. Cundill, G. and Rodela, R.: A review of assertions about the processes and outcomes of social learning in natural resource management, J. Environ. Manage., 113, 7-14, 2012.
24. Dake, K.: Orientating dispositions in the perceptions of risk: an analysis of contemporary worldviews and cultural biases, J. Cross Cult. Psychol., 22, 61-82, 1991.
25. Di Baldassarre, G. and Uhlenbrook, S.: Is the current flood of data enough? A treatise on research needs for the improvement of flood modelling, Hydrol. Process., 26, 153-158, 2012.
26. Di Baldassarre, G., Montanari, A., Lins, H., Koutsoyiannis, D., Brandimarte, L., and Bloeschl, G.: Flood fatalities in Africa: from diagnosis to mitigation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L22402, doi:10.1029/2010GL045467, 2010.
27. Douglas, M.: Risk and Blame, Routledge, London, 1992.
28. Elton, E. J. and Grumer, M. J.: Modern Portfolio Theory, 1950 to Date, J. Banking and Fin., 21, 1743-1759, 1997. (Pubitemid 127173442)
29. European Commission: Directive 2007/60/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 October 2007 "on the assessment and management of flood risks", 2007.
30. Felt, U. and Wynne, B.: Taking European Knowledge Society Seriously, Report of the Expert Group on Science and Governance to the Science, Economy and Society Directorate, Directorate-General for Research, European Commission, 2007.
31. Fiorino, D. J.: Citizen Participation and Environmental Risk-a Survey of Institutional Mechanisms, Sci. Technol. Hum. Val., 15, 226-243, 1990.
32. Fischhoff, B., Slovic, P., Lichtenstein, S., Read, S., and Combs, B.: How safe is safe enough? A psychometric study toward technological risks and benefits, Policy Sci., 9, 127-152, 1978.
33. Geiger, B. F.: A community case study to understand the school health education needs of adolescents for sexual risk reduction, Dissert. Abstr. Internat., 54, DA9409999, 1993.
34. Griesmeyer, J. M.: Risk aversion of the public or risk proneness of experts?, T. Am. Nucl. Soc., 41, 446-447, 1982. (Pubitemid 13455723)
35. Helm, P.: Integrated risk management for natural and technological disasters. Tephra, 15, 4-13, 1996.
36. Ho, M., Shaw, D., Shuyeu, L., and Yao-Chu, C.: How Do Disaster Characteristics Influence Risk Perception?, Risk Anal., 28, 635-643, 2008. (Pubitemid 351847226)
37. Hollenstein, K.: Analyse, Bewertung und Management von Naturrisiken, Zürich, 1997.
38. Hophmayer-Tokich, S. and Krozer, Y., Public participation in rural areas water management, Water International, 33, 1-15, 2008.
39. Höppner, C., Whittle, R., Bründl, M., and Buchecker, M.: Linking social capacities and risk communication in Europe: a gap between theory and practice?, Nat. Hazards, 64, 1753-1778, doi:10.1007/s11069-012-0356-5., 2012.
40. Howgate, O. R., Kenyon, W.: Community cooperation with natural flood management: a case study in the Scottish Borders, Area, 43, 329-340, 2009.
41. Jasanoff, S.: The political science of risk perception, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Safe., 59, 91-99, 1998. (Pubitemid 128391547)
42. Jurt Vicuña Muñoz, C.: Perceptions of Natural Hazards in the Context of Social, Cultural, Economic and Political Risks, A Case Study in South Tyrol. Diss, Birmensdorf, 2009.
43. Karger, C. and Wiedemann, P.: Kognitive und affektive Komponenten der Bewertung von Umweltrisiken, Zeitschrift für experimentelle Psychologie, 45, 334-344, 1998. (Pubitemid 128652701)
44. Kasperson, R. E., Renn, O., Slovic, P., Brown, H., Emel, J., Goble, R., Kasperson, J., and Ratick, S.: The Social Amplification of Risk: A Conceptual Framework, Risk Anal., 8, 177-187, 1988.
45. Kienholz, H.: Naturgefahren-Naturrisiken im Gebirge, Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Forstwesen, 145, 1-25, 1994.
46. Kienholz, H.: Naturgefahren und-risiken in Gebirgsräumen, in: Nachhaltigkeit als Leitbild der Umwelt-und Raumentwicklung in Europa, 51, Deutscher Geographentag, Stuttgart, 136-152, 1998.
47. Kolkman, M. J., van der Veen, A., and Geurts, P. A. T. M.: Controversies in Water Management: Frames and Mental Models, Environ. Impact Assess., 27, 685-706, 2007. (Pubitemid 47302163)
48. Lane, S. N., Odoni, N., Landstrom, C., Whatmore, S. J., Ward, N., and Bradley, S.: Doing flood risk science differently: an experiment in radical scientific method. Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers 36, 15-36, 2011.
49. Leighton, J. P. and Bisanz, G. L.: Children's and adults' knowledge and models of reasoning about the ozone layer and its depletion, Int. J. Sci. Education, 25, 117-139, 2003. (Pubitemid 37492060)
50. Lévy-Leboyer, C., Bonnes, M., Chase, J., Ferreira-Marques, J., and Pawlik, K.: Determinants of pro-environmental behaviors: a five-countries comparison, Eur. Psychol., 1, 123-129, doi:10.1027/1016-9040.1.2.123, 1996.
51. Ludy, J. and Kondolf, G. M.: Flood risk perception in lands "protected" by 100-year Levees, Nat. Hazards, 61, 829-842, 2012.
52. Luz, F.: Participatory landscape ecology-a basis for acceptance and implementation, Landsc. Urban Plann., 50, 157-166, 2000.
53. Marris, C., Langford, I., Saunderson, T., and O'Riordan, T.: Exploring the "psychometric paradigm": comparisons between aggregate and individual analyses, Risk Anal., 17, 303-312, 1997. (Pubitemid 27311266)
54. Merz, B. and Emmermann, R.: Dealing with Natural Hazards in Germany: From Reaction to Risk Management, GAIA 15/4, 265-274, 2006. (Pubitemid 44967193)
55. Merz, B., Hall, J., Disse, M., and Schumann, A.: Fluvial flood risk management in a changing world, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 509-527, doi:10.5194/nhess-10-509-2010, 2010.
56. Milly, P. C. D., Wetherald, R. T., Dunne, K. A., and Delworth, T. L.: Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate, Nature, 415, 514-517, 2002. (Pubitemid 34130603)
57. Morgan, M. G., Baruch Fischhoff, A. B., and Atman, C. J.: Risk communication: a mental models approach, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2001.
58. Natan, F.: Risk perception, risk management and vulnerability to landslides in the hill slopes in the city of La Paz, Bolivia, A preliminary statement, Disasters, 32, 337-357, 2008.
59. Ohl, C. and Tapsell, S.: Flooding and human health: the dangers posed are not always obvious, Brit. Med. J., 321, 1167-1168, 2000.
60. Otway, H. J. and von Winterfeldt, D.: Beyond acceptable risk: on the social acceptabilities of technologies, Policy Sci., 14, 247-256, 1982.
61. Parker, D. J. and Harding D. M.: Natural Hazard Evaluation, Perception and Adjustment, Geography, 64, 307-316, available at: http://www.jstor.org/ stable/40569987, 1979.
62. Parkins, J. K.: The problem with trust: Insights from advisory com-mittes in the forest sector, Soc. Natur. Resour., 23, 822-836, 2010.
63. Petrow, T., Thieken, A. H., Kreibich, H., Bahlburg, C. H., and Merz, B.: Improvements on Flood Alleviation in Germany: Lessons Learned from the Elbe Flood in August 2002, Environ. Manage., 38, 717-732, 2006. (Pubitemid 44526844)
64. Petts, J.: Public engagement to build trust: false hopes?, J. Risk Res., 11, 821-835, 2008.
65. Pidgeon, N.: Risk assessment, risk values and the social science programme: why do we need risk perception research, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Safe., 59, 5-15, 1998. (Pubitemid 128391539)
66. Pidgeon, N. F., Hood, C., Jones, D., and Turner, B. A.: Risk perception, in: Risk: Analysis, Perception and Management, The Royal Society, London, 89-134, 1992.
67. Plapp, T.: Wahrnehmung von Risiken aus Naturkatastrophen, Eine empirische Untersuchung in sechs gefaährdeten Gebieten Süd-und Westdeutschlands, vol. 2 of Karlsruher Reihe II: Risikoforschung und Versicherungsmanagement, Verlag für Versicherungswirtschaft, 2004.
68. Plattner, Th.: Evaluation of risks due to natural hazards. A conceptual approach, in: coping with risks due to natural hazards in the 21st Century, proceedings of the RISK 21 Workshop, edoted by: Ammann, J. W., Monte Verità, Ascona, Switzerlandm 28 November-3 December 2004, 67-76, 2006a.
69. Plattner, Th., Plapp, T., and Hebel, B.: Integrating public risk perception into formal natural hazard risk assessment, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 6, 471-483, doi:10.5194/nhess-6-471-2006, 2006b. (Pubitemid 44222002)
70. Posthumus, H., Hewett, C. J. M., and Morris, J.: Agricultural land use and flood risk management: Engaging with stakeholders in North Yorkshire, Agr. Water Manage., 95, 787-799, 2008.
71. Renn, O.: The role of risk perception for risk management, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Safe., 59, 49-62, 1998. (Pubitemid 128391543)
72. Renn, O.: White paper on risk governance: towards an integrative approach, International risk governance council, Geneva, 2005.
73. Roe, M.: Landscape planning for sustainability: community participation in estuary management plans, Landscape Res., 25, 157-181, 2000. (Pubitemid 30600219)
74. Rohrmann, B.: Risk Perception Research: Review and Documentation (Programme group men, environment, technology: studies on risk communication, Vol. 48) KFA Research Centre, Jülich, Germany, 1995.
75. Rohrmann, B.: Risk perception research. Review and Documentation. Revised Edition, Research Center Juelich, Program group Man, Environment, Technology, Risk Communication Studies 69, Juelich, Germany, 1999.
76. Rogers, R. W.: A protection motivation theory of fear appeals and attitude change, J. Psychol., 91, 93-114, 1975.
77. Saaty, T. L.: Decision Making with Dependence and Feedback: The Analytic Network Process, RWS Publications, Pittsburgh, PA, 2001.
78. Sanoff, H.: Participatory Design: Theory and Techniques, Bookmasters, Raleigh, NC, 1990.
79. Schmidt-Thomé, P., Greiving, S., Kallio, H., Leischhauer, M., and Jarva, J.: Economic risk maps of floods and earthquakes for European regions, Quaternary Int., 150, 103-112, 2006.
80. Siegrist, M. and Gutscher, H.: Flooding risks: A comparison of lay people's perceptions and expert's assessments in Switzerland, Risk Anal., 26, 983-991, 2006.
81. Sjöberg, L.: Factors in Risk Perception, Risk Anal., 20, 1-11, 2000. (Pubitemid 30412178)
82. Skjong, R. and Wentworth, B. H.: Expert judgement and risk perception, in: Offshore and polar engineering conference, ISOPE, vol. IV, 537-544, Stavanger, 2001.
83. Slovic, P.: Trust, emotion, sex, politics, and science: Surveying the risk-assessment battlefield, Risk Anal., 19, 689-701, 1999.
84. Slovic, P.: The perception of risk, Earthscan Publications, London, 2000.
85. Stirling, A.: Opening up or closing down: analysis, participation and power in the social appraisal of technology, in: Science and Citizens: Globalization and the Challenge of Engagement, Zed Books, London, 218-331, 2005.
86. Tansey, A.: Risk as politics, culture as power, J. Risk Res., 7, 17-31, 2004.
87. Towers, G.: Building Democracy: Community Architecture in the Inner City, University College London Press, London, 1995.
88. UNESCO: A world of Science, Natural Sciences Quarterly Newsletter, Unesco Publishing, Paris, France, 20 pp., 2004.
89. Vis, M., Klijn, F., De Bruijn, K. M., and Van Buuren, M.: Resilience strategies for flood risk management in the Netherlands, Int. J. River Basin Manag., 1, 33-44, 2003.
90. Vlek, C. J. H. and Stallen, P. J. M.: Rational and personal aspects of risk, Acta Psychol., 45, 273-300, 1980.
91. Vlek, C. J. H. and Stallen, P. J. M.: Judging risks and benefits in the small and in the large, Organ. Behav. Hum. Perf., 28, 235-271, 1981.
92. von Glasersfeld, E.: Questions and answers about radical constructivism, in: The practice of constructivism in science education, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Hillsdale, NJ, 23-38, 1993.
93. Wates, N.: Co-op consolidation, Architectural Rev., 177, 57-64, 1985.
94. White, G. F.: Human Adjustment to Floods, Department of Geography Research Paper no. 29, Chicago, The University of Chicago, 1945.
95. Wildavsky, A. and Dake, K.: Theories of risk perception: who fears what and why, Daedalus, 112, 41-50, 1990.
96. Wynne, B.: Public engagement as a means of restoring public trust in science-Hitting the notes, but missing the music?, Community Genet., 9, 211-220, 2006. (Pubitemid 43854187)