Should we use a simple or complex model for moisture recycling and atmospheric moisture tracking?

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

Volumn 17, Issue 12, 2013, Pages 4869-4884

  Van Der Ent, R J ^a   Tuinenburg, O A ^b,e   Knoche, H R ^c   Kunstmann, H ^c,d   Savenije, H H G ^a  

^a DELFT UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY   (Netherlands)

^b WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^c KARLSRUHE INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY   (Germany)

^d UNIVERSITY OF AUGSBURG   (Germany)

^e LABORATOIRE DE MÉTÉOROLOGIE DYNAMIQUE   (France)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERE MODELS; ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE; COMPUTATIONAL POWER; MULTILAYER MODELS; REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELING; RESEARCH QUESTIONS; SINGLE-LAYER MODELS; SOURCE-SINK RELATIONS;

EVAPORATION; MOISTURE; WATER RECYCLING;

THREE DIMENSIONAL;

ACCURACY ASSESSMENT; ATMOSPHERIC MODELING; ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE; EVAPORATION; MOISTURE TRANSFER; PHASE TRANSITION; PRECIPITATION (CLIMATOLOGY); SOURCE-SINK DYNAMICS; WATER VAPOR; WIND SHEAR;

GHANA; LAKE VOLTA;

EID: 84890090654     PISSN: 10275606     EISSN: 16077938     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/hess-17-4869-2013     Document Type: Article

References (70)

1. Bagley, J. E., Desai, A. R., Dirmeyer, P. A., and Foley, J. A.: Effects of land cover change on moisture availability and potential crop yield in the world's breadbaskets, Environ. Res. Lett., 7, 014009, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/ 014009, 2012.
2. Benton, G. S.: The Role of the Atmosphere in the Hydrologic Cycle, Weatherwise, 2, 99-103, doi:10.1080/00431672.1949.9927025, 1949.
3. Bisselink, B. and Dolman, A. J.: Precipitation recycling: Moisture sources over Europe using ERA-40 data, J. Hydrometeorol., 9, 1073-1083, doi:10.1175/2008JHM962.1, 2008.
4. Bosilovich, M. G.: On the vertical distribution of local and remote sources of water for precipitation, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 80, 31-41, doi:10.1007/s007030200012, 2002.
5. Bosilovich, M. G. and Chern, J. D.: Simulation of water sources and precipitation recycling for the MacKenzie, Mississippi, and Amazon River basins, J. Hydrometeorol., 7, 312-329, doi:10.1175/JHM501.1, 2006. (Pubitemid 44070405)
6. Bosilovich, M. G. and Schubert, S. D.: Water vapor tracers as diagnostics of the regional hydrologic cycle, J. Hydrometeorol., 3, 149-165, doi:10.1175/1525-7541(2002)0032.0.CO;2, 2002.
7. Bosilovich, M. G., Sud, Y., Schubert, S. D., and Walker, G. K.: GEWEX CSE sources of precipitation using GCM water vapor tracers, GEWEX News, 12, 6-7, 2002.
8. Brubaker, K. L., Entekhabi, D., and Eagleson, P. S.: Estimation of continental precipitation recycling, J. Climate, 6, 1077-1089, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1993)0062.0.CO;2, 1993. (Pubitemid 24397342)
9. Budyko, M. I.: Climate and Life, Academic Press, New York, 508 pp., 1974.
10. Burde, G. I. and Zangvil, A.: The estimation of regional precipitation recycling, Part I: Review of recycling models, J. Climate, 14, 2497-2508, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)0142.0.CO;2, 2001a. (Pubitemid 33045302)
11. Burde, G. I. and Zangvil, A.: The estimation of regional precipitation recycling, Part II: A new recycling model, J. Climate, 14, 2509-2527, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)0142.0.CO;2, 2001b. (Pubitemid 33050333)
12. Cook, K. H.: Generation of the African Easterly Jet and Its Role in Determining West African Precipitation, J. Climate, 12, 1165-1184, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)0122.0.co;2, 1999. (Pubitemid 29437715)
13. Dee, D. P., Uppala, S. M., Simmons, A. J., Berrisford, P., Poli, P., Kobayashi, S., Andrae, U., Balmaseda, M. A., Balsamo, G., Bauer, P., Bechtold, P., Beljaars, A. C. M., van de Berg, L., Bidlot, J., Bormann, N., Delsol, C., Dragani, R., Fuentes, M., Geer, A. J., Haimberger, L., Healy, S. B., Hersbach, H., Hòlm, E. V., Isaksen, L., Kållberg, P., Köhler, M., Matricardi, M., McNally, A. P., Monge-Sanz, B. M., Morcrette, J. J., Park, B. K., Peubey, C., de Rosnay, P., Tavolato, C., Thépaut, J. N., and Vitart, F.: The ERA-Interim reanalysis: Configuration and performance of the data assimilation system, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 553-597, doi:10.1002/qj.828, 2011.
14. Dirmeyer, P. A. and Brubaker, K. L.: Contrasting evaporative moisture sources during the drought of 1988 and the flood of 1993, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 19383-19397, doi:10.1029/1999JD900222, 1999.
15. Dirmeyer, P. A. and Brubaker, K. L.: Characterization of the global hydrologic cycle from a back-trajectory analysis of atmospheric water vapor, J. Hydrometeorol., 8, 20-37, doi:10.1175/JHM557.1, 2007. (Pubitemid 46444450)
16. Dominguez, F. and Kumar, P.: Precipitation recycling variability and ecoclimatological stability-A study using NARR Data, Part I: Central U.S. plains ecoregion, J. Climate, 21, 5165-5186, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI1756.1, 2008.
17. Dominguez, F., Kumar, P., Liang, X. Z., and Ting, M.: Impact of atmospheric moisture storage on precipitation recycling, J. Climate, 19, 1513-1530, doi:10.1175/JCLI3691.1, 2006.
18. Draxler, R. R. and Hess, G. D.: Description of the HYSPLIT 4 modeling system of trajectories, dispersion, and deposition, Austral. Meteorol. Mag., 47, 295-308, 1998. (Pubitemid 128184063)
19. Draxler, R. R. and Rolph, G. D.: HYSPLIT (HYbrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory) Model, http://ready.arl.noaa. gov/HYSPLIT.php, last access: 28 May 2013.
20. Durkee, J. D., Campbell, L., Berry, K., Jordan, D., Goodrich, G., Mahmood, R., and Foster, S.: A Synoptic Perspective of the Record 1-2 May 2010 Mid-South Heavy Precipitation Event, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 93, 611-620, doi:10.1175/bams-d-11-00076.1, 2012.
21. Eltahir, E. A. B. and Bras, R. L.: Precipitation recycling, Rev. Geophys., 34, 367-378, doi:10.1029/96RG01927, 1996.
22. Fitzmaurice, J.: A critical Analysis of Bulk Precipitation Recycling Models, Ph.D. thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Massachusetts, 2007.
23. Froehlich, K., Kralik, M., Papesch, W., Rank, D., Scheifinger, H., and Stichler, W.: Deuterium excess in precipitation of Alpine regions-Moisture recycling, Isotop. Environ. Health Stud., 44, 61-70, doi:10.1080/ 10256010801887208, 2008. (Pubitemid 351356480)
24. Gangoiti, G., Gómez-Domenech, I., Sáez de Cámara, E., Alonso, L., Navazo, M., Iza, J., García, J. A., Ilardia, J. L., and Millán, M. M.: Origin of the water vapor responsible for the European extreme rainfalls of August 2002: 2. A new methodology to evaluate evaporative moisture sources, applied to the August 11-13 central European rainfall episode, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D21103, doi:10.1029/2010jd015538, 2011.
25. Gimeno, L., Drumond, A., Nieto, R., Trigo, R. M., and Stohl, A.: On the origin of continental precipitation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L13804, doi:10.1029/2010gl043712, 2010.
26. Gimeno, L., Stohl, A., Trigo, R. M., Dominguez, F., Yoshimura, K., Yu, L., Drumond, A., Durán-Quesada, A. M., and Nieto, R.: Oceanic and Terrestrial Sources of Continental Precipitation, Rev. Geophys., 50, RG4003, doi:10.1029/2012RG000389, 2012.
27. Goessling, H. F. and Reick, C. H.: What do moisture recycling estimates tell us? Exploring the extreme case of nonevaporating continents, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 3217-3235, doi:10.5194/hess-15-3217-2011, 2011.
28. Goessling, H. F. and Reick, C. H.: On the "well-mixed" assumption and numerical 2-D tracing of atmospheric moisture, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 5567-5585, doi:10.5194/acp-13-5567-2013, 2013.
29. Grell, G. A., Dudhia, J., and Stauffer, D. R.: A description of the Fifth-Generation Penn State/NCAR mesoscale model (MM5), Tech. rep., http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/mm5/documents/mm5-desc-doc.html, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, USA, 1995.
30. Henderson-Sellers, A., McGuffie, K., and Zhang, H.: Stable isotopes as validation tools for global climate model predictions of the impact of Amazonian deforestation, J. Climate, 15, 2664-2677, 2002. (Pubitemid 35151364)
31. Hossain, F., Jeyachandran, I., and Pielke Sr., R. A.: Have Large Dams Altered Extreme Precipitation Patterns, Eos Trans. AGU, 90, doi:10.1029/ 2009EO480001, 2009.
32. Jódar, J., Carrera, J., and Cruz, A.: Irrigation enhances precipitation at the mountains downwind, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 2003-2010, doi:10.5194/hess-14-2003-2010, 2010.
33. Joussaume, S., Sadourny, R., and Vignal, C.: Origin of precipitating water in a numerical simulation of the July climate, Ocean-Air Interact., 1, 43-56, 1986.
34. Keys, P. W., van der Ent, R. J., Gordon, L. J., Hoff, H., Nikoli, R., and Savenije, H. H. G.: Analyzing precipitationsheds to understand the vulnerability of rainfall dependent regions, Biogeosciences, 9, 733-746, doi:10.5194/bg-9-733-2012, 2012.
35. Knoche, H. R. and Kunstmann, H.: Tracking atmospheric water pathways by direct evaporation tagging: A case study for West Africa, J. Geophys. Res., accepted, doi:10.1002/2013JD019976 2013.
36. Koster, R., Jouzel, J., Suozzo, R., Russell, G., Broecker, W., Rind, D., and Eagleson, P.: Global sources of local precipitation as determined by the NASA/GISS GCM, Geophys. Res. Lett., 13, 121-124, doi:10.1029/GL013i002p00121, 1986. (Pubitemid 16546325)
37. Koster, R. D., Dirmeyer, P. A., Guo, Z., Bonan, G., Chan, E., Cox, P., Gordon, C. T., Kanae, S., Kowalczyk, E., Lawrence, D., Liu, P., Lu, C. H., Malyshev, S., McAvaney, B., Mitchell, K., Mocko, D., Oki, T., Oleson, K., Pitman, A., Sud, Y. C., Taylor, C. M., Verseghy, D., Vasic, R., Xue, Y., and Yamada, T.: Regions of strong coupling between soil moisture and precipitation, Science, 305, 1138-1140, doi:10.1126/science.1100217, 2004. (Pubitemid 39100323)
38. Kunstmann, H. and Jung, G.: Influence of soil-moisture and land use change on precipitation in the Volta Basin of West Africa, Int. J. River Basin Manage., 5, 9-16, doi:10.1080/15715124.2007.9635301, 2007. (Pubitemid 47342670)
39. Lettau, H., Lettau, K., and Molion, L. C.: Amazonia's hydrological cycle and the role of atmospheric recycling in assessing deforestation effects, Mon. Weather Rev., 107, 227-238, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1979)1072.0.CO;2, 1979.
40. Lintner, B. R., Gentine, P., Findell, K. L., D'Andrea, F. D., Sobel, A. H., and Salvucci, G. D.: An Idealized Prototype for Large-Scale Land-Atmosphere Coupling, J. Climate, 26, 2379-2389, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00561.1, 2013.
41. Liu, Z., Tian, L., Yao, T., and Yu, W.: Seasonal deuterium excess in Nagqu precipitation: Influence of moisture transport and recycling in the middle of Tibetan Plateau, Environ. Geol., 55, 1501-1506, doi:10.1007/s00254-007-1100- 4, 2008.
42. McDonald, J. E.: The evaporation precipitation fallacy,Weather, 17, 168-179, doi:10.1002/j.1477-8696.1962.tb02682.x, 1962.
43. Molion, L. C. B.: A climatonomic study of the energy and moisture fluxes of the Amazon basin with consideration on deforestation, Ph.D. thesis, University of Wisconsin, 1975.
44. Nieto, R., Gimeno, L., and Trigo, R. M.: A Lagrangian identification of major sources of Sahel moisture, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L18707, doi:10.1029/2006GL027232, 2006. (Pubitemid 351147927)
45. Njitchoua, R., Sigha-Nkamdjou, L., Dever, L., Marlin, C., Sighomnou, D., and Nia, P.: Variations of the stable isotopic compositions of rainfall events from the Cameroon rain forest, Central Africa, J. Hydrol., 223, 17-26, doi:10.1016/S0022-1694(99)00087-6, 1999. (Pubitemid 29442525)
46. Pang, Hongxi, He, Yuanqing, Zhang, Zhonglin, Lu, Aigang, and Gu, Juan: The origin of summer monsoon rainfall at New Delhi by deuterium excess, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 8, 115-118, doi:10.5194/hess-8-115-2004, 2004. (Pubitemid 38688457)
47. Pidwirny, M.: Global Scale Circulation of the Atmosphere, in: Fundamentals of Physics Geography, PhysicalGeography.net, 2nd Edn., http://www.physicalgeography.net/fundamentals/7p. html (last access: 28 May 2013), 2006.
48. Risi, C., Noone, D., Frankenberg, C., and Worden, J.: The role of continental recycling in intra-seasonal variations of continental moisture as deduced from model simulations and water vapor isotopic measurements, Water Resour. Res., 49, 4136-4156, doi:10.1002/wrcr.20312, 2013.
49. Salati, E., Dall'olio, A., Matsui, E., and Gat, J. R.: Recycling of water in the Amazon Basin: an isotopic study, Water Resour. Res., 15, 1250-1258, doi:10.1029/WR015i005p01250, 1979. (Pubitemid 10256545)
50. Savenije, H. H. G.: New definitions for moisture recycling and the relationship with land-use changes in the Sahel, J. Hydrol., 167, 57-78, doi:10.1016/0022-1694(94)02632-L, 1995a.
51. Savenije, H. H. G.: Does moisture feedback affect rainfall significantly?, Phys. Chem. Earth, 20, 507-513, doi:10.1016/S0079-1946(96)00014- 6, 1995b. (Pubitemid 27457098)
52. Schaefli, B., van der Ent, R. J., Woods, R., and Savenije, H. H. G.: An analytical model for soil-atmosphere feedback, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1863-1878, doi:10.5194/hess-16-1863-2012, 2012.
53. Schär, C., Lüthi, D., Beyerle, U., and Heise, E.: The soilprecipitation feedback: A process study with a regional climate model, J. Climate, 12, 722-741, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)0122.0.CO;2, 1999. (Pubitemid 29348005)
54. Sodemann, H., Schwierz, C., andWernli, H.: Interannual variability of Greenland winter precipitation sources: Lagrangian moisture diagnostic and North Atlantic Oscillation influence, J. Geophys. Res., 113, D03107, doi:10.1029/2007jd008503, 2008.
55. Sodemann, H., Wernli, H., and Schwierz, C.: Sources of water vapour contributing to the Elbe flood in August 2002-A tagging study in a mesoscale model, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 135, 205-223, doi:10.1002/qj.374, 2009.
56. Spracklen, D. V., Arnold, S. R., and Taylor, C. M.: Observations of increased tropical rainfall preceded by air passage over forests, Nature, 489, 282-285, doi:10.1038/nature11390, 2012.
57. Stohl, A. and James, P.: A Lagrangian analysis of the atmospheric branch of the global water cycle, Part II: Moisture transports between earth's ocean basins and river catchments, J. Hydrometeorol., 6, 961-984, doi:10.1175/JHM470. 1, 2005. (Pubitemid 43159858)
58. Stohl, A., Forster, C., Frank, A., Seibert, P., and Wotawa, G.: Technical note: The Lagrangian particle dispersion model FLEXPART version 6.2, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5, 2461-2474, doi:10.5194/acp-5-2461-2005, 2005. (Pubitemid 41479781)
59. Taylor, C. M., Harris, P. P., and Parker, D. J.: Impact of soil moisture on the development of a Sahelian mesoscale convective system: a case-study from the AMMA Special Observing Period, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 136, 456-470, doi:10.1002/qj.465, 2010.
60. Tian, L., Yao, T., MacClune, K., White, J. W. C., Schilla, A., Vaughn, B., Vachon, R., and Ichiyanagi, K.: Stable isotopic variations in west China: A consideration of moisture sources, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D10112, doi:10.1029/2006JD007718, 2007. (Pubitemid 47193615)
61. Trenberth, K. E.: Atmospheric moisture recycling: Role of advection and local evaporation, J. Climate, 12, 1368-1381, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)0122.0. CO;2, 1999. (Pubitemid 29432750)
62. Tuinenburg, O. A.: Atmospheric Effects of Irrigation in Monsoon Climate: The Indian Subcontinent, Ph.D. thesis, Wageningen University, 2013.
63. Tuinenburg, O. A., Hutjes, R. W. A., and Kabat, P.: The fate of evaporated water from the Ganges basin, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D01107, doi:10.1029/2011jd016221, 2012.
64. van den Hurk, B. J. J. M. and van Meijgaard, E.: Diagnosing Land-Atmosphere Interaction from a Regional Climate Model Simulation over West Africa, J. Hydrometeorol., 11, 467-481, doi:10.1175/2009jhm1173.1, 2009.
65. van der Ent, R. J.: Interactive comment on "Atmospheric water vapour tracers and the significance of the vertical dimension" by H. F. Goessling and C. H. Reick, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 12, C10180-C10188, 2012.
66. van der Ent, R. J. and Savenije, H. H. G.: Length and time scales of atmospheric moisture recycling, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 1853-1863, doi:10.5194/acp-11-1853-2011, 2011.
67. van der Ent, R. J., Savenije, H. H. G., Schaefli, B., and Steele-Dunne, S. C.: Origin and fate of atmospheric moisture over continents, Water Resour. Res., 46, W09525, doi:10.1029/2010WR009127, 2010.
68. van der Ent, R. J., Coenders-Gerrits, A. M. J., Nikoli, R., and Savenije, H. H. G.: The importance of proper hydrology in the forest cover-water yield debate: commentary on Ellison et al. (2012) Global Change Biology, 18, 806-820, Global Change Biol., 18, 2677-2680, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02703.x, 2012.
69. Wei, J., Dirmeyer, P. A.,Wisser, D., Bosilovich, M. G., and Mocko, D. M.: Where does the irrigation water go? An estimate of the contribution of irrigation to precipitation using MERRA, J. Hydrometeorol., 14, 275-289, doi:10.1175/jhm-d-12-079.1, 2012.
70. Yoshimura, K., Oki, T., Ohte, N., and Kanae, S.: Colored moisture analysis estimates of variations in 1998 Asian monsoon water sources, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 82, 1315-1329, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2004.1315, 2004. (Pubitemid 40067799)