메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 32, Issue 6, 2013, Pages 919-942

A Comparative Evaluation of Error and Bias in Census Tract-Level Age/Sex-Specific Population Estimates: Component I (Net-Migration) vs Component III (Hamilton-Perry)

Author keywords

Applied demography; Census tracts; Component I; Component III; Hamilton Perry; Small area population estimates

Indexed keywords

CENSUS; COMPARATIVE STUDY; DEMOGRAPHY; ERROR ANALYSIS; MIGRATION; POPULATION STRUCTURE;

EID: 84888022485     PISSN: 01675923     EISSN: 15737829     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11113-013-9295-4     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (11)

References (74)
  • 1
    • 79961134493 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A stochastic version of the Brass PF ratio adjustment of age-specific fertility schedules
    • doi:10.1371/journalpone0023222
    • Baker, J., Alcantara, A., & Ruan, X. M. (2011). A stochastic version of the Brass PF ratio adjustment of age-specific fertility schedules. PLoS One, 6(8), e23222. doi: 10. 1371/journalpone0023222.
    • (2011) PLoS One , vol.6 , Issue.8
    • Baker, J.1    Alcantara, A.2    Ruan, X.M.3
  • 3
    • 58149467904 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Density-dependence in urban housing unit growth: An evaluation of the Pearl-Reed model for predicting housing unit stock at the census tract level
    • Baker, J., Ruan, X. M., Alcantara, A., Jones, T., Watkins, K., et al. (2008). Density-dependence in urban housing unit growth: An evaluation of the Pearl-Reed model for predicting housing unit stock at the census tract level. Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 33, 155-163.
    • (2008) Journal of Economic and Social Measurement , vol.33 , pp. 155-163
    • Baker, J.1    Ruan, X.M.2    Alcantara, A.3    Jones, T.4    Watkins, K.5
  • 6
    • 20744452441 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population estimates
    • J. Siegel and D. Swanson (Eds.), New York: Springer
    • Bryan, T. (2004). Population estimates. In J. Siegel & D. Swanson (Eds.), The methods and materials of demography. New York: Springer.
    • (2004) The Methods and Materials of Demography
    • Bryan, T.1
  • 12
    • 0029504724 scopus 로고
    • Address matching: GIS technology for mapping human activity patterns
    • Drummond, W. J. (1995). Address matching: GIS technology for mapping human activity patterns. Journal of the American Planning Association, 61(2), 240-251.
    • (1995) Journal of the American Planning Association , vol.61 , Issue.2 , pp. 240-251
    • Drummond, W.J.1
  • 14
    • 0028787482 scopus 로고
    • Modeling the errors in areal interpolation between zonal systems using Monte Carlo simulation
    • Fisher, P. F., & Langford, M. (1995). Modeling the errors in areal interpolation between zonal systems using Monte Carlo simulation. Environment and Planning A, 27, 212-214.
    • (1995) Environment and Planning A , vol.27 , pp. 212-214
    • Fisher, P.F.1    Langford, M.2
  • 15
    • 34249838677 scopus 로고
    • Developments in areal interpolation methods and GIS
    • Flowerdrew, R., & Green, M. (1992). Developments in areal interpolation methods and GIS. The Annals of Regional Science, 26, 67-78.
    • (1992) The Annals of Regional Science , vol.26 , pp. 67-78
    • Flowerdrew, R.1    Green, M.2
  • 16
    • 40349106528 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Population projections
    • In J. Siegel & D. Swanson (Eds.) New York: Springer
    • George, M. V. (2004). Population projections. In J. Siegel & D. Swanson (Eds.), The methods and materials of demography. New York: Springer.
    • (2004) The methods and materials of demography
    • George, M.V.1
  • 17
    • 33646464384 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of residential geocoding methods in a population-based study of air quality and birth defects
    • Gilboa, S. M. (2006). Comparison of residential geocoding methods in a population-based study of air quality and birth defects. Environmental Research, 101, 256-262.
    • (2006) Environmental Research , vol.101 , pp. 256-262
    • Gilboa, S.M.1
  • 18
    • 34548136250 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • From text to geographic coordinates: The current state of geocoding
    • Goldberg, D. W., Wilson, J. P., & Knoblock, C. A. (2007). From text to geographic coordinates: The current state of geocoding. URISA Journal, 19(1), 33-46.
    • (2007) URISA Journal , vol.19 , Issue.1 , pp. 33-46
    • Goldberg, D.W.1    Wilson, J.P.2    Knoblock, C.A.3
  • 20
    • 0010807011 scopus 로고
    • A short method for projecting population by age from one decennial census to another
    • Hamilton, C., & Perry, J. (1962). A short method for projecting population by age from one decennial census to another. Social Forces, 41(2), 163-170.
    • (1962) Social Forces , vol.41 , Issue.2 , pp. 163-170
    • Hamilton, C.1    Perry, J.2
  • 23
    • 84875051966 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An evaluation of small area population estimates produced by component method II, ratio correlation, and housing unit methods for 1990
    • Hoque, N. (2010). An evaluation of small area population estimates produced by component method II, ratio correlation, and housing unit methods for 1990. The Open Demography Journal, 3, 18-30.
    • (2010) The Open Demography Journal , vol.3 , pp. 18-30
    • Hoque, N.1
  • 25
    • 0010887155 scopus 로고
    • The accuracy of population projections for subcounty areas
    • Isserman, A. (1977). The accuracy of population projections for subcounty areas. Journal of the American Institute of Planners, 43, 247-259.
    • (1977) Journal of the American Institute of Planners , vol.43 , pp. 247-259
    • Isserman, A.1
  • 26
    • 76149122992 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Using assessor parcel data to maintain housing unit counts for small area population estimates
    • S. Murdock and D. Swanson (Eds.), New York: Springer
    • Jarosz, B. (2008). Using assessor parcel data to maintain housing unit counts for small area population estimates. In S. Murdock & D. Swanson (Eds.), Applied demography in the 21st century (pp. 89-101). New York: Springer.
    • (2008) Applied Demography in the 21st Century , pp. 89-101
    • Jarosz, B.1
  • 28
    • 0019697606 scopus 로고
    • The limits of population forecasting
    • Keyfitz, N. (1981). The limits of population forecasting. Population and Development Review, 7, 579-593.
    • (1981) Population and Development Review , vol.7 , pp. 579-593
    • Keyfitz, N.1
  • 30
    • 0010805439 scopus 로고
    • Re-evaluation of the logistic curve for human populations
    • Leach, D. (1981). Re-evaluation of the logistic curve for human populations. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 144, 94-103.
    • (1981) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , vol.144 , pp. 94-103
    • Leach, D.1
  • 31
    • 77956980711 scopus 로고
    • The Use of matrices in certain population mathematics
    • Leslie, P. (1945). The Use of matrices in certain population mathematics. Biometrika, 33(3), 183-212.
    • (1945) Biometrika , vol.33 , Issue.3 , pp. 183-212
    • Leslie, P.1
  • 32
    • 0000441117 scopus 로고
    • Some further notes on the use of matrices in population mathematics
    • Leslie, P. (1948). Some further notes on the use of matrices in population mathematics. Biometrika, 35(3-4), 213-245.
    • (1948) Biometrika , vol.35 , Issue.3-4 , pp. 213-245
    • Leslie, P.1
  • 33
    • 0029544485 scopus 로고
    • Complexicty accuracy, and utility of official population projections
    • Long, J. (1995). Complexicty accuracy, and utility of official population projections. Mathematical Population Studies, 5(3), 203-216.
    • (1995) Mathematical Population Studies , vol.5 , Issue.3 , pp. 203-216
    • Long, J.1
  • 35
    • 0032426205 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The accuracy of age-specific population estimates for small areas in Britain
    • Lunn, D., Simpson, S., Diamond, I., & Middleton, L. (1998). The accuracy of age-specific population estimates for small areas in Britain. Population Studies, 52, 27-344.
    • (1998) Population Studies , vol.52 , pp. 27-344
    • Lunn, D.1    Simpson, S.2    Diamond, I.3    Middleton, L.4
  • 36
    • 33744752424 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A stochastic population model for Lepidum Papilliferum (Brassicaceae), a rare desert ephemeral with a persistent seed bank
    • Meyer, S. (2006). A stochastic population model for Lepidum Papilliferum (Brassicaceae), a rare desert ephemeral with a persistent seed bank. American Journal of Botany, 93(6), 891-902.
    • (2006) American Journal of Botany , vol.93 , Issue.6 , pp. 891-902
    • Meyer, S.1
  • 38
    • 27944444171 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geographic bias related to geocoding in epidemiologic studies
    • Online
    • Oliver, M. N. (2005). Geographic bias related to geocoding in epidemiologic studies. International Journal of Health Geographics, 4(29), Online.
    • (2005) International Journal of Health Geographics , vol.4 , Issue.29
    • Oliver, M.N.1
  • 39
    • 0026948777 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting US population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach
    • Pflaumer, P. (1992). Forecasting US population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach. International Journal of Forecasting, 8, 329-338.
    • (1992) International Journal of Forecasting , vol.8 , pp. 329-338
    • Pflaumer, P.1
  • 40
    • 33751091347 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Selected general methods
    • In: J. S. Siegel & D. Swanson (Eds.) New York: Springer
    • Popoff, C. A., & Judson, D. (2004). Selected general methods. In: J. S. Siegel & D. Swanson (Eds.), The methods and materials of demography (pp. 644-675). New York: Springer.
    • (2004) The methods and materials of demography , pp. 644-675
    • Popoff, C.A.1    Judson, D.2
  • 42
    • 0034921538 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the accuracy of Tiger-type geocoded address data in relation to cadastral and census area units
    • Ratcliffe, J. H. (2001). On the accuracy of Tiger-type geocoded address data in relation to cadastral and census area units. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 15(5), 473-485.
    • (2001) International Journal of Geographical Information Science , vol.15 , Issue.5 , pp. 473-485
    • Ratcliffe, J.H.1
  • 43
    • 0029332127 scopus 로고
    • Population forecasting: Do simple models outperform complex models?
    • Rogers, A. (1995). Population forecasting: Do simple models outperform complex models? Mathematical Population Studies, 5, 259-280.
    • (1995) Mathematical Population Studies , vol.5 , pp. 259-280
    • Rogers, A.1
  • 44
    • 0034117316 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Accuracy of count data transferred through the areal weighting interpolation method
    • Sadahiro, Y. (2000). Accuracy of count data transferred through the areal weighting interpolation method. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 14, 25-50.
    • (2000) International Journal of Geographical Information Science , vol.14 , pp. 25-50
    • Sadahiro, Y.1
  • 45
    • 0014172095 scopus 로고
    • On sampling with replacement with unequal probabilities of selection
    • Samford, M. R. (1967). On sampling with replacement with unequal probabilities of selection. Biometrika, 45, 499-513.
    • (1967) Biometrika , vol.45 , pp. 499-513
    • Samford, M.R.1
  • 47
    • 0346236357 scopus 로고
    • Accuracy of the ratio-correlation method for estimating postcensal population
    • Schmitt, A., & Crosetti, A. (1954). Accuracy of the ratio-correlation method for estimating postcensal population. Land Economics, 30, 279-281.
    • (1954) Land Economics , vol.30 , pp. 279-281
    • Schmitt, A.1    Crosetti, A.2
  • 48
    • 21444444519 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Criteria for selecting a suitable method for producing post-2000 county population estimates: A case study of population estimates in Illinois
    • Shahidullah, M., & Flotow, M. (2005). Criteria for selecting a suitable method for producing post-2000 county population estimates: A case study of population estimates in Illinois. Population Research and Policy Review, 24, 215-229.
    • (2005) Population Research and Policy Review , vol.24 , pp. 215-229
    • Shahidullah, M.1    Flotow, M.2
  • 51
    • 0036191132 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geography conversion tables: A framework for conversion of data between geographical units
    • Simpson, L. (2002). Geography conversion tables: A framework for conversion of data between geographical units. International Journal of Population Geography, 8(1), 69-82.
    • (2002) International Journal of Population Geography , vol.8 , Issue.1 , pp. 69-82
    • Simpson, L.1
  • 52
    • 0023530374 scopus 로고
    • Tests of forecast accuracy and bias for county population projections
    • Smith, S. (1987). Tests of forecast accuracy and bias for county population projections. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 82(400), 991-1003.
    • (1987) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.82 , Issue.400 , pp. 991-1003
    • Smith, S.1
  • 53
    • 0020808130 scopus 로고
    • Some new techniques for applying the housing unit method of local population estimation: Further evidence
    • Smith, S., & Lewis, B. (1983). Some new techniques for applying the housing unit method of local population estimation: Further evidence. Demography, 20(3), 407-413.
    • (1983) Demography , vol.20 , Issue.3 , pp. 407-413
    • Smith, S.1    Lewis, B.2
  • 54
    • 0021436917 scopus 로고
    • A comparison of population estimation methods: Housing unit versus component II, ratio correlation, and administrative records
    • Smith, S., & Mandell, M. (1984). A comparison of population estimation methods: Housing unit versus component II, ratio correlation, and administrative records. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 79(386), 282-289.
    • (1984) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.79 , Issue.386 , pp. 282-289
    • Smith, S.1    Mandell, M.2
  • 56
    • 0025443997 scopus 로고
    • The relationship between length of the base period and population forecast errors
    • Smith, S., & Sincich, T. (1990). The relationship between length of the base period and population forecast errors. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 85(410), 367-375.
    • (1990) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.85 , Issue.410 , pp. 367-375
    • Smith, S.1    Sincich, T.2
  • 59
    • 1942461093 scopus 로고
    • Accuracy of the housing unit method in preparing population estimates for cities
    • Starsinic, D., & Zitter, M. (1968). Accuracy of the housing unit method in preparing population estimates for cities. Demography, 5, 475-484.
    • (1968) Demography , vol.5 , pp. 475-484
    • Starsinic, D.1    Zitter, M.2
  • 61
    • 78650693978 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New directions in the development of population estimates in the United States
    • Swanson, D., & McKibben, J. (2010). New directions in the development of population estimates in the United States. Population Research and Policy Review, 29(6), 797-818.
    • (2010) Population Research and Policy Review , vol.29 , Issue.6 , pp. 797-818
    • Swanson, D.1    McKibben, J.2
  • 63
    • 76649132992 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the population of census tracts by age and sex: An example of the Hamilton-Perry method in action
    • Swanson, D., Schlottman, A., & Schmidt, B. (2010). Forecasting the population of census tracts by age and sex: An example of the Hamilton-Perry method in action. Population Research and Policy Review, 29(1), 47-63.
    • (2010) Population Research and Policy Review , vol.29 , Issue.1 , pp. 47-63
    • Swanson, D.1    Schlottman, A.2    Schmidt, B.3
  • 64
    • 0002123174 scopus 로고
    • Some stochastic versions of the matrix model for population dynamics
    • Sykes, M. (1969). Some stochastic versions of the matrix model for population dynamics. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 64(325), 111-130.
    • (1969) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.64 , Issue.325 , pp. 111-130
    • Sykes, M.1
  • 65
    • 0033387907 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the validity of MAPE as a measure of forecast accuracy
    • Tayman, J. (1999). On the validity of MAPE as a measure of forecast accuracy. Population Research and Policy Review, 18(4), 299-322.
    • (1999) Population Research and Policy Review , vol.18 , Issue.4 , pp. 299-322
    • Tayman, J.1
  • 66
    • 0031806333 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The role of population size in the determination and prediction of population forecast errors: An evaluation using confidence intervals for subcounty areas
    • Tayman, J., Schafer, E., & Carter, L. (1998). The role of population size in the determination and prediction of population forecast errors: An evaluation using confidence intervals for subcounty areas. Population Research and Policy Review, 17(1), 1-20.
    • (1998) Population Research and Policy Review , vol.17 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-20
    • Tayman, J.1    Schafer, E.2    Carter, L.3
  • 67
    • 0018659851 scopus 로고
    • Smooth pycnophylactic interpolation for geographical regions
    • Tobler, W. R. (1979). Smooth pycnophylactic interpolation for geographical regions. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 519-530.
    • (1979) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.74 , pp. 519-530
    • Tobler, W.R.1
  • 68
    • 84888067531 scopus 로고
    • United Nations, New York: UN Population Division
    • United Nations. (1983). Manual X. New York: UN Population Division.
    • (1983) Manual X
  • 71
    • 0010807278 scopus 로고
    • Empirical study of selected methods of projecting state population
    • White, H. R. (1954). Empirical study of selected methods of projecting state population. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 49, 480-498.
    • (1954) Journal of the American Statistical Association , vol.49 , pp. 480-498
    • White, H.R.1
  • 73
    • 63149112092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Geocoding quality and implications for spatial analysis
    • Zandbergen, P. (2009). Geocoding quality and implications for spatial analysis. The Geography Compass, 3(2), 647-680.
    • (2009) The Geography Compass , vol.3 , Issue.2 , pp. 647-680
    • Zandbergen, P.1
  • 74
    • 77957775555 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comparison of dyasymetric mapping techniques for small area population estimates
    • Zandbergen, P., & Ignizio, D. (2010). Comparison of dyasymetric mapping techniques for small area population estimates. Cartography and Geographic Information Science, 37(3), 199-214.
    • (2010) Cartography and Geographic Information Science , vol.37 , Issue.3 , pp. 199-214
    • Zandbergen, P.1    Ignizio, D.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.